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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:09 am
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============================================

Germanwings Flight 4U 9525 (Barcelona - Dusseldorf) crashed on 24 March 2015, coming down in the Alps near Barcelonette France
Aircraft involved is Airbus A320 reg D-AIPX. It was delivered to Lufthansa in 1991 and passed to Germanwings in 2001. It received routine maintenance at DUS the day before the crash (performed by Lufthansa Technik) and had its last major overhaul ( C-Check) in the summer of 2013. Lufthansa have said the plane was in 'perfect' condition.

Circumstances
It is very likely that the aircraft was deliberately crashed by the co-pilot Andreas Lubwitz

As per Germanwings press conference held 1400 on 24th March:
The aircraft flew from DUS to BCN on the morning of the crash
The flight left BCN at 1001 local time, it reached crusing altitude of 38000 at 1045 but remained there for only one minute before beginning a descent which lasted 8 minutes and ended in the crash.
ATC permission was not asked for the descent and it is unclear whether or not the crew were in ATC contact and under what circumstances an emergency was declared.

Subsequent reports suggest there was no communication between the crew and ATC after the aircraft began to descend.

The weather was good at the time of the crash:
Surface weather near where they started the descent:

METAR LFTH 240800Z AUTO 07012KT 9999 NSC 15/08 Q1008
METAR LFTH 240830Z AUTO 07012KT 9999 NSC 15/09 Q1008
METAR LFTH 240900Z AUTO 08016KT 9999 FEW035 SCT130 15/08 Q1008

That's basically unrestricted visibility at the surface.

Posted by Captainmiles Post #156 in this thread

US govt sources say no evidence of terrorism (reported on sky news uk)


Germanwings/Lufthansa official response

Germanwings press conference announced for 1500 local time, to be held in Cologne

Press conference reports: Lufthansa group employees enroute to crash site, families of victims being informed, crisis center set up at DUS airport

New flight number have been announced
4U9440 DUS0645 – 0855BCN EQV
4U9441 BCN0935 – 1155DUS EQV

Relatives of victims have been transported to the crash area by Lufthansa

Lufthansa press conference held at 1330 GMT on 26 March stated that the plane was most likely brought down deliberately by the co-pilot.

Video recording of the press conference (26 March):
In German
In English (simultaneous translation)

Victims

Latest reports are 144 passengers and 6 crew aboard, Spanish government report 45 Spanish nationals, French government reports 0 French nationals, German government reports there are some German victims but numbers not known (German wings press conference reports 67), Sky News UK reports Turkish nationals on board. There were 2 babies, one of the belonging to a woman from Manchester and the other is German, the child of opera singer Maria Radner who was travelling on the flight with her husband.

Two of the victims were Australians - a mother and her adult son from Victoria.
Two victims from Argentina
Three from Great Britain
One Israeli
Two Colombians
One Belgian
One Dutch
Two Iranians
Three Americans
Two Japanese
Three Mexicans

The German victims include 16 pupils and 2 teachers from Joseph Koenig Gymnasium (high school) at Haltern Am See, they were returning from an exchange visit to Spain.

Crew comprised 4 cabin crew and 2 flight deck. The captain had been with Lufthansa group for 10 years and had over 6000 hours on this plane type.
The co-pilot is widely reported to have joined Germanwings straight out of training in 2013 and to have had 630 hours of experience.

French rescue services believe there are no survivors.

Emergency contact numbers
From Germany 0800 1133 5577
From Spain 902 400 012
0049 30 5000 3000

The names of the victims will be published once their families have been informed.

Crash site

The crash site has been identified by helicopters, it is not accessible by road and is around 2 and a half hours walk from the nearest road (reported Sky News UK). It is at an altitude of around 2000m. Search and rescue teams are en-route. There may be an avalanche risk which could hamper rescue efforts. Rescuers are assembling at Seyne-Les-Alpes.

Sky news UK are reporting that a helicopter has landed near the crash site. They have confirmed no survivors and have reported the largest piece of debris to be about car sized. The debris field is about 200 square meters in size. See also http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/24557269-post183.html



Investigation - confirmed information
Large numbers of French investigators are on site, efforts have been made to secure the site against outside interference.
The cockpit voice recorder (CVR) has been recovered and taken for investigation at French BEA. It is damaged but functional. Voices can be heard on the recording but it is unclear if they are those of the flight crew.
BEA is working in cooperation with German BFU (Bundesstelle für Flugunfalluntersuchung), Airbus and CFM.
The aircraft was complete until impact - there was no midair breakup

"Germanwings Pilot Was Locked Out of Cockpit Before Crash in France"
New York Times reports that one of the two pilots was locked out of the cockpit during the descent: “You can hear he is trying to smash the door down.” http://nyti.ms/1HC7g9i

French prosecuters believe that the crash was caused by the deliberate actions of the co-pilot, he is thought to have locked the captain out of the cockpit and then to have deliberately crashed the aircraft.

Video of cockpit operation and manual override switch to block door from being opened externally. From The Guardian.

A locked door is opened by a flight crew inside the cockpit but can also be unlocked by cabin crew entering a keycode from the outside. Crew inside the cockpit can manually override it to keep a door locked for up to five minutes.
Investigation - confirmed information

On 6 May 2015, the BEA released its preliminary report.

Reliable Sources

AV Herald page on the crash.
FlightRadar24 flight path map
flightware tracking log
BBC News "What we know so far"
Print Wikipost

Germanwings / 4U 9525 A320 Alpine plane crash 24 Mar 2015

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Old Mar 24, 2015, 5:58 am
  #76  
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Originally Posted by Cymro
There's no obvious reason to suspect terrorism, because there was time to make a distress call.
Several news outlets, including the BBC and Reuters quoting Agence France Press, have reported a distress call made at 09:47UTC.

While I think it's unlikely to have been terrorism, the presence/absence of a distress call gives no clues as to the likelihood of that particular cause.

As for your remark that the plane has been found in one piece - can you provide a source? All I have seen is that debris has been spotted; not that anything has actually been found. The crash location is apparently hard to access.
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 5:59 am
  #77  
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Originally Posted by Cymro
Could the pilots have attempted to divert? Given that losing altitude over the Alps means CFIT is guaranteed if the engines didn't restart, whereas there might have been a chance of a somewhat more controlled landing on flatter ground, why does the plane appear not to have diverted from its flight path whatsoever?
I was wondering that too. Perhaps the pilots got stuck in the "Aviate" part of "Aviate - Navigate - Communicate" and simply didn't see where they were ging.
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 5:59 am
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Originally Posted by verve
Still no communication from 4U - really bad crisis management.
Press conference 1400GMT
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 5:59 am
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Originally Posted by verve
Still no communication from 4U - really bad crisis management.
Lufthansa seems to have taken the lead on response on twitter.
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:00 am
  #80  
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Originally Posted by largeeyes
The slowing speed would certainly seem to indicate engine failure. But like you said, why absolutely no change in course? Seems they could have made it to Marseille if they were just gliding. Or at the very least, not the Alps.
This graphic suggests the aircraft was a constant speed through the dive, not slowing: https://fr.flightaware.com/live/flig.../EDDL/tracklog

The flightradar page also suggests the aircraft finally reached 0 feet altitude, when it did not.
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:02 am
  #81  
 
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Originally Posted by Calchas
This graphic suggests the aircraft was a constant speed through the dive, not slowing: https://fr.flightaware.com/live/flig.../EDDL/tracklog

The flightradar page also suggests the aircraft finally reached 0 feet altitude, when it did not.
Accelerating while diving seems more logical, though Flightradar page does not suggest 0 feet, it stopped recording at 6800 ft.
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:03 am
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http://www.praloup.com/glisse/les-webcams.html

Still 12 out of 20 lifts open in the ski area where it seems to have gone down.

The webcams are operative, nothing to be seen regarding the plane
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:04 am
  #83  
 
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Originally Posted by Calchas
This graphic suggests the aircraft was a constant speed through the dive, not slowing: https://fr.flightaware.com/live/flig.../EDDL/tracklog

The flightradar page also suggests the aircraft finally reached 0 feet altitude, when it did not.
No, Flight radar seems to stop around 6k feet, but definitely shows slowing. Wonder why the descrepancy.
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:05 am
  #84  
 
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Originally Posted by Calchas
This graphic suggests the aircraft was a constant speed through the dive, not slowing: https://fr.flightaware.com/live/flig.../EDDL/tracklog

The flightradar page also suggests the aircraft finally reached 0 feet altitude, when it did not.
The altitude change (rate on the chart?) seems to be increasing in absolute numbers, but it's not reflected with the time scale (data points sometimes show up three times per minute sometimes two, sometimes none) so not sure how accurate is that.
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:05 am
  #85  
 
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Originally Posted by deovrat
Accelerating while diving seems more logical, though Flightradar page does not suggest 0 feet, it stopped recording at 6800 ft.
Except its more like gliding than diving....
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:06 am
  #86  
 
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Originally Posted by irishguy28
As for your remark that the plane has been found in one piece - can you provide a source? All I have seen is that debris has been spotted; not that anything has actually been found. The crash location is apparently hard to access.
The europe1 link at the start of the thread:

"Simplement, le survol en hélicoptčre a permis de voir la carcasse de l'avion et quelques corps autour de l'avion."

That is Alain Vidalies, the French Secretary of State for Transport. They're talking very much about a single plane - maybe impact damaged, but not to teh extent that they're talking about debris rather than a recognisable aircraft.
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:06 am
  #87  
 
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Originally Posted by deovrat
Accelerating while diving seems more logical, though Flightradar page does not suggest 0 feet, it stopped recording at 6800 ft.
Which would be consistent with crashing into a mountain.
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:08 am
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Originally Posted by zontar2010
Which would be consistent with crashing into a mountain.
That's true, but it still doesn't explain why the 6800ft datapoint on flightaware comes 12 minutes before the alleged distress call at 10:47am...
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:09 am
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Originally Posted by largeeyes
Except its more like gliding than diving....
Indeed, apologies.
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Old Mar 24, 2015, 6:09 am
  #90  
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Originally Posted by irishguy28
As for your remark that the plane has been found in one piece - can you provide a source? All I have seen is that debris has been spotted; not that anything has actually been found. The crash location is apparently hard to access.
Cymro said one place, not one piece.
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