SDC - a dying benefit due to load factors?
#46
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: HNL
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I always encourage everyone to board DL J flights (esp. 767) early and check the seat functionality right away. Key is to catch it before door closes, then the crew can't ignore it and techs from the ground will be brought on to fix it (possibly delaying the flight, but, well, that is what happens as DL tech ops and maintenance is so sub-standard and doesn't believe in a pro-active approach, as most other airlines typically deal with this IME).
So if I understand you correctly, you are saying:
- without easy SDC there's no reason to buy F/J fares
- DL's J cabins are small (compared to competition that does seem true) and consistently oversold -- I thought they avoided the heck out of overbooking J and usually only downgauges are where this happens
- yet somehow people are getting upgraded into J and preventing people from actually buying seats -- if this is happening AND J is routinely oversold then this would seem like a colossal revenue management failure, wouldn't you agree?
- without easy SDC there's no reason to buy F/J fares
- DL's J cabins are small (compared to competition that does seem true) and consistently oversold -- I thought they avoided the heck out of overbooking J and usually only downgauges are where this happens
- yet somehow people are getting upgraded into J and preventing people from actually buying seats -- if this is happening AND J is routinely oversold then this would seem like a colossal revenue management failure, wouldn't you agree?
- DL normally holds back one J seat for day-of-flight irrops, but just one; four figure $ eCV offers - not just once but multiple days in a row of flying out a day later for J pax, while not common, are not uncommon (so if you are flexible, you can "make" several $1000s in Delta eCV "dollars" by pushing back your flights a day, then another day, and so on, until the irrops situation normalizes)
- the times that I've observed some F/J seats are open still a few days before flight, there is a pattern of 5 days before, and then 24 hours before flight, the seat map getting more filled (and fully or a lot more filled up at 23:50 vs 25:00 hours out), so when the flights are not full, it seems to be filled up with upgrades at T-24, i.e. just before SDC window opens, thus often leaving no confirmed and only standby room for same day change; that being said, seat map is not an exact representation of availability, but it does seem that DL is too generous with upgrades, at the expense of paying F/J pax SDC options, it in effect being a penalty for buying a more expensive ticket (with Y there are more seats and more likely open seats allowing you to SDC than with F/J)
Last edited by RealHJ; Jun 4, 2019 at 5:22 pm
#48
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: DCA
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Posts: 2,227
I'm not disputing it's a great perk -- but the OP was expressing displeasure that load factors are preventing the ability to SDC and my point is if you want / need the flexibility from the start the Delta offers flexible tickets that guarantee the benefit you describe but at a cost to hedge against the potential for you canceling too late for them to otherwise sell the seat.
If you don't choose the buy the flexibility up front, the perk is a great option when you can take advantage of it, but you can't complain about the airline conducting BAU (aka selling seats on their flights) and by extension missing out on the opportunity.
If you don't choose the buy the flexibility up front, the perk is a great option when you can take advantage of it, but you can't complain about the airline conducting BAU (aka selling seats on their flights) and by extension missing out on the opportunity.
I think the complaint is not about Delta restricting SDC on the flights that are about to sell out—it's the flight that's 25% empty but only selling and H fare, and you've booked a K fare. Especially irrational for the airline is where I originally booked a K fare on a flight that's now 99% full, and I can't change to the flight that's 75% full without K available.
#49
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Join Date: Feb 2017
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There really isn't a product that offers that flexibility. Buying a flexible fare to begin with is actually no different for the purposes we're discussing than just waiting to buy your ticket on the day of departure—the total cost will always be equal. And even if that did work—I still think there's a market for something that costs a small amount (or given as an elite benefit) for changes that no one in their right mind would pay hundreds of dollars in fare difference for.
I think the complaint is not about Delta restricting SDC on the flights that are about to sell out—it's the flight that's 25% empty but only selling and H fare, and you've booked a K fare. Especially irrational for the airline is where I originally booked a K fare on a flight that's now 99% full, and I can't change to the flight that's 75% full without K available.
I think the complaint is not about Delta restricting SDC on the flights that are about to sell out—it's the flight that's 25% empty but only selling and H fare, and you've booked a K fare. Especially irrational for the airline is where I originally booked a K fare on a flight that's now 99% full, and I can't change to the flight that's 75% full without K available.
Take SJC-ATL on this Saturday morning. I hate to fly back on Saturday, but I needed to. And when I tried to buy a ticket this morning, I was presented with a $1500 ticket for a one-way. For a 6:23 AM Saturday morning flight. Oh, and it's Economy, since first is completely sold out. Not just on the 6 AM flight, but on all flights that day. So even if I pay that $1500 fare, I will likely be stuck in my good friend 36C (all bookable window/aisle seats are already taken). This is just a typical Saturday. There is no major conference going on this week. It's just.. a regular Saturday.
This is just one example, but it is endemic on a lot of routes I fly.
I get that part of it is revenue management, but to me it's revenue management gone wrong - or at least to the extreme detriment of high value customers. it's just amazingly frustrating that Delta fills up the planes with complete below-cost garbage fares (this is the same flight they are happy to sell an $800 First Class round trip SJC-ATL-MIA/CLT/CVG/CMH/anywhere East Coast pretty much any time) and then leaves someone pay a high Y (no F options, no aisle/window seats available for selection - main cabin, preferred, Comfort+), and all for the steal of a price of either no option at all or - at best - for $1500+.
#50
Join Date: Feb 2016
Programs: DL DM, SPG Plat 100/LT Gold, Marriott Plat, National Executive Elite
Posts: 2,988
You don't have a choice of seats and pay a sky high price because you buy at the last possible minute. All carriers charge through the roof and don't expect you to whine about not getting your choice of seat.
If you want that choice, fly private or plan in advance. I just don't get all the complaining when you're electing to pay the fare, seeing the seat map beforehand - if you don't want or need it, don't buy it.
I'm guessing you or your employer needs it so the price or your seat choice isn't much of a concern.
#51
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Not really. They can't fill up a plane with YBM fares entirely.
You don't have a choice of seats and pay a sky high price because you buy at the last possible minute. All carriers charge through the roof and don't expect you to whine about not getting your choice of seat.
If you want that choice, fly private or plan in advance. I just don't get all the complaining when you're electing to pay the fare, seeing the seat map beforehand - if you don't want or need it, don't buy it.
I'm guessing you or your employer needs it so the price or your seat choice isn't much of a concern.
You don't have a choice of seats and pay a sky high price because you buy at the last possible minute. All carriers charge through the roof and don't expect you to whine about not getting your choice of seat.
If you want that choice, fly private or plan in advance. I just don't get all the complaining when you're electing to pay the fare, seeing the seat map beforehand - if you don't want or need it, don't buy it.
I'm guessing you or your employer needs it so the price or your seat choice isn't much of a concern.
So this is my point. Delta is shooting themselves in the foot with these load factors by filling up the plane with garbage yields and then being in a sell-out or near-sell-out condition 3-4 days before the flight. That is what I mean when I say revenue management gone wrong.
It would be one thing if this was rare but these sell-out conditions are endemic on the routes I fly. That to me is broken revenue management.
#52
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How many empty seats did your UA flight go out with? I mean, I don't pretend to understand the intricacies of RM, but to my naive eye I would say that the airline that has one seat left at Y/B/M is doing a better job of RM than the one that has already presumably had most or all its elites who were eligible already pick Y+ seats and still had some left over.
Now, if they were in a position of constantly VDBing people so they could sell full Y fares into an overbooked cabin, then yeah, maybe I could see the point that they were too generous with Z/LUTXV fares early on. But if that happened I also would think they'd learn from that and tweak the buckets for future flights to be less generous.
Now, if they were in a position of constantly VDBing people so they could sell full Y fares into an overbooked cabin, then yeah, maybe I could see the point that they were too generous with Z/LUTXV fares early on. But if that happened I also would think they'd learn from that and tweak the buckets for future flights to be less generous.
#53
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it’s “broken” to YOU because of your aforementioned “principle” ... I’m reasonably willing to bet DL got SOME revenue traceable to that seat (perhaps someone SDCing off a different flight, thus allowing their original seat to be resold in a higher bucket)
#54
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Except I didn't buy this flight for that very reason. I decided to take a United flight connecting through Houston because it was a far more reasonable fare and got an Economy Plus seat. Out of principle I refuse to spend $1500 for a domestic ticket and sit in one of the worst Y seats on the plane - regardless of whether it is my money or OPM.
So this is my point. Delta is shooting themselves in the foot with these load factors by filling up the plane with garbage yields and then being in a sell-out or near-sell-out condition 3-4 days before the flight. That is what I mean when I say revenue management gone wrong.
It would be one thing if this was rare but these sell-out conditions are endemic on the routes I fly. That to me is broken revenue management.
So this is my point. Delta is shooting themselves in the foot with these load factors by filling up the plane with garbage yields and then being in a sell-out or near-sell-out condition 3-4 days before the flight. That is what I mean when I say revenue management gone wrong.
It would be one thing if this was rare but these sell-out conditions are endemic on the routes I fly. That to me is broken revenue management.
Last I checked DL was still the market cap and profit king of the US3 -- so pretty safe to assume their RM is dialed in at the moment and they are content with the "garbage" yields they are getting
#55
Join Date: Feb 2015
Location: ANC
Programs: DL DM
Posts: 1,855
I mostly buy paid F now for leisure travel 5-6 trips a year. With my routings there's usually few SDC opportunities. However I will comment on loads. I'm a Captain at a Regional Airline and because of loads I NEVER non-rev or jumpseat anymore. It's just not worth it. I buy the tickets I want on the flights I want and budget accordingly.
#56
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I've been having mixed results lately. Last month I had my favorite: paid F on BOS-RDU, bought the cheapest flight (last of the night) and moved onto the one I wanted and got home in time for dinner.
However, I regularly commute between MSY and RDU via ATL and between ATL and RDU and it's been much more miss than hit recently. Thankfully I've been lucky with the standby option but I hate playing the gate lottery with that.
However, I regularly commute between MSY and RDU via ATL and between ATL and RDU and it's been much more miss than hit recently. Thankfully I've been lucky with the standby option but I hate playing the gate lottery with that.