SARS predictions?
Apr 22, 2003 | 2:26 pm
#1
Original Poster
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 957
SARS predictions?
What will happen with SARS? I suppose that nobody knows.
The way I see it is that the vast majority of people, even in Hong Kong, don't have it. If you get it, the chance of dying is 5%, possibly up to 10%. That's too high for comfort.
I wonder if it will subside in a year? If anyone is more informed than me, please post.
The way I see it is that the vast majority of people, even in Hong Kong, don't have it. If you get it, the chance of dying is 5%, possibly up to 10%. That's too high for comfort.
I wonder if it will subside in a year? If anyone is more informed than me, please post.
Apr 22, 2003 | 3:02 pm
#2
Original Member
Join Date: May 1998
Location: CH-3823 Wengen Switzerland
Programs: miles&more, MileagePlus
Posts: 27,043
Some FlyerTalk threads about SARS (in the OMNI Forum)
costs:
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/011467.html
Betst McCaughey - US should prohibit travel to SARS areas
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/011451.html
Can't ignore SARS anymore
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/011449.html
Is SARS making us racist?
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010874.html
SARS - Bush signs order allowing quarantine
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010753.html
SARS: Are you afraid of it?
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010703.html
SARS - surgical masks?
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010591.html
SARS: Virus haunts Swiss watch fair
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010569.html
SARS - God's revenge for not joining US coalition in Iraq?
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010519.html
SARS in the USA Pacific Northwest
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010432.html
costs:
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/011467.html
Betst McCaughey - US should prohibit travel to SARS areas
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/011451.html
Can't ignore SARS anymore
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/011449.html
Is SARS making us racist?
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010874.html
SARS - Bush signs order allowing quarantine
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010753.html
SARS: Are you afraid of it?
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010703.html
SARS - surgical masks?
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010591.html
SARS: Virus haunts Swiss watch fair
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010569.html
SARS - God's revenge for not joining US coalition in Iraq?
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010519.html
SARS in the USA Pacific Northwest
http://www.flyertalk.com/travel/fttr...ML/010432.html
Apr 22, 2003 | 3:05 pm
#3
Original Member
Join Date: May 1998
Location: CH-3823 Wengen Switzerland
Programs: miles&more, MileagePlus
Posts: 27,043
If you get it, the chance of dying is 5%, possibly up to 10%. That's too high for comfort.
I am, so far, less concerned about the death rate (being somewhere between 3-5% of those know to be infected), but about how much 100% infected will be (how the virus will spread around). 3-5% per 1 Million infected would mean 30'000-50'000 death per 1 million infected.
I am, so far, less concerned about the death rate (being somewhere between 3-5% of those know to be infected), but about how much 100% infected will be (how the virus will spread around). 3-5% per 1 Million infected would mean 30'000-50'000 death per 1 million infected.