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-   -   Is Emirates a financial scam? (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/emirates-skywards/1627541-emirates-financial-scam.html)

iahphx Apr 20, 2015 6:41 pm


Originally Posted by GUWonder (Post 24694170)
The UAE's ruler-in-waiting is meeting with the US President this week. I doubt that US President's biggest concern in the discussions revolves around placating the US3 whiners.

I'm pretty sure Obama doesn't give a fig what the DOT does on this. I'm also sure the UAE does.

Meanwhile, there's an interesting story in tomorrow's WSJ about the "gumshoes" hired by the US airlines to comb through various documents worldwide to uncover the subsidies. The US3 are going to release 1,000 pages of documents tomorrow.

Honestly, the story regarding Etihad and Qatar is more sad than interesting. Nobody could realistically question the massive subsidies those two airlines received from their governments. The Emirates situation is far more interesting, because Emirates is much more of a real airline and the subsidies, assuming they exist, were hidden from their auditors.

Here's one passage from the WSJ story:
Emirates has published its financial statements for the past 13 years and is starting to make earlier reports available as well. But the U.S. carriers claim they also uncovered evidence that it received at least $5 billion in subsidies since 2004.

Among other things, they pointed to a reduction from 15.1 billion U.A.E. dirhams to 5.6 million dirhams in fuel-price hedging contracts on its books between 2008 and 2009, a time when many airlines took hedging losses after jet fuel prices tumbled. The majority of the contracts were transferred to a Dubai government holding company, the financial statement said. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP audited the books.

Emirates declined to comment on the hedging contracts.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-airl...5?mod=yahoo_hs

Xlr Apr 20, 2015 10:05 pm

My earlier post (#955) talks about the fuel hedge contract. The counterparties to EK's hedging contracts were Morgan Stanley. I wonder why that fact hasn't been mentioned at all, and no one has reached out to them for comment.

As for the documents being released tomorrow... they should make this thread interesting again!

washeelers747 Apr 20, 2015 10:13 pm


Originally Posted by GUWonder (Post 24694170)
The UAE's ruler-in-waiting is meeting with the US President this week. I doubt that US President's biggest concern in the discussions revolves around placating the US3 whiners.

doubt US prez want to work much with House of Rep's Transportation Committee Chairman, his girlfriend, and her lobbying firm to please whiny US3 :D.

I suspect that UAE ruler might request US to stay low on subsidy claims in exchange of grant more supports or favorable deals for US military in the Middle East region.

eternaltransit Apr 20, 2015 11:02 pm


Originally Posted by washeelers747 (Post 24695660)
doubt US prez want to work much with House of Rep's Transportation Committee Chairman, his girlfriend, and her lobbying firm to please whiny US3 :D.

I suspect that UAE ruler might request US to stay low on subsidy claims in exchange of grant more supports or favorable deals for US military in the Middle East region.

http://www.newser.com/story/205565/h...-lobbyist.html

Busted! Of course, there are no allegations of impropriety about setting the agenda! :D

In reply to the OP in 1381 EK did in fact comment on the fuel hedging: http://www.emirates.com/us/english/a...s-release.aspx

for convenience I will quote it:

Originally Posted by Emirates
Allegation: Emirates benefited from $2.7b in subsidies from the government’s assumption of fuel hedging losses, and the government also provided Emirates $1.6b in letters of credit:
Emirates’ response: That is untrue. All cash losses incurred by Emirates as a result of its fuel trades in place in 2008/09 were settled in full from the airline’s own cash reserves and not paid for by the government of Dubai. The letters of credit mentioned in the white paper were in fact provided by Emirates to our owners, ICD, in support of the fuel trades novated, not the other way round.

As Xlr noted - he also responded with points about fuel hedge derivatives and the conclusion that without further evidence we don't know how the trade was settled.

I look forward to the new document releases!

edy4eva Apr 20, 2015 11:39 pm

Taking this conversation sideways here to point out my surprise at the 5 votes so far that seem to believe that EK is a financial scam.

Could the mod perhaps establish that the 5 votes are by old/active FT accounts please?

And why is there a 'don't care' option? They care enough to vote! Perhaps it should have been yes/no/maybe/not sure.

The question in itself is biased and convoluted. Especially that we have no idea whether the voters have flown EK before, or more relevant to the nature of the question whether they have an interest in the Fair Skies movement and whether they have any hard evidence.

Polling for this simple and general question on FT without further background questions could be the equivalent of asking shoppers at a food tasting station in a supermarket for their views on the outcome of the 2016 elections.

iahphx Apr 20, 2015 11:43 pm

US3 has written a letter to the US gov't asking for an immediate freeze on new ME3 flights because of a rush of new service in front of a possible future freeze.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...ats-amid-probe

It's certainly possible some of the "goofy" new service is in response to fears that it wouldn't be allowed in the future. That said, the flights don't really seem any odder to me that the ones they launched BEFORE these proceedings started.

irishguy28 Apr 20, 2015 11:57 pm

The US3 apparently seem to think that the best they can hope for is a freeze on new services/frequencies.

edy4eva Apr 21, 2015 12:08 am


Originally Posted by iahphx (Post 24695880)
US3 has written a letter to the US gov't asking for an immediate freeze on new ME3 flights because of a rush of new service in front of a possible future freeze.

Not true. The US3 amplified the news about EK expansions and are presenting it as cause to "emphasize the need for a freeze on the Gulf carriers’ expansion until a resolution of the disagreement is reached".

There's no mention of 'immediate freeze', unless you have access to that document that features this specific expression.

As for the expansions, well going double daily and adding a route is hardly a RUSH, and the only new destination is MCO, all other changes have been in the works/announced for months. In the case of EY, since last year.

The letter and article about it have desperation written all over them. US3 are the ones rushing much like you seem to be rushing into concluding (and hoping) that the perceived rush is the actual cause for the emphasis on the need for a freeze.

moondog Apr 21, 2015 12:32 am


Originally Posted by edy4eva (Post 24695872)
Taking this conversation sideways here to point out my surprise at the 5 votes so far that seem to believe that EK is a financial scam.

Could the mod perhaps establish that the 5 votes are by old/active FT accounts please?

And why is there a 'don't care' option? They care enough to vote! Perhaps it should have been yes/no/maybe/not sure.

I am one of the "I don't care," crowd because I honestly don't care if airlines are subsidized.

irishguy28 Apr 21, 2015 2:16 am

I would love to be able to attend this!!!


Originally Posted by Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman
The Gulf Carriers: Good for the U.S. Airline Industry as well as for Consumers? Or a Threat to Sustainability?

CAPA will host the largest and most complete public debate on the U.S.-Gulf airlines confrontation, including the major proponents in a moderated discussion.

The debate, part of CAPA’s Americas Aviation Summit in Las Vegas on 27/28 April, will span two hours, under the expert guidance of leading U.S. aviation lawyer, Pillsbury’s Kenneth P Quinn.

Emirates’ President and CEO, Sir Tim Clark will take part in the debate, along with American’s Will Ris, Delta’s Ben Hirst, FedEx’s Rush O’Keefe, Etihad GC Jim Callaghan, USTA CEO Roger Dow, WTTC CEO David Scowsill, and former ALPA President Lee Moak, now President of Americans for Fair Skies.

Moderator:

•Kenneth P. Quinn, Pillsbury, Partner and Head Aviation, Aerospace and Transportation Practice

Panelists:

•Will Ris, American Airlines, Senior VP Government Affairs
•Lee Moak, Americans for Fair Skies, President
•Ben Hirst, Delta Air Lines, Executive VP & Chief Legal Officer
•Sir Tim Clark, Emirates, President and CEO
•Jim Callaghan, Etihad Airways, General Counsel and EVP Legal
•Rush O’Keefe, FedEx, EVP and Chief Legal Officer
•Roger Dow, U.S. Travel Association, President & CEO
•David Scowsill, World Travel and Tourism Council, President & CEO


irishguy28 Apr 21, 2015 3:37 am

Alitalia May Be Next to Quit AEA as Rift Over Gulf Rivals Grows
 

Originally Posted by Bloomberg

Alitalia SpA may follow British Airways parent IAG in quitting the Association of European Airlines as a rift widens over the competitive threat from Gulf carriers, which are the biggest shareholders at both companies.

“A strong signal is needed and other airlines have already done that,” Alitalia Chief Executive Officer Silvano Cassano, whose Rome-based company is 49 percent owned by Etihad Airways PJSC, said in an interview. Alitalia will weigh “pros and cons” and take a decision on membership within days, he said.


edy4eva Apr 21, 2015 4:34 am

AB also exited.

irishguy28 Apr 21, 2015 4:56 am

Indeed!


Originally Posted by Arabian Business
Etihad-backed Air Berlin said on Tuesday it has cancelled membership with an European airline lobby group amid an escalating dispute over how to deal with Middle East growth carriers.


washeelers747 Apr 21, 2015 5:47 am

I'm truly impressed that Sir Tim Clark will make an appearance in Vegas! Where is Richard Anderson?

Will be fun to see if Clark make announcement that EK launch new route to Las Vegas in Vegas with EK's usual Vegas-worthy noise :D.

Btw I did click "I don't care" because i knew US3 receive many different kind of subsides yet I still fly with them when I have to. If ME3 receive some subsides from government, good for them because they ensure that passengers can enjoy excellent products & service which US3 with wide range of subsides aren't able to do that.

You want to go where? Apr 21, 2015 7:12 am


Originally Posted by edy4eva (Post 24695872)
And why is there a 'don't care' option? They care enough to vote! Perhaps it should have been yes/no/maybe/not sure.

I voted 'don't care'.

As an academic exercise, I find this debate interesting. The US3 are trying to use public opinion to sway the US government to find in their favor (hence the numerous ads produced by them talking about the 'ME3 subsidies'). I am intellectually curious as to whether their argument actually holds water. However, as a frequent flyer, I don't care whether they receive subsidies or not. I care whether they are safe, comfortable, and fly where I want to fly. I am not worried about the competition they might provide to the US3. At this point, the US3 need more competition to force them to up their game.

I do know that the Emirate of Dubai does not have the financial wherewithal to subsidize EK to the extent that it is going to seriously impact the US airline industry. Qatar and Etihad might have more backing, but with current oil prices, I don't think the State of Qatar or the Emirate of Abu Dhabi have unlimited resources to pour into their airlines, either, and a lot more would be required to bring them to the point of seriously impacting the US airline industry. So for me, if the subsidies exist, they are subsidizing me in the form of cheaper, more comfortable flights. If the subsidies don't exist, then these airlines are providing a great service without subsidies.


Consequently, I don't care if EK is a 'financial scam' although I would also say that I am 'not sure' whether it is or not, as well.


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