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Cathay Pacific---Will its onerous path lead to bankruptcy?

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Cathay Pacific---Will its onerous path lead to bankruptcy?

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Old Sep 14, 2019, 3:31 pm
  #61  
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Originally Posted by chongcao

I don't know. But, one of CXs shareholder CITIC is facing some financial difficulties, one of its subsidiary in Beijing is going through bankruptcy. As CNY loosing value slowly, CITIC, a giant that is backed by Chinese government, needs CX to pay great dividend in order to meet its target.
I thought CITIC sold its CX shares to CA.

I don't think many relevant parties, including CZ itself, really support the "CZ in Oneworld" idea. I expect stronger bilateral partnerships with AA and maybe BA as face saving middle ground.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 2:03 am
  #62  
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Originally Posted by moondog
I thought CITIC sold its CX shares to CA.

I don't think many relevant parties, including CZ itself, really support the "CZ in Oneworld" idea. I expect stronger bilateral partnerships with AA and maybe BA as face saving middle ground.
CITIC still holds 15% if my memory is correct.

China Southern is very much in the bid to join Oneworld. There is no incentive for them to leave Sky Team if no promise was made to them. After all its subsidiary just joined ST few years with them. Even now MU are a preferred member in ST now, CZ still enjoys the membership benefits. Exit ST is done on consideration of a calculated step. Bilateral does not help CZ and its ambition to develop PKX. Without ability to earn elite qualifying miles, lounge access and alliance wide fares participating, CZ could not attract passengers on its own and codeshares. CZ management knows that, Mr. MA the former MU man knows that too.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 3:56 am
  #63  
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CX's position -- no mainland carriers in OW -- has not softened, and they still have veto power.

There's no reason bilaterals can't provide similar benefits as alliance membership.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 4:39 am
  #64  
 
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Originally Posted by chongcao
CITIC still holds 15% if my memory is correct.

China Southern is very much in the bid to join Oneworld. There is no incentive for them to leave Sky Team if no promise was made to them. After all its subsidiary just joined ST few years with them. Even now MU are a preferred member in ST now, CZ still enjoys the membership benefits. Exit ST is done on consideration of a calculated step. Bilateral does not help CZ and its ambition to develop PKX. Without ability to earn elite qualifying miles, lounge access and alliance wide fares participating, CZ could not attract passengers on its own and codeshares. CZ management knows that, Mr. MA the former MU man knows that too.
Except that people who aren't Chinese have no interest in flying Chinese carriers.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 5:21 am
  #65  
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Originally Posted by Isochronous
Except that people who aren't Chinese have no interest in flying Chinese carriers.
Who bestowed the right upon you to speak for [all] "people who aren't Chinese"?
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 8:47 am
  #66  
 
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Originally Posted by moondog
Who bestowed the right upon you to speak for [all] "people who aren't Chinese"?
Experience and knowledge. Commodities you likely don't have if you can't refute the premise with logic.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 8:51 am
  #67  
 
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Originally Posted by Isochronous
Except that people who aren't Chinese have no interest in flying Chinese carriers.
Comment not based on logic. To the average traveler, many other factors in the decision-making process: price, network coverage, hard/soft product, etc.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 8:51 am
  #68  
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It's not a question of logic, it's a question of data. I personally know several people who are not ethnically Chinese and who have flown on Chinese carriers recently.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 8:56 am
  #69  
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I thought it was a subtle jab at how Chinese carriers aren't usually someone's first choice when it comes to quality of service/product, unless you count yourself among the 1.4 Billion Flag Guards as a matter of national pride.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 9:02 am
  #70  
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Well yes, but in the real world beyond the confines of FlyerTalk, the number one priority for the vast majority of people is cost. And on that, for many routes, the Chinese carriers do OK.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 9:07 am
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Originally Posted by christep
Well yes, but in the real world beyond the confines of FlyerTalk, the number one priority for the vast majority of people is cost. And on that, for many routes, the Chinese carriers do OK.
Whenever Flight Centre run promotions where their lowest price is based on a pool of carriers, in the fine print it always says that the offer excludes Chinese carriers. That's clearly responding to market sentiment which doesn't regard Chinese carriers well.

Chinese carriers will capture some foreign traffic into China but the non-Chinese passenger who is willing to transit China en route to somewhere else is a rare bird indeed.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 9:14 am
  #72  
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I don't know enough people to judge, but I do know someone (not ethnically Chinese) who is booked to fly HK to London and back next Easter on Air China via Beijing because it was HK$2000 cheaper than any other alternative at the time of booking.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 9:18 am
  #73  
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Originally Posted by Isochronous
Whenever Flight Centre run promotions where their lowest price is based on a pool of carriers, in the fine print it always says that the offer excludes Chinese carriers. That's clearly responding to market sentiment which doesn't regard Chinese carriers well.
Alternatively it might be because the Chinese carriers offer them less commission, but maybe that's just me being cyncial.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 9:31 am
  #74  
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Originally Posted by chongcao
CITIC still holds 15% if my memory is correct.

China Southern is very much in the bid to join Oneworld. There is no incentive for them to leave Sky Team if no promise was made to them. After all its subsidiary just joined ST few years with them. Even now MU are a preferred member in ST now, CZ still enjoys the membership benefits. Exit ST is done on consideration of a calculated step. Bilateral does not help CZ and its ambition to develop PKX. Without ability to earn elite qualifying miles, lounge access and alliance wide fares participating, CZ could not attract passengers on its own and codeshares. CZ management knows that, Mr. MA the former MU man knows that too.
CITIC sold most of its share to Air China and Swire back in 2009. At the time, its remaining holdings were less than 3% but I think that they sold most of it by now.
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Old Sep 15, 2019, 9:40 am
  #75  
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Originally Posted by Isochronous
Except that people who aren't Chinese have no interest in flying Chinese carriers.
Do you have any evidence to prove your extreme statement?
The product quality of most Chinese airlines on longhaul flights has improved dramatically in the past few years. Just as fast as China is evolving. And their pricing is very competitive, including in J.
Tons of Europeans fly to China on Chinese airlines. And airlines are attacking the transit market, although BEI and PVG are positioned far from South East Asia but OK for Northern Asia.
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