CX should be happy

Old Sep 26, 2018, 10:45 am
  #31  
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Originally Posted by marcommm
IMO CX/KA and HKIA are largely influencing each other. When CX/KA does well, HKIA is benefited as a result of that, vice versa. I don’t see why the building of the third runway is subsidizing CX/KA. The third runway is not gonna be used exclusively by CX/KA.
It depends who you think will get the new slots:
- CX has better economics than its competitors for long haul routes
- CX has worse economics than its competitors for some short-haul markets, but its downside is constrained by bilaterals
--- If HX/UO fails, even better for CX on the bilaterals.
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Old Sep 26, 2018, 11:11 am
  #32  
 
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Originally Posted by percysmith
I was looking at Japanese airports too (thinking about Jetstar Japan and Airasia Japan), thinking they'd all be Govt controlled. But I was wrong http://www.kansai-airports.co.jp/en/...aiairports.pdf



It's the usage of Consolidated Surplus coupled with anti-competitive policies that makes it a subsidy.

I have no idea how Singapore funds its airport expansion, they could have funded it out of Singapore Consolidated Surplus or Temasek for all I care. But they let an Australian airline set up shop there.
But it doesn't change the fact that majority of airport is owned by government.
undoubtedly, CX gets a lot of benefit from hk aviation policy as a de facto flag carrier like" 1 route 1 carrier". Dragonair finally become subsidary of CX. But it is quite common in 1980s. British government project BA too.
However, it does not mean the government has subsidise the carrier.

AA use its surplus to fund the construction is fine and not a type.of subsidy. After 1997 handover, there is still new carrier set up and operate in HK.
Cx is a international carrier and it must face competition.CX cannot be monopoly.
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Old Sep 26, 2018, 11:11 am
  #33  
 
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Originally Posted by percysmith
I was looking at Japanese airports too (thinking about Jetstar Japan and Airasia Japan), thinking they'd all be Govt controlled. But I was wrong http://www.kansai-airports.co.jp/en/...aiairports.pdf



It's the usage of Consolidated Surplus coupled with anti-competitive policies that makes it a subsidy.

I have no idea how Singapore funds its airport expansion, they could have funded it out of Singapore Consolidated Surplus or Temasek for all I care. But they let an Australian airline set up shop there.
But it doesn't change the fact that majority of airport is owned by government.
undoubtedly, CX gets a lot of benefit from hk aviation policy as a de facto flag carrier like" 1 route 1 carrier". Dragonair finally become subsidary of CX. But it is quite common in 1980s. British government project BA too.
However, it does not mean the government has subsidise the carrier.

AA use its surplus to fund the construction is fine and not a type.of subsidy. After 1997 handover, there is still new carrier set up and operate in HK.
Cx is a international carrier and it must face competition.CX cannot be monopoly.
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Old Sep 26, 2018, 11:54 am
  #34  
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Originally Posted by Aus106080
But it doesn't change the fact that majority of airport is owned by government.
Well at least Singapore and Japan (Narita) don't insist on bilaterals for its airport.

Originally Posted by Aus106080
But it is quite common in 1980s. British government project BA too.
UK moved on.

Originally Posted by Aus106080
After 1997 handover, there is still new carrier set up and operate in HK.
One that has to meet all the stupid PPB rules from shipping law and have sufficient red backing (the Chinese type, not the red roo one).

Originally Posted by Aus106080
Cx is a international carrier and it must face competition.CX cannot be monopoly.
That's the idea. That's not the practice.

Don't get me wrong - CX/KA is not a regulated monopoly to the extent that HKE/CLP is.
But certainly Govt (especially this one) is not in a hurry to change things. Which means except on a handful of routes, we have pretty cozy duopolies.
I hope there is some change when we get the third runway, more towards Singapore's direction with their liberal air services policy (any govt spending there arguably helps new entrants more than the flag carrier).
But if the status quo is perpetuated for allocation of slots for the third runway then CX is going to get the lion's share of benefit but not the proportionate cost.

Last edited by percysmith; Sep 26, 2018 at 12:16 pm
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Old Sep 26, 2018, 7:53 pm
  #35  
 
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Originally Posted by percysmith


Well at least Singapore and Japan (Narita) don't insist on bilaterals for its airport.



UK moved on.



One that has to meet all the stupid PPB rules from shipping law and have sufficient red backing (the Chinese type, not the red roo one).



That's the idea. That's not the practice.

Don't get me wrong - CX/KA is not a regulated monopoly to the extent that HKE/CLP is.
But certainly Govt (especially this one) is not in a hurry to change things. Which means except on a handful of routes, we have pretty cozy duopolies.
I hope there is some change when we get the third runway, more towards Singapore's direction with their liberal air services policy (any govt spending there arguably helps new entrants more than the flag carrier).
But if the status quo is perpetuated for allocation of slots for the third runway then CX is going to get the lion's share of benefit but not the proportionate cost.

No one doubt that current policy favors CX at certain extent which is common in current aviation business and it is not subsidy!

It does not change the fact that the third runway is funded by AAHk revenue and additional levy. Cx bears the largest part of that.
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Old Sep 26, 2018, 10:10 pm
  #36  
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true deregulation will end up leading to a race to the bottom.
some protectionism will be fine (in terms of FT). without which, look at what amazon does to high street shops.

however, thats very different from state funded airlines like china and me3.
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Old Sep 27, 2018, 12:03 am
  #37  
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Originally Posted by Aus106080
No one doubt that current policy favors CX at certain extent which is common in current aviation business
"It's always how it's been done" and/or "all my friends jump off a cliff so I should do it too" aren't particularly valid reasons to continue to do something. Especially when there is an alternative.

We are at risk of going in circles though. I hope HKSARG/AAHK changes its ways. I'm more than happy to be proven wrong.
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