AY COVID-19 - new cancellations in Europe
#136
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: HEL
Programs: lots of shiny metal cards
Posts: 12,582
I think international flights are now a really big risk - rules and restirctions might change overnight, borders closed and getting stranded, quarantined abroad is really no fun. So if it isn't REALLY essential, don't.
#137
Join Date: Jan 2019
Posts: 87
https://vahinkoapu.pohjola.fi/henkil...ustajavakuutus
#138

Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Switzerland / Estonia
Programs: BAEC Gold, AY+ Platinum, HH Diamond, Nordic Choice Hotels Silver, IHG Diamond Elite, Avis PP
Posts: 5,775
Estonia to close borders to foreign nationals.
https://news.err.ee/1064173/estonia-...-from-march-17
https://news.err.ee/1064173/estonia-...-from-march-17
#140
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Unio Europaea
Programs: BA GGL, AS, Hertz Cirque Présidentielle
Posts: 1,439
I personally have AY to LHR in April for corporate affairs and checked with London on Friday we're still good to go, so I'm still going as planned. I have ample time to adjust, in case the flights were to be cancelled. The UK has a different approach and the virus is as present as here, so I don't expect them to limit entry. Much more likely is that AY will cancel the flights.
#141

Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Switzerland / Estonia
Programs: BAEC Gold, AY+ Platinum, HH Diamond, Nordic Choice Hotels Silver, IHG Diamond Elite, Avis PP
Posts: 5,775
I'm pretty sure we'll see within a fortnight how things unravel in Europe, inc. Finland.
I personally have AY to LHR in April for corporate affairs and checked with London on Friday we're still good to go, so I'm still going as planned. I have ample time to adjust, in case the flights were to be cancelled. The UK has a different approach and the virus is as present as here, so I don't expect them to limit entry. Much more likely is that AY will cancel the flights.
I personally have AY to LHR in April for corporate affairs and checked with London on Friday we're still good to go, so I'm still going as planned. I have ample time to adjust, in case the flights were to be cancelled. The UK has a different approach and the virus is as present as here, so I don't expect them to limit entry. Much more likely is that AY will cancel the flights.
I expect all international flights and travel to be halted at some point.
Call me a pessimist, but at this point I think it is unevitable.
#142
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Unio Europaea
Programs: BA GGL, AS, Hertz Cirque Présidentielle
Posts: 1,439

In terms of savings, I think AY should now perhaps negotiate with the unions a 2-4 week total grounding. That's the most efficient cost saving measure now, taken passenger numbers will be very thin. Saves fuel, insurance etc. Hopefully we'll see at least the PRC opening up again in about one month.
#143
#144
Join Date: Apr 2017
Location: C2
Posts: 493
Is it me being too optimistic? I'm looking at the virus spread map and the virus doesn't seem to thrive in hot areas.
Take into account dense/high populated destinations such as BKK, DEL, DXB. About the same confirmed cases on those three combined as in little Finland.
Or is it just fewer tests conducted in these places?
Take into account dense/high populated destinations such as BKK, DEL, DXB. About the same confirmed cases on those three combined as in little Finland.
Or is it just fewer tests conducted in these places?
#145
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: HEL
Programs: AY Platinum, TK Elite, AA, BA, SK, DL, NT, WB + hotels
Posts: 7,006
I still expect the current Chinese flu to be similar, ie situation should improve vastly come May-June.
#146
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: May 2011
Location: MMX (CPH)
Programs: Eurobonus Diamond, QR Platinum, AY+ Platinum, A3*G, Nordic Choice Lifetime Platinum, SJ Prio Black
Posts: 12,741
Swedish authorities moved yesterday to immediately advise against trips to any country for the next 30 days.
Tvis will put huge pressure on cancellations. Deman will virtually be zero now.
Tvis will put huge pressure on cancellations. Deman will virtually be zero now.
#147
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Helsinki-Vantaa APT, Finland
Programs: AY GUEST
Posts: 5,311
Is it me being too optimistic? I'm looking at the virus spread map and the virus doesn't seem to thrive in hot areas.
Take into account dense/high populated destinations such as BKK, DEL, DXB. About the same confirmed cases on those three combined as in little Finland.
Take into account dense/high populated destinations such as BKK, DEL, DXB. About the same confirmed cases on those three combined as in little Finland.
#149
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: HEL
Programs: AY, SK, TK
Posts: 6,559
My summary from discussions with my network in health organizations:
Facts:
-virus spreads easily, airborne and contactborne
-virus is not that bad/fatal as many other influenzas
Implications:
-The Thing why quarantine and movement of people has been put in place is Not due to the fatality of virus, but due to the fact that if Not done, the harm would collapse everything at the same time leading to crisis of keeping up systems, least talk about medical staff.
-80% of people will suffer from being infected anyway, with varying symptoms from easy to fatal(not many), but the epidemic period will be 1-1,5 years due to easy virus spreading and the restrictive measures just widening the contamination period from ”all at once” to ”few at a time but longer time”
Facts:
-virus spreads easily, airborne and contactborne
-virus is not that bad/fatal as many other influenzas
Implications:
-The Thing why quarantine and movement of people has been put in place is Not due to the fatality of virus, but due to the fact that if Not done, the harm would collapse everything at the same time leading to crisis of keeping up systems, least talk about medical staff.
-80% of people will suffer from being infected anyway, with varying symptoms from easy to fatal(not many), but the epidemic period will be 1-1,5 years due to easy virus spreading and the restrictive measures just widening the contamination period from ”all at once” to ”few at a time but longer time”
#150

Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Switzerland / Estonia
Programs: BAEC Gold, AY+ Platinum, HH Diamond, Nordic Choice Hotels Silver, IHG Diamond Elite, Avis PP
Posts: 5,775
My summary from discussions with my network in health organizations:
Facts:
-virus spreads easily, airborne and contactborne
-virus is not that bad/fatal as many other influenzas
Implications:
-The Thing why quarantine and movement of people has been put in place is Not due to the fatality of virus, but due to the fact that if Not done, the harm would collapse everything at the same time leading to crisis of keeping up systems, least talk about medical staff.
-80% of people will suffer from being infected anyway, with varying symptoms from easy to fatal(not many), but the epidemic period will be 1-1,5 years due to easy virus spreading and the restrictive measures just widening the contamination period from ”all at once” to ”few at a time but longer time”
Facts:
-virus spreads easily, airborne and contactborne
-virus is not that bad/fatal as many other influenzas
Implications:
-The Thing why quarantine and movement of people has been put in place is Not due to the fatality of virus, but due to the fact that if Not done, the harm would collapse everything at the same time leading to crisis of keeping up systems, least talk about medical staff.
-80% of people will suffer from being infected anyway, with varying symptoms from easy to fatal(not many), but the epidemic period will be 1-1,5 years due to easy virus spreading and the restrictive measures just widening the contamination period from ”all at once” to ”few at a time but longer time”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graph...eC1MZhHUOPHd9s