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-   -   Valuation of points and miles (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/milesbuzz/1419234-valuation-points-miles.html)

workandski Jan 1, 2013 5:45 pm


Originally Posted by DHAST (Post 19916163)
I have a joke: What's the value of a FF mile? One? Who wants one mile? I won't pay anything for a mile. Now, if you've got 150,000 let's talk.

One problem with this particular upper limit on mile value that you mention is that you generally can't buy unlimited (or even significant) amounts of miles from a particular program. If I could outright buy 135,000 miles from AA every year, you're right, I really couldn't value them at the list price of an F ticket to Asia. But I can't outright buy that many miles. So does that still mean that the most 135,000 AA miles are worth is 135,000 * $0.035? I'm not so sure.

I believe that you can buy all the miles you want on AS, and sometimes at a discount. I suspect that you get a high value per mile by trading the miles for a first class ticket on a partner airline, such as Cathay Pacific, subject to availability of course.

shoreline Jan 1, 2013 7:09 pm


Originally Posted by distantarray (Post 19916511)
well depending on the value you can get for the points. For example Starwood is a very nice card mainly because you can get a lot for each point.

This is one of the reasons why people love Starwood points =) it's all in how you spend it, and if it's ideal for you. If you have a Starwood hotel in access to where you want to go.

http://www.starwoodhotels.com/pub/me...o.89809_md.jpg

this is the view from Cat2 hotel in Nha Trang Vietnam which I plan to stay in the summer, very nice view and nice hotel, I've stayed there before without the Starwood card =(

just curious if you sat in the lobby much to enjoy this view or not?;)

nice hotel, but I don't get the hype of this if you don't sit around and enjoy the atmosphere.

kmandrew Jan 1, 2013 8:02 pm

I value AA miles at .03; I fly around 50k which doubles to 100k and do around a 40k Starwood spend which transfers at 1.25. My goal is 2 F/J tickets to Europe every other year or so, I usually have to scramble with the Citi sign up bonus to get us over the top.

I know many members of this community would ask would we go if we had to pay $3000 per ticket? I don't know the answer and luckly don't have to make that decision.

DHAST Jan 2, 2013 3:57 pm


Originally Posted by workandski (Post 19955839)
I believe that you can buy all the miles you want on AS, and sometimes at a discount. I suspect that you get a high value per mile by trading the miles for a first class ticket on a partner airline, such as Cathay Pacific, subject to availability of course.

This is true, and something I did cash in in the past. Back in 2009/2010, my wife and I were planning our first trip to Thailand/Bali. This was before the CC thing became huge, so we were agonizing for quite awhile over how we were going to get there. I really didn't want to do Y. In the spring of 2010, my friend pointed out that AS was selling their miles at a 30% discount. I looked at the fine print and realized AS didn't have a purchase limit (although there is a transaction limit). I was able to get two CX J tickets from JFK-HKG-BKK/DPS-HKG-JFK for $2300/ea. I thought that was a bargain.

stevens397 Jan 2, 2013 5:22 pm

I know there needs to be some form of calculation in order to determine when to use points and miles but my take it very different. I'll be 65 in one month and will probably retire about 5 years or so from now. Until then, I can generate lots of points paying office expenses with my credit card.

Those points enable me to experience a level of luxury that is far above my what my finances could pay for. To wit, in less than two weeks we will fly RT in First on Cathay Pacific from JFK to BKK. 135,000 American miles each versus an insane ticket price of $26,000 each! I really don't care how anyone calculates my return because to me, it's all the memories I will be creating. Flights, hotels, suite upgrades - we can work the numbers any way we want. In the end, you figure out why you play this game and act accordingly.

Here's a link to a thread I wrote years ago on point value that got the best feedback of anything thread I ever started. I pretty much stand by everything I said back then;

http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/starw...int-value.html

Andy2 Jan 2, 2013 7:53 pm

I agree with you Stevens397, the "value" is in the opportunities that miles / points create that would otherwise be unavailable. I can't figure out why everyone feels a need to try to quantify them and even try to consider them an asset. As I have said in other threads, to me the miles / points are a coupon system that are worthless from an economic standpoint; they simply allow me to purchase travel at a substantial discount. At the end of the day, their existence will probably cause me to spend more overall on travel than I would have spent if I did not have them, so I hardly see how they have value. On the other hand, if I was not able to purchase premium class international travel at a discount using these coupons, I would simply never be able to obtain the corresponding experiences from the international travel. So to me the benefit is psychological satisfaction that cannot be quantified. So, in my opinion, people should stop trying to quantify the miles and points.

hindukid Jan 2, 2013 8:10 pm


Originally Posted by Andy2 (Post 19963222)
I agree with you Stevens397, the "value" is in the opportunities that miles / points create that would otherwise be unavailable. I can't figure out why everyone feels a need to try to quantify them and even try to consider them an asset. As I have said in other threads, to me the miles / points are a coupon system that are worthless from an economic standpoint; they simply allow me to purchase travel at a substantial discount. At the end of the day, their existence will probably cause me to spend more overall on travel than I would have spent if I did not have them, so I hardly see how they have value. On the other hand, if I was not able to purchase premium class international travel at a discount using these coupons, I would simply never be able to obtain the corresponding experiences from the international travel. So to me the benefit is psychological satisfaction that cannot be quantified. So, in my opinion, people should stop trying to quantify the miles and points.

Disagree. You have to have some sort of value to make logical rational decisions. I might need to fly to California and it might be 25K miles or $600. Only way you can possibly decide what to do is if you have some sort of value on your miles.

I suspect that we all have some sort of value in our heads as that is the only way to make any sort of decision. If you are not considering using your miles on a domestic trip than you still have a value for them. Its just a value that is fairly high.

If you have ever had to decide whether to use a paid ticket or miles than you have had to make a decision on the value of a mile.

To me this debate is important because it affects everyday decisions I make. Should I buy the ticket or use miles, should I take 2% cashback or use miles, should I collect SPG points with a credit card or United miles? These are all decisions that cannot be made without having some sort of value of a mile.

MDtR-Chicago Jan 2, 2013 9:00 pm


Originally Posted by hindukid (Post 19963304)
To me this debate is important because it affects everyday decisions I make. Should I buy the ticket or use miles, should I take 2% cashback or use miles, should I collect SPG points with a credit card or United miles? These are all decisions that cannot be made without having some sort of value of a mile.

I've started to realize that there are quite a few people who simply don't care about the "cost" of a frequent flyer plane ticket. They've decided they're going to earn it and they just do whatever it takes to earn it.

If that means diverting 60k of credit card spend and losing $1200 of cashback, that's fine to them.

To me, the value side of the equation is less important than the cost side. In other contexts, this would be the difference between an "investment decision" and a "financing decision". Clearly the investment is a good idea, since it nets me a dream vacation. But that's independent of the "financing decision" of how to make it happen.

Knowing the cost of my miles is how I stop myself from making poor financing decisions. But there is definitely a large portion of the FT population who simply don't care about cost, in lost $ or lost time. So be it.

hawkandhoo Jan 2, 2013 9:01 pm

hindukid has a valid point about how people need a baseline for comparison when making day to day decisions (purchase vs. redeem), but overall, I tend to view this issue more like Stevens397 and Andy2, because after skimming this thread and others like it, I don't understand the thought process of people who live in a fantasy world and assign arbitrary, artificial values to ticket prices.

The example of choosing between 25K miles or $600 is real, and one that people like us confront all the time. It makes sense to me that someone would want to have a per mile "value" in mind when making that decision. But when folks say that they value a $10,000 (or $26,000!!!) F ticket at $2,000 because that's all they would be willing to pay for it, then that paradigm breaks down, because they aren't talking about real world choices any more -- they will never be able to buy that ticket for $2,000. Under these circumstances, the decision boils down to, do you want to redeem the miles and take the trip or don't you?

lkar Jan 2, 2013 9:33 pm

I agree you have to have a rudimentary sense of the value of points to figure out which credit card to use, or whether an Amex transfer bonus makes transferring worthwhile. Etc.

I also agree there is a fair amount of irrational behavior out there, like using a southwest card to earn 1 RR point worth 1.7 cents instead of 2 percent cash back (barring working towards a companion pass or something). Then agan, it's easy to get 2.66 cents toward plane tickets for $1 of spend using a citibank thank you card, but stll people use 2 percent cash back cards and spend cash on plane tickets (or, hopefully, use their Amex gold cards which reduces the problem slightly). So go figure.

All that said, I still get confused about valuing a mile when I can't otherwise afford to purchase the ticket or purchase the miles. I want to fly 4 people to Europe in C. Even if I could get unlimited miles for 2.1 cents, I don't have $8400 to spend. How do I value 400k miles? It feels to me like they are worth more than $8400 in terms of allowing me to do things I otherwise couldn't. But maybe that is irrational.

MDtR-Chicago Jan 2, 2013 10:19 pm


Originally Posted by hawkandhoo (Post 19963588)
But when folks say that they value a $10,000 (or $26,000!!!) F ticket at $2,000 because that's all they would be willing to pay for it, then that paradigm breaks down, because they aren't talking about real world choices any more -- they will never be able to buy that ticket for $2,000.

I find it helpful to think of the scenario this way.

Suppose a rich relative gave you a gift of $26,000. It can only be used for plane tickets but it can be used for as many plane tickets as you want until it runs out.

What's the largest portion of that gift you would spend on that F ticket in that scenario?

That will give you a sense of value.

Then make sure you pay less than that (in cash outlay to buy them or lost cashback for earning) for the miles you use to buy that F ticket. That will give you the actual cost for the ticket and ensure it is less than what value you place on the trip.

distantarray Jan 3, 2013 5:17 am


Originally Posted by shoreline (Post 19956192)
just curious if you sat in the lobby much to enjoy this view or not?;)

nice hotel, but I don't get the hype of this if you don't sit around and enjoy the atmosphere.

actually I sat in lobbies after going to the beach to unwind and waiting for people to get ready a lot lol, besides the local hotels which aren't half as nice usually were going for around $50 a night, getting these for $30.90 a night and using free points I get for signing up, and having my family rack up points for me for free is quite nice LOL, my family saves for their hotel stays but they never use it either. maybe once or twice a year? I also churn their cards for them since they don't care about points :)

They just ask for a free trip to Japan every other year or so and they're happy ;)

hindukid Jan 3, 2013 11:13 am


Originally Posted by hawkandhoo (Post 19963588)
hindukid has a valid point about how people need a baseline for comparison when making day to day decisions (purchase vs. redeem), but overall, I tend to view this issue more like Stevens397 and Andy2, because after skimming this thread and others like it, I don't understand the thought process of people who live in a fantasy world and assign arbitrary, artificial values to ticket prices.

The example of choosing between 25K miles or $600 is real, and one that people like us confront all the time. It makes sense to me that someone would want to have a per mile "value" in mind when making that decision. But when folks say that they value a $10,000 (or $26,000!!!) F ticket at $2,000 because that's all they would be willing to pay for it, then that paradigm breaks down, because they aren't talking about real world choices any more -- they will never be able to buy that ticket for $2,000. Under these circumstances, the decision boils down to, do you want to redeem the miles and take the trip or don't you?

The price you would pay for that F ticket is a real world decision. I can give you a concrete example. I just redeemed a marriott travel package in which I received 120K miles. I could send those miles to Southwest or United or AA.

If I send them to Southwest I get 120K points which is redeemable for $2000 worth of flights. I also get a companion pass which is valid until Dec 31, 2014. I estimate that the companion pass will save me $2500 over the two years. So in all I estimate that the 120K southwest points will save me $4500. This is cold hard cash that I would have spent on various domestic trips over the next two years.

I could instead redeem for 1 F ticket to Europe had I transferred to UA and AA. I am making a calculated decision that the F ticket is worth less than $4500 to me. Without figuring out how much those miles are worth I would not know whether to redeem my marriott points for United or for southwest. You have to look at things in terms of what they are worth to you, not what they cost on the retail market.

yerffej201 Jan 3, 2013 2:15 pm


Originally Posted by stevens397 (Post 19962532)
I know there needs to be some form of calculation in order to determine when to use points and miles but my take it very different. I'll be 65 in one month and will probably retire about 5 years or so from now. Until then, I can generate lots of points paying office expenses with my credit card.

Those points enable me to experience a level of luxury that is far above my what my finances could pay for. To wit, in less than two weeks we will fly RT in First on Cathay Pacific from JFK to BKK. 135,000 American miles each versus an insane ticket price of $26,000 each! I really don't care how anyone calculates my return because to me, it's all the memories I will be creating. Flights, hotels, suite upgrades - we can work the numbers any way we want. In the end, you figure out why you play this game and act accordingly.

Here's a link to a thread I wrote years ago on point value that got the best feedback of anything thread I ever started. I pretty much stand by everything I said back then;

http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/starw...int-value.html

Okay, so here's how I would value the redemption. So take the CX flights: 135,000 AA miles. Cost: 2.2 cents per mile (buying AA miles + SPG miles on Promo). Cost: 2970 Dollars. So if you had a cashback card @ 2% (assuming you can get 2% if not more in the States), you're not missing that much with miles.


Originally Posted by Andy2 (Post 19963222)
I agree with you Stevens397, the "value" is in the opportunities that miles / points create that would otherwise be unavailable. I can't figure out why everyone feels a need to try to quantify them and even try to consider them an asset. As I have said in other threads, to me the miles / points are a coupon system that are worthless from an economic standpoint; they simply allow me to purchase travel at a substantial discount. At the end of the day, their existence will probably cause me to spend more overall on travel than I would have spent if I did not have them, so I hardly see how they have value. On the other hand, if I was not able to purchase premium class international travel at a discount using these coupons, I would simply never be able to obtain the corresponding experiences from the international travel. So to me the benefit is psychological satisfaction that cannot be quantified. So, in my opinion, people should stop trying to quantify the miles and points.


Originally Posted by lkar (Post 19963733)
I agree you have to have a rudimentary sense of the value of points to figure out which credit card to use, or whether an Amex transfer bonus makes transferring worthwhile. Etc.

I also agree there is a fair amount of irrational behavior out there, like using a southwest card to earn 1 RR point worth 1.7 cents instead of 2 percent cash back (barring working towards a companion pass or something). Then agan, it's easy to get 2.66 cents toward plane tickets for $1 of spend using a citibank thank you card, but stll people use 2 percent cash back cards and spend cash on plane tickets (or, hopefully, use their Amex gold cards which reduces the problem slightly). So go figure.

All that said, I still get confused about valuing a mile when I can't otherwise afford to purchase the ticket or purchase the miles. I want to fly 4 people to Europe in C. Even if I could get unlimited miles for 2.1 cents, I don't have $8400 to spend. How do I value 400k miles? It feels to me like they are worth more than $8400 in terms of allowing me to do things I otherwise couldn't. But maybe that is irrational.

so where do you get your miles in the first place? Well, if you're spending with CC to get points, then yes, you're only paying 0.1 cpm more to get the flights. But then that's why CC bonuses make miles so much more attractive.


Originally Posted by hindukid (Post 19967486)
The price you would pay for that F ticket is a real world decision. I can give you a concrete example. I just redeemed a marriott travel package in which I received 120K miles. I could send those miles to Southwest or United or AA.

If I send them to Southwest I get 120K points which is redeemable for $2000 worth of flights. I also get a companion pass which is valid until Dec 31, 2014. I estimate that the companion pass will save me $2500 over the two years. So in all I estimate that the 120K southwest points will save me $4500. This is cold hard cash that I would have spent on various domestic trips over the next two years.

I could instead redeem for 1 F ticket to Europe had I transferred to UA and AA. I am making a calculated decision that the F ticket is worth less than $4500 to me. Without figuring out how much those miles are worth I would not know whether to redeem my marriott points for United or for southwest. You have to look at things in terms of what they are worth to you, not what they cost on the retail market.

Again, you can buy UA miles between 2.05-2.5 cpm, and AA between 2.0-2.4 cpm. You can go calculate what the miles are worth. But yes, you do have a good point. If you don't value buying the miles at 2cpm, then that's why you transfer to SW.

saranyc Jan 3, 2013 3:00 pm


Originally Posted by MDtR-Chicago (Post 19963580)
Knowing the cost of my miles is how I stop myself from making poor financing decisions. But there is definitely a large portion of the FT population who simply don't care about cost, in lost $ or lost time. So be it.

I definitely care about the costs so I try to at least get $0.02 of "value" from my points (vs. what I could book hotels and airfare with online) otherwise I would just use my Fidelity card. When it comes to time I really don't mind spending some time on it since I actually enjoy it (like people that shoot things in video games for no reason other than a score that means nothing at least I get something out of this hobby).

saranyc Jan 3, 2013 3:03 pm


Originally Posted by yerffej201 (Post 19968865)
Okay, so here's how I would value the redemption. So take the CX flights: 135,000 AA miles. Cost: 2.2 cents per mile (buying AA miles + SPG miles on Promo). Cost: 2970 Dollars. So if you had a cashback card @ 2% (assuming you can get 2% if not more in the States), you're not missing that much with miles.

You can only buy 60k AA miles per year so you really can't buy business or first class international travel like that.

yerffej201 Jan 3, 2013 11:45 pm


Originally Posted by saranyc (Post 19969220)
You can only buy 60k AA miles per year so you really can't buy business or first class international travel like that.

You can buy 60k AA miles and then an unlimited amount of spg @ 2.4 cpm. Averages out.

chrisljo Jan 4, 2013 6:08 am


Originally Posted by saranyc (Post 19969192)
I definitely care about the costs so I try to at least get $0.02 of "value" from my points (vs. what I could book hotels and airfare with online) otherwise I would just use my Fidelity card. When it comes to time I really don't mind spending some time on it since I actually enjoy it (like people that shoot things in video games for no reason other than a score that means nothing at least I get something out of this hobby).

This it's an important point, if you don't enjoy the game than there is almost no deals that are worth it.

hawkandhoo Jan 4, 2013 10:27 pm


Originally Posted by hindukid (Post 19967486)
The price you would pay for that F ticket is a real world decision. I can give you a concrete example. I just redeemed a marriott travel package in which I received 120K miles. I could send those miles to Southwest or United or AA.

If I send them to Southwest I get 120K points which is redeemable for $2000 worth of flights. I also get a companion pass which is valid until Dec 31, 2014. I estimate that the companion pass will save me $2500 over the two years. So in all I estimate that the 120K southwest points will save me $4500. This is cold hard cash that I would have spent on various domestic trips over the next two years.

I could instead redeem for 1 F ticket to Europe had I transferred to UA and AA. I am making a calculated decision that the F ticket is worth less than $4500 to me. Without figuring out how much those miles are worth I would not know whether to redeem my marriott points for United or for southwest. You have to look at things in terms of what they are worth to you, not what they cost on the retail market.


I understand the rationale behind that decision, and would probably make the same one myself, but it's not an apples to apples comparison. You had a choice between option A (SW miles) and option B (UA/AA miles) and decided that you prefer option A because you subjectively believe that it will provide more value in the long run.

Importantly, your example didn't assign some random, arbitrary number to the F ticket (the price you say you would have been willing to pay for it), and then back into your decision. You simply decided that it wasn't worth it to you to forgo the $4500 of benefits that you expect to receive from the SW miles (presumably, multiple trips and opportunities/experiences over the course of nearly two years) in order to get 1 F ticket to Europe. Indeed, the FMV of the F ticket does not appear to have been a factor in the decision either.

It's really no different than saying you would prefer to allocate 100K miles to 4 domestic coach tickets over 1 international business ticket, even though the cost of the latter may dwarf the cost of the former. The rationale may be that you want to take your family on a nice vacation, and not have anything to do with making the optimal decision from an economic perspective.

To me, that's enough reason to make the decision -- you subjectively value the trip with your family more than a solo trip to Europe. You don't need to concoct an artificial number to justify the decision. It's especially silly when it's done by people who would probably never actually purchase an international F ticket in any event. But if that makes people feel better about their decisions, then they should keep doing what they are doing.

DHAST Jan 5, 2013 11:36 am


Originally Posted by yerffej201 (Post 19972034)
You can buy 60k AA miles and then an unlimited amount of spg @ 2.4 cpm. Averages out.

How do you buy an unlimited amount of spg, particularly at that price?

pantanal Jan 5, 2013 11:59 am

points
 

Originally Posted by DHAST (Post 19981723)
How do you buy an unlimited amount of spg, particularly at that price?

SPG allows a max of 20k point bought or received in one year so unless the person is just charging their own card on paypal or square and paying the transaction fees, I don't see any other way

yerffej201 Jan 5, 2013 8:53 pm


Originally Posted by DHAST (Post 19981723)
How do you buy an unlimited amount of spg, particularly at that price?

My bad. SPG sells at promo price 2.8 cpm at certain points in the year up to 25? Something around that amount. Household transfer free. Go make accounts for your kids, relatives, whatever. Anyone who has a legit reason. Buy points, transfer to your account, transfer to AA. You can get at least 60 -> 75k AA. Plus 60k AA that's 135k AA, enough for what OP's situation earlier.

schley Jan 5, 2013 11:34 pm


Originally Posted by yerffej201 (Post 19984519)
My bad. SPG sells at promo price 2.8 cpm at certain points in the year up to 25? Something around that amount. Household transfer free. Go make accounts for your kids, relatives, whatever. Anyone who has a legit reason. Buy points, transfer to your account, transfer to AA. You can get at least 60 -> 75k AA. Plus 60k AA that's 135k AA, enough for what OP's situation earlier.

20k limit per year.

yerffej201 Jan 6, 2013 11:39 am


Originally Posted by schley (Post 19985096)
20k limit per year.

Close enough. Just make more accounts.

pantanal Jan 6, 2013 2:26 pm


Originally Posted by yerffej201 (Post 19984519)
My bad. SPG sells at promo price 2.8 cpm at certain points in the year up to 25? Something around that amount. Household transfer free. Go make accounts for your kids, relatives, whatever. Anyone who has a legit reason. Buy points, transfer to your account, transfer to AA. You can get at least 60 -> 75k AA. Plus 60k AA that's 135k AA, enough for what OP's situation earlier.


You cant..its 20k limit to buy or to receive, meaning the maximum you can buy in an account direct or indirect is only 20k, no matter where it came from.

yerffej201 Jan 6, 2013 3:48 pm


Originally Posted by pantanal (Post 19988687)
You cant..its 20k limit to buy or to receive, meaning the maximum you can buy in an account direct or indirect is only 20k, no matter where it came from.

Where does it say that?

https://www.starwoodhotels.com/prefe...nsferForm.html


Member-to-Member Transfer
Members of the same household* can move Starpoints between accounts. Simply fill out the form below and click "Transfer." Please note that it may take up to five business days to complete transfers.
Transfer Starpoints
All items are required
TRANSFER FROM :
SPG Member # :
# of Starpoints to Transfer :
TRANSFER TO :
SPG Member # :
Last Name :
*Both accounts must have been active and with the same address on each for at least 30 days. SVO Owners may transfer to other SVO Owners even if not at the same address. Starwood Employees may not have any Starpoints transferred into their SPG account.

pantanal Jan 6, 2013 6:42 pm


Originally Posted by yerffej201 (Post 19989225)

We are talking about two different things here. I am talking about purchasing points for yourself or for someone else (which is sold via points.com) .There is a limit to that (20k per year).

You are talking about point transfer from one spg account to another. If you already have points in your SPG account, you can transfer to another account with the same address (there is no limit on that transfer).

The discussion was about buying points

I guess technically you could open up a dozen fictitious accounts (buy a maximum of 20k in each) and then u can transfer everything in one account. That would be a pain not to mention account potentially getting shut down. But I don't see how you can buy unlimited points on star wood (as someone mentioned earlier). Say I want to buy 500k points for 4 first class tickets internationally, that means I have to open up 25 accounts, get 20k in each account and then transfer to one account...sounds kinda ridiculous

May I buy more than 20,000 Starpoints per year?

Your account may receive up to a maximum of 20,000 Starpoints per account per calendar year, whether purchased by yourself or received as a gift from another member. However, you may purchase as a gift for other accounts, as many Starpoints as desired. Each gift recipient can receive up to 20,000 Starpoints per calendar year.


from:

https://buy.points.com/marketing/spg...emplate.html#7

scubadiver Jan 7, 2013 10:35 am

I value miles by my lady's smile when I tell her we've scored an upgrade.

Having just endured a R/T to Florida in steerage, not even a VIP lounge in CLT that takes Priority Pass, I value an upgrade more precious than pearls.

lkar Jan 7, 2013 11:24 am


Originally Posted by scubadiver (Post 19994322)
I value miles by my lady's smile when I tell her we've scored an upgrade.

Having just endured a R/T to Florida in steerage, not even a VIP lounge in CLT that takes Priority Pass, I value an upgrade more precious than pearls.

Yeah, I understand that.

But, for purposes of this thread, you don't really value an upgrade as more precious than pearls -- at least in the sense that if I offered you $10,000 in pearls instead of an upgrade, you'd take it every time. You could sell the pearls, buy a first class ticket, and keep the change. I think the question in the thead is how to find that value where you'd be indifferent between taking the points and taking the pearls.

yerffej201 Jan 7, 2013 2:22 pm


Originally Posted by pantanal (Post 19990178)
We are talking about two different things here. I am talking about purchasing points for yourself or for someone else (which is sold via points.com) .There is a limit to that (20k per year).

You are talking about point transfer from one spg account to another. If you already have points in your SPG account, you can transfer to another account with the same address (there is no limit on that transfer).

The discussion was about buying points

I guess technically you could open up a dozen fictitious accounts (buy a maximum of 20k in each) and then u can transfer everything in one account. That would be a pain not to mention account potentially getting shut down. But I don't see how you can buy unlimited points on star wood (as someone mentioned earlier). Say I want to buy 500k points for 4 first class tickets internationally, that means I have to open up 25 accounts, get 20k in each account and then transfer to one account...sounds kinda ridiculous

May I buy more than 20,000 Starpoints per year?

Your account may receive up to a maximum of 20,000 Starpoints per account per calendar year, whether purchased by yourself or received as a gift from another member. However, you may purchase as a gift for other accounts, as many Starpoints as desired. Each gift recipient can receive up to 20,000 Starpoints per calendar year.


from:

https://buy.points.com/marketing/spg...emplate.html#7

Yes I understand where you're getting at. But if I look at the end result, I have unlimited airline miles at 2.4 cpm. I'm assuming that the time and effort you're spending is negligible (If you have multiple real people in your household).

Wayfahrer Jan 13, 2013 4:54 am

Hi!

How does it compare for travel/foreign exchange?

Opotion A:
Spend money with debit card with 0% forex fees.

Option B:
Spend with German AMEX card, 2% forex fees, get Membership Rewards points.

Which option worths more? That is the basic question.

stupidzbu Mar 3, 2013 4:32 pm

How are point values determined?
 
Calculating Redemption Value

$700 flight or 40,000 miles

700/40,000 = 0.0175 cents/mile

But, how can I determine if that is a good valuation for those miles?

I know this changes depending on where the points came from (SPG vs UR vs airline mile)

So, my question is, how can I determine that valuation for different programs? How can I calculate what an AA mile is worth vs a UA mile vs a SPG point when burning them on a redemption?

How does this change when I do a "cash & point" redemption?

I've found the following valuations with no explanation as to why these points are valued as such.:

MR = $.020 / point
UR = $.019 / point
AA = $.015 / mile
DL = $.010 / mile
US = $.016 / mile
HH = $.007 / point
PC = $.006 /point
SPG =$.025 / point
Hyatt = $.015 / point

And let me also ask if I am using these correctly.

I redeemed a 145k AXON reward
Per the above valuation = $1,015.

I booked 4 nights at the conrad maldives, which would have cost $5,492, giving me a redemption value of $.0378 / point.

Are my calculations correct?

ddallas Mar 3, 2013 4:54 pm

That's why you see so many arguments over what points are worth, yada, yada, yada...

In the end, your points and miles are worth whatever you redeem them for. There is no magic price you need to hit. Some people have one in their head based on their experiences, if you read the blogs you will see that "View from the Wing" "One mile at a time" "Mile Value" and other blogs all come up with their own valuations for different airlines and hotels. Go where you want to go, do what you want to do, and don't worry if someone got more "retail value" from their points.

philemer Mar 3, 2013 4:56 pm

There is no "correct valuation". Everyone has their own algorithms.

stupidzbu Mar 3, 2013 5:32 pm

Well, what are these algorithms so I can determine my own valuation?

WhateverDude Mar 3, 2013 5:33 pm


Originally Posted by stupidzbu (Post 20353606)
Calculating Redemption Value

$700 flight or 40,000 miles

700/40,000 = 0.0175 cents/mile

$700 = 70,000 cents

70,000c/40,000mi = 1.75c/mi.

KevinInRI Mar 3, 2013 5:54 pm

How are point values determined?
 
Keep in mind the value is not necessarily what these things would have cost otherwise it's what you would be willing to pay. So if you think the Conrad Maldives for example is only worth $500 per night and you would never pay $1300+ then that should be the basis for your calculation. I would use those cent per point numbers as a guide and always try to redeem for that value or above.

ddallas Mar 3, 2013 6:03 pm


Originally Posted by stupidzbu (Post 20353816)
Well, what are these algorithms so I can determine my own valuation?

One of the hardest things is what is the "value" in dollars do you assign to what you are getting? The rack rate, some discount rate, can you use a bidding service like priceline? etc.

Here's something to play with that does a simple calculation: http://milevalue.com/milevalue-mile-value-calculator/

amolkold Mar 3, 2013 6:03 pm

Keep in mind that some miles have "price floors" where it's the minimum at which you should be able to redeem them for.

For example, a UR points can be cashed out for 1¢, or used as cash for travel at 1.25¢. As a Delta Amex holder, I can PWM for relatives' tickets, so those have a base floor of 1¢ each.

KennyBSAT Mar 3, 2013 7:13 pm


Originally Posted by KevinInRI (Post 20353897)
Keep in mind the value is not necessarily what these things would have cost otherwise it's what you would be willing to pay. So if you think the Conrad Maldives for example is only worth $500 per night and you would never pay $1300+ then that should be the basis for your calculation. I would use those cent per point numbers as a guide and always try to redeem for that value or above.

+1. I don't think any hotel room is worth more than $200, anywhere. And if I didn't have miles I'd just take road trips which rarely cost more than $500 for travel and $100/night for lodging, for 4 people. So I value my points at next to nothing and enjoy the heck out of the fact that I get to show my family more of the planet at little or no extra cost!


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