ua1flyer - A "Real" Up-In-The-Air GS
#2056
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Upper Sternistan
Posts: 10,040
Hmm, I don't think I'd hang determination of "good deal" / "bad deal" on retrospectively determined opportunity cost, but anyway that was exactly my point: it's not like one party is laughing all the way to the bank here. The flight pass is giving a nice benefit now, but UA got a bunch of cash up front, when amortized it's still quite a bit per year, and there was every possibility UA ceased to exist in these intervening years and it all would have come to an end.
How prominent of an airline was United in 1990?
#2057
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: LAX
Posts: 211
Hmm, I don't think I'd hang determination of "good deal" / "bad deal" on retrospectively determined opportunity cost, but anyway that was exactly my point: it's not like one party is laughing all the way to the bank here. The flight pass is giving a nice benefit now, but UA got a bunch of cash up front, when amortized it's still quite a bit per year, and there was every possibility UA ceased to exist in these intervening years and it all would have come to an end.
Has he gotten $14M of value from the ticket? That seems like much more of a stretch - he would have had to spend over $400k per year. That would only really be possible if he flew international J multiple times per week - which maybe he has? But seems unlikely to me.
#2058
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: San Francisco
Programs: All-Around Kettle
Posts: 3,289
You also need to consider the value of the RDMs he is apparently being given just for flying. If he's handing out free trips left and right, that's worth a lot too.
#2059
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 2,345
It's a pretty bad deal IMO. You are missing in your analysis the opportunity cost of investing that money elsewhere. If he had put that $500k in the NASDAQ in 1990, it would be worth about $14M today. Even a more conservative investment like a bond fund would have yielded multiple millions of dollars by now. He's basically given UA an incredibly low-interest loan.
#2060
Join Date: Oct 2019
Programs: Flying Blue, Hilton Honors, Amtrak Guest Rewards
Posts: 2,401
#2061
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: ord,ewr
Programs: Lifetime UA GS 22 million,AA 1m ,Hilton Li fetime diamond,marriott lifetime platinum hyatt diamond
Posts: 1,000
#2062
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: ord,ewr
Programs: Lifetime UA GS 22 million,AA 1m ,Hilton Li fetime diamond,marriott lifetime platinum hyatt diamond
Posts: 1,000
A Good investment.
All the details will come out in the book. It was 510,000 to be exact. Was it a risk? Hell yeah. But that’s been my life in a nutshell( again more details in the book. And for the record I don’t fly for free . Tickets are paid for from a fund / annuity etc. if you include the tickers/ flight miles when adding my companion it would be getting close to 29,000 flights/tickets . I’ve earned over 100 million redeemable miles, and the government paid for 40percent of the 510K as I write it all off in my first 3 years. Yes, United treats me extremely well , always has., because it’s total class. I’ve maid a lot of poor choices over the years( again the book) . This was not one of them. If I had to do it all over again , I would do it in a heart beat, no doubt at all. We can all play should have could have would have with our spending/ investments over the years. Hell I lost a half million on a home I bought . My 2 divorces cost me fortunes . In the big picture the 510K was nothing! I’ve been able to share the world with my family and close friends. Experiences they couldn’t afford and are now and will continue to be indelible lifetime memories!! Investment? A better word is Priceless!!!! Just sayin
#2063
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: GVA (Greater Vancouver Area)
Programs: DREAD Gold; UA 1.035MM; Bonvoy Au-197; PCC Elite+; CCC Elite+; MSC C-12; CWC Au-197; WoH Dis
Posts: 52,140
#2064
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: NYC / TYO / Up in the Air
Programs: UA GS 1.7MM, AA 2.1MM, EK, BA, SQ, CX, Marriot LT, Accor P
Posts: 6,313
+1 - and if there was ever anyone meant to fly this many miles it’s Tom - it’s hard to explain the joy he truly gets up in the air - we will see if he chose my title for the book - but to Tom the journey really is the point! $500k is nothing!
#2065
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 1,620
With that said, I would have to imagine that he would have to love flying/travel to accumulate as many miles as he has regardless of how he paid for those miles.
Slightly off-topic, but I noticed your username, I have an E60 M5 and I absolutely love the car to death.
Last edited by WineCountryUA; May 28, 2023 at 11:20 am Reason: Removed query by Moderator note
#2066
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: NYC / TYO / Up in the Air
Programs: UA GS 1.7MM, AA 2.1MM, EK, BA, SQ, CX, Marriot LT, Accor P
Posts: 6,313
I have never met Tom, beyond what I have read here in bits and pieces I really don't know much about him.
With that said, I would have to imagine that he would have to love flying/travel to accumulate as many miles as he has regardless of how he paid for those miles.
Slightly off-topic, but I noticed your username, I have an E60 M5 and I absolutely love the car to death.
With that said, I would have to imagine that he would have to love flying/travel to accumulate as many miles as he has regardless of how he paid for those miles.
Slightly off-topic, but I noticed your username, I have an E60 M5 and I absolutely love the car to death.
I had an E60 M5 - that thing was a beast!
Last edited by WineCountryUA; May 28, 2023 at 11:21 am Reason: removed response to deleted content
#2067
Moderator: United Airlines
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.995MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
Posts: 66,850
While there is a temptation, to analyze, to discuss Tom in the third party -- but since Tom is a regular, you can ask Tom a question and he can chose to answer or not. But let Tom be the one to characterize himself. Too easy to slip into inappropriate discussion otherwise.
WineCountryUA
UA coMderator
WineCountryUA
UA coMderator
#2068
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: ord,ewr
Programs: Lifetime UA GS 22 million,AA 1m ,Hilton Li fetime diamond,marriott lifetime platinum hyatt diamond
Posts: 1,000
While there is a temptation, to analyze, to discuss Tom in the third party -- but since Tom is a regular, you can ask Tom a question and he can chose to answer or not. But let Tom be the one to characterize himself. Too easy to slip into inappropriate discussion otherwise.
WineCountryUA
UA coMderator
WineCountryUA
UA coMderator
#2070
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Los Angeles, California
Programs: United, American, Delta, Hyatt, Hilton, Hertz, Marriott
Posts: 14,801