Ten Years and Counting Since Last Major Crash...
#17
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: WAS
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Posts: 1,594
Yes, I'm sorry. I forgot that only Americans read this site and that anything which happens outside the US is completely unimportant.
A thread title such as this is an insult the memory of all the passengers who have been killed worldwide in the past 10 years.
Broaden your horizons. @:-)
A thread title such as this is an insult the memory of all the passengers who have been killed worldwide in the past 10 years.
Broaden your horizons. @:-)
#18
Join Date: Feb 2008
Programs: UA AA MR HH B6
Posts: 1,419
Kudos to all major US airlines. I think that's a terrific achievement. May there be another 10 years. Hope safety of all air travel around the world can also improve as well.
I certainly think its worth celebrating
I certainly think its worth celebrating
#19
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: n.y.c.
Posts: 13,988
Why do we make this exemption for regionals? 50 dead Continental passengers is still 50 dead pax, flying on a major U.S. airline, regardless of who Continental hired to fly their plane.
#20
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Salish Sea
Programs: DL,AC,HH,PC
Posts: 8,974
The vehemence of some replies suggests my point was well made.
Out.
#22
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: WAS
Programs: AMEX Platinum, Global Entry, Priority Pass, SPG Gold, HHonors Gold
Posts: 1,594
We make the distinction because, before 2001, mainline airlines couldn't maintain a perfect safety streak either. They had major accidents every few years. The fact that we have been able to change this fact is excellent, and worth celebrating on its own.
#24
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: PHX
Posts: 3,796
I don't fall for the gambler's fallacy here though. A lack or proliferation of crashes in a given time period has no bearing on the odds of being in a crash unless the cause of that lack or proliferation is systemic. The odds are the same and reset each time you get on a plane. Like flipping a quarter, a string of heads over tails does not mean you are more due for heads on the next flip.
On the other hand, it seems like the cause of the more recent crashes are too broad to categorize as systemic issues. This is good in that we're not seeing planes crash for the same reason over and over, but bad in that since every crash is for different reasons, it may not be possible to plug all of the one-in-a-billion holes.
I do agree that it does need a global perspective, and the crashes from other western European carriers could have easily happened to US carriers.
#25
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: LHR / IAD
Programs: BA/AA/UA
Posts: 2,955
I don't fall for the gambler's fallacy here though. A lack or proliferation of crashes in a given time period has no bearing on the odds of being in a crash unless the cause of that lack or proliferation is systemic. The odds are the same and reset each time you get on a plane. Like flipping a quarter, a string of heads over tails does not mean you are more due for heads on the next flip.
Agree that the thread title should be changed. As it stands it's somewhere between solipsistic and jingoistic.
#26
Original Poster
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Boston
Posts: 467
US Parochialism?
I am the thread-starter and author of the article linked to.
For ME, of all people, to be accused of "US parochialism" and "jingoism," and told to "broaden my horizons," is more than a little bizarre.
Obviously, to make such an accusation, you are not AT ALL familiar with my work in general. I invite you to read more of my articles and essays, and then make that judgment.
Broaden my horizons? With all respect, I have spent the past nine years writing about aviation accidents both in the US and abroad, and have REPEATEDLY gone out of my way to vouch for the safety standards of commercial aviation abroad, debunking many stubborn myths. Here is just one for example...
http://www.salon.com/tech/col/smith/...skthepilot226/
It's funny because at Salon, where my column runs, I have been accused of exactly the opposite -- of being too lenient in my analyses of carriers OUTSIDE the US.
As for the title of the post, there is limited space in which to make one's point, and this PARTICULAR essay was indeed about a record-breaking streak here in the United States.
Patrick Smith
www.askthepilot.com
For ME, of all people, to be accused of "US parochialism" and "jingoism," and told to "broaden my horizons," is more than a little bizarre.
Obviously, to make such an accusation, you are not AT ALL familiar with my work in general. I invite you to read more of my articles and essays, and then make that judgment.
Broaden my horizons? With all respect, I have spent the past nine years writing about aviation accidents both in the US and abroad, and have REPEATEDLY gone out of my way to vouch for the safety standards of commercial aviation abroad, debunking many stubborn myths. Here is just one for example...
http://www.salon.com/tech/col/smith/...skthepilot226/
It's funny because at Salon, where my column runs, I have been accused of exactly the opposite -- of being too lenient in my analyses of carriers OUTSIDE the US.
As for the title of the post, there is limited space in which to make one's point, and this PARTICULAR essay was indeed about a record-breaking streak here in the United States.
Patrick Smith
www.askthepilot.com
Last edited by GateHold; Nov 18, 2011 at 7:23 pm Reason: clarity
#27
Original Poster
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Boston
Posts: 467
Regarding the Colgan, Comair, and other regional carrier accidents...
That people don't understand which companies are actually operating their code-share regional flights, and that airlines obfuscate these arrangements, is another issue altogether -- and one that I've written several articles about.
And I suspect many people did not read the actual article linked to in this thread, because I acknowledge these crashes, all of which I've written about at some length in my columns.
There * is * something very important and meaningful in the fact that the majors, by themselves, have avoided any catastrophes. That's not to diminish the seriousness of those accidents that * did * occur.
Patrick Smith
That people don't understand which companies are actually operating their code-share regional flights, and that airlines obfuscate these arrangements, is another issue altogether -- and one that I've written several articles about.
And I suspect many people did not read the actual article linked to in this thread, because I acknowledge these crashes, all of which I've written about at some length in my columns.
There * is * something very important and meaningful in the fact that the majors, by themselves, have avoided any catastrophes. That's not to diminish the seriousness of those accidents that * did * occur.
Patrick Smith
Last edited by GateHold; Nov 18, 2011 at 7:34 pm Reason: clarity
#28
Join Date: Feb 2008
Programs: UA AA MR HH B6
Posts: 1,419
Patrick
I enjoy your ask your pilot articles. I appreciate your contributions to this thread. Although not universal, to be able to say in the US, no major carriers have suffered a fatality to an accident, to me, is a tremendous accomplishment and should be commended.
My condolences to all those lost in air accidents abroad and in regionals in the last 10 years and also in any accidents that occurred in the past.
I do think the US majors, and those involved in aviation safety, should be proud though. A few close calls, a lot of lives saved.
I enjoy your ask your pilot articles. I appreciate your contributions to this thread. Although not universal, to be able to say in the US, no major carriers have suffered a fatality to an accident, to me, is a tremendous accomplishment and should be commended.
My condolences to all those lost in air accidents abroad and in regionals in the last 10 years and also in any accidents that occurred in the past.
I do think the US majors, and those involved in aviation safety, should be proud though. A few close calls, a lot of lives saved.
#29
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: SFO/SJC/OAK/STS
Programs: Alaska MVPG, Delta PM, AA EXP, Wannabe SkyWest 1K
Posts: 644
there's a reason you can't turn a cell phone on taxi out to runway, but can on taxi back after landing - the airlines don't want to get sued if you're distracted during the safety demo
#30
Suspended
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 3,098
Patrick
I enjoy your ask your pilot articles. I appreciate your contributions to this thread. Although not universal, to be able to say in the US, no major carriers have suffered a fatality to an accident, to me, is a tremendous accomplishment and should be commended.
My condolences to all those lost in air accidents abroad and in regionals in the last 10 years and also in any accidents that occurred in the past.
I do think the US majors, and those involved in aviation safety, should be proud though. A few close calls, a lot of lives saved.
I enjoy your ask your pilot articles. I appreciate your contributions to this thread. Although not universal, to be able to say in the US, no major carriers have suffered a fatality to an accident, to me, is a tremendous accomplishment and should be commended.
My condolences to all those lost in air accidents abroad and in regionals in the last 10 years and also in any accidents that occurred in the past.
I do think the US majors, and those involved in aviation safety, should be proud though. A few close calls, a lot of lives saved.
Isn't a plane crashing the in the Hudson river a "major crash" even if nobody died?