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AA945/940 DFW-SCL Price (Jan 2020) unusually high!

AA945/940 DFW-SCL Price (Jan 2020) unusually high!

Old Aug 26, 19, 11:34 am
  #1  
Original Poster
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: DFW
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 351
Unhappy AA945/940 DFW-SCL Price (Jan 2020) unusually high!

I've been flying DFW-SCL the first two weeks of January since 2007. The least I've paid for business is about $2600 and the most I've paid was $4960 this past January. Currently, for the flights I need (Jan 2/Jan 11), the price is just under $8000!! I'm wondering if the price is perhaps so high because the flight is over 4 months away. Is it possible/probable that the price could come down in the intervening months? Opinions welcome.
FrogProf is offline  
Old Aug 26, 19, 11:40 am
  #2  
 
Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: RDU <|> MMX
Programs: AA EXP 2MM, SK EBS
Posts: 6,064
Originally Posted by FrogProf View Post
I've been flying DFW-SCL the first two weeks of January since 2007. The least I've paid for business is about $2600 and the most I've paid was $4960 this past January. Currently, for the flights I need (Jan 2/Jan 11), the price is just under $8000!! I'm wondering if the price is perhaps so high because the flight is over 4 months away. Is it possible/probable that the price could come down in the intervening months? Opinions welcome.
Of course the price could and probably will come down, January still is 5 months away. Booking anything that far out is usually a recipe for paying more. The only thing I would be mindful of is that many of the discounted business class fares require 60 day advance purchase. So just keep an eye on it.
JJeffrey is offline  
Old Aug 26, 19, 11:46 am
  #3  
 
Join Date: Nov 2018
Posts: 6
One thing to keep in mind is this route is now run on a 787-8 when flying direct. Only 20 J seats on that plane. I'm not so sure prices will be coming down?
hotintx is offline  
Old Aug 26, 19, 11:50 am
  #4  
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: DFW
Programs: AA EXP, AA MM, Hilton Honors Diamond
Posts: 106
Originally Posted by FrogProf View Post
I've been flying DFW-SCL the first two weeks of January since 2007. The least I've paid for business is about $2600 and the most I've paid was $4960 this past January. Currently, for the flights I need (Jan 2/Jan 11), the price is just under $8000!! I'm wondering if the price is perhaps so high because the flight is over 4 months away. Is it possible/probable that the price could come down in the intervening months? Opinions welcome.
Unfortunately, I doubt the price will go down at all. I looked at expert flyer and it only shows 3 seats left in business class for the flight on the 2nd. Iím sure the New Year holiday has something to do with it being so crowded already. I know the nonstop is nice but you can save a lot of money by connecting somewhere.
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smuDC-10 is offline  
Old Aug 26, 19, 12:05 pm
  #5  
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 5,162
Yeah, not looking good... Outbound is showing J3 R2 D0 I0
Even pairing with SEA-DFW or YVR-DFW to control for different origin inventory shows DFW-SCL as very low on inventory.

That doesnít give much hope!
stephem is offline  
Old Aug 26, 19, 12:43 pm
  #6  
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Posts: 972
Originally Posted by hotintx View Post
One thing to keep in mind is this route is now run on a 787-8 when flying direct. Only 20 J seats on that plane. I'm not so sure prices will be coming down?
I keep hoping theyíll take us back up to the 789 on DFW-SCL as my impression is that the J demand is there to support it. With the 788 and only 20 J seats Iím often seeing this route sold out days or even weeks in advance, while SCL-MIA nearly always has J seats available. Iíve several times now had to book via MIA and wait until availability opens on 940/945 to then switch over to going via DFW.
BlatheringPenguin is offline  
Old Aug 27, 19, 1:58 pm
  #7  
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: DFW
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 351
Thanks for the opinions everyone. I suspect smuDC-10 is right. The smaller plane just doesn't have enough J seats and I don't dare hope for an eventual upgrade. It looks like I'll be routing through Miami.
FrogProf is offline  
Old Aug 27, 19, 2:27 pm
  #8  
 
Join Date: Apr 2019
Programs: Yes
Posts: 816
D fares are $5121 roundtrip and there's availability for Jan 6th outbound and Jan 13th or 15th return. Only 1 seat each on 6th and 13th flights (2 seats on the 15th). I'm afraid your desired departure and return dates are simply too close to holiday peak travel demand to be likely to have availability open in D or I buckets.
xliioper is offline  

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