CX Upgrade Chances - YYZ-HKG-MNL-HKG-YYZ
Aug 20, 2012, 3:51 pm
#1
Original Poster
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Toronto
Programs: TK M&S E, *A Gold, AP, Asia Miles, Nexus, Marriott Silver
Posts: 112
CX Upgrade Chances - YYZ-HKG-MNL-HKG-YYZ
Hey Flyertalkers!
My mom has booked a return trip to MNL via HKG on CX . Outbound is 12/09 while inbound is 12/31. She is on H and K classes. Would anyone have an idea of her upgrade chances? She is a Marcopolo Silver member and has already requested for an upgrade using her Asia Miles. Also, would her chances be better if my dad who has Marcopolo Gold request the upgrade for her? Thanks for all your help! Cheers
My mom has booked a return trip to MNL via HKG on CX . Outbound is 12/09 while inbound is 12/31. She is on H and K classes. Would anyone have an idea of her upgrade chances? She is a Marcopolo Silver member and has already requested for an upgrade using her Asia Miles. Also, would her chances be better if my dad who has Marcopolo Gold request the upgrade for her? Thanks for all your help! Cheers
Aug 20, 2012, 6:14 pm
#3
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: CEB & LAS
Programs: CX GO, TSA Pre✓ Afflictions: TSASS
Posts: 734
There's no real way to predict your chances. She's not going to get a freebie upgrade as a Christmas/New Year's gift from CX.
However the popular wisdom around here is that travel on those routes around Christmas time is a very good time for op-ups. Economy class will be completely full of Asian students and Filipino overseas workers going home for the holidays and elite members will overflow into J/F.
If she really wants to maximize her chances, the outbound should probably be closer to Christmas. And my gut feeling is that 12/31 would be a bad day to fly, since a lot of people will be staying put for the new year parties. January 1 or 2 will be much busier flight days (good for op-ups). I'm just guessing though.
Having your dad request the upgrade for her will make exactly zero difference. They will only consider her status, not his. Unless he's some sort of super VIP Hong Kong pop star or something.
However the popular wisdom around here is that travel on those routes around Christmas time is a very good time for op-ups. Economy class will be completely full of Asian students and Filipino overseas workers going home for the holidays and elite members will overflow into J/F.
If she really wants to maximize her chances, the outbound should probably be closer to Christmas. And my gut feeling is that 12/31 would be a bad day to fly, since a lot of people will be staying put for the new year parties. January 1 or 2 will be much busier flight days (good for op-ups). I'm just guessing though.
Having your dad request the upgrade for her will make exactly zero difference. They will only consider her status, not his. Unless he's some sort of super VIP Hong Kong pop star or something.
Aug 20, 2012, 6:36 pm
#4
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: LHR
Programs: BA Silver/ows, CX AsiaMiles (not even GR anymore!) missing my GO days
Posts: 1,581
There's no real way to predict your chances. She's not going to get a freebie upgrade as a Christmas/New Year's gift from CX.
However the popular wisdom around here is that travel on those routes around Christmas time is a very good time for op-ups. Economy class will be completely full of Asian students and Filipino overseas workers going home for the holidays and elite members will overflow into J/F.
If she really wants to maximize her chances, the outbound should probably be closer to Christmas. And my gut feeling is that 12/31 would be a bad day to fly, since a lot of people will be staying put for the new year parties. January 1 or 2 will be much busier flight days (good for op-ups). I'm just guessing though.
Having your dad request the upgrade for her will make exactly zero difference. They will only consider her status, not his. Unless he's some sort of super VIP Hong Kong pop star or something.
However the popular wisdom around here is that travel on those routes around Christmas time is a very good time for op-ups. Economy class will be completely full of Asian students and Filipino overseas workers going home for the holidays and elite members will overflow into J/F.
If she really wants to maximize her chances, the outbound should probably be closer to Christmas. And my gut feeling is that 12/31 would be a bad day to fly, since a lot of people will be staying put for the new year parties. January 1 or 2 will be much busier flight days (good for op-ups). I'm just guessing though.
Having your dad request the upgrade for her will make exactly zero difference. They will only consider her status, not his. Unless he's some sort of super VIP Hong Kong pop star or something.
OP, the short answer is no one can know this early out. Though on a route with a reputation for a lot of leisure travel and not as much paid premium demand, your mother might stand a good chance. She'll certainly be ahead of Y pax of any status hoping just for a free op-up.
Aug 20, 2012, 6:45 pm
#5
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: CEB & LAS
Programs: CX GO, TSA Pre✓ Afflictions: TSASS
Posts: 734
Aug 20, 2012, 8:52 pm
#7
Ambassador, Hong Kong and Macau
Join Date: May 2009
Location: HKG
Programs: Non-top tier Asia Miles member
Posts: 19,795
Something is going wrong with CX when we all assume "op-up" whenever we hear "upgrade" on this forum. It seems OP's mother is trying to do a paid (with miles) upgrade.
OP, the short answer is no one can know this early out. Though on a route with a reputation for a lot of leisure travel and not as much paid premium demand, your mother might stand a good chance. She'll certainly be ahead of Y pax of any status hoping just for a free op-up.
OP, the short answer is no one can know this early out. Though on a route with a reputation for a lot of leisure travel and not as much paid premium demand, your mother might stand a good chance. She'll certainly be ahead of Y pax of any status hoping just for a free op-up.
Redeemed upgrades is slightly better than whole award for CX as CX will get revenue for the (expensive) economy fare, but it's essentially getting next to naught for the upgrade.
