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-   -   The day of reckoning is coming [split off from other threads] (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/external-miles-points-resources/1963056-day-reckoning-coming-split-off-other-threads.html)

josephstern Dec 5, 2018 1:35 pm

The day of reckoning is coming [split off from other threads]
 

Originally Posted by 2lovelife (Post 30501542)
I’m falling asleep within the first 2 paragraphs of every OMAAT post. He’s been doing the same thing since he was 17... and lately switched to only covering the airlines I’d never take.
I’ve switched channels along with it. I find the other bloggers posting stuff frequent flyers are interested in...

Especially because of the amount of rehash before you get to the meat of the post.

Try skipping the first two-thirds.

Renes Points Dec 5, 2018 7:53 pm


Originally Posted by josephstern (Post 30502488)
Especially because of the amount of rehash before you get to the meat of the post. Try skipping the first two-thirds.

And yet one of the most successful blogs ever. Plus, since most who comment here on the BBB are clueless, there are major changes none have seen (but may see soon).

kilbornr Dec 6, 2018 1:09 pm

Just noticed this and not sure when it changed, but OMAAT no longer has .boardingarea. in the URL. I wonder if he is going to leave the platform? I'm sure Lucky has the clout to negotiate the best deal among the Boarding Area blogs.

Raffles Dec 7, 2018 1:30 am


Originally Posted by kilbornr (Post 30506165)
Just noticed this and not sure when it changed, but OMAAT no longer has .boardingarea. in the URL. I wonder if he is going to leave the platform? I'm sure Lucky has the clout to negotiate the best deal among the Boarding Area blogs.

Reasons why - Ben doesn't need BA, even if he was on a better deal (say 30% rather than 50%) he would still be paying at least $150,000 per year to BA; he could direct-sell more space for higher rates

Reasons why not - $150k is loose change for Ben and it drives some new readers, he would also need to add some freelance tech support

The real loss for people who go on BA is lack of revenue from home page views. My home page is 30% of views and so 30% of ad revenue. I never see the home pages of BA bloggers because I never visit them directly, I use the BA site as mega-home page equivalent. Coming off BA would see a lot more home page views from people who visited directly going forward.

oliver2002 Dec 7, 2018 5:58 am

VFTW and OMAAT both have a great deal going with the HOM and Randy. Should Randy ever consider to sell BA to anyone, they should have clauses in their contracts to jump ship.

GUWonder Dec 7, 2018 6:27 am


Originally Posted by oliver2002 (Post 30508537)
VFTW and OMAAT both have a great deal going with the HOM and Randy. Should Randy ever consider to sell BA to anyone, they should have clauses in their contracts to jump ship.

mommypoints managed to jump ship even without a BA sale, right? If so, the BA bloggers definitely don't seem to be modern-day indentured servants or worse off.

Raffles Dec 7, 2018 6:35 am


Originally Posted by oliver2002 (Post 30508537)
VFTW and OMAAT both have a great deal going with the HOM and Randy.

I would put that the other way round.

84fiero Dec 7, 2018 6:36 am


Originally Posted by kilbornr (Post 30506165)
Just noticed this and not sure when it changed, but OMAAT no longer has .boardingarea. in the URL. I wonder if he is going to leave the platform? I'm sure Lucky has the clout to negotiate the best deal among the Boarding Area blogs.

I think it's been that way for quite some time. Other BA bloggers omit .boardingarea. in their URL as well - it doesn't mean anything one way or the other.

GUWonder Dec 7, 2018 6:39 am


Originally Posted by Raffles (Post 30508635)


I would put that the other way round.



That's one way to put it.

"'Great deal' with" vs "great deal going with". But I hear you on that, even as we speak the same nominal language. :D

But inertia is inertia, and it seems like VFTW's principal is busy with more than just VFTW, and OMAAT is too. So leaving a chunk of money on the table as a gift for not having to pick up the dishes and stuff may just be par for the course, no less so when they sort of grew up eating at HOM with Randy Petersen and stirring the pot and splashing around with HOM/Randy Petersen.

GUWonder Dec 7, 2018 6:46 am


Originally Posted by 84fiero (Post 30508639)
I think it's been that way for quite some time.

No, there's definitely something different with the URL(s) than there used to be earlier this year when it comes to OMAAT on boardingarea.com.

oliver2002 Dec 7, 2018 7:47 am


Originally Posted by GUWonder (Post 30508614)
mommypoints managed to jump ship even without a BA sale, right? If so, the BA bloggers definitely don't seem to be modern-day indentured servants or worse off.

As with everything else here in the peanut gallery we had this topic before. The conclusion last time was that the HOM nicely manages to keep its main light towers happy so they stay on. I doubt mommy points was one of them. Any BArea blogger is free to leave at any time, but the alternative is often daunting. Remember the exodus in 2010 or 11 where a group of BA bloggers opened a competing platform which crashed and burned due to insufficient resources? OTOH Randy can surely sell BArea rather easily if he ever decides to do so.

GUWonder Dec 7, 2018 2:23 pm


Originally Posted by oliver2002 (Post 30508855)
As with everything else here in the peanut gallery we had this topic before. The conclusion last time was that the HOM nicely manages to keep its main light towers happy so they stay on. I doubt mommy points was one of them. Any BArea blogger is free to leave at any time, but the alternative is often daunting. Remember the exodus in 2010 or 11 where a group of BA bloggers opened a competing platform which crashed and burned due to insufficient resources? OTOH Randy can surely sell BArea rather easily if he ever decides to do so.

This member of the peanut gallery say that it will be sold eventually, just a matter of under what circumstances it will be sold.

Kagehitokiri Dec 7, 2018 3:03 pm

i would think randy would not sell if he is majority owner (how old is he?)

gpapadop Dec 8, 2018 5:10 am

If Randy sells to TPG... I quit! :)

I agree with GUWonder that something is definitely different with OMAAT's url this time... #developing ?

In the meantime, Ben takes his dad around for yet another trip...Does he still do the pics of the small white towels? The cans of Diet Coke?

Maybe I should do a poll for what is next for Ben?

Raffles Dec 8, 2018 12:01 pm


Originally Posted by Kagehitokiri (Post 30510467)
i would think randy would not sell if he is majority owner (how old is he?)

Randy is winding down - read the interview he gave this week (forgot which blog).

I believe - please correct me if I'm wrong - that he's sold his office complex recently. Here is the listing for it from 2016: https://www.loopnet.com/Listing/1989...do-Springs-CO/

GUWonder Dec 8, 2018 3:29 pm


Originally Posted by Raffles (Post 30513197)
Randy is winding down - read the interview he gave this week (forgot which blog).

I believe - please correct me if I'm wrong - that he's sold his office complex recently. Here is the listing for it from 2016: https://www.loopnet.com/Listing/1989...do-Springs-CO/

Is this what you're talking about: https://pointshogger.boardingarea.co...andy-petersen/ ? I haven't read it yet.

Edit: But it's from more than a week ago, technically at least. :D


Originally Posted by pointshogger.boardingarea.com
As most people probably know already, you have been very active in the miles and points world, so what else have you been working on that we can look forward to?

I’m about at the end of a marvelous period of my life, all with nothing less than the best of all jobs (I have it), the best of all travel experiences (I’ve been to over 100 countries and visited literally every airline / hotel company HQ in the world and the best network of fellow flyer friends all around the world. With the successes of FlyerTalk, BoardingArea, the Freddie Awards and now the global locations of InsideFlyer, while I have some other ideas it really is time for me to spend more time on my ranch high in the Colorado Rocky Mountains and slow down a bit. I like heading out on terra firma in my RV. I’m not really a cowboy but play the part of one in my real life! I started all of what I do in 1986 so it is common to say that many of the frequent flyers I exchange with these days were not even born when I started. That is one of the many very positive things about miles + points.

... and it does confirm what I suspected already.

About the office space, I don't know if it used to be partially leased out to other (unrelated) companies by him before, but it's got some company using it as an office address that wasn't there a handful of years ago IIRC.

Kagehitokiri Dec 8, 2018 7:13 pm

he would almost certainly work out moving his equity with IF partners, i guess IF might sell BA

Raffles Dec 9, 2018 7:54 am

Inside Flyer is worthless, I think, based on discussions. Potentially I would take the UK arm for free, which would at least staunch those losses, in return for a revenue share.

BA is a good business but Ben, Gary and Greg - probably 70% of page views - would want either a massive cut of proceeds or a big payment to guarantee continued participation which would flatten the sale value.

Kagehitokiri Dec 9, 2018 2:14 pm

IF owns BA? unless 'coverage' was simplified
IIRC randy gave some equity in IF to 3 including gary

ben and greg could get some equity from randy
ben is still pretty young in terms of long term
there are reasons ($) ben was not acquired

basically IMHO many 'misunderstand' randy

Kagehitokiri Dec 11, 2018 4:43 pm

which sums up a lot of pop media

yet they also have readers who fly paid F using them as one of their sources

and their (related) award booking service is booming


Originally Posted by gpapadop (Post 30524508)
"All it matters is conversions" - Blogger who sold way too early

who ?

oliver2002 Mar 28, 2019 3:06 am

There must be more to this... why would VFTW and OMAAT happen to pick on TPG at this point? Usually the titans avoided taking pot shots at each other the past 8-9 years. TPG did nearly everything right and is courted by the travel industry. The other two stuck with the BArea platform and prefer(ed) anonymity. All of them still made millions, but probably TPG earned the most.

gpapadop Mar 28, 2019 4:18 am

Maybe TPG made an offer to Randy to buy BA. And Randy told the big boys in the platform. And now they are all pissed lol.

Raffles Mar 28, 2019 6:49 am

Some people believe a day of reckoning is coming.

iadisgreat Mar 28, 2019 2:28 pm


Originally Posted by Raffles (Post 30938729)
Some people believe a day of reckoning is coming.

When the bubble that has made (multiple!) people millions of dollars using information that can be obtained for free on this very website pops? I'm shocked, shocked I say!

Adam1222 Mar 28, 2019 4:21 pm

Ben continues to call out the junk posts on TPG:
"Earlier today I saw a story with hacks for scoring free bottled water at hotels.....When I first saw the headline, I figured it would provide the one useful piece of advice when it comes to scoring free spring/filtered/bottled water at hotels, but it didn’t."

This is fascinating and there has to be a story why Ben and others are finally openly criticizing the garbage of The Points Guy. Perhaps the Bonvoy garbage was the straw that broke the camel's back.

gpapadop Mar 28, 2019 7:20 pm

Well....it is weird, considering how much $$ has gone from BA to TPG:

Mommy Points went all in.
OMAAT lost a writer...James I think?

The list of BA bloggers who write at TPG for the money is endless: Deals We Like, Pizza With Motion, Points With a Crew....add to the list, I am going to watch some ncaa basketball before I fall asleep :)

zeer0 Mar 28, 2019 7:31 pm


Originally Posted by gpapadop (Post 30941163)
Well....it is weird, considering how much $$ has gone from BA to TPG:

Mommy Points went all in.
OMAAT lost a writer...James I think?

The list of BA bloggers who write at TPG for the money is endless: Deals We Like, Pizza With Motion, Points With a Crew....add to the list, I am going to watch some ncaa basketball before I fall asleep :)

Wow, I had no idea so many people are writing for TPG. Very disappointed to see Ed and Dan writing for that sellout.

flashware Mar 29, 2019 12:10 am


Originally Posted by zeer0 (Post 30941191)
Wow, I had no idea so many people are writing for TPG. Very disappointed to see Ed and Dan writing for that sellout.

It's called capitalism, money talks!

oliver2002 Mar 29, 2019 2:04 am


Originally Posted by iadisgreat (Post 30940356)
When the bubble that has made (multiple!) people millions of dollars using information that can be obtained for free on this very website pops? I'm shocked, shocked I say!

Nope, that is staying. What may/will/must happen is that the HOM/RanDecisions will soon cash out on the BArea pot of gold. Most probably all of the bloggers hosted by BArea can't do anything about it.

gpapadop Mar 29, 2019 3:39 am

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> HOM/RanDecisions will soon cash out on the BArea pot of gold

I am surprised it has not happened...yet.

kokonutz Mar 29, 2019 10:32 pm


Originally Posted by oliver2002 (Post 30941913)
Nope, that is staying. What may/will/must happen is that the HOM/RanDecisions will soon cash out on the BArea pot of gold. Most probably all of the bloggers hosted by BArea can't do anything about it.

But isn't BA's greatest asset OMAAT and VFTW? And they are free to walk anytime?

Reminds me of the time on Mad Men when the British buyers found out that Don Draper wasn't under contract.


GUWonder Mar 31, 2019 4:58 pm


Originally Posted by gpapadop (Post 30936584)
Maybe he had an offer from TPG which he found demeaning lol.

Would TPG even try to buy up the BA heavy-weights? TPG seems to have the audience it wants and seems intent to build it up by poaching writers who have their following but are small enough to be bought by it on the relative cheap.

oliver2002 Apr 1, 2019 1:31 am

It seems Brian of TPG has taken over the role Randy played a few years ago and is now courted by the travel loyalty industry (and the credit card companies, but that is more of a 2010s phenomenon and was never really Randys thing). Gary and Ben were pushed/promoted by Randy in the past (eg when a news outlet called to get an appearance etc) but not to the extent to replace him entirely.

Neither managed to clearly step out of the shadow of Randy and while the credit card commissions flowed and some ad revenue came in, Brian/TPG gets the limelight.

kokonutz Apr 2, 2019 3:55 am


Originally Posted by oliver2002 (Post 30951397)
It seems Brian of TPG has taken over the role Randy played a few years ago and is now courted by the travel loyalty industry (and the credit card companies, but that is more of a 2010s phenomenon and was never really Randys thing). Gary and Ben were pushed/promoted by Randy in the past (eg when a news outlet called to get an appearance etc) but not to the extent to replace him entirely.

Neither managed to clearly step out of the shadow of Randy and while the credit card commissions flowed and some ad revenue came in, Brian/TPG gets the limelight.

This feels like what is happening.

Big difference: Randy was always a bit of hippie and that kept him from selling out entirely (even when he sold FlyerTalk he tried to make it happen again with MilePoint rather than staying on his knees before his new corporate overlords). Brian has no such qualms.

GUWonder May 16, 2019 3:10 pm

So to whom and when is RandyPetersen selling off the BA blog business?

Raffles May 17, 2019 1:37 am


Originally Posted by GUWonder (Post 31108840)
So to whom and when is RandyPetersen selling off the BA blog business?

As the 80/20 rules is at play here, probably no-one unless Ben gets a big cut of the equity,

There is something here though. Ben has card links, others do not. Under some sort of structures, Ben could probably take control and then make the other BA writers subaffiliates using his permissions. Could be lucrative.

oliver2002 May 17, 2019 1:49 am

Don't forget VFTW.

84fiero May 17, 2019 8:40 am


Originally Posted by Raffles (Post 31110254)


As the 80/20 rules is at play here, probably no-one unless Ben gets a big cut of the equity,

There is something here though. Ben has card links, others do not. Under some sort of structures, Ben could probably take control and then make the other BA writers subaffiliates using his permissions. Could be lucrative.

:confused: Lots of BA bloggers have abundant credit card affiliate links. Ben isn't at all unique in that regard.

gpapadop May 17, 2019 1:11 pm

GSTP already subleasing cc affiliate links from Ben. Ok,, so more do among BA blogs...but that market is inherently limited (think 5/24, amex once in a lifetime, etc)...

While GTP has deals with Business Insider and a crapload of other heavy traffic sites dealing wit newbies who had never had a CSP before.

#developing


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