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Old Mar 11, 2020, 10:13 am
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In order to reduce noise in the Coronavirus / Covid-19 : general fact-based reporting thread, and to create a central place to invite any member to ask a basic question about the impact of COVID-19 on travel, your moderators have decided to open this separate "lounge" thread for related discussion that isn't strictly fact-based reporting.
Any member who can provide a constructive, helpful answer to a question; or post constructively in reply to a member's point-of-view, is welcome to post.

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Discussion of general economic impacts of Covid-19 belongs in the OMNI forum, not here.
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This is a protocol for posting adopted by the forum Moderator team:Please follow this protocol, based on FlyerTalk Rules and long-standing FlyerTalk best practices. Doing so will help keep the thread open, and allow our moderator team to aid members, rather than having to resort to discipline.

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Old Mar 26, 2020, 9:17 am
  #1711  
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Originally Posted by GadgetFreak
Well, plastic bags are illegal in NY but I believe the virus lives longer on plastic than paper anyway. We have been getting food, wiping the outside of the container with disinfectant and transferring to another container in some cases and asking sure stuff is well cooked.
In terms of how long viruses remain active on surfaces: cardboard/paper (and wood maybe too) seems to be better for risk mitigation than plastic, with cloth being even worse than plastic. At least that is how it would have worked with polio.
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 9:21 am
  #1712  
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Originally Posted by Carolinian
The real problem are the reusable shopping bags which harbor germs for the next time you go shopping.
Are there any covid-19 studies that demonstrate a real risk from reusable shopping bags?
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 9:24 am
  #1713  
 
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Originally Posted by stimpy
Hah! Tell that to all the NYC grocery stores that double bag with plastic. If there is such a law, I don't see anyone following it.
Right.

Here in SF, I've been given plastic bags recently. When something truly matters, health & prosperity would be at the top of the list, no one cares about these silly laws. Talk to me about peripheral societal concerns when we're over this, until then, please put a lid on it.
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 9:27 am
  #1714  
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Originally Posted by Carolinian
India is on nationwide lockdown, but an exception is being allowed to go out shopping for food. That apparently did not work out so well for one man who went shopping for milk, and seems not to have been believed by police who allegedly beat him so severely that he died.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...olice-beating/

I guess be suspected of evading lockdown can have some pretty severe consequences some places.
It’s India. Earlier this year I saw plenty of policemen in Delhi destroying unattended property, including destroying vehicles. And that was in the country’s capital. And even long before, Indian police have been notorious for having used torture against Indians. Even the Indian police who ended up working for a late acquaintance of mine were notorious for stuffing burning hot potatoes into the mouths of detainees to try to make them to confess or inform or just to maybe shake down them or their families with money. This was a man being killed and I wouldn’t be surprised if this is also an extra bad time to be a woman in India.

Lockdowns with hyper-powered, possibly armed agents of the state come with their own risks for the common person .... even when a common person is following all the official rules.
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 9:31 am
  #1715  
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Originally Posted by bobbytables
I've recently been trying to add up-to-the-minute data on all-cause mortality to the metrics I'm keeping an eye on, to try to get some perspective on how many additional deaths are being caused by Covid-19.

The UK publishes figures on a weekly basis along with information about whether any statistically significant increase has been detected overall, or in subpopulations by region or age, against the prediction based on previous years. No increase was detected in the latest data. It was published nearly a week ago and it should be noted that there can be a time lag between death and registration of death.
https://www.gov.uk/government/statis...e-2019-to-2020

There is also EURO MOMO (European Mortality Monitoring) which is also published weekly as an aggregate across all of Europe and an aggregate for each country. This also shows no statistically significant increase for Europe or for any individual country, but that should be interpreted with caution. Any potential increase in the all-Europe figure is probably concentrated in Italy/Spain and would thus be diluted out of the aggregate for Europe by the rest of Europe. Any potential increase in Italy or Spain might be concentrated in a region and thus diluted by the rest of the country.
EURO MOMO

These will be interesting to monitor over the coming weeks. If anyone knows of other all-cause mortality monitoring data sources for other countries/regions please post links.
Just to bump this and say that the UK gov't have updated today with another week of data, which shows...'no statistically significant excess all-cause mortality by week of death was observed overall in England'. This is for week 12, mind, so up to Sunday 22 March. According to worldmeter, there were 246 deaths of people tested positive for Covid-19 in that week, out of a total of around 11,000.

Let's see what happens next week.

Last edited by Stewie Mac; Mar 26, 2020 at 9:42 am Reason: changed reference to 'coronavirus' deaths
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 9:31 am
  #1716  
 
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Originally Posted by davie355
Agree on masks - they will no longer be taboo in America, at least the big cities.
Some other habits should be here to stay, and thank goodness: coughing into one's elbow (not fist); washing hands with soap for a long enough time to actually remove germs. I suspect the "wave hands under the sensor for 1 second" game will have fewer players/
Let's hope that's true about hand washing. I was at a conference a week before everything started building up. The conference organizers were stressing the importance of hand washing. They even setup sanitizer stands throughout the conference floor. I would wash my hands for 20 seconds (while singing Gloria Gaynor I will Survive, ha!). The number of guys that would do the 1 second game or a quick rinse and go was surprising. I know it's a hard habit to beat and takes time to retrain ourselves.

Luckily it doesn't take long to retrain ourselves. I got used to the Dracula sneeze fast when working in a school. All the kids already know how to do and most of them follow it. Those who don't are still the I'm going to sneeze like I'm a sprinkler type of kids.
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 9:33 am
  #1717  
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The Swedish viking experiment continues: around 20 more deaths in Sweden from
this in the last 24 hours, moving the number up from around 40 to now 60 at least. Less than a week ago the number of Sweden’s death from this was in the low single digits. Keep in mind Sweden’s populations is only slightly larger than the greater Chicago metropolitan area’s population.

Originally Posted by notquiteaff
Are there any covid-19 studies that demonstrate a real risk from reusable shopping bags?
Reusable cloth shopping bags were probably a big spreader of polio in India. I would not expect there to have yet been a peer-reviewed, published study about this novel coronavirus and cloth shopping bags, but cloth is worse than paper when considering fomites for a whole slew of viruses.

Last edited by GUWonder; Mar 26, 2020 at 9:47 am
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 9:59 am
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Originally Posted by notquiteaff
Are there any covid-19 studies that demonstrate a real risk from reusable shopping bags?
not yet. we will be looking at data for years. Currently on a conference call about health care professionals refusing temp checks with disposable oral thermometers at the hospital entrance. New CDC guidance on PPE out March 24. google it, not posting the link. Negative pressure rooms are at high priority. We are already talking about virus positive workers who have become asymptomatic returning to work and how they need to protect patients and the steps they must take. A lot of forward thinking going on, simply because it is a given that the front line will become positive, with a bench that is very shallow.
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 10:17 am
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Originally Posted by GUWonder
In terms of how long viruses remain active on surfaces: cardboard/paper (and wood maybe too) seems to be better for risk mitigation than plastic, with cloth being even worse than plastic. At least that is how it would have worked with polio.
Last longer but a couple of other advantages to plastic bags- they're a solid barrier to liquids in/out, they can be wiped down at least on the outside, they pack tighter into the garbage for disposal.

Speaking of counter productive feel good nonsense that continues to be perpetuated- the ban on self service gasoline in Oregon is still there. Gov is whining about people not social distancing, yet won't end that for the time being.
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 10:32 am
  #1720  
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This isn't specifically AA but you have wonder how long will it before when people are again comfortable being shoved shoulder to shoulder within a small metal tube?
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 10:33 am
  #1721  
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Originally Posted by GUWonder

Reusable cloth shopping bags were probably a big spreader of polio in India. I would not expect there to have yet been a peer-reviewed, published study about this novel coronavirus and cloth shopping bags, but cloth is worse than paper when considering fomites for a whole slew of viruses.
Cloth shopping bags are washable. Throw them in the laundry with your contaminated gloves you wore while pushing the shopping cart.

Most of my reusable bags are nylon/plastic. They get thrown into the garage where they sit around unused for 4-5 days between shopping trips. Not really convinced that they pose a significant risk on top of the risk I accept by going into the store in the first place to buy some fresh items instead of sticking to shelf-stable items I already own.

Originally Posted by rustykettel
Speaking of counter productive feel good nonsense that continues to be perpetuated- the ban on self service gasoline in Oregon is still there. Gov is whining about people not social distancing, yet won't end that for the time being.
“I” filled up my gas vehicle over a month ago. Our regular driver gets filled up in the garage (EV) as needed.

Not sure how the risks of self-service gas pumping (touching the same pump everyone else touches; obviously can wear gloves) vs. handing someone your credit card through a mostly closed side window would compare. Not something that would keep me personally up at night. If I had to get gas, I would just use a hand sanitizer wipe to clean the card and my hands afterwards.

Last edited by notquiteaff; Mar 26, 2020 at 10:41 am
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 10:39 am
  #1722  
 
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From another thread, the Epi guy in the UK revised 500,000 dead to 20,000 dead. If this is true and we in the USA triggered all of this from his work, I want some Politicians ousted in November.
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 10:54 am
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Originally Posted by notquiteaff
Not sure how the risks of self-service gas pumping (touching the same pump everyone else touches; obviously can wear gloves) vs. handing someone your credit card through a mostly closed side window would compare. Not something that would keep me personally up at night. If I had to get gas, I would just use a hand sanitizer wipe to clean the card and my hands afterwards.
It's the direct person to person close contact that poses a greater risk than a surface which can (and should be) sanitized multiple times per day just like any other high touch surface in a business, and can be further mitigated through gloves and washing/sanitizing hands after. Most people are not keeping their windows rolled up and even if they do, lower cars still aren't a great impediment to direct spread. Easy incremental steps that should be taken but won't.
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 10:58 am
  #1724  
 
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Originally Posted by rustykettel
Last longer but a couple of other advantages to plastic bags- they're a solid barrier to liquids in/out, they can be wiped down at least on the outside, they pack tighter into the garbage for disposal.

Speaking of counter productive feel good nonsense that continues to be perpetuated- the ban on self service gasoline in Oregon is still there. Gov is whining about people not social distancing, yet won't end that for the time being.
In theory, pumped-for-you gasoline could be better, since it avoids multiple people touching the handle. Payment is the weak link though -- if people could leave their windows rolled up and pay by app or by NFC through the window it would eliminate that.

Before completely shutting down, I was part of a buffet service where we consciously avoided having multiple people touching serving utensils by having the guests stand back and say what they wanted, while our volunteer servers (wearing fresh gloves) served onto the plates. I had seen someone's video where the server handled plates that guests had touched, so made sure to avoid that by having only servers touch the plates until complete and doing a single handover. Even had a server pouring glasses of lemonade for people to pick up, rather than handling the spigot themselves. If a server had to contact anything a guest had touched (cleanup for example), we changed gloves before any other task.

I definitely agree that things like reused cups and reused bags should be avoided right now -- it seems pretty clear that a fresh bag (or cup) of any material coming from a box, handled only by the person who's touching all your groceries/drink anyway, has to be less of a spread risk than bags and cups that have been who-knows-where handled by who-knows-who. And it has to be store policy -- the baggers and cashiers simply shouldn't be touching things touched by one customer before handling things for the next customer.
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Old Mar 26, 2020, 11:02 am
  #1725  
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Originally Posted by chipmaster
A tragedy indeed, but how do you make people follow the most strict measure w/o some risk of severe ramification. Then the larger population of billion make the necessary adjustments regardless of the personal costs and the larger group has huge reward/benefit?

Take the very different debate now happening with POTUS who wants to turn at Easter.
I really hope I am reading this wrong and you are not seriously suggesting that police beating a man to death for buying milk is in any way justifiable?

EDIT: After rereading your post for the fourth time, I do not believe that you personally are suggesting this. I hope that nobody else is either.

Last edited by The_Bouncer; Mar 26, 2020 at 11:11 am
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