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Search: Posts Made By: BearX220
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Today, 9:31 am
Replies: 16
Views: 1,190
Posted By BearX220

The longer MD-11 is more unstable than the DC-10...

The longer MD-11 is more unstable than the DC-10 in many respects. The 11 has a tendency to porpoise in flight and needs a lot of tending / corrective inputs.
Today, 8:00 am
Replies: 16
Views: 1,190
Posted By BearX220

There was an excellent account of the DC10's...

There was an excellent account of the DC10's flawed design process published with an unfortunately lurid title, "Destination Disaster." The book is better than you'd think. It's built around the THY...
Forum: Trip Reports
Yesterday, 3:44 pm
Replies: 25
Views: 3,069
Posted By BearX220

Indeed. While some of the cuts are plausibly...

Indeed. While some of the cuts are plausibly related to hygiene factors (no brewed coffee), others just seem opportunistic. I see nothing stopping AC from handing out sealed amenity kits and sealed...
Forum: TravelBuzz
May 24, 20, 8:56 am
Replies: 53
Views: 3,404
Posted By BearX220

200,000 dead is what you'd have if three fully...

200,000 dead is what you'd have if three fully loaded 737-800s crashed every day for a year. In such a case I expect you'd think twice about flying, and hopefully look askance at people yelping that...
May 22, 20, 12:32 pm
Replies: 35
Views: 3,337
Posted By BearX220

The only opportunities for profitable hub...

The only opportunities for profitable hub expansion are abandoned ex-hubs like PIT and MEM. That would take money AA has not got, ands fly in the face of the industry-wide hunch that all networks...
May 20, 20, 2:46 pm
Replies: 35
Views: 4,621
Posted By BearX220

And door to door? Pre-COVID I flew ORD-CLE...

And door to door?

Pre-COVID I flew ORD-CLE lot for work. Takeoff to touchdown: about 55 minutes. Actual total transit time, my apartment in Chicago to the client's front door in NE Ohio? Five or...
May 20, 20, 12:49 pm
Replies: 35
Views: 4,621
Posted By BearX220

If you are doing a trip of < 500m or so -- e.g. a...

If you are doing a trip of < 500m or so -- e.g. a day's drive -- I don't know why you wouldn't opt for driving over flying, given the latter's current health risks and hassle factors. Regardless of...
Forum: TravelBuzz
May 20, 20, 7:06 am
Replies: 53
Views: 3,404
Posted By BearX220

I would not characterize prudent precautions in...

I would not characterize prudent precautions in the face of yawning unknowns as "panic."



Public perception matters more. This morning's Johns Hopkins data (US only): 1,528,661 cases, 91,938...
Forum: TravelBuzz
May 19, 20, 8:02 am
Replies: 53
Views: 3,404
Posted By BearX220

People don't buy exit row seats for the crash...

People don't buy exit row seats for the crash survival margin. They want another couple inches of legroom, that's all. It's a comfort play, not a safety / health play.
Forum: TravelBuzz
May 18, 20, 6:38 pm
Replies: 53
Views: 3,404
Posted By BearX220

It would be culturally unacceptable to position...

It would be culturally unacceptable to position health safety as a premium perk and associate the tickets most people can afford with heightened risk.
May 18, 20, 3:11 pm
Replies: 42
Views: 3,919
Posted By BearX220

It's a measure of the generally dire state of...

It's a measure of the generally dire state of relationships between travel providers and customers, as well as the surreal POV and priorities of FlyerTalkLand, that we can literally be living through...
May 18, 20, 7:14 am
Replies: 19
Views: 3,089
Posted By BearX220

2023 earliest, if ever.

2023 earliest, if ever.
May 12, 20, 1:18 pm
Replies: 262
Views: 48,011
Posted By BearX220

The landscape has obviously changed utterly in...

The landscape has obviously changed utterly in six months. Now the airlines have to come up with inducements to get people back in planes. It's the very opposite of Kirbyworld.
May 8, 20, 7:25 am
Replies: 26
Views: 4,777
Posted By BearX220

Looks like the nacelle hit a car, not a...

Looks like the nacelle hit a car, not a comparatively flimsy person.
May 7, 20, 6:11 am
Replies: 35
Views: 3,274
Posted By BearX220

It's amazing how such influential, allegedly...

It's amazing how such influential, allegedly smart executives can be so weak on dynamic analysis. Drop JFK, then lose tons of contract business signed in LA to DL, B6, and AA because people in the...
Forum: Cruises
May 7, 20, 6:04 am
Replies: 207
Views: 16,441
Posted By BearX220

Over and above personal health risk, people now...

Over and above personal health risk, people now have to consider whether they want to support corporations that act this way. I suspect one aftereffect of COVID-19 will be a revolution in...
Forum: Cruises
May 7, 20, 5:59 am
Replies: 37
Views: 1,905
Posted By BearX220

Every public opinion survey over the last month...

Every public opinion survey over the last month shows the cohort that pooh-poohs coronavirus and wants to get back to "living their lives" is a very small minority. Most people prioritize getting the...
Forum: Cruises
May 7, 20, 5:56 am
Replies: 37
Views: 1,905
Posted By BearX220

You of all people, with your knowledge of the...

You of all people, with your knowledge of the airline business, should know that load factor is no mark of profitability. Huge chunks of distressed cabin inventory were sold off at deep discounts, or...
Forum: Cruises
May 6, 20, 8:17 am
Replies: 207
Views: 16,441
Posted By BearX220

Many lines stand so accused. They allegedly lied...

Many lines stand so accused. They allegedly lied not only to passengers and crews but various national health authorities and the WHO.



For the past year or two I have been gently trying to...
Forum: Cruises
May 6, 20, 8:07 am
Replies: 37
Views: 1,905
Posted By BearX220

At this point the percentage of avid, habitual...

At this point the percentage of avid, habitual cruise passengers willing to risk COVID exposure by sailing is probably trivial. The rest of the addressable market currently equates cruising with...
May 6, 20, 6:11 am
Replies: 35
Views: 3,274
Posted By BearX220

Silly basis for long-term planning, but even so,...

Silly basis for long-term planning, but even so, NYC cases are falling right now. You want to isolate a market for COVID surges? Cut off MSY, DTW, ORD, and maybe all of Texas. Point is, all current...
May 2, 20, 2:18 pm
Replies: 541
Views: 123,652
Posted By BearX220

What I am hearing from a source at a different...

What I am hearing from a source at a different airline who nonetheless has access to UA documents leaked by employees to OAL friends:

All 777s parked, older ones permanently, with the possibility...
May 1, 20, 9:38 am
Replies: 137
Views: 20,109
Posted By BearX220

BA isn't the only major network carrier that...

BA isn't the only major network carrier that operated over the past 10-20 years as if public opinion and customer relationships did not matter, and now finds itself abashed by its low store of public...
Apr 30, 20, 12:01 pm
Replies: 137
Views: 20,109
Posted By BearX220

We subsidize armies and navies when they're not...

We subsidize armies and navies when they're not needed for years at a time. We subsidize a whole range of national emergency services between emergencies.

In the US, airlines do double duty as...
Apr 26, 20, 6:13 am
Replies: 26
Views: 2,054
Posted By BearX220

Reflagging is common practice across the...

Reflagging is common practice across the industry, and there are plenty of reflafgged HGIs, Hamptons, Hiltons, etc. Doubletree has gained a rep as the flag they hang on properties added to the system...
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