EVA AIR 2018 Outlook/Future Fleet Plans
#47
Original Poster
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: SFO
Programs: BR Diamond, Dynasty Flyer Paragon, Marriott Lifetime Plat
Posts: 1,926
Not fully loaded. They would be severely weight restricted. Don't see the -10s flying into NA. Part of their North America ops and why they've been so successful is that they carry lots of cargo in addition to pax while limiting the # of cargo flights into and out of the destinations. If they are weight restricted(which they will be with the -10), they may be presented with some yield and profitability issues on some routes.
#48
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 57
Not fully loaded. They would be severely weight restricted. Don't see the -10s flying into NA. Part of their North America ops and why they've been so successful is that they carry lots of cargo in addition to pax while limiting the # of cargo flights into and out of the destinations. If they are weight restricted(which they will be with the -10), they may be presented with some yield and profitability issues on some routes.
#49
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: LAX
Programs: AA Plat, DL, AS, UA, IHG Plat
Posts: 2,404
787-10 should be able to do TPE-Australia or BKK-Europe without much trouble.
TPE-US West Coast will be tough with early build -10s. Boeing may come out with PIP or up-rated version of -10 later that can do US West Coast.
TPE-US West Coast will be tough with early build -10s. Boeing may come out with PIP or up-rated version of -10 later that can do US West Coast.
#50
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: LAS ORD
Programs: AA Pro (mostly B6) OZ♦ (flying BR/UA), BA Silver Hyatt LT, Wynn Black, Cosmo Plat, Mlife Noir
Posts: 5,992
Let's not forget that the 787-10 is meant to be an A330 killer and (vastly superior) replacement for the 767. We will see BR use the 787-10 to replace its A330 fleet and expand route network that the A330 would be used on, not to replace the 77W.
The 787-10 is also meant to complement the 787-9, giving operators an airframe with a 3000-4000nm CASM sweet spot while having 90%+ parts commonality and same type rating, lowering costs for existing 787-9 operators. It's certainly not meant to compete with the 787-9.
More to the point, there is no reason for BR to fly TPE-USA with the 787-10. The 787-10 is a pure stretch of the 787-9 - literally the same MTOW, so it is a straight swap of pax/payload for range. If an operator has to limit pax/payload on the 787-10 in order to get more range, then they're using the wrong plane.
#51
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: LAX
Programs: AA Plat, DL, AS, UA, IHG Plat
Posts: 2,404
More to the point, there is no reason for BR to fly TPE-USA with the 787-10. The 787-10 is a pure stretch of the 787-9 - literally the same MTOW, so it is a straight swap of pax/payload for range. If an operator has to limit pax/payload on the 787-10 in order to get more range, then they're using the wrong plane.
#52
Original Poster
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: SFO
Programs: BR Diamond, Dynasty Flyer Paragon, Marriott Lifetime Plat
Posts: 1,926
EVA Air has reportedly agreed to lease B-16715, the Star Alliance livery aircraft, to Air New Zealand for it to operate on NZ9/10 to Honolulu starting this August. Aircraft is dry-leased but BR will be dispatching two mx personnel to ensure the proper maintenance of the aircraft up to their standards.
#53
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: CAN, LAX, TPE
Programs: AA, AS, CI, DL, UA
Posts: 2,896
I do agree they ordered more 787-10 than most of us think they need. Perhaps they will deploy more of them to regional routes replacing the 321 that passengers dislike.
#54
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 352
There is an article on airliners.net that says the 787-10 range @ MTOW is 5000nm. YVR/SEA + VIE/AMS/LHR/CDG are right at the cusp, at about 5100-5300nm. How much of a CASM hit would those destinations be? Is that less efficient than using this plane on all of these sub-2000nm destinations?
Link to the great circle mapping site showing EVA destinations overlaid on 2000 nm and 5000 nm range circles from TPE. It is interesting to illustrate the geographic centrality of TPE for SE/E/N Asia destinations: https://bit.ly/2Ngxl6G
Last edited by east_west; Jul 14, 2018 at 8:28 am
#55
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: LAS ORD
Programs: AA Pro (mostly B6) OZ♦ (flying BR/UA), BA Silver Hyatt LT, Wynn Black, Cosmo Plat, Mlife Noir
Posts: 5,992
The odd thing is that BR has essentially one destination -- BNE -- that has a range in this sweet spot. All of the other destinations are less than 2000 nm or >5000 nm from TPE. (roughly.. VIE is 4851nm and DPS/CGK are 2050nm). Given the 787-10 CASM sweet spot, isn't the 787-10 too much plane for the <2000nm destinations and not enough for the >5000nm? Seems like BR needs Boeing MoM offering.
There is an article on airliners.net that says the 787-10 range @ MTOW is 5000nm. YVR/SEA + VIE/AMS/LHR/CDG are right at the cusp, at about 5100-5300nm. How much of a CASM hit would those destinations be? Is that less efficient than using this plane on all of these sub-2000nm destinations?
#56
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: LAX
Programs: AA Plat, DL, AS, UA, IHG Plat
Posts: 2,404
The odd thing is that BR has essentially one destination -- BNE -- that has a range in this sweet spot. All of the other destinations are less than 2000 nm or >5000 nm from TPE. (roughly.. VIE is 4851nm and DPS/CGK are 2050nm). Given the 787-10 CASM sweet spot, isn't the 787-10 too much plane for the <2000nm destinations and not enough for the >5000nm? Seems like BR needs Boeing MoM offering.
There is an article on airliners.net that says the 787-10 range @ MTOW is 5000nm. YVR/SEA + VIE/AMS/LHR/CDG are right at the cusp, at about 5100-5300nm. How much of a CASM hit would those destinations be? Is that less efficient than using this plane on all of these sub-2000nm destinations?
Link to the great circle mapping site showing EVA destinations overlaid on 2000 nm and 5000 nm range circles from TPE. It is interesting to illustrate the geographic centrality of TPE for SE/E/N Asia destinations: https://bit.ly/2Ngxl6G
There is an article on airliners.net that says the 787-10 range @ MTOW is 5000nm. YVR/SEA + VIE/AMS/LHR/CDG are right at the cusp, at about 5100-5300nm. How much of a CASM hit would those destinations be? Is that less efficient than using this plane on all of these sub-2000nm destinations?
Link to the great circle mapping site showing EVA destinations overlaid on 2000 nm and 5000 nm range circles from TPE. It is interesting to illustrate the geographic centrality of TPE for SE/E/N Asia destinations: https://bit.ly/2Ngxl6G
And yes, BR is a prime candidate for Boeing MoM. I expect all the major Asian network airlines to order this plane when it is officially offered.
#57
Original Poster
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: SFO
Programs: BR Diamond, Dynasty Flyer Paragon, Marriott Lifetime Plat
Posts: 1,926
First look at the new 789! Featuring a UA-like wavy line livery and large "787" numbers printed in the front of the aircraft(between doors 1 and 2). According to the latest rumors amongst the staff, the aircraft will enter scheduled service in October, and will be joined by a 2nd one in November. Crew training flights will last for around 1-2 months, depending on the progress of the training. First cabin crew class has just recently received their first type rating certificate, 3-5 more classes will follow in the coming months.
Last edited by hayzel7773; Jul 23, 2018 at 3:52 am
#60
Original Poster
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: SFO
Programs: BR Diamond, Dynasty Flyer Paragon, Marriott Lifetime Plat
Posts: 1,926