Go Back  FlyerTalk Forums > Miles&Points > Airlines and Mileage Programs > Southwest Airlines | Rapid Rewards
Reload this Page >

Rapid Rewards devaluation coming April 17, 2015

Community
Wiki Posts
Search

Rapid Rewards devaluation coming April 17, 2015

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Apr 27, 2015, 12:19 pm
  #526  
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: LAS-DEN
Programs: WN CP & B-list. Disillusioned fmr UA-1P/2P,F9-Ascent; Fmr AA-Plat,CO-Gold,NW-Silver,TWA-Elite
Posts: 1,630
Originally Posted by vacayseeker
Yes, the CP is valuable, but once you get the CP, why continue to put spend on SW Visa cards? Isn't the incremental value of getting RR points through CC spend lower than a 2% back CC? Or am I missing something here...?
I agree. Your spend and churn on SWA VISA cards should be just enough to get CP. Also, if you have to pay cash for an SWA ticket, you should probably buy that on SWA VISA. Its slightly more than 2% because you don't have to pay the taxes on a future ticket if you pay with points.

Other than that, Citi has an attractive product with the 1% when you buy, 1% when you pay, assuming you are one who pays off his/her credit cards every month.

Discover still is attractive if you can keep track of what they are offering in terms of the 5% bonus and any extra 3% bonuses. Also, the 3% bonus I am working on seemed to be targeted to those who used to use Discover a lot, but stopped. I had specifically stopped because SWA VISA was a better deal at 1.67% than Discover at 1% to 1.11%. So they wanted to lure me back, and they did, but only with the spend needed to accomplish the 3% deal.

The above is an unintended consequence of devaluation that all airlines should consider. When they "devalue" it causes those that follow this sort of thing (yeah, it might only be us crazies on here!) to reevaluate everything. Thus, while they might be getting 78 points per dollar for some tickets, they also are selling fewer points to Chase. Is that a good trade off? Hopefully they have some sharp accountants that considered the trade off before implementing this system.
FCfree is offline  
Old Apr 27, 2015, 12:21 pm
  #527  
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: LAS-DEN
Programs: WN CP & B-list. Disillusioned fmr UA-1P/2P,F9-Ascent; Fmr AA-Plat,CO-Gold,NW-Silver,TWA-Elite
Posts: 1,630
Originally Posted by JL100
The CP does not increase the earnings rate on any card and people need to remember it has a separate value whether used with a cash purchase or with points. Also, I would say the points earned to get the companion pass are the valuable ones - once you have it, points are not worth twice as much since you are going to fly free either way on the CP. Spending points on the non-companion are not twice as valuable, they only save the purchase of 1 ticket.
However, spending and churning cards can be a path to CP. Flying 100 flights or earning 110,000 points with butt-in-seat is the hard way.
FCfree is offline  
Old Apr 28, 2015, 11:36 am
  #528  
 
Join Date: Feb 2010
Programs: MR-Amb, Hyatt-Globalist, AA-EXP
Posts: 1,744
Just took my first devaluation hit. I had to rebook an award flight for memorial day weekend, and the new flight was 76 points/$. After my next statement I'm going to call and cancel my Southwest CC. The award booking flexibility is nice, but I fly southwest enough where paying cash and using the flight credit I get back for cancelled flights has never been an issue. It was close before, but with the new system I think I'm definitely better off earning SPG or UR points now.
spgplat21 is offline  
Old Jun 21, 2015, 3:42 pm
  #529  
 
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 91
Originally Posted by FCfree
I would like to offer an alternate viewpoint.

First, no doubt, this was a devaluation. In one flight I was tracking, it used to take 10,477 points and now takes 11,375 points with no change in the airfare ($175.10 all-in). On another flight, no change yet (70pts/$).

The devaluation is there, but it is not severe. Isn't it better to have it be an unknown rate between 70pts/$ and 80pts/$, rather than just shifting to a fixed 80pts/$? Yes, it could in the future go even higher, but I'd rather have it in a range (70pts to 90pts, for example) than a fixed higher value (depending, of course on how often I can get flights for 70pts/$). Sure, I'd like it back at 60pts/$, but devaluation of points/miles is happening everywhere in the airline industry. I don't love it, but what are you going to do about it? Same as the price of a new car continuing to rise. Inflation (devaluation of money) continues to happen.

To me, the more important questions are:
-- Should I continue to charge things on my Southwest VISA?
-- Should I continue to fly with Southwest, or is there a better deal out there?

Let's Explore:

On my example above where the flight was 10,477 points and now is 11,375, I would argue that my "cash back bonus" changed from 1.62% down to 1.49%. I compute this by taking the all-in price, less the $5.60 security fee (so, $169.50) and divide that by the spending I have to do to get that ticket (assume it is mostly $1 of spend generates 1 point). I include the tax because by using points, I don't have to pay it, thus it is value to me. I avoided a $169.50 expense by spending $11,375 (previously $10,477) on a credit card.

Now, granted with the "unknown point redemption" method now in place, I don't know exactly what cash back bonus I am getting. Still, it would seem that it is always above 1%.

So, to me that says, watch Discover card. There is always a 5% cash back bonus (this quarter it is restaurants). All restaurant charges go to Discover. They are also running a promo of spend $2,000 per month for 5 months and get an extra $300. So, do that because it is approximately a 3% cash back bonus on top of the 1%. (Promo may be targeted and you had to start on January 1).

After the $2,000 spend on Discover, shift over to Southwest VISA for the remainder of the month because the points are worth more than the 1% you get at Discover (which is slightly over 1% if you redeem for a gift card).

Its still a way better deal at Southwest than at say, United. You've got to spend about $12,500 to get 12,500 miles ... and then its iffy if you will get a free one-way ticket. Unlikely it will be a $175 ticket. So you might have to spend $25,000 to get a free one-way that might be worth $200. Less than 1% cash back ... so the answer is obvious (Southwest beats United, Discover beats United).

There might be occasion where United or American might be the better flight choice. A really low fare (say $200) for cross-country, where you get a lot more miles than you would get Southwest points, would suggest considering United. But, remember it takes a lot more miles than points to get a free ticket. And you have those pesky bag and change fees to factor in (bag fee might be waived with the credit card). Depends how often you are making the cross-country flight and who is ultimately paying for the trip (you vs. employer).

Now ... people do report amazing deals sometimes ... 36k miles on American for either one-way or round trip to Europe. If you want to roll the dice on that and you get it ... cool. But, that is more uncertainty than the Southwest program (is the ticket for low points really going to be available when you want to go and can go?)

I'd say ... fly with United and American when you have to. UA/AA if you are going to Manchester, England, SWA if you are going to Manchester, NH, for example.

You've also got to assign some value to the fact that with Southwest, if you cancel a flight booked on points, you get a 100% refund with no charges. Can't do that with any other airline. And, of course there is Companion Pass if you can get it and keep it. Companion Pass pretty much seals the deal because if it is even close between SWA and somebody else, when you double the deal at SWA, there is no way anybody else can compete.

So bottom line -- was it a devaluation? Yes.

Was the devaluation such that it changed how and where you should charge and who you should fly with? Seems to be generally no, although there might be a few limited exceptions. I think most of those exceptions were out there before the devaluation.
Wouldn't you be way better off using something like the Barclaycard Arrival+?

The $10,477 you reference spending would give you $209.54 for the 2% back, then another 10% bonus upon redemption for travel. This seems to put you way ahead since your expense referenced is $169.50 and you can still get Southwest point anyway by booking through their website.

Last edited by penguintalk; Jun 21, 2015 at 3:48 pm
penguintalk is offline  
Old Jun 22, 2015, 5:54 am
  #530  
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Programs: IHG Spire Elite; Hyatt Platinum; SPG Preferred+; Club Carlson Gold; SW CP
Posts: 674
Originally Posted by penguintalk
Wouldn't you be way better off using something like the Barclaycard Arrival+?

The $10,477 you reference spending would give you $209.54 for the 2% back, then another 10% bonus upon redemption for travel. This seems to put you way ahead since your expense referenced is $169.50 and you can still get Southwest point anyway by booking through their website.
Yes, it makes a lot more sense to compare to Arrival+ or Citi Double Cash than Discover.
meecal is offline  


Contact Us - Manage Preferences - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.