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Thanksgiving premium fare discussion

Old Oct 28, 2014, 2:19 pm
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Last edit by: 18sas
This thread is to discuss the historically annual premium class fare sales that occur for travel (mostly TATL) during the US Thanksgiving holiday period.

FAQ

Q: When is Thanksgiving? What travel dates are covered in the Thanksgiving Day sales?
A: Thanksgiving in the United States is observed on the 4th Thursday of November.

The week of Thanksgiving and the weekend after are considered to be the busiest period for US domestic air travel due to large numbers of people traveling to spend the holiday with loved ones. As a result business travel demand, especially for international business travel, is unusually weak. This drop in demand is believed to be the origin for the Thanksgiving holiday international business class fares.

Typically these fares are offered for travel outbound from the US in the period from the Sunday before to the day after Thanksgiving. Return travel is usually valid for the day after Thanksgiving to the following Wednesday.

Q: When do the Thanksgiving fare sales start?
A: Sometime in the summer with an average start date of Aug 4.
The first reports, by year, posted on the message boards of Thanksgiving holiday sales are as follows:

2015: Jul 25**
2014: Aug 9
2013: Jun 18
2012: Jul 11
2011: Aug 8
2010: Aug 18
2009: Aug 11
2008: Jul 2
2007: Sep 22

**In 2015, on Sep 30 OW initiated a very brief 2nd round of discounted fares. It only lasted about 18 hours.

Q: How good are the Thanksgiving sales? What are some typical prices?
A: Many times the Thanksgiving airfare deals are the lowest TATL premium class fares offered the entire calendar year.

The lowest prices reported to the board each year are as follows:

Note: All prices from here on out are all-in round-trip/return prices in J unless otherwise noted.
2015: $1608 NYC-LIS on OW
2014: $1625 JFK-MAD on a combination of US/AY. Sample dates: 11/27-12/02
2013: $1400~ NYC-LHR/DUB/MAN on UA/DL/AF/KL
2012: $854 EWR-DUB on US
2011: $1380 NYC-DUB on *A
2010: $1272 EWR-LHR on CO
2009: $1309 EWR-OSL on CO
2008: $1560 PIT-FRA on AA
2007: $1100~ EWR-ZRH on UA


Some other notable deals reported:

2015
$1795 NYC-LIS on ST

2014
$1700 JFK-ARN on AY
$1800 JFK-BCN/MAD on ST/OW
$1940 MIA-MAD/MAD-JFK on OW/*A
$1950 MCI-MAD/BCN on OW
$2050 EWR-OSL/ARN on *A
$2000-$2100 BOS-MAD/ARN
$2074-$2120 MIA-MAD/BCN on ST/OW/*A
$2088 BOS-MAD
$2100 NYC-OSL on ST
$2157 DFW-MAD on OW
$2800 LAX/SFO-MAD/BCN

2013
$1417 JFK-LHR/DUB-JFK on ST
$1444 PHL-FRA/MUC on US
$1448 JFK-LHR/LIS-JFK on ST
$1486 EWR-BRU on *A (+9W)
$1500 JFK-LHR on VS
$1514 JFK-LHR/BCN-JFK on ST
$1519 JFK-LHR/MAD-JFK on ST
$1537 JFK-LHR/BSL-JFK on ST
$1539 JFK-LHR/GVA-JFK on ST
$1544 JFK-LHR/BRU-JFK on ST
$1563 JFK-LHR/DUB-BOS (booked Oct 30)
$1600+ NYC-FRA/MUC/VIE/GVA on *A
$1612 JFK-LON (booked Sep 19)
$1613 NYC-LHR on *A
$1629 JFK-BCN
$1673 EWR-AMS (booked Jun 30)
$1753 LGA-AMS on *A
$1900 RSW-LIS/CPH/LHR/OSL on *A
$1965 JFK-CDG on ST
$1986 BOS-VIE on *A (booked Sep 15)
$2025 IAH-LHR on OW/ST/*A
$2050 NYC-IST
$2115 JFK-MLA on *A?
$2120 AGS-LHR/AMS-SFO on ST
$2200-$2300 LAX/SFO/SEA-???
$2237 IAD-FCO on *A
$2344 MIA-LED on ST
$2400~ DEN-TXL on *A
$2464~ SFO-LHR
$2500-2600 LAS-LHR/CDG
$2566 SAN-AMS on ST
$2605 LAX-CDG on ST
$3000~ ORD-LHR on *A in F
$3663 SFO-LHR in F
$3666 SFO-LHR on UA in F

2012
$1050 BOS-DUB on *A
$1085 LGA-MAD on *A
$1250 JFK-LHR on VS
$1270 ORD-DUB on *A
$1659 JFK-BRU on *A/ST
$1696 AGS-LHR/AMS-JFK on *A/ST
$1754 BOS-LHR on ST/VS
$1936 LAX/SFO(?)-MAD
$1960 RDU-FCO on ST
$1977 RST-LHR on ST
$2000- AGS/BHM/CAE/CHA/GSP/SAV-LHR on ST
$2000+ LAX/SFO(?)-FCO/CDG/ATH
$2100~ MSY-OSL on ST
$2300~ SFO-LHR/FRA on *A
$2427 CMH-LHR on OW in F
$2540 JFK-IST on ST
$2571 ATL-LHR on ST
$2662 BOS-IST on ST? (booked Jul 31)
$3600 LAX-LHR on *A in F

2011
$1400 JFK-LHR/BRU/CDG on ST
$1414 JFK-BRU on OW
$1475 EWR-LHR on *A
$1491 JFK-BCN on OW
$1500- NYC-BRU/CDG/LIS/MAD/FRA/DUB/AMS/VIE/MAN/OSL/SNN/GVA/CPH/MUC on *A
$1650 EWR-FCO on *A
$1668 IAD-CDG on *A
$1700 IAH-DUB on *A
$1717 DCA-MAD on OW
$1860 CMH-MAD on *A
$1900 WAS-LHR on UA
$1907 BNA-BCN on ST
$2035 FNT-FCO on ST
$2033 BNA-FCO on ST
$2258 LAX/SAN-BRU on ST
$2285~ DEN/LAX/SFO-LHR on *A
$2297 SFO-MUC on OW
$2400 JFK-MUC on *A in F
$2916 WAS-LHR on *A in F
$3640 SFO-LHR on *A in F
$3740~ SFO-FRA/MUC on *A in F
$4000~ LAX-LHR on *A in F
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Thanksgiving premium fare discussion

Old Sep 12, 2016, 8:35 am
  #286  
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
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Originally Posted by elonepb
Starting to get a little worried that no fares for Thanksgiving are popping up. It actually seems like it's cheaper to fly TO the US for Thanksgiving than out of it, which is a little boggling.

I am 100% locked for Thanksgiving in Florence (Mom lives there). Does anyone have any recent historical perspective on whether I can expect the fares to show a little movement in the next month or two?
I saw Toronto-Serbia for around a $1000 - but don't if works during for your dates...
HeidiInTheAlps is offline  
Old Sep 12, 2016, 10:49 am
  #287  
 
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Originally Posted by elonepb
Starting to get a little worried that no fares for Thanksgiving are popping up. It actually seems like it's cheaper to fly TO the US for Thanksgiving than out of it, which is a little boggling.

I am 100% locked for Thanksgiving in Florence (Mom lives there). Does anyone have any recent historical perspective on whether I can expect the fares to show a little movement in the next month or two?
There's YYZ-IST-MXP (TK) for 2,016cad on flighthub.ca, if you're interested. Although, you need to position yourself.
zoqfotpik is offline  
Old Sep 12, 2016, 11:24 am
  #288  
 
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I wouldn't worry - do you think airlines like to fly empty planes?

Having said that, be prepared with a Plan B, and be flexible on airlines and departure cities. I once had to reposition to JFK to take advantage of a super BA F deal (in my mind) during Thanksgiving.
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Old Sep 12, 2016, 11:26 am
  #289  
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Consider Thanksgiving in Korea.
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Old Sep 15, 2016, 6:12 pm
  #290  
 
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DFW-MAD is J0 2 months out (nov 18). Sounds like they're doing just fine without sales.
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Old Sep 15, 2016, 6:30 pm
  #291  
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Originally Posted by shgroamer
DFW-MAD is J0 2 months out (nov 18). Sounds like they're doing just fine without sales.
The sold it to the Europeans for $1000
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Old Sep 15, 2016, 7:46 pm
  #292  
 
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I'm praying for a $1.4K R/T J tix from SEA to Europe.
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Old Sep 15, 2016, 9:18 pm
  #293  
 
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Originally Posted by Jimgotkp
I'm praying for a $1.4K R/T J tix from SEA to Europe.
At this point I don't see it happening.

There are so many quotes from "The Princess Bride" that can be applied to daily life.

Today's application - "Get used to disappointment."
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Old Sep 15, 2016, 9:43 pm
  #294  
 
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Originally Posted by shgroamer
DFW-MAD is J0 2 months out (nov 18). Sounds like they're doing just fine without sales.
Sorry, but that seems like a cherry picked statistic. Practically all other days are J9. Besides the traditional Thanksgiving sales cover travel beginning on the Sunday before Thanksgiving (see the FAQ), which is Nov 20.

There are sales right now. For example, NYC>XXX Thanskgiving fares were released in late July. It's just that the "sales" this time are $2500, which is a good bit above what we've seen in the past and therefore not really notable.

All this being said, it is extremely late based on historical data for them to initiate the deep Thanksgiving discounts that we've been accustomed to. Earlier sales also usually started off with 50 day Adv Purchase, and we're rapidly closing in on that date.

Doesn't mean it won't happen, but Magic 8 Ball says "OUTLOOK NOT SO GOOD."
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Old Sep 15, 2016, 10:18 pm
  #295  
 
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I know a cheap one ex-YYZ for only $1,000!

https://goo.gl/flights/lskh



Kidding aside, here's something that works if you can position in YYZ.

YYZ-MXP for under $1,700
https://goo.gl/flights/7rTq

Save another $100~ if you book via flighthub.ca

Edit: here's the booking link from flighthub that shows $1,558usd
https://www.flighthub.com/checkout/b...e6ea61a0ad8761

Last edited by Pat89339; Sep 16, 2016 at 12:50 am Reason: Consecutive posts
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Old Nov 24, 2018, 8:40 am
  #296  
 
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Ahh those Thanksgiving fares are now so gone. Nothing came up this year. Then there are random sales around Thanksgiving but no more super cheap travel to Europe for Thanksgiving.
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Old Nov 24, 2018, 9:15 am
  #297  
 
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Originally Posted by af fp
Ahh those Thanksgiving fares are now so gone. Nothing came up this year. Then there are random sales around Thanksgiving but no more super cheap travel to Europe for Thanksgiving.
Quality bump.
flytoeat likes this.
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