Am I Buying Points/Miles at 4 cents?
#1
Original Poster
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: 212
Programs: Marriott Titanium, Hilton Gold, UA Silver
Posts: 502
Am I Buying Points/Miles at 4 cents?
Given how easy it is to get 5% using the Old Amex Blue ($500 GC less the 1% load fee), I'm basically forgoing 4% on all my non-bonus spend by using let's say my Starwood Amex. So aren't I essentially buying 1 SPG point for ~$0.04?
Please tell me I am missing something?
Please tell me I am missing something?
#2
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: DFW
Posts: 1,249
For non-bonus spend, you are "paying" $0.022 per point when you consider the opportunity cost of not using Barclay Arrival+ if you have sufficient reimbursable expenses.
#3
Original Poster
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: 212
Programs: Marriott Titanium, Hilton Gold, UA Silver
Posts: 502
You are only buying at $0.04 if you choose to use the SPG for spend where you Could get 5% with blue. For non-bonus spend, blue is 1% and SPG is 1 point.
For non-bonus spend, you are "paying" $0.022 per point when you consider the opportunity cost of not using Barclay Arrival+ if you have sufficient reimbursable expenses.
For non-bonus spend, you are "paying" $0.022 per point when you consider the opportunity cost of not using Barclay Arrival+ if you have sufficient reimbursable expenses.
Let's say I have a $500 doctor bill that I need to pay. Option 1) Pay on my SPG Amex. Option 2) buy an extra VGC at a drugstore (and earn 5%, less the 1% load fee). Then I use the $500 GC to pay the doctor bill.
Option 1 nets me 500 SPG points. Option 2 nets me ~$20. I'm forgoing 4 cents/SPG point.
Last edited by Songer5; Sep 1, 2014 at 2:21 pm
#4
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: DFW
Posts: 1,249
I meant it another way.
Let's say I have a $500 doctor bill that I need to pay. Option 1) Pay on my SPG Amex. Option 2) go buy a VGC at a drugstore (and earn 5%, less the 1% load fee). Then I use the $500 GC to pay the doctor bill.
Option 1 nets me 500 SPG points. Option 2 nets me ~$20. I'm forgoing 4 cents/SPG point.
Let's say I have a $500 doctor bill that I need to pay. Option 1) Pay on my SPG Amex. Option 2) go buy a VGC at a drugstore (and earn 5%, less the 1% load fee). Then I use the $500 GC to pay the doctor bill.
Option 1 nets me 500 SPG points. Option 2 nets me ~$20. I'm forgoing 4 cents/SPG point.
#5
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 511
While I think all us moderate-heavy MSers wish we could just throw $60-100k/month on Old Blue and be done with it, you're playing with fire IMO if you don't have high personal income and high amounts of other spending to justify it. So I personally diversify my spending between issuers.
You are a lot less risk for shutdown if you do $20k/mo with Chase, $20k/mo with AmEx, $20k/mo with Wells across multiple lines of credit rather than straight $60k with one AmEx product. As long as a card has about a 2% spread between my perceived value and cost, I'll consider it.
Something like Arrival+ or the plethora of 2% cards doesn't seem to have enough value for me to justify MS with personally once costs are factored in.
#6
Join Date: May 2014
Location: PHL
Programs: SW CP, SPG Gold, Hilton Gold
Posts: 571
Time cost + the benefit of diversification, at least for people that do relatively high MS.
While I think all us moderate-heavy MSers wish we could just throw $60-100k/month on Old Blue and be done with it, you're playing with fire IMO if you don't have high personal income and high amounts of other spending to justify it. So I personally diversify my spending between issuers.
You are a lot less risk for shutdown if you do $20k/mo with Chase, $20k/mo with AmEx, $20k/mo with Wells across multiple lines of credit rather than straight $60k with one AmEx product. As long as a card has about a 2% spread between my perceived value and cost, I'll consider it.
Something like Arrival+ or the plethora of 2% cards doesn't seem to have enough value for me to justify MS with personally once costs are factored in.
While I think all us moderate-heavy MSers wish we could just throw $60-100k/month on Old Blue and be done with it, you're playing with fire IMO if you don't have high personal income and high amounts of other spending to justify it. So I personally diversify my spending between issuers.
You are a lot less risk for shutdown if you do $20k/mo with Chase, $20k/mo with AmEx, $20k/mo with Wells across multiple lines of credit rather than straight $60k with one AmEx product. As long as a card has about a 2% spread between my perceived value and cost, I'll consider it.
Something like Arrival+ or the plethora of 2% cards doesn't seem to have enough value for me to justify MS with personally once costs are factored in.
Again it depends on what you value, what type of travel you will be doing, what cards you have in your arsenal, and your upfront opportunity cost. Luckily I have access to VGCs with the lowest fees...so for every $5K I put on the Arrival / Venture I'm ahead ~$70-$80. With SPG (valued at 3 cents, which is what I have been able to get out of them the past few redemptions quite easily) I'm ahead ~$120.
Having a family with small children our travels, for the most part, are limited to domestic flights as taking small children overseas in first / biz would set you back a ton.
#7
Join Date: May 2014
Location: PHL
Programs: SW CP, SPG Gold, Hilton Gold
Posts: 571
Your looking at this the wrong way IMO. Say you buy a VGC for $505.95, the $500 is null+void since that will be going back to Amex. You are paying $5.95 for 505 SPG points. Your paying $0.011 per point, redeem those points at $0.03 per point and your at a profit.
#8
Join Date: Oct 2013
Location: DFW
Posts: 246
I agree with hamhead in that it's more about reducing risk and diversifying spend. Would I love to put 100k MS on the old blue @ CVS and make $4k in straight cash then pay for travels with that cash? Sure, but putting 100k spend a month on 1 card is highly suspicious for my income.
#9
Join Date: May 2014
Location: PHL
Programs: SW CP, SPG Gold, Hilton Gold
Posts: 571
Yea but his point is saying that you could buy a VGC for 505.95 with the AmEx blue and earn $25.30 in cash back, less the 5.95 is $19.35. If you value SPG points at $0.03, then 505 x 0.03 = $15.15. If you MS on the blue and then just pay for the hotel, you'd come out ahead in $$ and get points too.
I agree with hamhead in that it's more about reducing risk and diversifying spend. Would I love to put 100k MS on the old blue @ CVS and make $4k in straight cash then pay for travels with that cash? Sure, but putting 100k spend a month on 1 card is highly suspicious for my income.
I agree with hamhead in that it's more about reducing risk and diversifying spend. Would I love to put 100k MS on the old blue @ CVS and make $4k in straight cash then pay for travels with that cash? Sure, but putting 100k spend a month on 1 card is highly suspicious for my income.
Of course 5% is better than a theoretical 1%, but we all don't have access to 5% cards.
And diversification is key, no one should place all their eggs in the same basket.
#10
Join Date: Apr 2011
Programs: UA Gold, AA Gold, Hyatt Plat, SPG Gold, Marriott Plat, Hilton Gold, Hertz Pres Circle, etc etc
Posts: 382
Do as much as you can on 5% cards (limited by spend want to do on Amex, ability to buy GCs, ability to burn GCs with stores you have available, etc). If can spend more after that, incorporate other MS methods and other CCs.
#11
Original Poster
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: 212
Programs: Marriott Titanium, Hilton Gold, UA Silver
Posts: 502
I was putting it out there for those of us that don't have the old blue, see my first post referring to it all depending on what cards you have.
Of course 5% is better than a theoretical 1%, but we all don't have access to 5% cards.
And diversification is key, no one should place all their eggs in the same basket.
Of course 5% is better than a theoretical 1%, but we all don't have access to 5% cards.
And diversification is key, no one should place all their eggs in the same basket.
#12
Join Date: May 2014
Location: PHL
Programs: SW CP, SPG Gold, Hilton Gold
Posts: 571
#13
Original Poster
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: 212
Programs: Marriott Titanium, Hilton Gold, UA Silver
Posts: 502
Yea but his point is saying that you could buy a VGC for 505.95 with the AmEx blue and earn $25.30 in cash back, less the 5.95 is $19.35. If you value SPG points at $0.03, then 505 x 0.03 = $15.15. If you MS on the blue and then just pay for the hotel, you'd come out ahead in $$ and get points too.
I agree with hamhead in that it's more about reducing risk and diversifying spend. Would I love to put 100k MS on the old blue @ CVS and make $4k in straight cash then pay for travels with that cash? Sure, but putting 100k spend a month on 1 card is highly suspicious for my income.
I agree with hamhead in that it's more about reducing risk and diversifying spend. Would I love to put 100k MS on the old blue @ CVS and make $4k in straight cash then pay for travels with that cash? Sure, but putting 100k spend a month on 1 card is highly suspicious for my income.
#14
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 3,688
DH has his blue, I have my blue so with separate accounts and at this time, we maximize it. we have no problems buying VGCs at qualified grocery stores and feeding them to Kate. as much as possible, I choose to buy the ones with lower AFs for more profit.