How far out does FCM occur, and how often does it update?
#1
Original Poster
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: SE MI
Programs: DL SM, DL Amex Plat, Hilton Silver
Posts: 247
How far out does FCM occur, and how often does it update?
I've been watching an upcoming trip in April, DTW-JFK-EDI and back. V fares (from flash sale a few weeks ago) with C+ for JFK-EDI legs. I've been curious about FCM on international (D1M?) assuming either at check-in or if I called to do an upgrade with cash and miles.
I didn't have an offer displayed on delta's site and didn't think twice about it as I didn't think D1 monetization was really a thing or my fare class was too low. However, I just looked and now have an option to go business class each way for $1587.20. $6348.8 additional for the Mrs and I RT is WAY too rich for my blood, but it was indeed not there just a few days ago.
Yesterday marked 4 months from departure - is that a magical number for when FCM starts to be offered? (D-120 perhaps?) And do the prices offered change dynamically, or is there a schedule of sorts when I might expect the price to change for better or worse?
Thanks!
I didn't have an offer displayed on delta's site and didn't think twice about it as I didn't think D1 monetization was really a thing or my fare class was too low. However, I just looked and now have an option to go business class each way for $1587.20. $6348.8 additional for the Mrs and I RT is WAY too rich for my blood, but it was indeed not there just a few days ago.
Yesterday marked 4 months from departure - is that a magical number for when FCM starts to be offered? (D-120 perhaps?) And do the prices offered change dynamically, or is there a schedule of sorts when I might expect the price to change for better or worse?
Thanks!
#2
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 23,021
Z fares on this route are available from $3133.76 RT. Your "FCM" offer looks like nothing more than a buy-up offer to a Z fare (with no discount). Personally, I have yet to see definitive proof that most FCM offers are anything other than a buy-up to the going discount F/J fares.
#3
Join Date: Feb 2015
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I can't speak as to when they start, but I have seen them change daily. One day ridiculously low, then higher the next day, and higher yet after that, and then a week later back to the same crazy low. No rhyme or reason.
#4
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: MCO
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Posts: 1,060
It's like voodoo.
#5
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: BWI
Programs: DL FO
Posts: 312
My FCM offers are always just the fare difference. The F price can change quite a bit over time, so I keep an eye out and will buy if the price is right. The offer mechanism just makes it easier to keep tabs on the price and strike if/when the offer is good. Saves the trouble of searching and calling for a buy up.
#7
Join Date: Jul 2004
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Does anyone know if FCM offers ever appear for AF-issued tickets on DL metal with AF codeshare flight numbers? I have my SM# in the reservation and it's visible in My Trips. Booked V class, and the forward cabin looks wide open. There are only DL metal segments in the booking, no other carriers. No offer as of yet. Maybe it'll only appear at check-in when DL takes over the ticket as the operating carrier?
#8
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Does anyone know if FCM offers ever appear for AF-issued tickets on DL metal with AF codeshare flight numbers? I have my SM# in the reservation and it's visible in My Trips. Booked V class, and the forward cabin looks wide open. There are only DL metal segments in the booking, no other carriers. No offer as of yet. Maybe it'll only appear at check-in when DL takes over the ticket as the operating carrier?
#10
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: MSP
Programs: Marriott LT Titanium, UA Silver (via Marriott)
Posts: 642
Would the same be true for Comfort+ on TATL flights? I have a KLM-issued ticket whose TATL segments are on DL metal, and I am getting "upgrade" offers for C+ on those segments. I know that C+ isn't a separate class of service for those flights yet, so I might be comparing apples to oranges in terms of FCM.
#11
Original Poster
Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: SE MI
Programs: DL SM, DL Amex Plat, Hilton Silver
Posts: 247
Well what the...
Random indeed.
Yesterday: $1587.20 OW, PP
Now: $1,587.55 OW, PP
That seems REALLY arbitrary - $0.35 increase?
I'll have to keep my eyes on this. If it drops real low, I'll bite...
Random indeed.
Yesterday: $1587.20 OW, PP
Now: $1,587.55 OW, PP
That seems REALLY arbitrary - $0.35 increase?
I'll have to keep my eyes on this. If it drops real low, I'll bite...
#12
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: BWI
Programs: DL FO
Posts: 312
I wasn't referring to any special mechanism - just the regular banner offers that show up at the top of the page on the DL website, when you open a reservation in the "my trips" section.
#13
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Would the same be true for Comfort+ on TATL flights? I have a KLM-issued ticket whose TATL segments are on DL metal, and I am getting "upgrade" offers for C+ on those segments. I know that C+ isn't a separate class of service for those flights yet, so I might be comparing apples to oranges in terms of FCM.
#14
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This might reflect a difference in exchange rates, perhaps for some taxes and fees on the European side of the Atlantic.
#15
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 23,021
OP, it's trivial to compare the current J prices for your flights to what you originally paid and see if these "offers" are nothing more than the fare difference between the two and put the conspiracy theories to rest. Further, if you have a Google account you can use Google Flights to look up your flights in Business and then click the "Track Price" link. Google will then notify you if the J fare ever goes down so you don't have to obsessively check the price everyday.