lrbenko

I'm in an odd predicament as I'm arriving Sunday the 9th, the days the changes go into effect. And I'm flying in from Ireland.

lrbenko

Simply Test Me doesn't seem to have any availability until Jan 16th!

lrbenko

Testing For All has availability, Hope this is useful for anyone.

KARFA

select monday to saturday and you will be shown 10 jan onwards.

tbh the date isn't that important. just select one a few days before you actually arrive so you can get it well before you return.

corporate-wage-slave

The figures for England and Scotland have both flattened in recent days and may well fall in the next day or two, more due to backlog data leaving the running totals. The number of tests has gone up to over 2 million a day, thanks to schools, and that hasn't shown many extra cases yet, which is interesting. I can't believe the school reopening will remain neutral unfortuately. The number of people self isolating is now over 2 million (or should be!). NHS absences are in the 12% area now, rather than the 5 or 6% in a normal winter. It has been going up by a percentage point a day but we think there isn't much scope for further rises now.

flashware

Have you been in UK & I for the 14 days prior? No test required if you've been within the CTA.

lrbenko

I have not. My meeting In Dublin was canceled, so I'm just connecting in Ireland (albeit through separate airlines) to the UK.

flashware

Most unfortunate then!

Dan1113

Update on our the day 2 positive test within the household and its impact on flight passengers:

We reported the flight details on the NHS Scotland form two days ago. I assume the day 2 testing company also tells the NHS (England in this case). None of us have gotten a text contact tracing from the flight (yet). 2/3 of us are also still negative. My best guess is he caught it either the 30th or 31st, and still nothing for either of us.

We were on the phone yesterday and have requested the lab information on which variant he has, which I think would be very interesting to know. They will get back to us on Sunday with more info.

corporate-wage-slave

Today is a big data day for the NHS. One of the pieces of data which will doubtless be picked up by the newspapers is the numbers of people in hospital admitted specifically for COVID, as opposed to being admitted for something else primarily (there are some shades of grey here, which I've explained up thread somewhere). This a slightly different measure from the daily report, namely here we are looking at beds occupied by COVID patients and the figures below are those primarily admitted for COVID. Underneath is the percentage of all COVID patients taking a bed. So mid November 73% of COVID beds were patients admitted for COVID, now it's around 62% of patients. To be clear, patient numbers are still rising sharply, particularly outside of London.

corporate-wage-slave

Some vaccine booster data / milestones hit in the last few days
As of today
- 67% of adults over 18 years old are boosted
- 75% of adults eligible for a booster have had their third dose
- 80% of over 40s are boosted
- 90% of over 50s boosted.

DaveS

Daily data:

Cases 178,250 (189,846 last Friday)
Deaths 229 (203)
Patients admitted 2,434 (1,933 on the 27th)
Patients in hospital 18,454 (13,162 on the 30th)
Patients in ventilation beds 868 (875 on the 30th)
People vaccinated up to and including 6 January 2022:
First dose: 51,897,289
Second dose: 47,600,028
Booster: 35,066,144

The rolling seven day daily average for cases is now up 19.8% on the previous week and the same measure for deaths is up 46.0%. The rolling 7 day daily average for deaths is 158.7 today. Cases in England remain relatively stable with a small drop today.

nk15

It seems that the data are consistent in various countries, hospital admissions are rising, but not ICU admissions...unless a country has many unvaccinated and/or still Delta cases, in addition to Omicron...

corporate-wage-slave

Yesterday was data day for a lot of us. There were some interesting charts released yesterday by the Intensive Care National Audit and Research Council (ICNARC). I've selected a few graphs that I think deserve wider currency. For this group we are concerned with COVID patients defined as needed Critical Care, so in Intensive Care Units, High Dependency Units attached to ICUs, and similar. These require typically 3 or more skilled healthcare staff per patient, or more, so incredibly resource intensive compared to someone in A&E needing oxygen therapy (probably less than 0.1 staff per patient and with a lower skill set). These patients are sitting in a bed which ties down equipment typicaly in excess of £1million per bed.

Since July 2021 the numbers in Critical care have stayed at around 800 to 1000 patients and 2 days ago was 868 patients, though the counting method is slightly different here. Whereas 38% of hospital patients with COVID were primarily admitted for something else, in Critical Care this is only 11%, 89% were admitted primarity due to COVID-19. Omicron has so far had no obvious impact on the total number of patients involved. This is data for all the UK minus Scotland, who have a separate monitoring process.

Firstly the one that really hammers home the point. This shows who these people are, comparing vaccine status per 100,000 population, thus giving equal weight to the underlying population group. And as you can see, the difference is enormous.



Then if we take away the 100,000 population factor, so effectively removing the weighting for the 91% of adults have had at least 1 vaccine



If we break it down by region then London comes out worst, partly due to the low level of vaccination in inner London, but there will be other factors too.



Then this graph is interesting. Obviously it shows how from middle age onwards, the risk to males is greatly higher than for females, even though females are the majority gender in every age bracket. But the other thing that is interesting is that while the median patient is 52 years old and male, that is unusual in a critcal care context. Usually it is unprecedented to see such a high proportion of people under 50 in ICU.



And for all those on their New Year's personal health resolutions, this shows that being overweight does add to the risk factors to an extent, until you get to BMI 40 plus. Perhaps not that much of an added risk, it's far riskier being male than fat, or even living in a deprived postcode. The orange line shows the UK population's weight profile - which is higher than it should be - and the blue blocks shows how it is represented in Critical Care. This looks at the situation at the point of admission, I would imagine ICU staff would want to point out that being overweight makes treatment slower, more painful and less certain of success.


Source PDF:
https://www.icnarc.org/DataServices/...a-00505601089b

VickiSoCal

New guidance from the kid's uni.

"You MUST test for Covid before you return to St Andrews, and we will expect you to take a lateral flow test at least twice a week during the Semester. These are not University rules
they are an expectation of the Scottish Government. You should take a test at the start of every day on which you plan to attend in-person teaching and/or plan to socialise with those from other households, and also take a test at the start of every day following either of those activities"

Again, that's a lot of tests.