Last edit by: RatherBeOnATrain
Waiver posted: https://www.delta.com/content/www/en...er-outage.html
as of ~1am EST on 12/18:
AFFECTED CITIES (TO / FROM / THROUGH)
Atlanta, GA (ATL)
IMPACTED TRAVEL DATE(S)
December 17-19, 2017
TICKET MUST BE REISSUED ON OR BEFORE
December 22, 2017
REBOOKED TRAVEL MUST BEGIN NO LATER THAN
December 22, 2017
An Atlanta newspaper article that describes the aiport's lack of preparation and poor communications during the outage: MyAJC - Zero communication, Airport had no plan for total power outage (Posted: 8:28 p.m. Monday, December 18, 2017)
as of ~1am EST on 12/18:
AFFECTED CITIES (TO / FROM / THROUGH)
Atlanta, GA (ATL)
IMPACTED TRAVEL DATE(S)
December 17-19, 2017
TICKET MUST BE REISSUED ON OR BEFORE
December 22, 2017
REBOOKED TRAVEL MUST BEGIN NO LATER THAN
December 22, 2017
An Atlanta newspaper article that describes the aiport's lack of preparation and poor communications during the outage: MyAJC - Zero communication, Airport had no plan for total power outage (Posted: 8:28 p.m. Monday, December 18, 2017)
Power outage in ATL
#421
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Seattle, WA
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Posts: 3,944
Reviving CVG - you mean the 400+ flight per day CRJ-100 hub where the concourse they used has been torn down? Yeh, that's not going to work.
Uncomfortable fact: Delta had cut CVG flight counts about in half from peak to the time of the merger nine years ago. After the 2005 cuts (again, pre-merger), CVG had fewer than 100 mainline flights a day. CRJ economics worked in the late 90s with oil at $12/barrel and RJ pilots plentiful. They don't work today. See the Investor Presentation from last week where Delta said they will cut CRJ 50-seater ops from 7% of capacity to 2% of capacity by 2023.
Delta Cuts Cincinnati Flights - Airliners.net
ATL - and DFW, and CLT - economics work because of a virtuous circle of frequency, destination counts, and passenger numbers.
The flight counts that were taken out of CVG and MEM postmerger didn't, to any great measure, go to ATL. They went to SEA, LAX, JFK/LGA, BOS and RDU. It is, in fact, the kind of network diversification people are calling for.
As for some value of redundancy in the power supply, maybe that's a lesson Georgia Power has now learned. It will have a price - one to which the Airport Authority and Delta must agree. It's going to be a little more than a couple of good extension cords from the parking deck. It's obvious FlyerTalk is full of wannabe airline CEOs. Now we can add utility execs to the list.
Uncomfortable fact: Delta had cut CVG flight counts about in half from peak to the time of the merger nine years ago. After the 2005 cuts (again, pre-merger), CVG had fewer than 100 mainline flights a day. CRJ economics worked in the late 90s with oil at $12/barrel and RJ pilots plentiful. They don't work today. See the Investor Presentation from last week where Delta said they will cut CRJ 50-seater ops from 7% of capacity to 2% of capacity by 2023.
Delta Cuts Cincinnati Flights - Airliners.net
ATL - and DFW, and CLT - economics work because of a virtuous circle of frequency, destination counts, and passenger numbers.
The flight counts that were taken out of CVG and MEM postmerger didn't, to any great measure, go to ATL. They went to SEA, LAX, JFK/LGA, BOS and RDU. It is, in fact, the kind of network diversification people are calling for.
As for some value of redundancy in the power supply, maybe that's a lesson Georgia Power has now learned. It will have a price - one to which the Airport Authority and Delta must agree. It's going to be a little more than a couple of good extension cords from the parking deck. It's obvious FlyerTalk is full of wannabe airline CEOs. Now we can add utility execs to the list.
DL did something very similar with their other hubs (for example, the report of an LBR flight that diverted to CVG and is now operating a CVG-ATL section). The difference here if MEM or MCO still existed would be close enough physical proximity to ATL to handle diversions of small regional flights, likely full of people who just need to go onward to AMS/CDG or another major hub.
We aren’t talking about a new CRJ party - those days are obviously gone. But restoring MEM to its 2011 state of hub to hub routes would have some actual potential benefits to network diversity... or building up MCO a little bit more would have a similar effect.
#422
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: HNL
Programs: DL PM/1MM, BW DE (lifetime), HH DE, Marriott PE (lifetime), National Emerald Executive
Posts: 7,204
A couple of thoughts, from someone who is a project manager for some reasonably critical transportation infrastructure:
1. You cannot supply enough alternate power using standby generators for more than a few percent of the facility's normal demand. You scatter around some plug-in circuits or focus on a very small set of rooms and then you make the BIG decision -- how many of these important spaces get air conditioning (or electric heat, if relevant)? The economics of generator size and operations quickly limit your possibilities.
1. You cannot supply enough alternate power using standby generators for more than a few percent of the facility's normal demand. You scatter around some plug-in circuits or focus on a very small set of rooms and then you make the BIG decision -- how many of these important spaces get air conditioning (or electric heat, if relevant)? The economics of generator size and operations quickly limit your possibilities.
2. In one of my projects, we sought two independent utility feeds to support some critical machinery. But when we discussed failure modes, there was always a situation where a switch was needed -- a common gadget in a single place. This kind of automatic transfer switch is a feature, not a bug, as it allows power to be uninterrupted inside the facility for a range of not-uncommon offsite situations (like storms).
Only critical infrastructure like CBP should have power that can be switched, automatically or manually, between the two sources, in this very cost-efficient scenario that would cost very little more than all single source how it has been built now.
#423
Join Date: Feb 2017
Programs: DL DM, UA Gold, Alaska MVP, Bonvoy (lol) Ambassador
Posts: 2,994
#424
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: ATL
Programs: Delta Skymiles
Posts: 355
I'd invest your time in worrying about other things that are far more controllable. Like heart disease or the dozens of other things that are above terrorism on the list (admittedly this chart is a bit misleading as it excludes domestic terrorism.. but that only ups it to about 1:30000).
#425
Join Date: Feb 2017
Programs: DL DM, UA Gold, Alaska MVP, Bonvoy (lol) Ambassador
Posts: 2,994
Assuming it took some of the above posters two minutes to type up the posts, they've used up about 2-3 years of worry time.
edit - last I'll post on this as it's diverged a bit form the topic at hand (sorry about that)
#426
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: ATL
Programs: Delta Skymiles
Posts: 355
It's a matter of proportionality. If they spend about 10 minutes a day thinking about heart disease (that's generous) then they should spend about .14 seconds a day thinking about how to survive a terrorist attack.
Assuming it took some of the above posters two minutes to type up the posts, they've used up about 2-3 years of worry time.
Assuming it took some of the above posters two minutes to type up the posts, they've used up about 2-3 years of worry time.
#427
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: ATL Lost Luggage
Programs: Kettle with Kryptonium Medallion Tags
Posts: 10,280
Jetways were unable to move during the power outage
WABE-FM in Atlanta is interviewing a pax who was stranded by the power outage. Her ATL departure was fully loaded and ready to go. Then the power went out and they were stranded at the gate because the jetway could not be moved back from the plane. (Doh!) After an hour of waiting, they were told to disembark.
Being unable to move the jetways probably explains why it took so long to unload planes!
Being unable to move the jetways probably explains why it took so long to unload planes!
#428
Join Date: Dec 2016
Programs: Skymiles GM
Posts: 191
Wow... Usually there are a bunch of armchair pilots here, but it's good to know there are also some armchair electricians! Even with the little information provided in the press releases, it's clear that Atlanta had A & B power, but that the fire was in or near the switching equipment.
I was stuck at the airport last night, and I will say Delta's response was impressive. Almost everyone I talked to was working double or triple overtime, including a lot of the headquarters employees. Can they improve, yes. But even with a power outage that was out of their control on a Sunday evening, I was pretty impressed.
I was stuck at the airport last night, and I will say Delta's response was impressive. Almost everyone I talked to was working double or triple overtime, including a lot of the headquarters employees. Can they improve, yes. But even with a power outage that was out of their control on a Sunday evening, I was pretty impressed.
#429
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jun 2001
Programs: DL 1 million, AA 1 mil, HH lapsed Diamond, Marriott Plat
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Actually, no. People due to land at ATL are going to dozens of destinations never, ever served out of MEM or MCO. MSP and DTW each had twice MEM's flight count. DL could, if it wanted to, land aircraft where flights, facilities, and employees are available, by diverting to DTW and MSP. Yet they don't (not en masse). ATL serves about 80 more destinations than DTW or MSP. It can serve a lot more dest8nations because it has size. The idea of a ready-made relief hub lives on in the imagination of FTers and a.netters but the accountants kill it -- it is the textbook example of inflated overhead and poor asset utilization.
#430
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: HNL
Programs: DL PM/1MM, BW DE (lifetime), HH DE, Marriott PE (lifetime), National Emerald Executive
Posts: 7,204
They do have two feeds. Please see the dozens of other posts in this thread that reference this. In this case, both their primary and secondary supplies were damaged by a fire. So that didn't do any good. I hate to preach the obvious, but at some point A&B have to connect (as they feed the end points) and in this case GP is reporting that's where the fire was.
Running generators for critical systems (airport ramp, lights, doors; exclude commercial merchants, SkyClubs, AC) is part of the bare minimum expectation in running an airport, and how other airports are run, as you would know if you read just some posts earlier in the thread.
Yes. Here DL/ATL operator have certainly not gotten the balance right. There is a commonly accepted way to do this. They have chosen the cheap way out by intermingling everything, that renders it useless (but probably it has been very useful to the engineer and contractor pockets who designed & built it). I mean even just having two diverse power paths each powering 1/2 of each terminal (or something along such lines), would have cost very little more, if anything - may be even less, over how it is now, but have provided at least some operational capacity.
#431
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: The Sunshine State
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There is the problem. Even with two power sources, there is one transfer switch, and if it fails, power is cut. From what I gather the transfer switch was what failed in Atlanta. The power source (the electric company power plant) was always available, just not connected. However with proven Southern innovation, a couple of jumper cables and some NASCAR duct tape got the power reconnected.
If you want to claim "there should always be two of everything even transfer switches" then you better quit flying. Aircraft have multi layer windows, multiple computers, and multiple hydraulic systems for backup. At great expense, they even carry a spare pilot! However there are many things where there is only ONE item, and if it fails, you crash. For example, every current Delta plane has ONE wing. None carries a spare. Even if they did, the Delta mechanics say it is a real bytch switching them inflight. If the wing was strong enough to never break, it would be too heavy to fly. So it has a design safety margin, but it is breakable. FEAR the Single Wing. There is NO backup.
#432
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: SAN
Posts: 4,922
But remember, we're talking about airline passengers
Fair question. But the post you were replying to was about the trade-off between cost and risk.
Everyone is happy to second guess why the costs weren't paid, after something like this happens. Is everyone so eager to bear the cost (increased airfare, taxes, etc it'll all get passed on in one form or another) in advance, when it's only a potential and unlikely disaster?
Fair question. But the post you were replying to was about the trade-off between cost and risk.
Everyone is happy to second guess why the costs weren't paid, after something like this happens. Is everyone so eager to bear the cost (increased airfare, taxes, etc it'll all get passed on in one form or another) in advance, when it's only a potential and unlikely disaster?
Frankly, I don't know the answer to the question. My guess is there are a few people in FT world with some experience in either/or/both the costs associated with such backup systems and the negative economic impact associated with major business disruptions.
One thing SEEMS quite certain: they were totally unprepared for how to react.
#433
Moderator: Hyatt; FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jun 2015
Location: WAS
Programs: :rolleyes:, DL DM, Mlife Plat, Caesars Diam, Marriott Tit, UA Gold, Hyatt Glob, invol FT beta tester
Posts: 18,896
I was asking the question that, ISTM, needs to be asked to actually make the comparison. We can't really determine the trade-off until we know how much is at risk. Best I can tell from the stories I've read indicates roughly half the schedule was cancelled. What will the total economic impact of this event be? Do those costs come anywhere near the costs associated with the kind of redundancies that would have prevented it?
Frankly, I don't know the answer to the question. My guess is there are a few people in FT world with some experience in either/or/both the costs associated with such backup systems and the negative economic impact associated with major business disruptions.
One thing SEEMS quite certain: they were totally unprepared for how to react.
Frankly, I don't know the answer to the question. My guess is there are a few people in FT world with some experience in either/or/both the costs associated with such backup systems and the negative economic impact associated with major business disruptions.
One thing SEEMS quite certain: they were totally unprepared for how to react.
(EDIT: and yes, I understand that it's not just a strict EV calculation and that in some circumstances it can be worth sacrificing EV for variance reduction and so on)
#434
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 698
I never said anything about sending the national guard in. I am merely pointing out that not having controls and mitigation in place for a power outage in such a location does put both life and property at risk. That is a fact. I am also stating my opinion that I would not want to be in a dark crowded space with many other people around. I like to be "in the know" and control of my destiny.
#435
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: HNL
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And again why not just power each end of the terminal from a different power source (A & B), that, in turn, come from a different transformer (ideally one transformer per terminal half, vs. one for the entire 1/2 of airport), and that, in turn, come from two different substations. That would provide no real redundancy, but at worst even if there is a major fire or the substation upstream blows up, still 1/2 of the airport would be functional and operational.