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Search: Posts Made By: Kgmm77
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Forum: DiningBuzz
Yesterday, 6:13 pm
Replies: 856
Views: 88,862
Posted By Kgmm77

Paco & Lola Albariño and M Runkel Spatburgunder....

Paco & Lola Albariño and M Runkel Spatburgunder. Both excellent.
Mar 4, 21, 5:59 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

If we’re talking about proof....

If we’re talking about proof....
Forum: DiningBuzz
Mar 1, 21, 12:30 pm
Replies: 42
Views: 1,645
Posted By Kgmm77

I compost them, but now we’re both working from...

I compost them, but now we’re both working from home we’re going through a kilo every 10 days, my wife is worried it’s unbalancing the compost. So we’re putting some directly into the flower beds in...
Mar 1, 21, 5:02 am
Replies: 908
Views: 129,817
Posted By Kgmm77

Sadly the proposed data sharing of the Irish PLF...

Sadly the proposed data sharing of the Irish PLF form to NI authorities (and vice versa) seems to have gone nowhere, despite the signing of an MoU between both public health authorities last year. I...
Feb 28, 21, 6:41 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

Because as has been found repeatedly over the...

Because as has been found repeatedly over the last 12 months, hospitalisations are a lag indicator, 2-4 weeks in arrears, and if you decide on that basis, it’s too late. Even deciding on case...
Feb 27, 21, 8:39 pm
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

I neither have the data on which the models were...

I neither have the data on which the models were built, nor do I have sufficient data to test their performance. And I’m not an epidemiologist. Nor is he. But feel free to knock yourself out on his...
Feb 27, 21, 7:55 pm
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

Not necessarily. My modelling experience isn’t in...

Not necessarily. My modelling experience isn’t in the medical field, but models are rarely dynamically updated, and particularly when performance is above expectations. You certainly should be...
Feb 27, 21, 7:32 pm
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

It should be going better than the prediction,...

It should be going better than the prediction, hence the conservatism in the assumptions. This does not imply the original plan is either flawed or invalid. Further the use of a loaded word such as...
Feb 27, 21, 7:09 pm
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

Thats somewhat irrelevant. The idea that exit...

Thats somewhat irrelevant. The idea that exit from restrictions should be somehow planned on anything other than a conservative basis, is quite frankly repugnant coming from a MP of the party that...
Feb 27, 21, 6:50 pm
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

”Pessimistic”, ROFL.... Thankfully most people...

”Pessimistic”, ROFL.... Thankfully most people don’t get their medical advice from a failed accountant.

The word he was looking for was “conservative” (ironically). The reason it has to be...
Feb 25, 21, 2:27 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

The “exit” doesn’t come with the development of a...

The “exit” doesn’t come with the development of a vaccine, it comes when herd immunity is achieved through successful delivery. And given the interest in international travel in this parish,...
Feb 24, 21, 12:48 pm
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

It seems to me all the Government/scientific...

It seems to me all the Government/scientific advisors are “guilty” of doing is planning on a conservative set of assumptions that mean the downside risk (not hitting the target) is smaller than the...
Feb 24, 21, 11:15 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

The EU vaccine acquisition strategy has certainly...

The EU vaccine acquisition strategy has certainly been a shambles, with the usual fiscal conservatives, including Germany, very much to blame by refusing to pay up to secure early slots and trying to...
Feb 23, 21, 6:33 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

But they did suggest the YouGov poll was somehow...

But they did suggest the YouGov poll was somehow flawed or nor representative. It may well be, and people can be fickle, but my point was simply that’s it’s a lot more relevant barometer than...
Feb 23, 21, 5:33 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

I’d argue that a bunch of people on a frequent...

I’d argue that a bunch of people on a frequent flyer website are always going to be more in favour of the Government facilitating travel than the population at large, simply because they travel more....
Feb 22, 21, 5:04 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

You need only look at some of the threads from...

You need only look at some of the threads from last year pre-latest lockdown. E.g. people using every available ruse last summer to avoid mask wearing when travelling, for example.

As I saw...
Feb 22, 21, 4:04 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

Isn’t it as likely to be the other way around?...

Isn’t it as likely to be the other way around? Restrictions imposed by the UK Government on outbound travel until other nations have vaccinated sufficient numbers to control spread and reduce the...
Feb 21, 21, 10:37 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

Stagflation combines stagnant growth with...

Stagflation combines stagnant growth with inflation. It requires both. Hence the portmanteau.

Could inflation rise? Possibly, but it hasn’t been a byproduct of all of the quantitative easing of...
Feb 21, 21, 9:10 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

I think I have a fair grasp of it, yes. Have...

I think I have a fair grasp of it, yes.

Have you got your own set of price indices that nobody else has access to? The ones I look at don’t have anything resembling inflationary numbers for the...
Feb 21, 21, 8:43 am
Replies: 2,014
Views: 104,113
Posted By Kgmm77

Then it isn’t stagflation :confused: If the...

Then it isn’t stagflation :confused:

If the UK is one of the first large countries to achieve herd immunity through vaccination (as looks likely), it will actually be under pressure to restrict...
Forum: DiningBuzz
Feb 18, 21, 5:41 pm
Replies: 856
Views: 88,862
Posted By Kgmm77

Another Zoom tasting, this time with Chester...

Another Zoom tasting, this time with Chester Osborn, proprietor of the pretty well known D'Arenberg wines from McLaren Vale in South Australia. A comprehensive tasting of 7 wines (out of the 76 [!]...
Forum: DiningBuzz
Feb 13, 21, 4:06 pm
Replies: 856
Views: 88,862
Posted By Kgmm77

Mendel Finca Remota Malbec 2010. Our last bottle...

Mendel Finca Remota Malbec 2010. Our last bottle from a 2014 trip to Mendoza. A really smooth Malbec, softened by age, yet with great depth, paired well with surf (Langoustine and crab claws) and...
Feb 9, 21, 4:44 am
Replies: 69
Views: 9,471
Posted By Kgmm77

Any chance this military fetishism could be taken...

Any chance this military fetishism could be taken to a more appropriate place?
Forum: DiningBuzz
Feb 5, 21, 4:11 pm
Replies: 856
Views: 88,862
Posted By Kgmm77

Thats interesting, I’ve not got to that level of...

Thats interesting, I’ve not got to that level of detail between different spicy foods, we’ll rarely have a Riesling or Gewürztraminer, we’ll pick whatever is there, but the Loire Sauvignon would be...
Forum: DiningBuzz
Feb 5, 21, 4:06 pm
Replies: 856
Views: 88,862
Posted By Kgmm77

Somewhat eclectic online tasting with 6 wines,...

Somewhat eclectic online tasting with 6 wines, writing this before my memories fade into the ether.

2 whites, 4 reds.
Cullerot, Celler del Roure, 2019 - Valencia, a white blend of verdil, pedro...
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