787 Investigation
#16
Formerly known as tireman77
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 5,517
108 airplanes currently operating. 1 inflight engine explosion, wing bracket cracks.
787 has over 180 airplanes currently flying...
Neither one would have 'not that encouraging teach records' in your mind?
#17
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: homeless 2.0
Programs: A3 Gold, LH FTL
Posts: 1,065
I was very curious about the claim of AlJazeera that some airlines dont accept Charleston assembled 787s, so looked into the numbers a bit. I used this table as my source, published by the "all things 787" blog:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...=2&output=html
I only used the 787-8 planes with a confirmed customer.
On the first glimpse its not very interesting, there are no airlines that only got Charleston planes. The bigger airlines that got only Everett planes are these: AA, BA, LO, + all leasing and charter companies.
With a second look at the data it seamed that there is a geographical connection which suggests some GDP correlation with the Everett planes customers. So its clearly realistic that airlines with more money or bargaining power pose an "Everett-only" criteria to Boeing.
As you see the table is ordered by the Charleston/Everett ratio, showing the aforementioned GDP correlation.
Let me know what you think.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...=2&output=html
I only used the 787-8 planes with a confirmed customer.
On the first glimpse its not very interesting, there are no airlines that only got Charleston planes. The bigger airlines that got only Everett planes are these: AA, BA, LO, + all leasing and charter companies.
With a second look at the data it seamed that there is a geographical connection which suggests some GDP correlation with the Everett planes customers. So its clearly realistic that airlines with more money or bargaining power pose an "Everett-only" criteria to Boeing.
Code:
Ch. Ev. Ratio Africa 18% 4% 4.3 India 20% 5% 3.7 China 20% 6% 3.3 Gulf 14% 8% 1.8 North America 12% 8% 1.5 South America 6% 7% 0.9 Japan 6% 28% 0.2 Other World 2% 15% 0.1 Other Asia 0% 4% 0.0 Europe 0% 15% 0.0
Let me know what you think.
#19
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: homeless 2.0
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Posts: 1,065
edit: I think I have an idea of what you meant, you want to see "number of aircrafts" instead of percentages. But that doesnt make sense because the relative ratio (thus the order) remains unchanged.
Last edited by kanor; Sep 12, 2014 at 9:20 am
#20
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Did you even look at it? It's not a "cursory fluff piece," it's a one-hour documentary that took months to produce. Like it or not, it's the kind of long-form investigative work the main news networks don't invest in anymore, unless the subject is kidnapped white teenage girls.
That's a very interesting analysis -- thanks. But much as Boeing's Washington state machinists' union might like it, I don't think there's necessarily much quality magic in factory geography. Boeing went through a big quality scandal at Renton a few years ago when 737 production ramped up and suddenly a lot of sick airplanes were rolling out with improperly installed wiring harnesses, crossed connections, etc. You think there's no weed on the premises at Renton or Everett? C'mon.
Not to nullify the issues AJA raises in this doc at all -- just to point out they are likely widespread.
Not to nullify the issues AJA raises in this doc at all -- just to point out they are likely widespread.
#21
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: East Anglia UK
Programs: BA-S UA LH-Sen KLM/AF-Plat.
Posts: 1,627
I guess that, using that logic, you wouldn't fly an A 380 neither?
108 airplanes currently operating. 1 inflight engine explosion, wing bracket cracks.
787 has over 180 airplanes currently flying...
Neither one would have 'not that encouraging teach records' in your mind?
108 airplanes currently operating. 1 inflight engine explosion, wing bracket cracks.
787 has over 180 airplanes currently flying...
Neither one would have 'not that encouraging teach records' in your mind?
#22
Formerly known as tireman77
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 5,517
If moeve will let me butt in here - the above incidents/areas of concern you mention tireman are such that they have been clearly identified and sorted, and not repeated. There are other similar teething probs with many other aircraft, one can accept that. The 787 seems to repeat and repeat and no one has yet been able to say hand on heart we've solved it. If I'm at 35000feet I want more reassurance than that.
#23
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It was an interesting documentary - too full of soft stuff for my taste, but still with some morsels of hard stuff.
The impression I came away with (and, of course, none of us are experts) is not so much the assembly line question (which was clearly being fed by propaganda from the unions more than anything else) but Boeing underestimating the work required a) to bed in new technologies (composite frames, much more extreme batteries) and b) to control a massively increased set of sub-contractors. And this makes sense: it is a matter of public record that the plane was delayed far more than would be expected for this type of launch - all are delayed but not on that scale.
So, you are left feeling slightly concerned that they haven't really solved the problems and that one or more could come back to bite. It has happened before with, for example, metal fatigue and other advances and no doubt will happen again.
As for refusing to fly the 787, I feel that's ridiculous. Even if the plane is flawed and that, for the sake of argument, one will be lost because of those flaws sometime in the next ten years, the odds against being on it are astronomical. Far safer to fly 787s than drive to work.
The impression I came away with (and, of course, none of us are experts) is not so much the assembly line question (which was clearly being fed by propaganda from the unions more than anything else) but Boeing underestimating the work required a) to bed in new technologies (composite frames, much more extreme batteries) and b) to control a massively increased set of sub-contractors. And this makes sense: it is a matter of public record that the plane was delayed far more than would be expected for this type of launch - all are delayed but not on that scale.
So, you are left feeling slightly concerned that they haven't really solved the problems and that one or more could come back to bite. It has happened before with, for example, metal fatigue and other advances and no doubt will happen again.
As for refusing to fly the 787, I feel that's ridiculous. Even if the plane is flawed and that, for the sake of argument, one will be lost because of those flaws sometime in the next ten years, the odds against being on it are astronomical. Far safer to fly 787s than drive to work.
#24
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 1999
Location: ORD/MDW
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The impression I came away with (and, of course, none of us are experts) is not so much the assembly line question (which was clearly being fed by propaganda from the unions more than anything else) but Boeing underestimating the work required a) to bed in new technologies (composite frames, much more extreme batteries) and b) to control a massively increased set of sub-contractors. And this makes sense: it is a matter of public record that the plane was delayed far more than would be expected for this type of launch - all are delayed but not on that scale.
#25
Original Poster
Join Date: Jun 2002
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I'm actually more concerned about Boeing's response, which can be found here:
http://boeing.mediaroom.com/index.ph...95&item=129201
It's interesting to see Boeing have gone on the full attack without directly responding to a single claim the programme made. If they want to seriously suggest this really just tabloid style reporting, they really ought to address each claim with their version of the 'facts'. Whilst I have no doubt some of the claims made are just ex-employees airing grievances and twisting facts to suit their needs, there are at least an equal number that require a considered response by Boeing, as on face value, as they do appear to have possible safety consequences.
I still find the launch of the 787 bizarre which quite a number of key components were still made out of plywood.... A launch which was not a real launch should have been delayed to begin with.
http://boeing.mediaroom.com/index.ph...95&item=129201
It's interesting to see Boeing have gone on the full attack without directly responding to a single claim the programme made. If they want to seriously suggest this really just tabloid style reporting, they really ought to address each claim with their version of the 'facts'. Whilst I have no doubt some of the claims made are just ex-employees airing grievances and twisting facts to suit their needs, there are at least an equal number that require a considered response by Boeing, as on face value, as they do appear to have possible safety consequences.
I still find the launch of the 787 bizarre which quite a number of key components were still made out of plywood.... A launch which was not a real launch should have been delayed to begin with.
#26
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: DCA/IAD
Programs: AA plat, SPG gold
Posts: 721
[QUOTE=WindowSeat123;23513926]
Quote:
But not so for airliners. There is only one alternative, Airbus. Airlines don't have that choice. /QUOTE]
There is a choice. Airlines can choose from russian, or Chinese built aircraft, such as the Antonov
Quote:
But not so for airliners. There is only one alternative, Airbus. Airlines don't have that choice. /QUOTE]
There is a choice. Airlines can choose from russian, or Chinese built aircraft, such as the Antonov
#27
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Al Jazeera investigates quality control issues within the 787 programme. It also asks questions around the FAA's competence and the American government in general:
http://www.aljazeera.com/investigati...7/default.html
An interesting and eye opening piece from what has become one of the world prime news outlets.
http://www.aljazeera.com/investigati...7/default.html
An interesting and eye opening piece from what has become one of the world prime news outlets.
#28
Join Date: Feb 2013
Programs: Marriott Titanium, National EE
Posts: 538
I think what they are reffering to is what happens after multiple disasters. MH was decimated after the two incidents. If Boeing had multiple incidents due to safety issues or quality issues with the aircraft, their passenger plane division would certainly be hurt or destroyed.
o
Bad analogy. When GM makes a clunker, the car might not start, or might act up on the road, or very rarely cause an accident that might kill one or a few people. Immoral on the part of GM, but from a purely cost/benefit analysis, you could see where this behavior might occur.
http://www.autoblog.com/2014/06/03/r...nition-switch/
Last edited by zerolife; Sep 12, 2014 at 7:44 pm