BA 777-9 deliveries now 2026-2028
#31
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Hindsight is 20/20. Nobody could have realistically forecast how the pandemic would conclude in 2020. Nobody even knew when a vaccine would come to market.
Last edited by Prospero; Jul 30, 2022 at 9:57 am Reason: Combine consecutive posts
#32
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: London
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Posts: 5,115
(only half-joking, isn’t loss of institutional knowledge and accumulated expertise a regular problem on large new programmes)
#33
Join Date: Nov 2015
Location: London
Programs: BA Gold
Posts: 1,683
Can you explain this. I like the B787, and the A350, the A330 not so much. Don’t the first two have better cabin pressure and humidity? I think the A350 is quieter, but that maybe just the seats I’ve had.
#34
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The pressure and humidity thing I really don’t notice.
Of course this leaves aside Boeing’s ability to actual build planes safely and reliably. 😕
#35
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 7,237
Where I think everyone in the industry failed - but perhaps for that old fox of Michael O'Leary, who's often the smartest man in the room - was in figuring out how the recovery would look like. They thought of a U-shaped recovery, with a long plateau, because that was what happened in '08 (fun fact: LHR never quite recovered the % of business travellers it had back before Lehman went tits up!). The thing is, though, Covid wasn't an economic shock. This wasn't about bankers giving mortgages to people who couldn't afford them and then the whole economy crashing down; this was something external - a virus! - causing a blockade. Remove the virus, demand returned with a vengeance and the recovery was a very steep V-shaped one. If Asia opened up tomorrow, I think 2023 would be in line with 2019, for Europe already is at that level. That's what BA/HAL/US3 many more failed to grasp; they went for their staff, especially legacy ones, and now they're paying the price.
#36
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Helvetia
Programs: AS; BA Silver; UA; HH Gold; Sprüngli Connaisseur
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I think the problem today with "Boeing" is that they need more Boeing. The "Boeing" of today is more McDonnell and Vought than Boeing, especially with the 787-10.
#37
Join Date: Aug 2014
Posts: 55
I can understand the dire predictions where business travel is concerned given the swift and widespread adoption of Zoom and eventually Teams by businesses. Making the same predictions about leisure travel, especially after the disrupted summers of 2020 and 2021, was just ridiculous and that's what I thought at the time. Business travel has picked up faster than expected by many, including me, but anyone looking at the amount who wanted to fly for summer holidays in 2020, even with all the restrictions, should have been in no doubt that there would be a large surge this year.
#38
Join Date: Jun 2018
Programs: BAEC Silver
Posts: 160
Why 7+ years? The 77X has been designed even earlier than that, but in the late 2020s it'll still be the most technologically advanced VLA available on the market, with new engines and a wholly new wing. And, by not being a launch customer, BA will also have the benefit of (hopefully, it's Boeing so you never quite know) having a relatively mature aircraft. It makes a big difference.
#39
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There definitely was a lot of uncertainty: a new virus, little prior knowledge of how a pandemic triggered by a highly-transmissable pathogen worked in a modern society, and above all the fact that government were totally flapping. It's hard to underestimate the damage that policies like Grant Shapps' decreeing by Twitter had on the industry. Let's not forget that, for instance, Nigeria went from no restrictions to hotel prison at your own cost to back to no restrictions in about 3 weeks!
Where I think everyone in the industry failed - but perhaps for that old fox of Michael O'Leary, who's often the smartest man in the room - was in figuring out how the recovery would look like. They thought of a U-shaped recovery, with a long plateau, because that was what happened in '08 (fun fact: LHR never quite recovered the % of business travellers it had back before Lehman went tits up!). The thing is, though, Covid wasn't an economic shock. This wasn't about bankers giving mortgages to people who couldn't afford them and then the whole economy crashing down; this was something external - a virus! - causing a blockade. Remove the virus, demand returned with a vengeance and the recovery was a very steep V-shaped one. If Asia opened up tomorrow, I think 2023 would be in line with 2019, for Europe already is at that level. That's what BA/HAL/US3 many more failed to grasp; they went for their staff, especially legacy ones, and now they're paying the price.
Where I think everyone in the industry failed - but perhaps for that old fox of Michael O'Leary, who's often the smartest man in the room - was in figuring out how the recovery would look like. They thought of a U-shaped recovery, with a long plateau, because that was what happened in '08 (fun fact: LHR never quite recovered the % of business travellers it had back before Lehman went tits up!). The thing is, though, Covid wasn't an economic shock. This wasn't about bankers giving mortgages to people who couldn't afford them and then the whole economy crashing down; this was something external - a virus! - causing a blockade. Remove the virus, demand returned with a vengeance and the recovery was a very steep V-shaped one. If Asia opened up tomorrow, I think 2023 would be in line with 2019, for Europe already is at that level. That's what BA/HAL/US3 many more failed to grasp; they went for their staff, especially legacy ones, and now they're paying the price.
I can understand the dire predictions where business travel is concerned given the swift and widespread adoption of Zoom and eventually Teams by businesses. Making the same predictions about leisure travel, especially after the disrupted summers of 2020 and 2021, was just ridiculous and that's what I thought at the time. Business travel has picked up faster than expected by many, including me, but anyone looking at the amount who wanted to fly for summer holidays in 2020, even with all the restrictions, should have been in no doubt that there would be a large surge this year.
Last edited by Prospero; Jul 30, 2022 at 9:57 am Reason: Combine consecutive posts
#40
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 7,237
Not entirely true. Once a design project concludes - and the bulk of the activity on the 787, 350 and their engines undoubtedly has - there is a loss of knowledge. People move on, teams are disbanded, this sort of thing. And from what I hear Boeing has quite a habit to close down teams. One of my previous (and best, sorely miss him) bosses worked at Boeing on the design of the 747-400. He and his team were disbanded soon after EIS and indeed were fired! In his career at Boeing he had to reapply for a job quite a few times.
#41
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Not entirely true. Once a design project concludes - and the bulk of the activity on the 787, 350 and their engines undoubtedly has - there is a loss of knowledge. People move on, teams are disbanded, this sort of thing. And from what I hear Boeing has quite a habit to close down teams. One of my previous (and best, sorely miss him) bosses worked at Boeing on the design of the 747-400. He and his team were disbanded soon after EIS and indeed were fired! In his career at Boeing he had to reapply for a job quite a few times.
#42
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 81
The 787 has always been a bleedless airplane. That configuration (and the efficiencies associated with it) is an aircraft systems one, independent of the engines.
#43
Suspended
Join Date: Feb 2022
Posts: 853
787 has ridiculous windows and is remarkably noisy due to poor AC design. Later series A330 in particular are notably quieter. The A350 sits at the top of the tree in terms of overall plane design.
The pressure and humidity thing I really don’t notice.
Of course this leaves aside Boeing’s ability to actual build planes safely and reliably. 😕
The pressure and humidity thing I really don’t notice.
Of course this leaves aside Boeing’s ability to actual build planes safely and reliably. 😕
Boeing is nearly a decade ahead of Airbus in truly game changing technology, like advanced composite material and first of its kind technologies like bleedless deicing.
The large windows are a boon, not even possible on Airbus designs without compromising structural integrity thanks to their last generation construction methods, and a benefit to pax, at least for the subset with eyes.
When compared on a flight time basis, there is nearly no difference between the two manufacturers, but, strangely, both having worse records than the minors like Embrair.
#44
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Join Date: Oct 2004
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What a load of nonsense.
Boeing is nearly a decade ahead of Airbus in truly game changing technology, like advanced composite material and first of its kind technologies like bleedless deicing.
The large windows are a boon, not even possible on Airbus designs without compromising structural integrity thanks to their last generation construction methods, and a benefit to pax, at least for the subset with eyes.
When compared on a flight time basis, there is nearly no difference between the two manufacturers, but, strangely, both having worse records than the minors like Embrair.
Boeing is nearly a decade ahead of Airbus in truly game changing technology, like advanced composite material and first of its kind technologies like bleedless deicing.
The large windows are a boon, not even possible on Airbus designs without compromising structural integrity thanks to their last generation construction methods, and a benefit to pax, at least for the subset with eyes.
When compared on a flight time basis, there is nearly no difference between the two manufacturers, but, strangely, both having worse records than the minors like Embrair.
#45
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