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Ethiopian Airlines: Boeing 737 Max 8 crashes on way to Kenya [ET302 ADD-NBO 10MAR19]

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Old Mar 13, 2019, 10:20 am
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Boeing 737 MAX 8 ET 302 registration ET-AVJ from Addis Ababa (Ethiopia) to Nairobi (Kenya) with 149 passengers and 8 crew, was lost 10 March 2019 shortly after takeoff at 08:44L (05:44Z). There were no survivors.

Boeing 737 MAX 8 registration ET-AVJ performing flight ET-302 from Addis Ababa (Ethiopia) to Nairobi (Kenya) with 149 passengers and 8 crew, departed Addis Ababa's runway 07R and was climbing out of Addis Ababa when the aircraft levelled off at about 9000 feet MSL, radar contact was lost shortly after at 08:44L (05:44Z). The aircraft wreckage was found near Ejere at approximate position N8.8772 E39.2512. No survivors were found.

In a subsequent press conference on Mar 10th 2019 Ethiopian Airlines reported the crew reported difficulties and requested a return to Addis Ababa. The captain was with Ethiopian Airlines for 9 years and had about 8000 hours of flight experience, a first officer with 200 flight hours assisted, there were 35 nationalities amongst the 149 passengers. The crash site appears to be consistent with a steep dive, the aircraft is right inside the ground. The aircraft had undergone last "rigorous first check maintenance" on Feb 4th 2019. The aircraft had last operated to and from Johannesburg (South Africa) arriving back in Addis Ababa in the morning of Mar 10th 2019 before departing for the accident flight.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.
The incident appeared similar to the 29 October 2018 crash of Lion Air 610, operated by a B38M.

Indonesian carrier Lion Air Flight 610 on October 29 crashed into the sea soon after takeoff with the loss of all aboard, apparently due to the erroneous data from a faulty Angle of Attack sensor, which caused the MCAS (Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System) to assume the plane was about to stall, which activated the downward force on the Stabilizer Trim to get the nose down. Link to BBC article.

This aircraft had been written up as having a faulty AOA indicator for previous flights it had taken. It is unclear if Lion Air had performed adequate maintenance procedures after the reports or withdraw the aircraft from service until the fault could be completely cleared.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.

“Instead of switching off the Stabilizer Trim the pilots appear to have battled the system.” Link
Boeing 737 MAX and MCAS: See “What is the Boeing 737 MAX Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System?”, updated November 17 to explain the MCAS and electric trim override operation, here: link.

Boeing has stated a revised MCAS is in the works, and the FAA is expected to issue an AD note when the MCAS update is done. This is expected to occur in early April, 2019.

355 B38M deliveries have been carried out through 1 March 2019, out of 5,123 orders. Link to Wikipedia B38M list of Airlines, orders and deliveries.
Ethiopian Airlines ordered 25 Boeing 737 MAX 8 (B38M) and at the time of the crash of ET 302 on 10 March 2019. ET also operates 10 Boeing 737-700 and 16 Boeing 737-800 aircraft as part of its fleet.

Ethiopian Airlines is the flag carrier of Ethiopia, and commenced operations on 8 April 1946, expanding to international flights in 1951. The firm became a share company in 1965 and changed its name from Ethiopian Air Lines to Ethiopian Airlines. The airline has been a member of the International Air Transport Association since 1959 and of the African Airlines Association (AFRAA) since 1968. Ethiopian is a Star Alliance member, having joined in December 2011.

As of November 2017, the carrier served 105 international and 20 domestic passenger destinations and 44 cargo destinations. Ethiopian serves more destinations in Africa than any other airline. Ethiopian Airlines’ fleet consists of 106 aircraft.

- Wikipedia (link)
7 Nov 2018: The US Federal Aviation Administration / FAA issued an Airworthiness Directive (AD note) covering the AOA within a few days, giving US carriers 30 days to comply with the AD note.

6 Nov 2018: Boeing issued revised operating instructions covering the revised MCAS used in the MAX 8, updating the MAX operations manual. See the manual update and the switches referenced. See Aviation Herald discussion for information.

10 March 2019: ET 302, operated by Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX 8 ET-AVJ departing Addis Ababa to Nairobi turned back to the airport soon after takeoff, but crashed with the loss of all aboard.

Link to BBC article.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.

11 March 2019: The US National Transportation Board / NTSB has dispatched an investigation team, as have Boeing, to Addis Ababa to assist the Ethiopian investigators in determining the cause(s) of the crash. The “black boxes” (cockpit voice and the flight data recorder have been recovered.

11 March 2019: Ethiopian Airlines announced airline both “black boxes” - the cockpit voice recorder and the flight data recorder are recovered.

11 Mar 2019: China grounded its 737 MAX 8 (not MAX 9) fleet, and a number of countries have followed suit on 12 March 2019, including the United Kingdom and the European Union.Link to New York Times article.

11 March 2019: The US FAA stated it would not ground US (AA, UA, WN) 737 MAX aircraft at this time.

Link to FAA Airworthiness Notification for USA registered B38M aircraft PDF.

Link to Wall Street Journal article.

12 March 2019: The USA and Canada are the only countries allowing the B38M to remain in operation.

13 March 2019: Ethiopian Airlines CEO Tewolde Gebremariam requests grounding of all B38M aircraft until the cause(s) of the crash of ET 302 is learned.

13 March 2019: Canada grounds Canadian B38Ms and bans B38M departures, arrivals and overflights.

13 March 2019: All USA operated Boeing 737 MAX -8 and -9 aircraft are grounded by US Federal Aviation Administration emergency order. At this time, all 737 MAX 8 are grounded until further notice.

14 March 2019: It is announced the French BEA will retrieve the data from the Ethiopian Cockpit Voice Recorder and Flight Data Recorder.

Link to Eight things you might not know about black boxes
By Cristen Tilley, ABC Australia

15 March 2019: Aircraft manufactured Boeing plans to roll out a software upgrade for its 737 Max aircraft in 10 days. The US FAA is expected to sign off on the anti-stall modification to the MAX software 25 March. CNBC

17 Mar 2019: The French BEA stated the Flight Data Recorder data have been given to the Ethiopian Investigation Team. Borpth CVR and FDR “black boxes” have been downloaded and turned over to investigators.

17 Mar 2019 the Ethiopian Transport Minister said: "Recently, the FDR and CVR of Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 have been successfully read out. Our experts and US experts have verified the accuracy of the information. The Ethiopian government accepted the information, and the cause of the crash is similar to the Indonesian Flight 610. A preliminary reported will be published in a month with a detailed analysis. We are grateful to the French Government for its ongoing support." - Aviation Herald

17 Mar 2019 Ethiopian Airlines Twitter Account (Link) posted "The total flying time of the First Officer is 350 hours. Moreover, the Pilot in command is a senior pilot who has accumulated 8,100 hours. According to ICAO regulations any CPL holder can act as F/O in multi engine jet commercial flight up on successful completion of the full Type Rating training on the type of A/C. According to ICAO, it only requires a maximum of 200HRs to hold CPL. Ethiopean airlines in its effort to enhance safety established a crew pairing policy where by a less experienced F/O flies only with highly experienced Capt and vice versa".

17 Mar 2019: “Ethiopian transport minister Dagmawit Moge told reporters on Sunday that an evaluation of the black boxes from Ethiopian Airlines Flight ET302 and Lion Air Flight JT610 showed "clear similarities." - Link to Business Insider article.

18 Mar 2019: Aviation Herald learns new information of ET 302 departure routing and airport communication, and the possibility MAX simulator training and inclusion of training relating to MCAS and the JT 610 lessons learned may not have reached all ET cockpit crew due to the simulator training requirements of six month periodicity. Link.

19 Mar 2019: The Secretary if the US Department of Transportation, of which the Federal Aviation Administration is part of, has requested the Inspector General conduct a formal audit “to compile an objective and detailed factual history of the activities that resulted in the certification of the Boeing 737-MAX 8 aircraft” as part of an ongoing review of factors related to the MAX aviation certification. Link

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Ethiopian Airlines: Boeing 737 Max 8 crashes on way to Kenya [ET302 ADD-NBO 10MAR19]

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Old Mar 23, 2019, 3:43 am
  #346  
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Originally Posted by LTN Phobia
I would still want to ask the question of aerodynamic appropriateness regardless of whether the AoA sensor issues and software mods are made (and still question whether that's appropriate too).
+1. Regardless how this sad situation ultimately plays out, there will be lots of people (myself included) who are likely to try very hard to avoid flying on the 737 MAX for a long time.
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Old Mar 23, 2019, 7:02 am
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Originally Posted by LTN Phobia
I guess they'll run out of parking space, seek special permissions to ferry them to another airport with parking space, and meanwhile if it looks to drag on, they'd need to slow down the production line.

I would still want to ask the question of aerodynamic appropriateness regardless of whether the AoA sensor issues and software mods are made (and still question whether that's appropriate too).
I saw a report that showed planes parked in front of the plant on the Lake Washington side. There's also a good bit of space at BFI and PAE. There are also a few airports around the Puget Sound region where they could park aircraft. Though security might be an issue.
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Old Mar 23, 2019, 7:05 am
  #348  
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Originally Posted by R2
there will be lots of people (myself included) who are likely to try very hard to avoid flying on the 737 MAX for a long time.
Please do.

I'm all for anything that increases my chances of a vacant adjacent seat.

Johan
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Old Mar 23, 2019, 8:27 am
  #349  
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Originally Posted by LTN Phobia
I guess they'll run out of parking space, seek special permissions to ferry them to another airport with parking space, and meanwhile if it looks to drag on, they'd need to slow down the production line.

I would still want to ask the question of aerodynamic appropriateness regardless of whether the AoA sensor issues and software mods are made (and still question whether that's appropriate too).
The last thing Boeing wants to do is slow down the production line @:-) That would have dire consequences or all sorts of them ....

They did not slow down the 787 line when it was grounded, and that was MONTHS I think Boeing believes they can get the MAX flying again in a few weeks; then again, they were not making 50+ 787s a month.

From a couple or so of the UA pilots who have posted in UA forum's 737 MAX grounded thread this plane is safe to fly if you know how to disengage MCAS, so it appears that re-positioning these frames *should* be safe.
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Old Mar 23, 2019, 9:04 am
  #350  
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Originally Posted by R2
+1. Regardless how this sad situation ultimately plays out, there will be lots of people (myself included) who are likely to try very hard to avoid flying on the 737 MAX for a long time.
The plane is safe as long as the pilots are properly trained to fly it.
Originally Posted by EmailKid
From a couple or so of the UA pilots who have posted in UA forum's 737 MAX grounded thread this plane is safe to fly if you know how to disengage MCAS, so it appears that re-positioning these frames *should* be safe.
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Old Mar 24, 2019, 6:02 am
  #351  
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Originally Posted by TWA884
Still grossly inadequate.
I think maybe you are looking at this from the US piloting environment, where i understand flying hours quoted may include private log-books.

The hours quoted by ET will represent experience gained flying commercial aircraft. Easily one hundred take-offs and landings, backed up by hours of training and simulator work.

I'm not sure how you expect pilots to be introduced into commercial services.
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Old Mar 24, 2019, 7:44 am
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Me too, I will never knowingly fly a Max flight again - for the rest of my existence on this earth. Two crashes in less than a year on takeoff. They should just build a better plane, one that doesn't require pilots to re-train to keep it up in the air.
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Old Mar 24, 2019, 2:47 pm
  #353  
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Originally Posted by IAN-UK

I'm not sure how you expect pilots to be introduced into commercial services.
All commercial pilots have to start somewhere, but question under these specific circumstances (the MAX) where there is a known or suspected problem it might have been more cautious to have two very experienced pilots in case of any problems. Perhaps it wouldn't have made a difference. Or maybe maybe they could have moved the 350 hour pilot to a 'regular' 738 to build up hours.
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Old Mar 24, 2019, 4:06 pm
  #354  
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Originally Posted by LHR/MEL/Europe FF
.. under these specific circumstances (the MAX) where there is a known or suspected problem it might have been more cautious to have two very experienced pilots in case of any problems.

Once it has been acknowledged there is a problem with an aeroplane, it should be withdrawn from service until the problem is fully resolved. At the time of the Ethiopian crash there was no such acknowledgement.

At that time, Boeing was telling the world there was nothing wrong with its aircraft. There was no suggestion that it required two senior flight deck crew to pilot it: indeed such a suggestion would have been ludicrous.

It transpires that what was required was some kit to warn of rogue airspeed and angle of attack readings or (preferably, and) pilots instructed in how to manage the undisclosed idiosyncrasy of the flight management system. Sadly, Boeing offered the kit as an option to purchase, and decided not to burden pilots with the FMS instructions.
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Old Mar 24, 2019, 4:44 pm
  #355  
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Originally Posted by TWA884
The plane is safe as long as the pilots are properly trained to fly it.
That hopefully is the case. Now who defines what is 'properly trained'? According to Ethiopian Airlines CEO their pilots were trained as per Boeing recommendation and an FAA approved programme.

Ethiopian Airlines CEO Tewolde GebreMariam said the simulator the pilots trained on can't replicate the Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System (MCAS), a new automated feature on the 737 Max 8 planes that crash investigators are scrutinizing.
"As far as the training is concerned ... we've gone according to the Boeing recommendation and FAA-approved one. We are not expected to speculate or to imagine something that doesn't exist at all," GebreMariam said Saturday, rejecting previous media reports that the pilots of the ill-fated flight did not train to fly the new model of jet on a simulator. The airline said the simulator had been up and running since January.
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/03/23/b...ntl/index.html
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Old Mar 24, 2019, 5:28 pm
  #356  
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Originally Posted by R2
That hopefully is the case. Now who defines what is 'properly trained'? According to Ethiopian Airlines CEO their pilots were trained as per Boeing recommendation and an FAA approved programme.
Please allow me to quote one of our resident MAX pilots, @LarryJ, from another thread:
Originally Posted by LarryJ
The procedure is not the "MCAS deactivation procedure". It is the "runaway stabilizer" procedure. A variety of systems, and failures, can result in a runaway stabilizer; MCAS is only one of them. Because an unchecked runaway stabilizer can quickly lead to a loss of control, you don't waste time trying to diagnose the reason for the runaway. If you have a runaway, you disable the electric stab trim which stops it. Let the mechanics figure out the cause of the runaway after you land. The runaway stabilizer procedure is the correct actions regardless of the underlying cause of the runaway. Since the autopilot also operates the trim (when it is on), the procedure has you disconnect the autopilot as part of the procedure because a failure in the autopilot could potentially cause a runaway. We're talking here specifically about a runaway caused by MCAS so, in that case, the autopilot must already be off by definition
Seems to me like it is basic 737 piloting skills.
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Old Mar 24, 2019, 8:50 pm
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I have not read every last post on the subject but I wonder what happens when you turn of the stabilizer trim. Do things stay as they are or do the horizontal stabilizers return to a neutral position? The latter could result in a rapid stall and loss of control so I hope that it is the former so that the pilot can correct things manually.
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Old Mar 25, 2019, 7:04 am
  #358  
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Originally Posted by LHR/MEL/Europe FF
All commercial pilots have to start somewhere, but question under these specific circumstances (the MAX) where there is a known or suspected problem it might have been more cautious to have two very experienced pilots in case of any problems. Perhaps it wouldn't have made a difference. Or maybe maybe they could have moved the 350 hour pilot to a 'regular' 738 to build up hours.
But Boeing sold the MAX with the mantra that it's JUST LIKE a 738!
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Old Mar 26, 2019, 5:11 pm
  #359  
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Maybe or maybe not related but did anyone see this story today?

Looks like an empty SW MAX had some sort of take-off emergency on its way to storage and landed back at the airport.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/trave...ge/3281138002/
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Old Mar 27, 2019, 1:35 am
  #360  
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Even though Kenya suffered the most human loss from this tragedy, KQ is going ahead with their 737-800 Max order. Why? They say they have no other option. They are going to cross their fingers and hope that Boeing fixes all the problems.

https://www.monitor.co.ug/News/Natio...fse/index.html
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