Last edit by: JDiver
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Welcome to the MH370 Discussion and Speculation Thread
Welcome to the MH370 Discussion and Speculation Thread
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FlyerTalk members come from all walks of life and all parts of the world. We are as diverse in our makeup as we are alike in our passion for frequent flyer programs. Because we all bring a unique perspective to the forum, our collective experience is broadened, and we gain new insights.
Our diversity demands that we respect each other. Due to the inherent constraints of the Internet, humor, sarcasm, language and slang can be easily misinterpreted - especially when crossing cultural boundaries.
When posting a message, pay extra care to how it might be interpreted. And when you come across a post that offends you, read it with an eye toward giving the poster the benefit of the doubt.
If you have an issue with a post, please contact the member privately or contact a moderator (click on the button). Do not make a situation worse by publicly responding.
In order to a) keep the original thread focused on confirmed news and known facts, and b) allow folks a place to discuss their ideas about what might have happened, the MH370 moderators and Community Director have decided to open this thread.
Here are the expectations:
1. The normal FT TOS apply. (Including not discussing moderation actions on-thread). And please be particularly attentive to "discussing the idea and not the poster" when you have a disagreement. Civility and mutual respect are still expected and are what we owe each other as a community.
2. You are expected respect our diversity , and therefore refrain from posting inflammatory comments about race, religion, culture, politics, ethnicity, orientation, etc." Do not cite, copy, or report on such.
3. Please do continue to be attentive to the sensibilities of the families of those on the flight. Think about if you were them what you would and would not want to see posted. Speculation about what happened is permissible; please, though, do not indulge in inflammatory or overly-lurid descriptions that could well be hurtful.
4. Overly / extravagantly exaggerative posts such as conspiracy theories, posts beyond the realm of science and known facts, etc. as well as posts with information that has been posted several times previously, information that has been posted in the News thread wiki or FAQ, may be deleted. E.g. the aircraft was vaporized.
In terms of housekeeping, posts may get moved from the "news" thread if and as needed, and posts that do not conform to these simple expectations, above, will be deleted.
Also note: this wiki is locked; changes can only be made by moderators.
Thank you.
Your MH370 Moderation Team
aBroadAbroad; cblaisd; JDiver; l'etoile; NewbieRunner; oliver2002; Prospero
and Community Director
SanDiego1K
MH370 Discussion and Speculation Thread
#706
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: SFO, SJC
Programs: Restarting life as UA newb; AA Lifetime Gold
Posts: 914
#707
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 5,748
#708
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Brisbane (BNE), Australia, QF/VA Forums Meeting Organiser
Programs: VA Plat, QF Gold (97.4% LTG), QP Life, AA (66% LTG). HH Diamond. Amex Plat, Visa Plat
Posts: 6,519
Alternatively, they'd head south (as MH370 perhaps has done) on N571 and who knows what the person in charge of the plane has done. There is insufficient knowledge to know whether they keyed in other waypoint(s) [possibly Cocos-Keeling Island and then Polum??]; or if they flew the plane manually on a southerly heading...your guess is as good as mine at the moment. There are no waypoints due south of Polum...
http://skyvector.com/?ll=-22.2565631...089:F.YM.POLUM
#709
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BAEC silver
Posts: 775
That is what I meant. If MH 370 just flew into the ocean gliding with no power, the tail cone would have broken off as soon as it hit the water just as the Asiana flight tail came off when it hit the end of the runway. Flying into water without a gentle flare as Captain Sully did in the Hudson would be like hitting land.
Better footage here.
Last edited by ACARS; Mar 20, 2014 at 12:48 am
#710
Moderator, Hilton Honors
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: on a short leash
Programs: some
Posts: 71,422
Incorrect. The reason for the arcs is the last known data on the aircraft position comes from pings recorded by Inmarsat satellite. From the data a distance from satellite is calculated, but not a direction or lat/long position. A constant distance from the satellite describes an arc on a 2-d map.
#711
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: WAS
Programs: AA PLT, Honors Diamond, Global Entry
Posts: 477
If the Australian report is correct, and MH370 actually ended up in the south Indian Ocean, it almost certainly went down at or about the time the aircraft ran out of fuel. (Otherwise, the plane would have crashed much closer to where it lost communications, etc.) A B777, like all modern commercial airliners, can glide without engine power for quite some time: depending on its configuration, a B777's glide ratio can exceed 20:1. This means MH370 could have glided 90 or so miles without fuel from its last reported altitude of FL235 at a fairly gentle rate of descent of ~900ft/min. Even if the captain and first officer were incapacitated when the aircraft went down, gliding is its natural state; the aircraft is designed for stable flight by default. The vast majority of airliner crashes involve a far more violent rate of descent or in-flight breakup -- see, e.g. AF447 -- but the available data suggest MH370 went out with a whimper, not a bang. As such, the likelihood of debris floating is much higher than is usually the case with this kind of event.
#712
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: SGF
Programs: AS, AA, UA, AGR S (former 75K, GLD, 1K, and S+, now an elite peon)
Posts: 23,194
FWIW, just did a quick Google search and came up with this:
Because the 777 is an unstable, relaxed-pitch-mode aircraft, a pitch rate sensor has been installed to assist in the control of the aircraft.
#714
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: BNE
Posts: 87
The finding of the debris is pretty much right on a mid oceanic ridge which makes it shallower than surrounding water, but still the depth at that location is 3,160m and the average for the surrounding 100km ranges from 3,454 - 1400m. Mean is 3,017.66m, with a standard deviation of 175.81m
At any rate we should have a ship in the area shortly if it's on schedule.
Oh and ref the 56 knot speed shown for the vessel in line to be first on scene, Adler was due to have some work done in WA this month, she can pull 50 or maybe a little more and was due to head west after work was completed. It's conceivable that if she was within a couple of hundred NM at the time they may have let her have her head. If it is (and I'm not saying it is, it could well have been a mistake) her she'll be back in Fremantle soon enough, you don't wanna know her consumption rate at WOT . . .
#717
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: RBKC
Programs: AA EXP and Eurostar Carte Blanche
Posts: 3,849
Similarly, all of these things are well known to radar operators and can be filtered out by the correct software and tuning settings. Therefore, I'd imagine that they must have seen something quite substantial in order to have mentioned it at all. Whether or not the object(s) had anything to do with an aircraft is a different matter entirely, but it sounds like we will know quite soon.
#719
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 97
I'll let the aeronautical experts address the perspective from above sea level, but from sea level, any number of things can generate a return: waves, rain, thunderstorms, birds, large marine mammals poking their heads, fins and tails out of the water, fishing gear, floating trees, floating containers, large patches of floating seaweed or other natural or artificial waste (rubber duckies), etc. -- granted not all (and perhaps none) of these things may be relevant to that particular area of sea, but these are all things which can generate a return on ship-based radar and which are covered and discussed in most radar operation courses.
Similarly, all of these things are well known to radar operators and can be filtered out by the correct software and tuning settings. Therefore, I'd imagine that they must have seen something quite substantial in order to have mentioned it at all. Whether or not the object(s) had anything to do with an aircraft is a different matter entirely, but it sounds like we will know quite soon.
Similarly, all of these things are well known to radar operators and can be filtered out by the correct software and tuning settings. Therefore, I'd imagine that they must have seen something quite substantial in order to have mentioned it at all. Whether or not the object(s) had anything to do with an aircraft is a different matter entirely, but it sounds like we will know quite soon.
I hope they have satellite images for the next days and can follow from the images what happened to this object..