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-   -   'Is Flying First Class Doomed?' (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/emirates-skywards/1606377-flying-first-class-doomed.html)

DYKWIA Aug 29, 2014 5:00 am


Originally Posted by subject2load (Post 23442567)
DYKWIA - I suspect you will wait a long time for such proof.

It's a very common myth amongst many travellers with limited/zero first-hand experience of Emirates, and the part of the world in which they are based, that the airline is heavily subsidised - or even totally state-funded. I think the myth gets peddled around as the result of a misguided belief that it must be, surely ....I mean ...... with all that money they've got out there ....... :eek:

My own understanding, having previously spent some years living in the region, is that in the early days of its inception & initial development, the airline did indeed receive significant 'state support'. However, the intention all along was that it would stand on its own feet, and the clearest indication that the transition to a conventional commercial operation had been successfully completed was the first publication (can't quote the actual year) of fully-audited company accounts & reports, a practice which of course has continued ever since. State-run industries are not in the habit of providing Annual Reports for public consumption .....!

One qualification I would add - and this more by way of an educated assumption than any sort of 'inside knowledge' - is that if by chance EK ever got itself into serious, 'life-threatening' difficulties, then those holding the reins of power in Dubai would not wish to see their flag carrier fail. Given the airline's ongoing level of success, such protection seems unlikely to be needed ; but I'd bet my mortgage that it would be there.

That was my understanding... but I thought I may be wrong as there are some very strong opinions being passed of as facts by certain posters.

The initial set up was funded by the Dubai government, and it consisted of 2 (I think) aircraft.

I also agree that the Dubai government would step in to prop up EK if it had financial difficulties. A bit like what happens when US airlines have financial difficulties (Chapter 11) :)

Always Flyin Aug 29, 2014 10:36 am


Originally Posted by joshwex90 (Post 23442011)
Government funding (meaning no need to rely on your actual revenue) is very different than bankruptcy protection

Even when, as part of that bankruptcy process, the government assumed liability for the airlines' pension plans?

Havoc10G Aug 29, 2014 1:51 pm

'Is Flying First Class Doomed?'
 
There are no implicit guarantees anymore in Dubai. The banks made the mistake of assuming this in '08. As a result the banks lend at market rates to EK with no sovereign guarantee. I also tend to believe the only subsidies are indirect eg salary cost lower. EK is profitable in its own right. Dubai of all places would never subsidise such a large enterprise as it would not make sense to a place with no huge oil and gas income.

joshwex90 Aug 30, 2014 2:37 pm

It's wholly owned by the government of Dubai...

Havoc10G Aug 30, 2014 4:42 pm

'Is Flying First Class Doomed?'
 
No it's owned by ICD a government entity. The same as Dubai World which if you remember during the crisis did not receive any automatic guarantee on its debts and went through a restructuring process as did nakheel. Sovereign guarantees are explicit not implicit. There many other examples.

TRVLUPGD Aug 30, 2014 5:29 pm

Arguments on StATE fINANCED OR NOT..i CAN'T BELIEVE THAT EITHER OF YOU HAVE PROOF ONE WAY OR ANOTHER.

I have not seen their balance sheets....can you tell me who actually owns the airline ? Where did the $$$ come from for the capitalization and continuing expansion?

It is the flag carrier,its sucess at any rate is paramont to Dubai Govt. $$$ invested, new airport,"excess " personnel but very importantly PRIDE.

joshwex90 Aug 30, 2014 11:37 pm


Originally Posted by Havoc10G (Post 23449788)
No it's owned by ICD a government entity. The same as Dubai World which if you remember during the crisis did not receive any automatic guarantee on its debts and went through a restructuring process as did nakheel. Sovereign guarantees are explicit not implicit. There many other examples.

Their own website says:

Originally Posted by Emirates.com
Though wholly owned by the Government of Dubai

Source: The Emirates Story | About Emirates | Emirates

Havoc10G Aug 31, 2014 2:15 am


Originally Posted by joshwex90 (Post 23450862)
Their own website says:

Source: The Emirates Story | About Emirates | Emirates

My point was it isn't in receipt of any guarantee and that owned via ICD, which in turn is owned by the Government does not imply a guarantee as per the other examples.

duckied Aug 31, 2014 8:03 am

RE Emirates. Let's look at what we know to be fact.

It is 100% owned by a govt holding company.

Dubai is running out of oil. Emirates is INTEGRAL to the government of Dubai to stimulate the tourism industry and has really helped put Dubai on the world map.

You cannot put oil into a planes fuel tanks. Emirates needs to buy jet fuel like every other airline.

Emirates biggest advantage is perhaps that the Dubai government is extremely PRO aviation. It has a geographical advantage. It has a HUGE advantage in that it's hub operates 24/7 allowing Emirates to get much more utlisation out of their staff and aircraft than those operating from night restricted hubs in europe and much of the western world.

Emirates doesn't have the western world corporate problems of contributing to pension funds for staff. Negotiating with unions. Paying staff while they are off on long term sick or maternity/paternity leave. If you are crew for emirates and get pregnant or get cancer - you are on the next plane back to your home country.

DYKWIA Aug 31, 2014 8:24 am


Originally Posted by duckied (Post 23451862)
RE Emirates. Let's look at what we know to be fact.

It is 100% owned by a govt holding company.

Dubai is running out of oil. Emirates is INTEGRAL to the government of Dubai to stimulate the tourism industry and has really helped put Dubai on the world map.

You cannot put oil into a planes fuel tanks. Emirates needs to buy jet fuel like every other airline.

Emirates biggest advantage is perhaps that the Dubai government is extremely PRO aviation. It has a geographical advantage. It has a HUGE advantage in that it's hub operates 24/7 allowing Emirates to get much more utlisation out of their staff and aircraft than those operating from night restricted hubs in europe and much of the western world.

Emirates doesn't have the western world corporate problems of contributing to pension funds for staff. Negotiating with unions. Paying staff while they are off on long term sick or maternity/paternity leave. If you are crew for emirates and get pregnant or get cancer - you are on the next plane back to your home country.

Complete rubbish yet again.

eponymous_coward Sep 1, 2014 9:42 am


Originally Posted by joshwex90 (Post 23442002)
Fair enough - time will tell whether when they've "finished" spending tons of outlay costs, we see a drastic change in profits.

3 things to watch though:
  1. Once you've gotten into the habit of spending, it's hard to break it, especially when airlines like EY are trying to outdo you every step along the way
  2. All these outlays could very mean high variable costs to maintain, even when the fixed sunk costs finish
  3. Amazon is great. But not their profits. In an effort to gain market share, they've lost profit

That's pretty much expected. They have, however, vacuumed up a lot of longhaul European airline market share, which is why LH et. al. are panicked about EK. EK has good service to a part of the world that's going to drive airline growth (India), they're well positioned as a scissors hub for SE Asia and Australia, and their labor and tax regime gives them advantages, plus they're an airline that's able to use the A380 for what it's meant to do (be rammed full of pax on low-frequency, high volume routes, and reduce CASM). They also run solid premium classes (including their F). It's a pretty good value proposition for their business. I'd expect that at some point they will cap out their growth (there are certain markets where cabotage will mean they never fly the route, plus I don't think that a low frequency A380 model that does fifth freedom flying works in certain markets, especially in the USA, and DXB only works for certain routes).

duckied Sep 1, 2014 3:35 pm


Originally Posted by DYKWIA (Post 23451925)
Complete rubbish yet again.

I worked for Emirates as crew for eight years. I was involved in an accident while out in Dubai which would have led to around two months of non working then a phased back schedule due to broken limbs. My contract was terminated within minutes of my appointment with my manager to discuss my accident. After eight years of service without a single day off sick. I was sent home three days later.

What part is complete rubbish DYKWIA?

Mike Jacoubowsky Sep 1, 2014 4:14 pm


Originally Posted by duckied (Post 23457910)
I worked for Emirates as crew for eight years. I was involved in an accident while out in Dubai which would have led to around two months of non working then a phased back schedule due to broken limbs. My contract was terminated within minutes of my appointment with my manager to discuss my accident. After eight years of service without a single day off sick. I was sent home three days later.

What part is complete rubbish DYKWIA?

No free lunch, is there? Westerners complain about the age of flight attendants and marvel at the Stepford-wife equivalent on many foreign carriers. What happens to the cute young women as they become not quite so cute and not quite so young anymore? We enjoy the benefits of less-restrictive labor regulations (on some foreign carriers) without thinking much about the cost.

So what does this have to do with travel in F? Maybe that the relatively-low costs and "attractiveness" of the F we see on foreign carriers are often subsidized by poorer working conditions.

Calchas Sep 1, 2014 8:15 pm

So the answer is, F is not doomed?

Yay.


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