Speculation: New Amex premium card?
#17
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: home = LAX
Posts: 25,933
Just dreaming here...
At least one $995 AF card is currently on the market: the MasterCard Gold card.
Replace "free iPhone" with anything of substantial value, mass appeal, and practical use. I think Amex's gifts to Centurion members is something that could be done for the mass affluent.
- Metal card
- 1:1 transfer to SPG
- 3x MR on travel and dining
- 2,500 bonus MR for every $5,000 spent
- effectively 1.5x everywhere, a la Chase Freedom
- 1 MR = 1.5 cents on flights and hotels through Amex Travel
- Free swag (e.g., "Membership Rewards" T-shirt or water bottle) mailed to cardmember at the end of every month in which there was at least one transaction every day
- Either:
- $150 annual fee, no travel credit
- $450 annual fee, $300 travel credit
- $695 annual fee, no travel credit, but a free iPhone every year
- $995 annual fee, $300 travel credit, and a free iPhone every year
At least one $995 AF card is currently on the market: the MasterCard Gold card.
Replace "free iPhone" with anything of substantial value, mass appeal, and practical use. I think Amex's gifts to Centurion members is something that could be done for the mass affluent.
But what is there like that where people aren't divided into one camp or another (and refuse to switch)?
Besides, if you're assuming that the base fee is $150ish ($450 - $300 travel credit), then what kind of iPhone can Amex get for $550? Last year's model? Do you realize how much iPhones cost if you pay for them outright (no contract, no monthly charges)?
Meanwhile, is there any precedent for MR transfers from one card being different than MR transfers from another card? Amex doesn't keep track of "sponsor accounts" the way Citi TYP does AFAIK.
Finally, why bother having a special transfer rate for a program which is going away circa 2018?
#18
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 4,374
That's if you transfer Chase to Marriott, which is generally inadvisable since Chase to Hyatt requires far fewer points for the same caliber of hotel. Amex Membership Rewards has no competitive hotel partner at the moment.
Small gifts like these are a great investment in customer satisfaction.
Add the card to Apple Pay.
A base model iPhone of the newest variety is $650 retail, without any sort of discount. Amex could have cardmembers trade in their previous smartphones, which go for $300 on the used marketplace, if in good condition.
Just as Amex asks you to choose an airline for your travel credit, they could easily ask you to choose iPhone or Android for your annual gift. Smartphones are about as universal as you can get in the $650 ballpark. The 50% statistic is not meaningful here because Android is disproportionately popular among lower-income people who would not be in Amex's demographic target.
Add the card to Apple Pay.
Just as Amex asks you to choose an airline for your travel credit, they could easily ask you to choose iPhone or Android for your annual gift. Smartphones are about as universal as you can get in the $650 ballpark. The 50% statistic is not meaningful here because Android is disproportionately popular among lower-income people who would not be in Amex's demographic target.
#19
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: SEA
Programs: AS MVP, Hhonors Gold, National Executive, Identity Gold, MLife Gold
Posts: 2,687
#20
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Miami, Mpls & London
Programs: AA & Marriott Perpetual Platinum; DL & HH Gold
Posts: 48,954
Which is the only comparison that would be of interest to Marriott. American Express cannot unilaterally change the transfer rate from Membership Rewards to any partner, and I do not foresee that Marriott would agree to a change that would disadvantage Chase.
#21
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Miami, Mpls & London
Programs: AA & Marriott Perpetual Platinum; DL & HH Gold
Posts: 48,954
MR? Do you mean Membership Rewards or Marriott Rewards? American Express has no relationship with Marriott Rewards, only with Starwood Preferred Guest. We do not know which banks will issue cards for the combined program in 2018, but it wouldn't be sensible for American Express to launch a new product based on their SPG relationship due to that uncertainty.
#22
Join Date: Jul 2016
Location: Dallas, TX
Programs: WN A-List Pref, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Gold, IHG Plat
Posts: 460
It's not meaningful to you. Others, like me, feel differently. Smartphones are a non-starter as swag. Hopefully Amex has more appealing ideas for whatever they're planning.
#23
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: SFO
Posts: 108
I'd rather see the Platinum become a more rewarding card for unbonused spend than adopt bonus categories that overlap other cards. 2500 MR points for every $5000 spent would be nice, but knowing Amex, it would be something more to the tune of 25,000 points after $50,000 if they did it at all.
#24
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: DCA
Posts: 818
I'd rather see the Platinum become a more rewarding card for unbonused spend than adopt bonus categories that overlap other cards. 2500 MR points for every $5000 spent would be nice, but knowing Amex, it would be something more to the tune of 25,000 points after $50,000 if they did it at all.
Edit: Which is not to say it wouldn't induce myself and others to shift spend to it. In my case, it would just be shifting from the EDP to the Platinum though, which I believe would be a minor net loss for them - greater liability on purchase protection with the Plat, but equal (I assume?) revenue from interchange fees.
Last edited by bodiddely; Sep 28, 2016 at 7:39 pm
#25
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: home = LAX
Posts: 25,933
Just as Amex asks you to choose an airline for your travel credit, they could easily ask you to choose iPhone or Android for your annual gift. Smartphones are about as universal as you can get in the $650 ballpark. The 50% statistic is not meaningful here because Android is disproportionately popular among lower-income people who would not be in Amex's demographic target.
And Android phones on average are less expensive that iPhones (because there is competition within the Android phone market, while there is no competition within the IOS phone market).
It's also unclear just how long phone replacement every year will be the fad it's been the past few years. There's only so far they can take phones before phone software will continue to update but there'll be fewer and fewer additional features that will make people feel the need to update the phone yearly.
And this whole proposal for tying it to the annual fee requires something that people feel the need to get yearly. IMHO travel works much better than phones. Travel is a wide category (airlines, hotels, etc), and the equivalent of it with phones is not phones but electronics in general (with phones as just a subset).
It can certainly make sense to have a phone rebate for a phone-related card (the way Citi's AT&T Access More did with a signup bonus), but this doesn't seem like it will be a phone-related card.
If they want to make it "more premium", they could change it from any old travel to only "premium" travel of some sort being the rebate: Only purchases in first/business airline cabins, only bookings for luxury hotels, something like that.
#26
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: NYC
Posts: 581
#27
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: SEA
Programs: AS MVP, Hhonors Gold, National Executive, Identity Gold, MLife Gold
Posts: 2,687
MR? Do you mean Membership Rewards or Marriott Rewards? American Express has no relationship with Marriott Rewards, only with Starwood Preferred Guest. We do not know which banks will issue cards for the combined program in 2018, but it wouldn't be sensible for American Express to launch a new product based on their SPG relationship due to that uncertainty.
(I thought it was referring to Membership Rewards ending)
#28
Moderator: Manufactured Spending
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 6,580
Huh? I certainly don't value a smartphone at $650, not when I can buy a reasonable alternative for half that.
It's not meaningful to you. Others, like me, feel differently. Smartphones are a non-starter as swag. Hopefully Amex has more appealing ideas for whatever they're planning.
It's not meaningful to you. Others, like me, feel differently. Smartphones are a non-starter as swag. Hopefully Amex has more appealing ideas for whatever they're planning.
#29
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 558
You may be surprised to learn that some people don't measure their self-worth by what type of gadget they carry in their pocket - even affluent people.
#30
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Oxford
Programs: Skyteam Elite+, VS Red, HHonours Diamond, Accor Plat
Posts: 629
He may not have put it in a very nice way but he's right about the demographics.
http://blog.magmalabs.io/2016/02/12/...velopment.html
Android
Household Income:
* Less than $30,000/ year: 28%
* $30,000 – $49,999/ year: 27%
* $50,000 – $74,999/ year: 31%
* $75,000+/ year: 31%
iPhone
Household Income:
* Less than $30,000/ year: 13%
* $30,000 – $49,999/ year: 23%
* $50,000 – $74,999/ year: 25%
* $75,000+/ year: 40%
What this doesn't show is that there are, by several orders of magnitude, more Android users that iOS users. Android has market share "81.5% of smartphones globally." So numerically there are way more high earners using Android than there are on iOS but as a percentage it's the other way round.
Lies, damned lies and statistics...
http://blog.magmalabs.io/2016/02/12/...velopment.html
Android
Household Income:
* Less than $30,000/ year: 28%
* $30,000 – $49,999/ year: 27%
* $50,000 – $74,999/ year: 31%
* $75,000+/ year: 31%
iPhone
Household Income:
* Less than $30,000/ year: 13%
* $30,000 – $49,999/ year: 23%
* $50,000 – $74,999/ year: 25%
* $75,000+/ year: 40%
What this doesn't show is that there are, by several orders of magnitude, more Android users that iOS users. Android has market share "81.5% of smartphones globally." So numerically there are way more high earners using Android than there are on iOS but as a percentage it's the other way round.
Lies, damned lies and statistics...