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Boeing 737 MAX 8 crashes and effects on AA 737 MAX 8s (NOT reaccommodation)

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Old Mar 12, 2019, 12:03 pm
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Last edit by: JDiver
This thread is dedicated to the effect on AA from the October 29, 2018 and March 10, 2019 crashes if two Boeing 737 MAX 8 aircraft in Indonesia and Ethiopia, respectively.

To discuss the probable and limited return of the Boeing MAX to service with AA at the end of 2020 and increasingly in 2021, please see

American Planning 737 MAX Service Restoration (Limited Dec and 2021)

To discuss reaccommodation by AA subsequent to the grounding of all Boeing MAX 8s and 9s by the US Federal Aviation Administration on 13 March 2019, please refer to 737 MAX grounded 13 Mar 2019. What to do if you were supposed to fly on one?

13 March 2019: All US airline Boeing 737 MAX 8 and 9 aircraft are grounded by US Federal Aviation Administration emergency order. AA has removed all 737 MAX 8 from scheduling through...
“Based on the latest guidance, the airline anticipates that the resumption of scheduled commercial service on American’s fleet of Boeing 737 MAX aircraft will occur (limited schedule Dec 2020).

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The thread regarding the 10 March 2019 Ethiopian Airlines ET 302 737 MAX 8 crash out of Adis Ababa is Ethiopian Airlines: Boeing 737 Max 8 crashes on way to Kenya [ET302 ADD-NBO 10MAR19]. Link.

The thread regarding the 29 October 2018 Lion Air JT 610 737 MAX 8 crash out of Jakarta is Lion Air flight from Jakarta has crashed
. Link.

The best narrative and information available is probably the Aviation Herald’s Crash: Lion B38M near Jakarta on Oct 29th 2018, aircraft lost height and crashed into Java Sea, wrong AoA data, by Simon Hradecky, created Friday, Oct 25th 2019 13:35Z, last updated Friday, Oct 25th 2019 16:05Z. Link.

American Airlines ordered 100 Boeing 737 MAX 8 (7M8) with options for 60 more. The first 737 MAX -8 flew at the assembly facility in Renton, WAshington, USA on 29 Jan 2016. Deliveries to AA commenced in late in 2017, with four delivered in 2017,16 more during 2018, with 20 more to be delivered during 2019. IATA code B38M; AA code "7M8".

Link to the story of how 737 MAX’ birth in the DFW Admirals Club and the forces that shaped it.

29 October 2018: Indonesian carrier Lion Air Flight 610 on October 29 crashed into the sea soon after takeoff with the loss of all aboard, apparently due to the erroneous data from a faulty Angle of Attack sensor, which caused the MCAS (Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System) to assume the plane was about to stall, which activated the downward force on the Stabilizer Trim to get the nose down. Link to BBC article.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.

Link to FlyerTalk airline forum thread regarding this incident.

“Instead of switching off the Stabilizer Trim the pilots appear to have battled the system.” Link

This aircraft had been written up as having a faulty AOA indicator for the previous three flights it had taken. It is unclear if Lion Air had performed adequate maintenance procedures after the reports or withdraw the aircraft from service until the fault could be completely cleared.

7 November 2018: The US Federal Aviation Administration / FAA issued an Airworthiness Directive (AD note) covering the AOA within a few days, giving US airlines 30 days to comply with the AD.

7 November 2018: Boeing issued revised operating instructions covering the revised MCAS used in the MAX 8, updating the MAX operations manual. See the manual update and the switches referenced in this post.

See “What is the Boeing 737 MAX Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System?”, updated November 17 to explain the MCAS and electric trim override operation, here: link.

10 March 10, 2019: An Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX 8 departing Addis Ababa to Nairobi turned back to the airport soon after takeoff, but crashed with the loss of all aboard.

Link to BBC article.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.

Link to FlyerTalk airline forum thread regarding this incident.

10 March 10, 2019: The US National Transportation Board / NTSB has dispatched an investigation team, as have Boeing, to Addis Ababa to assist the Ethiopian investigators in determining the cause(s) of the crash. The “black boxes” (cockpit voice and the flight data recorder have been recovered.

A revised MCAS is in the works, and the FAA is expected to issue an AD note when the MCAS update is done. This is expected to occur in May, 2019.

11 March 2019: China grounded its 737 MAX 8 (not MAX 9) fleet.

11 March 2019: the US FAA stated it would not ground US (AA, AS, UA, WN) 737 MAX aircraft at this time.

Link to FAA Airworthiness Notification for USA registered B38M aircraft PDF.

Link to Wall Street Journal article.

11 March 2019: AA APFA Flight Attendant union spokesperson asked AA to ground the MAX 8s. (TPG)

11 March 2019: AA pilots through their APA union have requested passengers allow the investigators do their work and refrain from jumping to conclusions. “We caution against speculation about what may have caused this tragic accident,” the Air Line Pilots Association said in a statement. (TPG)

12 March 2019: The nation members of the European Union, the United Kingdom and several other nations ban their airlines’ operation, and other airlines’ overflight or flights, of the B38M aircraft. Link to New York Times article.

12 March 2019: Other USA airlines operating 737 MAX aircraft (of all types) are United (UA), Southwest (WN). AS has ordered the MAX 9, but deliveries have not yet been made.

Link to The Points Guy “how to tell if you’re flying a 737 MAX 8” article

13 March 2019: American Airlines pilots’ union APA issues statement in support of the AA B38M: “The AA APA spokesman says AA's MAX 8s have additional indicators on the planes, which others do not have. He says they're the only ones equipped with TWO AOA displays - one for each pilot. This, I guess, is why AA feels they can keep flying the MAX 8. The spokesman said he felt UA and SW (WN) were getting these added to their MAX planes. “ - Econometrics

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/03/1...ilot-says.html

13 March 2019: Canada grounds Canadian B38M aircraft. The US is the sole remaining nation to allow operation of the 737 MAX 8. Link to USA Today article.

13 March 2019: US Federal Aviation Administration issues emergency order for immediate grounding all USA airline operated Boeing 737 MAX 8 and 9 aircraft, effectively immediately. Link NYT story.

13 March 2019: American Airlines issues announcement of 7M8 grounding. Link to PDF. According to AA:

On average, American operates 85 flights per day on the MAX 8, out of 6,700 departures throughout the American Airlines system. Our operations center is working to re-route aircraft throughout the system to cover as much of our schedule as we can.
13 March 2019: AA issues policy allowing those scheduled for 7M8 flights through April 4 to refund or change without fees for cancellations, or to make free changes to their flight plans. See the thread linked to at the top of this Wiki for a link.

14 March 2019: It is announced the French BEA will retrieve the data from the Ethiopian Cockpit Voice Recorder and Flight Data Recorder.

Link to Eight things you might not know about black boxes
By Cristen Tilley, ABC Australia

15 March 2019: BBC article states FAA says the MAX will not be cleared for flight at least until May. Link to story.

15 March 2019: On the other hand, CNBC states Boeing will have the anti-stall software update for the MAX ready in ten days, and that the FAA is expected to sign off on the modification on March 25, 2019.

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Boeing 737 MAX 8 crashes and effects on AA 737 MAX 8s (NOT reaccommodation)

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Old Mar 19, 2019, 5:08 pm
  #466  
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Originally Posted by JDiver
I think there’s some faulty assumptions here. The ET investigation is led in all instances by the local Ethiopian Civil Aviation Authority and the Ethiopian Transport Authority, with other stakeholders. US NTSB because the aircraft is American, Boeing as manufacturer, other nations invited or experiencing losses*, such as Canadian TSB because Canadian passengers died, and French BEA involved with the “black boxes” decoding. This is established in accordance with ICAO Annex 13 5.27. Link to ICAO Annex 13.

The recorders belong to the investigatory body at this time.

*Ethiopian Airlines’ list shows 35 nationalities among the dead. In all, 157 people were on board. The list of nations who
lost passengers and numbers of passengers lost are below. If there’s no number, the nation listed lost one citizen - resident.

Austria (3)
Belgium
Djibouti
Ethiopia (32)
Germany (5)
Indonesia
Ireland
Israel (2)
Kenya (17)
Morocco (2)
Mozambique
Nepal
Nigeria
Norway
Poland (2)
Russia (3)
Rwanda
Spain (2)
Saudi Arabia
Serbia
Somalia
Sudan
Sweden (3)
Togo
Uganda
Yemen
This list is only 26 countries, not 35. The total number on the list is also far under 157. For example, USA is missing (8 or 9 IIRC), also Canada (several?).
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Old Mar 19, 2019, 5:13 pm
  #467  
 
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Originally Posted by MSPeconomist
This list is only 26 countries, not 35. The total number on the list is also far under 157. For example, USA is missing (8 or 9 IIRC), also Canada (several?).
Canada had 18!
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Old Mar 19, 2019, 7:26 pm
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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-later-crashed

Pilot Who Hitched a Ride Saved Lion Air 737 Day Before Deadly Crash. As the Lion Air crew fought to control their diving Boeing Co. 737 Max 8, they got help from an unexpected source: an off-duty pilot who happened to be riding in the cockpit.

Seems to be a lot of developments around this whole issue coming thick and fast at the moment.
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Old Mar 19, 2019, 8:35 pm
  #469  
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The other issue we don't know about for sure is if Donald will co-sign the final crash investigation report, and if he has veto authority over it, does anybody know?
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 7:58 am
  #470  
 
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Originally Posted by thedeeg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-later-crashed

Pilot Who Hitched a Ride Saved Lion Air 737 Day Before Deadly Crash. As the Lion Air crew fought to control their diving Boeing Co. 737 Max 8, they got help from an unexpected source: an off-duty pilot who happened to be riding in the cockpit.

Seems to be a lot of developments around this whole issue coming thick and fast at the moment.
Anyone find it odd that this just happened to come out now? Seems like this would have been basic info available fairly quick after the Lion Air crash.
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 11:08 am
  #471  
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Reaccommodation issues etc. due to MAX groundung posts may be found at https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/amer...d-fly-one.html, as indicated in the Wikipost.

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Old Mar 20, 2019, 12:28 pm
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Originally Posted by bchandler02
Anyone find it odd that this just happened to come out now? Seems like this would have been basic info available fairly quick after the Lion Air crash.
So are you saying the pilot hitching a ride was better trained.

I have seen times I wanted to be in the right seat.

After 200 hours these pilots were not qualified, to shut the auto pilot off, sure glad the ride along knew where the switch was,,
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 12:49 pm
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Originally Posted by satman40


So are you saying the pilot hitching a ride was better trained.

I have seen times I wanted to be in the right seat.

After 200 hours these pilots were not qualified, to shut the auto pilot off, sure glad the ride along knew where the switch was,,
Right. But what I am saying is that it feels like this came out today (vs. much earlier in the process) just so Boeing can say "look, we told you to use this process and if used properly, the plane still flies!"
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 2:36 pm
  #474  
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Originally Posted by bchandler02
Right. But what I am saying is that it feels like this came out today (vs. much earlier in the process) just so Boeing can say "look, we told you to use this process and if used properly, the plane still flies!"
And the response is that the plane is survivable only with three pilots in the cockpit, one of whom has to be at the level of captain Sully...
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 3:08 pm
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Originally Posted by nk15
And the response is that the plane is survivable only with three pilots in the cockpit, one of whom has to be at the level of captain Sully...
No the pilots need more training, I know how to shut down the autopilot, and roll the trim tab backward on take off.

They had 200 hours, and that will not cut it, not enough change in the weather,

Winter, and Summer flying is 2 different birds, and 200 hours is not enough hours, you need to have automatic reflexes.

Every commercial pilot should be on auto pilot, and be able to fly a burning plane and concentrate on flying the plane..

I have been in IFR weather, and never felt the trublance,
Success is planed, failing comes naturally.
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 3:15 pm
  #476  
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Originally Posted by satman40


No the pilots need more training, I know how to shut down the autopilot, and roll the trim tab backward on take off.

They had 200 hours, and that will not cut it, not enough change in the weather,

Winter, and Summer flying is 2 different birds, and 200 hours is not enough hours, you need to have automatic reflexes.

Every commercial pilot should be on auto pilot, and be able to fly a burning plane and concentrate on flying the plane..

I have been in IFR weather, and never felt the trublance,
Success is planed, failing comes naturally.
The captain had 8,231 hours.
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 3:15 pm
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Originally Posted by cmd320
The captain had 8,231 hours.
The FO had 200 hours
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 3:28 pm
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Originally Posted by bscooter26
The FO had 200 hours
Has anyone noticed the ET press releases where the chairman extols the experience of the pilot. Not a word that the copilot even existed.
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 3:38 pm
  #479  
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The MCAS is merely designed to compensate for too many modifications of what was originally a small plane and now has become bigger. There are some rather serious COG issues with the MAX (which MCAS is, in part and in theory, designed to alleviate), but that doesn't change the physical features of the aircraft.

I'd stay away for a while.

This is what happens when you let a manufacturer QC their own product infront of regulators. Who's genius idea was that?
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Old Mar 20, 2019, 4:11 pm
  #480  
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The First Officer apparently had 350 hours, according to updates from ET.

But the problems are said to include training and experience in both instances.

Though ET has a MAX (and a 737-700) simulator, they haven’t had it very long - and the Bulletin Boeing put out on November 6 2018 about MCAS and the effects of a faulty AOA / angle of attack vane / sensor mean a number of ET pilots hadn’t had any practice on this issue because they’re only required to undergo simulator training every six months.

It sounds like the Lion Air aircraft could have been lost on 28 Oct instead of the 29th, had not a PNF (pilot not flying) riding in the cockpit been able to instruct the PIC and SIC how to overcome the MCAS and faulty AOA on the Lion Air aircraft that crashed the next day. And

That extra pilot, who was seated in the cockpit jumpseat, correctly diagnosed the problem and told the crew how to disable a malfunctioning flight-control system and save the plane, according to two people familiar with Indonesia’s investigation.

The next day, under command of a different crew facing what investigators said was an identical malfunction, the jetliner crashed into the Java Sea killing all 189 aboard. - link to Bloomberg article
OTOH, AA, UA and WN pilots said in the most part they were comfortable flying the MAX after the Ethiopian incident. Link to Wall Street Journal article
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