Southwest closing Newark.
#61
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 6,286
IMHO:
The Southwest / Boeing relationship is unbreakable. WN has demonstrated that it's willing to make changes that move it further away from it's operational past, but not in this area.
Ultimately, 10-15 years from now, when they're flying an all-MAX fleet, Gary will be lauded as having the foresight to stick with Boeing through the "hard times." The planes won't be named MAX anymore so flyers won't know or care. And they will have been acquired at a major discount, so WN's bottom line will look great.
Assuming there's not yet another MAX airframe loss once they return to service.
The Southwest / Boeing relationship is unbreakable. WN has demonstrated that it's willing to make changes that move it further away from it's operational past, but not in this area.
Ultimately, 10-15 years from now, when they're flying an all-MAX fleet, Gary will be lauded as having the foresight to stick with Boeing through the "hard times." The planes won't be named MAX anymore so flyers won't know or care. And they will have been acquired at a major discount, so WN's bottom line will look great.
Assuming there's not yet another MAX airframe loss once they return to service.
#62
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 1999
Location: ORD/MDW
Programs: BA/AA/AS/B6/WN/ UA/HH/MR and more like 'em but most felicitously & importantly MUCCI
Posts: 19,719
As soon as a single supplier believes you're a captive who won't cross-shop the market, you're at a negotiating disadvantage. This is true whether you are procuring snow tires, a kitchen rehab, or medium-range jet aircraft. In this case Boeing has exactly one product to offer. The disadvantages of hewing to a faithful, "unbreakable" relationship no matter what far outweigh the pluses.
We all hope that is the case. Nine months after the LionAir crash, though, it is horribly obvious here that Boeing, the FAA, and the airlines are all punching in the dark. They keep discovering new uh-ohs and hey-wait-a-minutes. Even when the Max is retro-equipped and recertified for revenue service, we still won't know what we don't know... for who knows how long.
Obviously one more hull loss under similar circumstances would be the end of the type, and perhaps of Boeing as we know it today.
Originally Posted by ursine
...Assuming there's not yet another MAX airframe loss once they return to service.
Obviously one more hull loss under similar circumstances would be the end of the type, and perhaps of Boeing as we know it today.
#63
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Danville, CA, USA;
Programs: UA 1MM, WN CP, Marriott LT Plat, Hilton Gold, IC Plat
Posts: 15,720
Ultimately, 10-15 years from now, when they're flying an all-MAX fleet, Gary will be lauded as having the foresight to stick with Boeing through the "hard times." The planes won't be named MAX anymore so flyers won't know or care. And they will have been acquired at a major discount, so WN's bottom line will look great.
.
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#64
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 6,286
Your opinion is horribly unrealistic. And Boeing hasn't "cratered."
To be clear, I'm not discussing what I think should happen, but what will.
Last edited by ursine1; Jul 29, 2019 at 7:24 am Reason: typo
#65
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 5,813
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That is true except where a customer is able to obtain a "most favored" contract that would entitle the customer to the best deal given to any other customer for the same product. That type of agreement appears to have been alleged by some people using both Boeing and Southwest.
As soon as a single supplier believes you're a captive who won't cross-shop the market, you're at a negotiating disadvantage. This is true whether you are procuring snow tires, a kitchen rehab, or medium-range jet aircraft. In this case Boeing has exactly one product to offer. The disadvantages of hewing to a faithful, "unbreakable" relationship no matter what far outweigh the pluses.
#66
Join Date: Jul 2009
Programs: DL PM, HH Diamond, Marriott Plat, AA, WP
Posts: 840
I flew through LGA this week and my experience with Q70 and E train was pretty much how you described it here. I also try to take public transit whenever and wherever it's a sensible option and even I was getting frustrated in the hot, smelly, and standing room only bus inching along to the Jackson Heights station. The upside was that I was telling myself that at least I only paid $2.75 to be stuck in traffic instead of $50 for a cab/Uber.
Back to the WN debacle, my nephew just moved to Newark from the midwest three weeks ago to leverage Southwest's access to his area of operations and WN dropped the boom on him. I guess he shoulda moved to Queens.
#67
Join Date: Sep 2015
Posts: 366
While Frontier could heed news of these EWR high fares and then commence TTN-ORD year round and it's low fares will be a draw, it is too erratic of a carrier and unfocused. It will go ahead and announce Birmingham, AL to Providence 3x weekly instead, as an Atlanta to Boston alternative.
Even after all these years in PHL TTN and RDU, it still decided not to cover PHL-RDU or TTN-RDU as a daily schedule this summer.
#68
Join Date: May 2004
Location: HYI/AUS/SAT originally TTN/EWR/PHL
Programs: Southwest Rapid Rewards, Jetblue TrueBlue, American Advantage
Posts: 1,190
I thought the same, that Southwest leaving Newark might indirectly help TTN but I cautioned to mention it. For example, United is selling EWR-ORD one way fares in September for $104. American is similar. That is partly because of Southwest. Come February, a month in advance, United's lowest fare will be like $194 one-way and American the same, and suddenly people will wake up realizing that Southwest as competition helped keep low fares around. Hopefully the Central NJ and Lehigh Valley passengers will flock down to PHL where fares might be more competitive.
While Frontier could heed news of these EWR high fares and then commence TTN-ORD year round and it's low fares will be a draw, it is too erratic of a carrier and unfocused. It will go ahead and announce Birmingham, AL to Providence 3x weekly instead, as an Atlanta to Boston alternative.
Even after all these years in PHL TTN and RDU, it still decided not to cover PHL-RDU or TTN-RDU as a daily schedule this summer.
While Frontier could heed news of these EWR high fares and then commence TTN-ORD year round and it's low fares will be a draw, it is too erratic of a carrier and unfocused. It will go ahead and announce Birmingham, AL to Providence 3x weekly instead, as an Atlanta to Boston alternative.
Even after all these years in PHL TTN and RDU, it still decided not to cover PHL-RDU or TTN-RDU as a daily schedule this summer.
#69
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Chicagoland, IL, USA
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#70
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 15
FYI for anyone with flights in and out of EWR after 11/2/19 and unhappy with rebooking out of LGA: I've had success getting Southwest to honor full refunds, even in the case where I'd used Travel Funds to book the ticket. I had to ask to have the matter escalated since the first level agent wasn't able to give a refund, but after that point the rep came back and said their supervisor had issued a full refund.
#71
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 6,286
FYI for anyone with flights in and out of EWR after 11/2/19 and unhappy with rebooking out of LGA: I've had success getting Southwest to honor full refunds, even in the case where I'd used Travel Funds to book the ticket. I had to ask to have the matter escalated since the first level agent wasn't able to give a refund, but after that point the rep came back and said their supervisor had issued a full refund.
Did they mention how? Is a check coming to you for the travel fund amount? In general, even when they "go the extra mile" in cases like these, the travel funds are simply reissued as a voucher (full year to use, not name-limited, but can't be applied to taxes/fees without a work-around.)
#72
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 15
Did they mention how? Is a check coming to you for the travel fund amount? In general, even when they "go the extra mile" in cases like these, the travel funds are simply reissued as a voucher (full year to use, not name-limited, but can't be applied to taxes/fees without a work-around.)
#73
Join Date: May 2004
Location: HYI/AUS/SAT originally TTN/EWR/PHL
Programs: Southwest Rapid Rewards, Jetblue TrueBlue, American Advantage
Posts: 1,190
WN actually tried to start service in the early 2000s when it was in its alternate airport phase, but wanted TTN to build a new 4 gate terminal which they were all prepared to do, went thru everything even got a Finding of No Significant Impact.(FONSI) after doing an EIS but local nimbys forced the FAA to revoke the finding. WN said we won't go where we're not wanted and pulled out of the agreement. Now that Southwest's strategy is major airports, I don't think Trenton is in the cards. Trenton's new terminal will be 4 gates but now Frontier will occupy atleast 1 to 2 gates so the operation would be smaller. Also the 737-800 would need to take a penalty due to Trenton's 6006ft runway perhaps a 700 would have an acceptable penalty but they are phasing alot of them out. If Southwest decided to move back to an alternate airport plan in some of their more difficult cities then TTN might have a shot. They'd have to give up on PHL as the catchment a mix of the northern part of Philadelphia's catchment and southern part of Newark's catchment About 2.5 million people in an area where Trenton would be closer and a good option. If WN got A220s they would be in a great position for Trenton but I think we'll see Moxy first. I'd love to have a small Southwest station here but I highly doubt it.
#74
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 6,286
Interesting. That's actually a violation of the Visa and MasterCard merchant agreements. You can't receive a credit or refund back to your card that's greater than the original charge. Just like you can't receive a refund back to a different card than the one used, even if that card account is now closed.
Although many merchants do violate this policy, it's still surprising to me to see Southwest do so.
When a similar situation happened to me I was initially told they could only refund the travel funds portion as a voucher. I pushed and eventually received a check.
Although many merchants do violate this policy, it's still surprising to me to see Southwest do so.
When a similar situation happened to me I was initially told they could only refund the travel funds portion as a voucher. I pushed and eventually received a check.
#75
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,331
Ummm. Okay...