Quartz: Your plane could fly itself by 2025…if you’re cool with that
Airline passengers will give up leg room, overhead-bin space, and a healthy amount of dignity in exchange for a lower airfare. But many won’t give up human pilots. A dilemma that sounds like it belongs in science fiction is one that some travelers may grapple with in the near future. “Technically speaking, remotely controlled planes carrying passengers and cargo could appear” by around 2025, the investment bank UBS said a report released Monday (Aug. 8). A switch to full automation could save the air-transportation industry $35 billion a year and cut passenger fares by around 10%. |
Absolutely cool with that, provided it's proven to be just as safe!
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Can a computer do what Sully did?
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Originally Posted by Boggie Dog
(Post 28669760)
Can a computer do what Sully did?
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A properly-designed computer-controlled flight system would do the same thing Captain Sullenberger did: evaluate landing options, choose the best one available, and ditch in the Hudson. "Properly designed" means the system would know which parts of the airplane were functioning at all times. In this case, that would mean it would plan a landing without adding any power. Guiding the airplane into the ditching would be no different than guiding it into any other landing.
I'm very skeptical that any such system will ever be deployed though. |
this is even sillier than self driving cars, in terms of the (questionable) capabilities of the first truly self driving cars, which is what everyone is rushing for simply to claim they are first
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Originally Posted by Boggie Dog
(Post 28669760)
Can a computer do what Sully did?
Aviation technology and automation is perenially improving. Humans will stay humans. In the future, at some point computers will be better pilots than humans. To look at it from the perspective of only today's tech is pretty shortsighted. They're not talking about eliminating pilots tomorrow.
Originally Posted by Kagehitokiri
(Post 28673701)
this is even sillier than self driving cars, in terms of the (questionable) capabilities of the first truly self driving cars, which is what everyone is rushing for simply to claim they are first
I guess you'd prefer driving alongside the ones spending half their time looking at their phone, or the drunk or sleeping ones. Or is it the 99 year olds and 16 year olds who inspire your confidence? |
1. Yes. A computer can absolutely do what Sully did. As long as it's programmed correctly. It's important for the people programming the automation software to do a good job, but an automated pilot is WAY safer than a human. Think about all of the recent plain crashes... one when a depressed human being flew into a mountain. One where a cocky pilot thought he could make a journey without enough fuel.... these were human errors that a computer would NEVER make.
2. Automating the flight of a plane is a lot easier than a car. It's a no brainer. Stuck being Luddites! |
I' d be a little more impressed if the a/c is nearly as capable of what Haynes & crew with help from Fitch were able to do at SUX.
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Originally Posted by Boggie Dog
(Post 28669760)
Can a computer do what Sully did?
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Originally Posted by YVR Cockroach
(Post 28785251)
I' d be a little more impressed if the a/c is nearly as capable of what Haynes & crew with help from Fitch were able to do at SUX.
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And all the systems and software in the Airbus that was AF447 didn't seem to help either. Neither did the pilots.
You'll need both to get me on board and keep me on board. And the humans better low know to hand fly the aircraft. |
I'm not cool with that.
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No doubt about that! I am pretty sure if I can flying alone without captain & co-pilots, gate agent as well as flight attendants.
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Originally Posted by Boggie Dog
(Post 28669760)
Can a computer do what Sully did?
The only thing a human did that the current generation of flight computers can not do is press the ditch switch. As for having fully automated no pilot-in-the-loop airplanes, I am not convinced that the industry will be ready for that by 2025, 2050 or later perhaps. There are too many things that continually go wrong with air data systems that require human intervention. I am not yet convinced that computers will be able to adequately recover/fly a plane with a impaired/defective air data system. Although AF447 clearly showed us that some humans are incapable of flying when the air data system is impaired as well........
Originally Posted by EarthHair
(Post 28784882)
.....
2. Automating the flight of a plane is a lot easier than a car. It's a no brainer. Stuck being Luddites! Also, DO-178C isn't robust enough and we'd probably end up with DO-178E for automated pilot transport category aircraft.
Originally Posted by KDS777
(Post 28863100)
And all the systems and software in the Airbus that was AF447 didn't seem to help either. Neither did the pilots.
You'll need both to get me on board and keep me on board. And the humans better low know to hand fly the aircraft. |
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