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Boeing 737 MAX 8 crashes and effects on AA 737 MAX 8s (NOT reaccommodation)

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Old Mar 12, 2019, 12:03 pm
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This thread is dedicated to the effect on AA from the October 29, 2018 and March 10, 2019 crashes if two Boeing 737 MAX 8 aircraft in Indonesia and Ethiopia, respectively.

To discuss the probable and limited return of the Boeing MAX to service with AA at the end of 2020 and increasingly in 2021, please see

American Planning 737 MAX Service Restoration (Limited Dec and 2021)

To discuss reaccommodation by AA subsequent to the grounding of all Boeing MAX 8s and 9s by the US Federal Aviation Administration on 13 March 2019, please refer to 737 MAX grounded 13 Mar 2019. What to do if you were supposed to fly on one?

13 March 2019: All US airline Boeing 737 MAX 8 and 9 aircraft are grounded by US Federal Aviation Administration emergency order. AA has removed all 737 MAX 8 from scheduling through...
“Based on the latest guidance, the airline anticipates that the resumption of scheduled commercial service on American’s fleet of Boeing 737 MAX aircraft will occur (limited schedule Dec 2020).

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The thread regarding the 10 March 2019 Ethiopian Airlines ET 302 737 MAX 8 crash out of Adis Ababa is Ethiopian Airlines: Boeing 737 Max 8 crashes on way to Kenya [ET302 ADD-NBO 10MAR19]. Link.

The thread regarding the 29 October 2018 Lion Air JT 610 737 MAX 8 crash out of Jakarta is Lion Air flight from Jakarta has crashed
. Link.

The best narrative and information available is probably the Aviation Herald’s Crash: Lion B38M near Jakarta on Oct 29th 2018, aircraft lost height and crashed into Java Sea, wrong AoA data, by Simon Hradecky, created Friday, Oct 25th 2019 13:35Z, last updated Friday, Oct 25th 2019 16:05Z. Link.

American Airlines ordered 100 Boeing 737 MAX 8 (7M8) with options for 60 more. The first 737 MAX -8 flew at the assembly facility in Renton, WAshington, USA on 29 Jan 2016. Deliveries to AA commenced in late in 2017, with four delivered in 2017,16 more during 2018, with 20 more to be delivered during 2019. IATA code B38M; AA code "7M8".

Link to the story of how 737 MAX’ birth in the DFW Admirals Club and the forces that shaped it.

29 October 2018: Indonesian carrier Lion Air Flight 610 on October 29 crashed into the sea soon after takeoff with the loss of all aboard, apparently due to the erroneous data from a faulty Angle of Attack sensor, which caused the MCAS (Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System) to assume the plane was about to stall, which activated the downward force on the Stabilizer Trim to get the nose down. Link to BBC article.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.

Link to FlyerTalk airline forum thread regarding this incident.

“Instead of switching off the Stabilizer Trim the pilots appear to have battled the system.” Link

This aircraft had been written up as having a faulty AOA indicator for the previous three flights it had taken. It is unclear if Lion Air had performed adequate maintenance procedures after the reports or withdraw the aircraft from service until the fault could be completely cleared.

7 November 2018: The US Federal Aviation Administration / FAA issued an Airworthiness Directive (AD note) covering the AOA within a few days, giving US airlines 30 days to comply with the AD.

7 November 2018: Boeing issued revised operating instructions covering the revised MCAS used in the MAX 8, updating the MAX operations manual. See the manual update and the switches referenced in this post.

See “What is the Boeing 737 MAX Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System?”, updated November 17 to explain the MCAS and electric trim override operation, here: link.

10 March 10, 2019: An Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX 8 departing Addis Ababa to Nairobi turned back to the airport soon after takeoff, but crashed with the loss of all aboard.

Link to BBC article.

Link to Aviation Herald discussion.

Link to FlyerTalk airline forum thread regarding this incident.

10 March 10, 2019: The US National Transportation Board / NTSB has dispatched an investigation team, as have Boeing, to Addis Ababa to assist the Ethiopian investigators in determining the cause(s) of the crash. The “black boxes” (cockpit voice and the flight data recorder have been recovered.

A revised MCAS is in the works, and the FAA is expected to issue an AD note when the MCAS update is done. This is expected to occur in May, 2019.

11 March 2019: China grounded its 737 MAX 8 (not MAX 9) fleet.

11 March 2019: the US FAA stated it would not ground US (AA, AS, UA, WN) 737 MAX aircraft at this time.

Link to FAA Airworthiness Notification for USA registered B38M aircraft PDF.

Link to Wall Street Journal article.

11 March 2019: AA APFA Flight Attendant union spokesperson asked AA to ground the MAX 8s. (TPG)

11 March 2019: AA pilots through their APA union have requested passengers allow the investigators do their work and refrain from jumping to conclusions. “We caution against speculation about what may have caused this tragic accident,” the Air Line Pilots Association said in a statement. (TPG)

12 March 2019: The nation members of the European Union, the United Kingdom and several other nations ban their airlines’ operation, and other airlines’ overflight or flights, of the B38M aircraft. Link to New York Times article.

12 March 2019: Other USA airlines operating 737 MAX aircraft (of all types) are United (UA), Southwest (WN). AS has ordered the MAX 9, but deliveries have not yet been made.

Link to The Points Guy “how to tell if you’re flying a 737 MAX 8” article

13 March 2019: American Airlines pilots’ union APA issues statement in support of the AA B38M: “The AA APA spokesman says AA's MAX 8s have additional indicators on the planes, which others do not have. He says they're the only ones equipped with TWO AOA displays - one for each pilot. This, I guess, is why AA feels they can keep flying the MAX 8. The spokesman said he felt UA and SW (WN) were getting these added to their MAX planes. “ - Econometrics

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/03/1...ilot-says.html

13 March 2019: Canada grounds Canadian B38M aircraft. The US is the sole remaining nation to allow operation of the 737 MAX 8. Link to USA Today article.

13 March 2019: US Federal Aviation Administration issues emergency order for immediate grounding all USA airline operated Boeing 737 MAX 8 and 9 aircraft, effectively immediately. Link NYT story.

13 March 2019: American Airlines issues announcement of 7M8 grounding. Link to PDF. According to AA:

On average, American operates 85 flights per day on the MAX 8, out of 6,700 departures throughout the American Airlines system. Our operations center is working to re-route aircraft throughout the system to cover as much of our schedule as we can.
13 March 2019: AA issues policy allowing those scheduled for 7M8 flights through April 4 to refund or change without fees for cancellations, or to make free changes to their flight plans. See the thread linked to at the top of this Wiki for a link.

14 March 2019: It is announced the French BEA will retrieve the data from the Ethiopian Cockpit Voice Recorder and Flight Data Recorder.

Link to Eight things you might not know about black boxes
By Cristen Tilley, ABC Australia

15 March 2019: BBC article states FAA says the MAX will not be cleared for flight at least until May. Link to story.

15 March 2019: On the other hand, CNBC states Boeing will have the anti-stall software update for the MAX ready in ten days, and that the FAA is expected to sign off on the modification on March 25, 2019.

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Boeing 737 MAX 8 crashes and effects on AA 737 MAX 8s (NOT reaccommodation)

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Old Dec 18, 2019, 7:07 am
  #766  
 
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As 737 MAX’s return slips out to mid-February, FAA boss tells Boeing CEO to back off predictions

In a starkly direct rebuke to Boeing, Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) chief Steve Dickson met with company CEO Dennis Muilenburg at FAA headquarters in Washington, D.C., on Thursday and told him to pull back on public statements about an imminent return to service for the 737 MAX — a milestone that people close to the details now say is unlikely to happen before mid-February.
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Old Dec 23, 2019, 7:42 am
  #767  
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Finally! He was the Captain when Boeing lost its course, shifting its priorities from excellence and safety to cost reduction without context.

Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg SACKED by the Board of Directors.

Boeing said in a statement that its board of directors “decided that a change in leadership was necessary to restore confidence in the company moving forward as it works to repair relationships with regulators, customers, and all other stakeholders.”
United has scheduled MAX aircraft beginning 6 June 2020, hoping the MAX recertification will allow them to fly the MAX during the busy summer season. AA hasn’t yet announced a date that far out, but it probably can be expected. The entire recertification program hasn’t been finalized, much less accepted by the various world aviation authorities. Once that occurs, modifications can occur, “de-mothballing” and flight testing can begin.
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Last edited by JDiver; Dec 23, 2019 at 8:14 am
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Old Dec 23, 2019, 9:46 am
  #768  
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Interestingly, it might be the Starliner wrong-orbit error, not the 737MAX per se, that finally got this guy out the door.
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Old Dec 23, 2019, 9:48 am
  #769  
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Originally Posted by DenverBrian
Interestingly, it might be the Starliner wrong-orbit error, not the 737MAX per se, that finally got this guy out the door.
Perhaps, but I’ve never seen a Board of Directors respond that quickly - even if had been the straw that broke their back.
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Old Dec 23, 2019, 10:42 am
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I sure wouldn’t want the new CEO’s job. Restoring confidence in Boeing and the MAX seems nearly impossible at this point.
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Old Dec 23, 2019, 3:16 pm
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I was told months ago by friends in the local Grey Eagles (retired AA captains) their collective opinion was Boeing was concentrating on an electronic fix when what is needed is a more basic mechanical change to compensate for the unforeseen center of gravity problem. Meaning they agree with the original chief test pilot. (Funny thing--whatever happened to him after he made that recommendation? Since apparently he is long since out of that position). Their industry sources are active AA pilots.

Didn't think too much about it when first repeated to me, since they are still McDonnell Douglas loyalists with a long-held distrust of over-automated flying. But time is making them look wise.
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Old Jan 6, 2020, 10:02 am
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More bad news for the MAX, this time a separate issue...

FAA checking potentially "catastrophic" issue with 737 Max wiring

The Federal Aviation Administration is looking at a potentially "catastrophic" issue with wiring that helps control the tail of the 737 Max, CBS News has confirmed. The safety review was first reported by the New York Times and confirmed by Boeing officials.

It grew out of an FAA request to Boeing for an internal audit to confirm the company had accurately assessed the dangers of key systems in light of new assumptions about pilot response times to emergency situations.
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Old Jan 6, 2020, 10:33 am
  #773  
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Old Jan 6, 2020, 11:00 am
  #774  
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Originally Posted by 84fiero
More bad news for the MAX, this time a separate issue...

FAA checking potentially "catastrophic" issue with 737 Max wiring
Although this sounds overly dramatic, I'm done defending Boeing's total ineptness with the MAX. Boeing's total inability to "manage" this situation properly says volumes about the current state of the company.
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Old Jan 6, 2020, 3:15 pm
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I wouldn't be surprised if Boeing and the airlines quietly drop the MAX name, and refer to the plane as 737-7, 737-8, 737-9, and 737-10.
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Old Jan 6, 2020, 3:47 pm
  #776  
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Originally Posted by Austin787
I wouldn't be surprised if Boeing and the airlines quietly drop the MAX name, and refer to the plane as 737-7, 737-8, 737-9, and 737-10.
There already are <MAX> 737-7, -8 and -9. AA has a number of -8s, so that won’t may not work. But there are other possibilities and precedents.

AA flew the L-188 Electra (I flew on a number of those), which was grounded because the wings occasionally fell off (Google “whirl mode” and Lockheed Electra to learn how that worked).

When the Electra was modified and recertified it, AA renamed it “Super Electra”. So, “737 Super”, “737 Advanced”, “737 AT (Advanced Technology)”, etc. are certainly possible.,
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Last edited by JDiver; Jan 6, 2020 at 7:48 pm Reason: Correction, thanks to ijgordon
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Old Jan 6, 2020, 4:10 pm
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Originally Posted by Austin787
I wouldn't be surprised if Boeing and the airlines quietly drop the MAX name...
Ryanair already started down this path back in July: https://www.theguardian.com/business...es-name-change
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Old Jan 6, 2020, 7:02 pm
  #778  
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Originally Posted by Austin787
I wouldn't be surprised if Boeing and the airlines quietly drop the MAX name, and refer to the plane as 737-7, 737-8, 737-9, and 737-10.
737 Fireball. They can paint flames on the sides to make it go faster.

I agree that this is most likely overblown, but it just comes across as sloppy. They said that it might also apply to the NGs, which suggests that it's not THAT serious (since they haven't been falling out of the sky) but... I've said it before and I'll say it again: As an engineer with a couple of decades of experience who focuses on quality first, I can see the there are cultural problems at this company that cause the focus to be on speed over quality. I can see it even from the outside; it was obvious even before the whistleblowers started coming forward.

The change in leadership is a good start (because, eventually, this has to come from the top) but it will take a long time to change the culture. It most likely involves changing KPIs, which is not an easy thing to do (you need to evaluate performance based on different criteria). It takes a while to "train" people to get used to the fact that they will be judged based on new criteria. People who are used to being told "good job" when they finish fast will need to adjust to being told "good job" when they actually do a good job, rather than a fast one.
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Old Jan 6, 2020, 7:37 pm
  #779  
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@VegasGambler, as someone who worked with many engineers and cultural change, I can’t agree more.

Meantime, AA has reached a settlement with Boeing for losses related to 24 AA MAXs being grounded. Link to Bloomberg article.

The numbers are confidential, but AA has earmarked ~$30 million for employees as profit sharing.

The companies are still in talks over compensation for damages beyond 2019, American said in a statement Monday. The Max’s absence since March shaved at least $540 million from American’s 2019 pretax income, the airline has said, and the benefits from the confidential settlement with Boeing will be received over several years.
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Old Jan 6, 2020, 7:40 pm
  #780  
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Originally Posted by JDiver
There already are 737-7, -8 and -9. AA has a number of -8s, so that won’t work.
Actually, no, there are 737-700, -800, and -900s.
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