Jan 6, 2019, 6:09 pm
Last edit by: JDiver
Chances of Upgrade Request Clearing
NOTE: Be aware of recent (20 May 2017) upgrade priority changes."New Upgrade Priority as of 20 May 2017
(Upgrades were prioritized by elite status and then time of request until 20 May 2017)
Elite status
- Concierge Key
- Executive Platinum
- Platinum Pro
- Platinum
- Gold
Upgrade type
- Miles and copay award upgrades and systemwide upgrades (SWU)
- 500 mile upgrades on purchased tickets
- 500 mile upgrades on upgrade eligible awards)
Then, by
- Elite qualifying dollars in the past 12 months (rolling)
- Booking class
- Time of request
See Upgrade Priority Changes to Status, Rolling 365 Day EQD Spend May 20 2017
Link to Gary Leff, View From the Wing 16 May 2017
ARCHIVE: Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2019 master thread)
May 24, 2019, 7:19 am
#586
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: DAY
Programs: Marriott Platinum, HHonors Diamond, AA ExPLT
Posts: 116
Currently showing no biz seats for sale, but 8 unassigned (open) seats. Sometimes AA seems to block out J seats for sale on this flight, then release a dump of them 24 hours or so before departure.
So, not looking good right now. But that couple possibly change. Keep an eye on it.
I just now checked into the Flagship Lounge and was told there’s 4 open seats in J currently, so I’m thinking @econometrics was on target with inventory being held back. Possible that there were 4 cancellations I guess- but either way I’m feeling good about my chances (currently number 2).
May 24, 2019, 7:22 am
#587
Join Date: May 2011
Location: DFW
Programs: AA EXP, LT Gold
Posts: 3,148
Yesterday I called the EXP line for something else and asked about my chances for this flight- was told the plane showed full in all classes.
I just now checked into the Flagship Lounge and was told there’s 4 open seats in J currently, so I’m thinking @econometrics was on target with inventory being held back. Possible that there were 4 cancellations I guess- but either way I’m feeling good about my chances (currently number 2).
Yeah, I'm not surprised. This really has been happening a lot lately. Either AA is doing some odd rev mgmt with these flights, or there are a lot of full fare pax that cancel day of.
May 24, 2019, 8:31 am
#588
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: DAY
Programs: Marriott Platinum, HHonors Diamond, AA ExPLT
Posts: 116
Just came through! List shows that 2 cleared, although there’s about another hour before boarding so more people might get lucky. I’m low EQD for EXP. I don’t know my exact rolling total, but I qualified last year with a little over $13k; probably a decent estimate given my travel patterns.
May 24, 2019, 9:14 am
#589
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: DAY
Programs: Marriott Platinum, HHonors Diamond, AA ExPLT
Posts: 116
Number 9 cleared too. Maybe Premium Economy UG?
May 24, 2019, 12:46 pm
#590
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Gatwick, UK
Programs: UA *G, BA Silver
Posts: 1,673
I am on 195 tomorrow (LHR-PHX). It is I7 and J7 and only 8 seats are assigned (it was 10 a week ago) and yet it is till C0. Today's flight was similarly empty and became C7 at about T-36 hours. Its strange how they decide about C inventory ... I really can find no rhyme or reason behind it, but I'm sure there is some.
Fortunately for me I was able to upfare to I for $250 and so I am one of those 8 assigned seats
Fortunately for me I was able to upfare to I for $250 and so I am one of those 8 assigned seats
May 24, 2019, 1:38 pm
#591
Join Date: May 2019
Programs: AA
Posts: 343
I am on 195 tomorrow (LHR-PHX). It is I7 and J7 and only 8 seats are assigned (it was 10 a week ago) and yet it is till C0. Today's flight was similarly empty and became C7 at about T-36 hours. Its strange how they decide about C inventory ... I really can find no rhyme or reason behind it, but I'm sure there is some.
Fortunately for me I was able to upfare to I for $250 and so I am one of those 8 assigned seats
Fortunately for me I was able to upfare to I for $250 and so I am one of those 8 assigned seats
May 24, 2019, 3:17 pm
#592
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Gatwick, UK
Programs: UA *G, BA Silver
Posts: 1,673
May 24, 2019, 5:00 pm
#593
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 319
Just as an update, the flight was zeroed out in all classes about 3 days before departure. At check in they said economy was oversold, but 5 seats remained free in J. Ended up being number 1 on the list out of 8. As predicted, 5 upgrades cleared but only exactly 60 minutes before departure.
May 24, 2019, 5:55 pm
#594
Join Date: May 2019
Programs: AA
Posts: 343
Yeah, I'm looking at the Sunday / Monday LAX-LHR AA136 flights myself, and same issue with C inventory remaining at 0 even with J7. Both flights also have over 20 seats unassigned. I think T-36 is the default setting AA uses for most international flights
May 25, 2019, 12:54 am
#595
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: The OC, DC, RIC
Programs: AA Plat, Marriott Platinum, Hertz Presidential Circle
Posts: 136
Just came through! List shows that 2 cleared, although there’s about another hour before boarding so more people might get lucky. I’m low EQD for EXP. I don’t know my exact rolling total, but I qualified last year with a little over $13k; probably a decent estimate given my travel patterns.
Awesome! Glad you cleared. I just lost my status so I'm thinking my chances are grim but I'm really glad you cleared. Hope you enjoyed the flight.
Last edited by saleen22; May 25, 2019 at 1:16 am Reason: Replied to wrong post
May 25, 2019, 2:44 am
#596
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Gatwick, UK
Programs: UA *G, BA Silver
Posts: 1,673
For LHR-PHX AA195 tomorrow (Sunday) it went C7 at about T-26. At T-25 there were still only 8 assigned seats in J, but by 9 minutes after check-in opened that had jumped to 19 seats assigned and still C7. The Premium Economy cabin has gone from 21 seats assigned to 10.
May 25, 2019, 2:54 am
#597
Join Date: Jun 2007
Programs: SQ AA TK
Posts: 1,438
Adding to the data point.
PP 9+ rolling.
LAX-JFK cleared at T-72 on memorial day weekend, sat red-eye. Kind of expected given that only 8 seats were assigned and it's sat night on a long weekend. Finally a chance to burn the stack of my 500miles upgrades on a companion.
PP 9+ rolling.
LAX-JFK cleared at T-72 on memorial day weekend, sat red-eye. Kind of expected given that only 8 seats were assigned and it's sat night on a long weekend. Finally a chance to burn the stack of my 500miles upgrades on a companion.
May 28, 2019, 12:52 pm
#598
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: GCM, formerly DFW
Programs: AA Exp
Posts: 271
Hi all, I'm booked on AA38 on 8/2/19, MIA-LHR on AA 77W metal booked through BA. Currently seated in 32J on an N fare. I've been reading this thread quite a bit and seem to have gotten a decent idea of my chances of an upgrade with miles + copay given my current status (somewhere in the range of 25%?), but would like to hear some expert opinions since I rarely fly this route.
Platinum w/ $8k+ rolling EQDs, here's what EF shows:
F7 A7 J7 R7 D7 I7 W4 P0 Y7 H7 K7 M6
L4 G0 V0 S0 N0 Q0 O0
Platinum w/ $8k+ rolling EQDs, here's what EF shows:
F7 A7 J7 R7 D7 I7 W4 P0 Y7 H7 K7 M6
L4 G0 V0 S0 N0 Q0 O0
May 28, 2019, 1:06 pm
#599
Join Date: Dec 2016
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 214
Hi all, I'm booked on AA38 on 8/2/19, MIA-LHR on AA 77W metal booked through BA. Currently seated in 32J on an N fare. I've been reading this thread quite a bit and seem to have gotten a decent idea of my chances of an upgrade with miles + copay given my current status (somewhere in the range of 25%?), but would like to hear some expert opinions since I rarely fly this route.
Platinum w/ $8k+ rolling EQDs, here's what EF shows:
F7 A7 J7 R7 D7 I7 W4 P0 Y7 H7 K7 M6
L4 G0 V0 S0 N0 Q0 O0
Platinum w/ $8k+ rolling EQDs, here's what EF shows:
F7 A7 J7 R7 D7 I7 W4 P0 Y7 H7 K7 M6
L4 G0 V0 S0 N0 Q0 O0
May 28, 2019, 1:07 pm
#600
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: GCM, formerly DFW
Programs: AA Exp
Posts: 271
Thanks, I suppose I figured as much. Anything to look out for regarding inventory as I get closer?