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DL Notifies EAS, May Drop up to 24 (PMNW) markets

DL Notifies EAS, May Drop up to 24 (PMNW) markets

Old Jul 15, 11, 10:42 am
  #1  
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DL Notifies EAS, May Drop up to 24 (PMNW) markets

We all knew this was coming with the pending Saab 340 retirement, and DL's lack of commitment to small markets.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Delta-....html?x=0&.v=1

There are a few shockers on the list:
http://news.delta.com/index.php?s=18&item=156

Thief River Falls, MN TVF EAS subsidized 12.0% load factor
Greenville, MS GLH EAS subsidized 27.6% load factor
Devils Lake, ND DVL EAS subsidized 30.3% load factor
Watertown, SD ATY EAS subsidized 35.0% load factor
Muscle Shoals, MS MSL EAS subsidized 35.7% load factor
Fort Dodge, IA FOD EAS subsidized 39.1% load factor
Hibbing, MN HIB EAS subsidized 39.2% load factor
Alpena, MI APN EAS subsidized 39.5% load factor
Tupelo, MS TUP EAS subsidized 41.0% load factor
Jamestown, ND JMS EAS subsidized 42.1% load factor
Mason City, IA MCW EAS subsidized 45.9% load factor
Pierre, SD PIR Not EAS subsidized 47.4% load factor
Iron Mountain, MI IMT EAS Subsidized 48.7% load factor
Sioux City, IA SUX Not EAS subsidized 51.4% load factor
International Falls, MN INL EAS subsidized 52.5% load factor
Brainerd, MD BRD Not EAS subsidized 52.6% load factor
Hattiesburg, MS PIB EAS subsidized 53.7% load factor
Escanaba MI ESC EAS subsidized 55.2% load factor
Aberdeen, SD ABR Not EAS subsidized 55.6% load factor
Pellston MI PLN Not EAS subsidized 58.5% load factor
Bemidji, MN BJI Not EAS subsidized 59.3% load factor
Sault Ste Marie MI CIU EAS subsidized 60.0% load factor
Waterloo, IA ALO Not EAS subsidized 61.4% load factor
Butte, MT BTM Not EAS subsidized 65.3% load factor
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Old Jul 15, 11, 10:50 am
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I'm shocked that I can no longer fly to Brainerd, Maryland!

You can tell this list was prepared in Atlanta. Somebody in Minnesota would certainly know how to abbreviate their own state.

BTM is also a bit of a surprise. One would think that this one could be profitably salvaged with a CRJ.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 10:56 am
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PLN surprises me too. In the winter, yeah the LF is light, but in the summer they go up to 4-6 flights a day. NW used to run the ARJ in there in the summer.

Sounds like DL is subsidy-sniffing here, where they are the only game in town. The EAS subsidies they got may have covered the Saab, but don't work on the CRJ.

The non-EAS routes though, maybe they worked on the Saab but are uneconomical on the CRJ.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 11:04 am
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Yikes. This is wiping out service to almost all of the small airports in the upper midwest plus a bunch in the south central region. MN will be left only with scheduled service at Duluth and Rochester (Mayo Clinic) in addition to MSP. It's a long way to the nearest remaining airport with service for some of these people. Plus, the wonderful Chisholm Iron Range Call Center will need to drive several hours to Duluth to nonrev.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 11:14 am
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Dear Delta: Although MS is indeed the correct abbreviation for the state of Mississippi, Muscle Shoals is in Alabama.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 11:17 am
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Originally Posted by stemor View Post
Dear Delta: Although MS is indeed the correct abbreviation for the state of Mississippi, Muscle Shoals is in Alabama.
It's west of ATL, that's all they really understand.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 11:21 am
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Originally Posted by MSPeconomist View Post
Yikes. This is wiping out service to almost all of the small airports in the upper midwest plus a bunch in the south central region. MN will be left only with scheduled service at Duluth and Rochester (Mayo Clinic) in addition to MSP. It's a long way to the nearest remaining airport with service for some of these people. Plus, the wonderful Chisholm Iron Range Call Center will need to drive several hours to Duluth to nonrev.
Wow, ND will have more airports (FAR, BIS, GFK, MOT) with scheduled DL service than MN if all these destinations are cut. (ISN and DIK are currently EAS subsidized with Great Lakes service, codesharing with UA and F9.)

I'm wondering if DL isn't taking the disarray in MN state government as an opportunity to axe a bunch of these destinations.

Could they get EAS subsidy to reduce frequency to something like three flights weekly on a 50-seat CRJ, or does EAS subsidization require daily service?
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Old Jul 15, 11, 11:35 am
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Originally Posted by mtkeller View Post
Wow, ND will have more airports (FAR, BIS, GFK, MOT) with scheduled DL service than MN if all these destinations are cut. (ISN and DIK are currently EAS subsidized with Great Lakes service, codesharing with UA and F9.)

I'm wondering if DL isn't taking the disarray in MN state government as an opportunity to axe a bunch of these destinations.

Could they get EAS subsidy to reduce frequency to something like three flights weekly on a 50-seat CRJ, or does EAS subsidization require daily service?
EAS requires 2 daily flights min during the week. But even so, three flights a week would defeat the whole purpose - business travelers cant utilize flights that only operate a few days a week. Works fine for Allegiant Air to Vegas et al but not for these markets.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 11:40 am
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Originally Posted by DTWflyer View Post
We all knew this was coming with the pending Saab 340 retirement, and DL's lack of commitment to small markets.

Greenville, MS GLH EAS subsidized 27.6% load factor
Hattiesburg, MS PIB EAS subsidized 53.7% load factor
Delta only flies 1 flight a day to Hattiesburg during parts of the year. With MEM and ATL closest hubs of any major airline, doubt anyone would pick up this destination.

I remember when GLH use to have 8-9 flights/day to Memphis (circa late 80's/early 90's). Now, it's 2 flights a day... but in this generation - GLH flights are ~25-30% higher than JAN (Jackson, MS) and MEM (Memphis) from certain markets. In a city with 20% population decrease over last decade and 2nd highest unemployment in MS - only matter of time.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 1:08 pm
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Originally Posted by gatorbluedevil View Post
Delta only flies 1 flight a day to Hattiesburg during parts of the year. With MEM and ATL closest hubs of any major airline, doubt anyone would pick up this destination.

I remember when GLH use to have 8-9 flights/day to Memphis (circa late 80's/early 90's). Now, it's 2 flights a day... but in this generation - GLH flights are ~25-30% higher than JAN (Jackson, MS) and MEM (Memphis) from certain markets. In a city with 20% population decrease over last decade and 2nd highest unemployment in MS - only matter of time.

I'm hoping that SeaPort picks up the dropped MS & AL destinations out of their TSA-free operation here in Memphis. I'd rather fly them than get Delta EQM's any day of the week.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 1:10 pm
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Bad news....I'm expecting this to considerably drive up fares in GFK. Damn monopolies.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 1:23 pm
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Good - remember, Delta is a business. They're doing good business by eliminating weak markets.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 1:41 pm
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And I'm a customer that they make way more than they deserve off of by ripping me off for a 40 minute CRJ ride to MSP. I understand that it isnt cheap to operate flights to these markets, but if they werent stupid they would stop trying to make so many turns a day work in a CRJ and go with one or two mainline a day or keep the Saab, which is nearly perfect for all of these markets.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 2:04 pm
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With MEM and ATL closest hubs of any major airline, doubt anyone would pick up this destination.
CO to IAH would only be a 1:15 flight.
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Old Jul 15, 11, 2:11 pm
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Some of those load factors should be taken with a grain of salt. Many of the upstate MI and MN stations do not have non-stop service, or are an intermediate stop on the way to somewhere else. Every flight into TVF, for instance, stops at HIB first. Thus it's not logical that TVF would ever have high load factors since a certain percentage of seats are bound to be taken by HIB pax.

Granted, even TVF+HIB is still not high, but some of the other city pairs produce respectful #'s when added together. (See DVL+JMS, for instance, or ESC+IMT.)

Given all these cuts, Delta could-with some creative juggling--just about shut down the B concourse at MSP.
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