Last edit by: aztimm
Chances of Upgrade Request Clearing
NOTE: Be aware of recent (20 May 2017) upgrade priority changes."New Upgrade Priority as of 20 May 2017
(Upgrades were prioritized by elite status and then time of request until 20 May 2017)
- Elite status
- Concierge Key
- Executive Platinum
- Platinum Pro
- Platinum
- Gold
- Platinum
- Platinum Pro
- Executive Platinum
- Upgrade type
- Miles and copay award upgrades and systemwide upgrades (SWU)
- 500 mile upgrades on purchased tickets
- 500 mile upgrades on upgrade eligible awards)
- 500 mile upgrades on purchased tickets
- Elite qualifying dollars in the past 12 months
- Booking class
- Time of request"
- Booking class
- Miles and copay award upgrades and systemwide upgrades (SWU)
- Concierge Key
See Upgrade Priority Changes to Status, Rolling 365 Day EQD Spend May 20 2017
Link to Gary Leff, View From the Wing 16 May 2017
Updated 17 Dec 2017 by aztimm
Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2018 master thread)
#46
Suspended
Join Date: May 2013
Location: NYC
Programs: DL Diamond, AAdvantage EXP, Hyatt Explorist, HHonors Diamond, Avis First
Posts: 7,344
JFK-LAX Saturday AM cleared at T48 (comp UPG)
#47
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: UK
Programs: BA GGL, Marriott Ambassador
Posts: 371
I have an SWU waitlisted on AA81 (LHR-DFW) on 27 Jan. Its not looking particularly good at the moment: J4 R3 D2 I0 W0 P0 Y7 B0 H7 K7 M7 L7 G7 V7 S7 N7 Q7 O7 E7. However, I noticed that the J seat map has had 8 open seats (seven selectable and one blocked) ever since the flight went below J7. I presume this is likely to be a Premium Economy oversell? I clearly should have gone for AA79 instead which has plenty of C class - shame AA does not allow international same day flight changes...
#48
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: KHOU/KIAH
Programs: AA EXP | Marriott Bonvoy Titanium| Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 11,237
I have an SWU waitlisted on AA81 (LHR-DFW) on 27 Jan. Its not looking particularly good at the moment: J4 R3 D2 I0 W0 P0 Y7 B0 H7 K7 M7 L7 G7 V7 S7 N7 Q7 O7 E7. However, I noticed that the J seat map has had 8 open seats (seven selectable and one blocked) ever since the flight went below J7. I presume this is likely to be a Premium Economy oversell? I clearly should have gone for AA79 instead which has plenty of C class - shame AA does not allow international same day flight changes...
Looking at EF seat map, 79 now is showing 11 open seats in J, but only J5.
#49
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: LA
Programs: AA Plat Pro, SPG/Marriott Titanium, Hilton Gold
Posts: 4,192
So far 2/3 cleared when I request this year. Cleared a AUS-LAX leg and just cleared a complimentary DFW-MSY for Friday. Prob not busy routes but doing well so far.
#50
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: UK
Programs: BA GGL, Marriott Ambassador
Posts: 371
Yeah - sadly I cannot make my connection in DFW if I take AA79. I think this one is going to go down to the wire - hopefully my EQDs will pull me through.
#51
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: KHOU/KIAH
Programs: AA EXP | Marriott Bonvoy Titanium| Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 11,237
#52
Join Date: Jan 2016
Location: STL
Programs: AA
Posts: 167
Do you know if the PEK route is low volume? I travel to Korea several times a year and in October, I decided to fly through PEK on the way back (PEK-DFW). My upgrade (miles plus copay) cleared a few days prior to departure but that J class was completely empty. I was in the back cabin of the 788 and I was the only one except for someone who appeared to be one of the FAs mother. I also walked through the entire J cabin to find only 3 people in the front cabin also... That was a huge contrast to the DFW ICN which was completely full
#53
Join Date: Jan 2016
Location: STL
Programs: AA
Posts: 167
Hey guys pls let me know if this is not the right place to post this. I have a couple general questions about upgrade chances to Hawaii for those of you who may have experienced this
1. Which routes to Big Island Hawaii (KOA) has the best probability of clearing an upgrade? I noticed that DFW- KOA is on a 772 but I'm assuming its a heavy route and with PE. PHX-KOA is on a 757 and I think the LAX-KOA route is a 321, F/Y configuration class.
2. Can you still upgrade directly to F from Y (essentially bypassing W) if you are flying to Hawaii on a 777? Americans wording makes it seem like you can upgrade to premium economy from coach but not from Coach to First.
I'll be traveling at the end of July and I am an EXP
"For now, you can upgrade from Main Cabin or Premium Economy to First or Business using your AAdvantage miles or systemwide upgrades. For flights to / from Hawaii, Executive Platinum and Platinum Pro members receive complimentary upgrades if seats are available. Platinum and Gold members can use 500-mile upgrades."
1. Which routes to Big Island Hawaii (KOA) has the best probability of clearing an upgrade? I noticed that DFW- KOA is on a 772 but I'm assuming its a heavy route and with PE. PHX-KOA is on a 757 and I think the LAX-KOA route is a 321, F/Y configuration class.
2. Can you still upgrade directly to F from Y (essentially bypassing W) if you are flying to Hawaii on a 777? Americans wording makes it seem like you can upgrade to premium economy from coach but not from Coach to First.
I'll be traveling at the end of July and I am an EXP
"For now, you can upgrade from Main Cabin or Premium Economy to First or Business using your AAdvantage miles or systemwide upgrades. For flights to / from Hawaii, Executive Platinum and Platinum Pro members receive complimentary upgrades if seats are available. Platinum and Gold members can use 500-mile upgrades."
#55
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Thousand Oaks, Ca., USA
Programs: AA Lifetime Plat; Bonvoy Titanium Lifetime Elite;Hyatt Globalist; HHonors Diamond; United Silver
Posts: 8,313
For expos, I find data points or questions on upgrade success not useful/answerable without knowing $EQD.
#56
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: KHOU/KIAH
Programs: AA EXP | Marriott Bonvoy Titanium| Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 11,237
Do you know if the PEK route is low volume? I travel to Korea several times a year and in October, I decided to fly through PEK on the way back (PEK-DFW). My upgrade (miles plus copay) cleared a few days prior to departure but that J class was completely empty. I was in the back cabin of the 788 and I was the only one except for someone who appeared to be one of the FAs mother. I also walked through the entire J cabin to find only 3 people in the front cabin also... That was a huge contrast to the DFW ICN which was completely full
I think between the fact that there are 3 flights to PEK + tons of capacity from Air China/Eastern/Southern/Hainan, there is less demand for a single flight.
#57
Join Date: Jan 2016
Location: STL
Programs: AA
Posts: 167
I just wanted to know if it would be easier to clear upgrades on a wide body 777 going from DFW or narrow body from the coast or a narrow body from PHX
Perfect example is what Antarius answered above. NRT/PEK routes are easier to clear than ICN. I do tend to agree with that as well. So on the Hawaii routes, there has to be one specific route that may be less congested and easier to upgrade than another as well.
#58
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Thousand Oaks, Ca., USA
Programs: AA Lifetime Plat; Bonvoy Titanium Lifetime Elite;Hyatt Globalist; HHonors Diamond; United Silver
Posts: 8,313
I was referring to all the “data points”.
I assume with barely qualifying EQD, a wide body would be best but I don’t know how elite heavy that Phoenix route is.
I assume with barely qualifying EQD, a wide body would be best but I don’t know how elite heavy that Phoenix route is.
#59
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: KHOU/KIAH
Programs: AA EXP | Marriott Bonvoy Titanium| Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 11,237
Hello. If you were referring to my question, it was just a general question about which routes will have an easier chance to clear. So it would be myself trying to clear upgrades on LAX-KOA, DFW-KOA or PHX-KOA. Since I am the same person regardless of the route, I figured EQD wouldn't be as important, but if it is important to know, I'm at about 14k.
I just wanted to know if it would be easier to clear upgrades on a wide body 777 going from DFW or narrow body from the coast or a narrow body from PHX
Perfect example is what Antarius answered above. NRT/PEK routes are easier to clear than ICN. I do tend to agree with that as well. So on the Hawaii routes, there has to be one specific route that may be less congested and easier to upgrade than another as well.
I just wanted to know if it would be easier to clear upgrades on a wide body 777 going from DFW or narrow body from the coast or a narrow body from PHX
Perfect example is what Antarius answered above. NRT/PEK routes are easier to clear than ICN. I do tend to agree with that as well. So on the Hawaii routes, there has to be one specific route that may be less congested and easier to upgrade than another as well.
I did HNL-PHX last year and thoroughly regretted that decision. I would go DFW-KOA.. or DFW-HNL-KOA (if possible, there are 2 DFW-HNL flights)