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Ethiopian Airlines: Boeing 737 Max 8 crashes on way to Kenya [ET302 ADD-NBO 10MAR19]

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Old Mar 13, 2019, 10:20 am
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Last edit by: JDiver
Boeing 737 MAX 8 ET 302 registration ET-AVJ from Addis Ababa (Ethiopia) to Nairobi (Kenya) with 149 passengers and 8 crew, was lost 10 March 2019 shortly after takeoff at 08:44L (05:44Z). There were no survivors.

Boeing 737 MAX 8 registration ET-AVJ performing flight ET-302 from Addis Ababa (Ethiopia) to Nairobi (Kenya) with 149 passengers and 8 crew, departed Addis Ababa's runway 07R and was climbing out of Addis Ababa when the aircraft levelled off at about 9000 feet MSL, radar contact was lost shortly after at 08:44L (05:44Z). The aircraft wreckage was found near Ejere at approximate position N8.8772 E39.2512. No survivors were found.

In a subsequent press conference on Mar 10th 2019 Ethiopian Airlines reported the crew reported difficulties and requested a return to Addis Ababa. The captain was with Ethiopian Airlines for 9 years and had about 8000 hours of flight experience, a first officer with 200 flight hours assisted, there were 35 nationalities amongst the 149 passengers. The crash site appears to be consistent with a steep dive, the aircraft is right inside the ground. The aircraft had undergone last "rigorous first check maintenance" on Feb 4th 2019. The aircraft had last operated to and from Johannesburg (South Africa) arriving back in Addis Ababa in the morning of Mar 10th 2019 before departing for the accident flight.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.
The incident appeared similar to the 29 October 2018 crash of Lion Air 610, operated by a B38M.

Indonesian carrier Lion Air Flight 610 on October 29 crashed into the sea soon after takeoff with the loss of all aboard, apparently due to the erroneous data from a faulty Angle of Attack sensor, which caused the MCAS (Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System) to assume the plane was about to stall, which activated the downward force on the Stabilizer Trim to get the nose down. Link to BBC article.

This aircraft had been written up as having a faulty AOA indicator for previous flights it had taken. It is unclear if Lion Air had performed adequate maintenance procedures after the reports or withdraw the aircraft from service until the fault could be completely cleared.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.

“Instead of switching off the Stabilizer Trim the pilots appear to have battled the system.” Link
Boeing 737 MAX and MCAS: See “What is the Boeing 737 MAX Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System?”, updated November 17 to explain the MCAS and electric trim override operation, here: link.

Boeing has stated a revised MCAS is in the works, and the FAA is expected to issue an AD note when the MCAS update is done. This is expected to occur in early April, 2019.

355 B38M deliveries have been carried out through 1 March 2019, out of 5,123 orders. Link to Wikipedia B38M list of Airlines, orders and deliveries.
Ethiopian Airlines ordered 25 Boeing 737 MAX 8 (B38M) and at the time of the crash of ET 302 on 10 March 2019. ET also operates 10 Boeing 737-700 and 16 Boeing 737-800 aircraft as part of its fleet.

Ethiopian Airlines is the flag carrier of Ethiopia, and commenced operations on 8 April 1946, expanding to international flights in 1951. The firm became a share company in 1965 and changed its name from Ethiopian Air Lines to Ethiopian Airlines. The airline has been a member of the International Air Transport Association since 1959 and of the African Airlines Association (AFRAA) since 1968. Ethiopian is a Star Alliance member, having joined in December 2011.

As of November 2017, the carrier served 105 international and 20 domestic passenger destinations and 44 cargo destinations. Ethiopian serves more destinations in Africa than any other airline. Ethiopian Airlines’ fleet consists of 106 aircraft.

- Wikipedia (link)
7 Nov 2018: The US Federal Aviation Administration / FAA issued an Airworthiness Directive (AD note) covering the AOA within a few days, giving US carriers 30 days to comply with the AD note.

6 Nov 2018: Boeing issued revised operating instructions covering the revised MCAS used in the MAX 8, updating the MAX operations manual. See the manual update and the switches referenced. See Aviation Herald discussion for information.

10 March 2019: ET 302, operated by Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX 8 ET-AVJ departing Addis Ababa to Nairobi turned back to the airport soon after takeoff, but crashed with the loss of all aboard.

Link to BBC article.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.

11 March 2019: The US National Transportation Board / NTSB has dispatched an investigation team, as have Boeing, to Addis Ababa to assist the Ethiopian investigators in determining the cause(s) of the crash. The “black boxes” (cockpit voice and the flight data recorder have been recovered.

11 March 2019: Ethiopian Airlines announced airline both “black boxes” - the cockpit voice recorder and the flight data recorder are recovered.

11 Mar 2019: China grounded its 737 MAX 8 (not MAX 9) fleet, and a number of countries have followed suit on 12 March 2019, including the United Kingdom and the European Union.Link to New York Times article.

11 March 2019: The US FAA stated it would not ground US (AA, UA, WN) 737 MAX aircraft at this time.

Link to FAA Airworthiness Notification for USA registered B38M aircraft PDF.

Link to Wall Street Journal article.

12 March 2019: The USA and Canada are the only countries allowing the B38M to remain in operation.

13 March 2019: Ethiopian Airlines CEO Tewolde Gebremariam requests grounding of all B38M aircraft until the cause(s) of the crash of ET 302 is learned.

13 March 2019: Canada grounds Canadian B38Ms and bans B38M departures, arrivals and overflights.

13 March 2019: All USA operated Boeing 737 MAX -8 and -9 aircraft are grounded by US Federal Aviation Administration emergency order. At this time, all 737 MAX 8 are grounded until further notice.

14 March 2019: It is announced the French BEA will retrieve the data from the Ethiopian Cockpit Voice Recorder and Flight Data Recorder.

Link to Eight things you might not know about black boxes
By Cristen Tilley, ABC Australia

15 March 2019: Aircraft manufactured Boeing plans to roll out a software upgrade for its 737 Max aircraft in 10 days. The US FAA is expected to sign off on the anti-stall modification to the MAX software 25 March. CNBC

17 Mar 2019: The French BEA stated the Flight Data Recorder data have been given to the Ethiopian Investigation Team. Borpth CVR and FDR “black boxes” have been downloaded and turned over to investigators.

17 Mar 2019 the Ethiopian Transport Minister said: "Recently, the FDR and CVR of Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 have been successfully read out. Our experts and US experts have verified the accuracy of the information. The Ethiopian government accepted the information, and the cause of the crash is similar to the Indonesian Flight 610. A preliminary reported will be published in a month with a detailed analysis. We are grateful to the French Government for its ongoing support." - Aviation Herald

17 Mar 2019 Ethiopian Airlines Twitter Account (Link) posted "The total flying time of the First Officer is 350 hours. Moreover, the Pilot in command is a senior pilot who has accumulated 8,100 hours. According to ICAO regulations any CPL holder can act as F/O in multi engine jet commercial flight up on successful completion of the full Type Rating training on the type of A/C. According to ICAO, it only requires a maximum of 200HRs to hold CPL. Ethiopean airlines in its effort to enhance safety established a crew pairing policy where by a less experienced F/O flies only with highly experienced Capt and vice versa".

17 Mar 2019: “Ethiopian transport minister Dagmawit Moge told reporters on Sunday that an evaluation of the black boxes from Ethiopian Airlines Flight ET302 and Lion Air Flight JT610 showed "clear similarities." - Link to Business Insider article.

18 Mar 2019: Aviation Herald learns new information of ET 302 departure routing and airport communication, and the possibility MAX simulator training and inclusion of training relating to MCAS and the JT 610 lessons learned may not have reached all ET cockpit crew due to the simulator training requirements of six month periodicity. Link.

19 Mar 2019: The Secretary if the US Department of Transportation, of which the Federal Aviation Administration is part of, has requested the Inspector General conduct a formal audit “to compile an objective and detailed factual history of the activities that resulted in the certification of the Boeing 737-MAX 8 aircraft” as part of an ongoing review of factors related to the MAX aviation certification. Link

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Ethiopian Airlines: Boeing 737 Max 8 crashes on way to Kenya [ET302 ADD-NBO 10MAR19]

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Old Mar 13, 2019, 1:07 pm
  #271  
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Mayor wants to bans all 737-MAX8 from landing at FLL.

https://www.local10.com/travel/mayor...flights-at-fll

Mayor Mark Bogen said Wednesday he wants to ban all Boeing 737 MAX 8 airplanes from landing at Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport.
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 1:09 pm
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Boeing says it will tell the FAA to ground its 737 Max planes "out of an abundance of

From CNN:

After nearly every country in the world determined that Boeing's 737 Max airplane should be kept on the ground, Boeing finally relented on Wednesday afternoon and said, in a statement, that it would tell the FAA to ground its entire fleet. ...
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 1:30 pm
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Quite sad to read how US and FAA are regarded when it comes to flight safety. Once upon a time, FAA approvals were automatically rubber stamped by other agencies. Now even Ethiopia does not trust them to be impartial...

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/worl...-737-max-8-to/
Ethiopian Airlines has decided to send the black box from its crashed airplane to Europe for analysis rather than to the United States, where the Boeing 737 Max 8 was manufactured.The decision, in defiance of U.S. requests, is the latest sign of the world’s growing distrust of the United States on aviation safety issues. While U.S. regulators and Boeing have continued to insist the Max 8 is safe, dozens of countries have ordered the grounding of the aircraft, leaving the United States increasingly isolated on the issue.
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 1:35 pm
  #274  
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Originally Posted by Scrooge McDuck
From CNN:
The USA Federal Aviation Administration has issued an emergency order immediately grounding all USA operated Boeing 737 MAX 8 and 9 aircraft.

All 355 delivered 737 MAX 8 aircraft worldwide are grounded until further notice.

Last edited by JDiver; Mar 13, 2019 at 5:07 pm
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 1:36 pm
  #275  
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Originally Posted by ffsim
If you're talking about the ET302 black boxes, they're still in Ethiopia waiting for the authorities to figure out which European country they want to send them to: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/worl...-737-max-8-to/
Germany has declined, stating they don’t have the proper equipment do examine the so-called “black boxes”.
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 1:42 pm
  #276  
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Originally Posted by JDiver
President Trump has issued an emergency order grounding all USA operated Boeing 737 MAX 8 and 9 aircraft.

All 355 delivered 737 MAX 8 aircraft worldwide are grounded until further notice.
Heres's a link:

https://www.cnn.com/2019/03/13/polit...faa/index.html

Trump has issued an emergency order grounding all 737-MAX8 and MAX9 aircraft.
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 1:44 pm
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Text of the FAA emergency order: https://www.faa.gov/news/updates/med...ency_Order.pdf
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 2:00 pm
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Now we just need to build a big bonfire and throw all those planes on it and watch them burn. Honestly, it's been long enough since the Lion tragedy for Boeing to sort this out and prevent the Ethiopian one. If you left it to Boeing they'd still be flying them until a third or fourth crash. Hey - profit is profit.

We're anonymous cattle to the airline industry, smaller seats, less amenities, worse service, less rights, more restrictions and apparently now less safety. Thank goodness this captured public imagination and for once the outrage culture was used for some good - to ground these planes until it's sorted out.

How much are those 157 lives worth to Boeing. Reeks of negligence and sitting on hands to me. America being the last to ground them is shameful - they should have been the first. I wouldn't send the black box to them either - after all, Ethiopia wants the truth.
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 2:02 pm
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[Conforming Moderator edit to since-deleted quote.]
No. Even if it was him making the decision (unlikely), it should have been announced by the FAA. By him making the announcement he's trying to take credit and is subverting the FAA in the process.

Last edited by Ocn Vw 1K; Mar 13, 2019 at 3:19 pm Reason: To conform to deletion of original quote.
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 2:09 pm
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Originally Posted by JDiver
Germany has declined, stating they don’t have the proper equipment do examine the so-called “black boxes”.
[OT comments redacted by moderator]

Really, Germany doesn't have the tools to examine a black box? That doens't sound phoned-in from the FAA... I'm sure they're drooling to get ahold of it and greenlight the Max back into the air..

Last edited by NewbieRunner; Mar 13, 2019 at 4:11 pm
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 2:11 pm
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Originally Posted by ElephantGin
We're anonymous cattle to the airline industry, smaller seats, less amenities, worse service, less rights, more restrictions and apparently now less safety. Thank goodness this captured public imagination and for once the outrage culture was used for some good - to ground these planes until it's sorted out.
Yes, this is why Boeing stock has risen while aviation fatalities have plummeted over the last 30-40 years.

I'd say all in all Boeing and its shareholders make more money when the aviation system is safe.


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Old Mar 13, 2019, 2:32 pm
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Originally Posted by threeoh
Yes, this is why Boeing stock has risen while aviation fatalities have plummeted over the last 30-40 years.

I'd say all in all Boeing and its shareholders make more money when the aviation system is safe.
I agree with you - the charts bear your opinion out.

[redact OT comment]
I've only been flying for 27 of those 30-40 years you mention and it sure does feel like the airline industry as a whole cares a hell of a lot less about me from start to finish.

Last edited by NewbieRunner; Mar 14, 2019 at 5:06 am
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 2:37 pm
  #283  
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Originally Posted by ElephantGin
Really, Germany doesn't have the tools to examine a black box? That doens't sound phoned-in from the FAA... I'm sure they're drooling to get ahold of it and greenlight the Max back into the air..
It's probably that they just don't have the particular type of equipment to read the particular type of FDR.
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 3:46 pm
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Originally Posted by ElephantGin
I've only been flying for 27 of those 30-40 years you mention and it sure does feel like the airline industry as a whole cares a hell of a lot less about me from start to finish.
Sure, customer service has dipped (as have ticket prices) but they've improved safety by a factor of 7 (!!!!) since 1992. We should all be taking our hats off to the combination of regulators, manufacturers, carriers, accident investigators, and front line workers who have achieved such an unbelievable improvement, not saying that there is now "apparently less safety".
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Old Mar 13, 2019, 4:01 pm
  #285  
 
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Originally Posted by threeoh
Yes, this is why Boeing stock has risen while aviation fatalities have plummeted over the last 30-40 years.

I'd say all in all Boeing and its shareholders make more money when the aviation system is safe.


This is a meaningless correlation. You can do that with lots of things. Like I can artificially link a graph of Boeing's stock and the temperature of the north pole. Is it related?

In terms of safety, and how Boeing depends on it: well, it isn't quite so simple. Safety is important, and it is logical to think safer planes mean more people fly. However, I think while the planes may be safer the conditions they fly in may be less safe. You have many upstart airlines buying planes that really don't know much about maintenance or safety. But they manage to do ok, most of the time, because the planes are built and designed so well.

And actually, depending on how the sale contracts are structured, maybe Boeing would have made even more money if their planes often crashed (presuming they could still sell them). The Gillette model?
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