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Old Sep 10, 2020, 4:22 pm
FlyerTalk Forums Expert How-Tos and Guides
Last edit by: Globaliser
List of active A380s:
.
Code:
 Aircraft   Delivery     Hours
 G-XLEA     04.07.2013   29,259 at 06.04.2022
 G-XLEB     20.09.2013   28,913 at 29.07.2022
 G-XLEC     18.10.2013   29,592 at 20.09.2022
 G-XLED     17.01.2014   27,628 at 06.01.2022
 G-XLEE     06.03.2014   27,385 at 03.02.2021
 G-XLEF     15.05.2014   27,572 at 30.03.2022
 G-XLEG     11.09.2014   27,033 at 01.08.2022
 G-XLEH     16.10.2014   25,613 at 01.08.2022
 G-XLEI     13.02.2015   24,390 at 21.01.2022
 G-XLEJ     10.11.2015   21,521 at 31.10.2022
 G-XLEK     03.02.2016   19,363 at 20.03.2022
 G-XLEL     22.06.2016   19,284 at 17.06.2022
 .
 .
.
Major maintenance:
.
Code:
 Aircraft   Maint 1      Maint 2      Maint 3      Maint 4
 G-XLEA     21.06.2015   12.04.2017   17.12.2018   26.10.2021
 G-XLEB     24.09.2015   20.05.2017   04.03.2019   07.02.2022
 G-XLEC     17.10.2015   09.09.2017   06.05.2019   08.03.2022
 G-XLED     24.01.2016   08.11.2017   06.08.2019   23.12.2021
 .
 .
.
Code:
 G-XLEE     15.02.2016   16.12.2017   19.10.2019   14.04.2022
 G-XLEF     16.04.2016   25.02.2018   19.01.2020   04.02.2022
 G-XLEG     25.09.2016   09.04.2018   25.05.2020   13.05.2022
 G-XLEH     15.10.2016   16.09.2018   21.08.2020   11.09.2022
 G-XLEI     21.01.2017   21.10.2018   15.10.2020   28.10.2022
 G-XLEJ     28.09.2017   11.06.2019   16.07.2022
 G-XLEK     21.01.2018   22.11.2019   04.01.2022
 G-XLEL     28.04.2018   23.02.2020   31.03.2022
 .
 .
.
Notes:
  1. Maintenance dates are for the completion of each period of major maintenance work, lasting about 3, 5, 8 and 4 weeks respectively.
  2. As of 28 October 2022: -
    • G-XLEA is in service
    • G-XLEB is in service
    • G-XLEC is in service
    • G-XLED is in service
    • G-XLEE is in service
    • G-XLEF is in service
    • G-XLEG is in service
    • G-XLEH is in service
    • G-XLEI is in service
    • G-XLEJ is in service
    • G-XLEK is in service
    • G-XLEL is in service
  3. Airport codes:-
    • LHR = London Heathrow
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Old Sep 9, 2020, 11:36 pm
  #31  
 
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Originally Posted by niavaran
I'm curious as to what others think about this. But to me, it seems like a panicked strategy "doing things for the sake of doing things" rather than doing things because they will yield good results.
You’re making two big assumptions: that there’ll be a successful vaccine - by no means guaranteed - and that if there is, demand will bounce back overnight.

It’s becoming increasingly clear that this is not just going to be a temporary blip. Even if Covid-19 disappears tomorrow, many businesses have found successful new ways of working that involve less travel, and many leisure travellers have become far more risk averse. Demand - especially for long haul - will be down for years to come and the A380 is the worst possible aircraft for a depressed market.
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 2:14 am
  #32  
 
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Originally Posted by GumshoeW12
You’re making two big assumptions: that there’ll be a successful vaccine - by no means guaranteed - and that if there is, demand will bounce back overnight.

It’s becoming increasingly clear that this is not just going to be a temporary blip. Even if Covid-19 disappears tomorrow, many businesses have found successful new ways of working that involve less travel, and many leisure travellers have become far more risk averse. Demand - especially for long haul - will be down for years to come and the A380 is the worst possible aircraft for a depressed market.
Not only that. We've seen a dip in GDP in double figure percentages. A lot of businesses are unlikely to survive, and those that do will be cutting costs, starting with travel and marketing as usual.
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 2:19 am
  #33  
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Originally Posted by alex67500
.....A lot of businesses are unlikely to survive, and those that do will be cutting costs, starting with travel and marketing as usual.
Not forgetting Training too. The favourite three
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 2:22 am
  #34  
 
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Originally Posted by alex67500
Not only that. We've seen a dip in GDP in double figure percentages. A lot of businesses are unlikely to survive, and those that do will be cutting costs, starting with travel and marketing as usual.
I agree. I think, a little like the Concorde era, we’re going to move to a new era even ‘post-pandemic’. Will there still be business travel? Yes of course there will - but I doubt it’ll get back to 2019 levels for all sorts of reasons. I do wonder if we’ll end up in a digitally connected but more physically separated world as a result. I also wonder whether surviving airlines & hotels will focus a little more on leisure. Where this leaves the ‘Executive Club’ remains to be seen.
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 2:28 am
  #35  
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Originally Posted by 13901
However, BA's heavy maintenance for the 380 is outsourced, so perhaps it's not so much of a drag. I
BA, QF, LH use Lufthansa Technik in Manila. Not sure which other airlines use them. At what point will the reduction in A380s across their clients mean that Lufthansa will close this shop?
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 2:57 am
  #36  
 
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Indeed, We are booked on the A388 to MIA on the 28th Dec returning in Jan on a B789, lets see if they lift the travel advisory either way?

ss
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 3:33 am
  #37  
 
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I can only speak for my firm - a big4 consultancy and it is almost surprising how quickly a 140k employees tanker has globally adapted to MS teams, and our clients did as well.

Covid 19 has transformed the way we work, and especially the services sector (Consulting, Finance, Banking, etc) won't go back to the old times anymore. It's simply more cost effective, and faster. I expect my business travel will be in 2021 60% lower compared to 2019.

Airlines like BA, who have relied on margin strong routes like JFK-LHR will face a strong margin erosion themselves - what that means for customer service etc will be seen.
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 3:40 am
  #38  
 
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Originally Posted by sxc
BA, QF, LH use Lufthansa Technik in Manila. Not sure which other airlines use them. At what point will the reduction in A380s across their clients mean that Lufthansa will close this shop?
I believe that the LH Group are also looking to go forwards with a fleet of eight aircraft. They currently have fourteen, all stored, but I believe the last I read was for six to get retired. Clearly the airlines have done their homework and eight is the minimum viable fleet size.
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 3:45 am
  #39  
 
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Originally Posted by Duck1981
I can only speak for my firm - a big4 consultancy and it is almost surprising how quickly a 140k employees tanker has globally adapted to MS teams, and our clients did as well.

Covid 19 has transformed the way we work, and especially the services sector (Consulting, Finance, Banking, etc) won't go back to the old times anymore. It's simply more cost effective, and faster. I expect my business travel will be in 2021 60% lower compared to 2019.
I agree with a lot of this, I've seen quite a few posts on this forum from people working in sales etc. saying that they fundamentally need to be able to travel for their job and so they expect travel to rebound quickly as a result given Zoom/calls are just not the same as face-to-face, but there are many other areas where this is just not the case. COVID-19 has basically been a successful forced experiment in how many large corporates can cut their travel costs massively in future with little damage to the core business. Sure, some of that travel will return, but there are a lot of CFOs likely to seize on the opportunity and I'm personally beginning to think that corporate travel could take 5-10 years to get back to where it was in 2019. The outlook for businesses reliant on corporate rather than leisure travel even post-vaccine/COVID-19 burning out is not amazing, in my opinion. What this means for the A380 I'm not totally sure, but if BA decides to mothball or scrap the entire fleet, I would be saddened but not particularly surprised at this point.
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 4:11 am
  #40  
 
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Originally Posted by sxc
BA, QF, LH use Lufthansa Technik in Manila. Not sure which other airlines use them. At what point will the reduction in A380s across their clients mean that Lufthansa will close this shop?
well I would imagine that the LHT infrastructure over in Manila can accommodate other aircrafts (BAMC’s bays, or at least one of them, has adaptable rigging that can fit a 777 and 747 plus I believe the 787).
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 5:14 am
  #41  
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Originally Posted by Duck1981
I can only speak for my firm - a big4 consultancy and it is almost surprising how quickly a 140k employees tanker has globally adapted to MS teams, and our clients did as well.

Covid 19 has transformed the way we work, and especially the services sector (Consulting, Finance, Banking, etc) won't go back to the old times anymore. It's simply more cost effective, and faster. I expect my business travel will be in 2021 60% lower compared to 2019.

Airlines like BA, who have relied on margin strong routes like JFK-LHR will face a strong margin erosion themselves - what that means for customer service etc will be seen.
I've just got a new job. Everything was done online, and I'm being on-boarded so I can work remotely via Citrix. I won't get to meet the rest of the team in person until at least January 2021. Damn, I'll miss the weekly commute to AMS (or wherever) so I can be sat in an office spending 90% of the time on calls with off-shore teams
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 5:24 am
  #42  
 
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What is the source of this rumour? Is it just a mis-reading of the longer-term storage of 4 A380s, or has BA hinted at something else?
Surely if they are keeping the A380 fleet it would be not that much more expensive to continue to run a fleet of 12 at maybe lower utilisation to allow for growth post 2023. The oldest A380 still has at least 20 years of life ahead of it (assuming a 25-30-year in-service life which has traditionally been typical of much of the BA Long haul fleet) pre covid
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 5:58 am
  #43  
 
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Originally Posted by lost_in_translation
I agree with a lot of this, I've seen quite a few posts on this forum from people working in sales etc. saying that they fundamentally need to be able to travel for their job and so they expect travel to rebound quickly as a result given Zoom/calls are just not the same as face-to-face, but there are many other areas where this is just not the case. COVID-19 has basically been a successful forced experiment in how many large corporates can cut their travel costs massively in future with little damage to the core business. Sure, some of that travel will return, but there are a lot of CFOs likely to seize on the opportunity and I'm personally beginning to think that corporate travel could take 5-10 years to get back to where it was in 2019. The outlook for businesses reliant on corporate rather than leisure travel even post-vaccine/COVID-19 burning out is not amazing, in my opinion. What this means for the A380 I'm not totally sure, but if BA decides to mothball or scrap the entire fleet, I would be saddened but not particularly surprised at this point.
agree. i've been saying this from the start but have been swatted down saying im wrong etc etc despite working for one of the big 5 tech cos seeing it all unfold. and yes sales people will always claim face to face is better because it is--however it will be the CFOs now requiring they justify why the travel expense is needed to any similar degree as before--especially given every company will take an economic hit from covid regardless of how big it is.
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 6:14 am
  #44  
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If travel does rebound then I imagine BA will be happy to take the high yielding traffic and leave the rest to others. Not that I can see that happening just yet...
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Old Sep 10, 2020, 6:24 am
  #45  
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Really can't understand why all the airlines seem to be selling off or mothballing their larger planes, precisely at a time when passengers are asking for more space so that they can socially distance. I understand that running costs are a factor, but if airlines want people to return to flying, they need to consider the advantages of giving passengers as much space as possible so that they feel comfortable flying.

In the US, Delta, who fly their planes at 75% capacity or less, seem to be doing better than United, who are cramming their planes full, but both those operators have also disposed of their larger planes. Delta has even ditched all its 777s in favour of Airbus.
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