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Speculation: Safe To Say There Will Be Fewer EXP In 2018 ?

Speculation: Safe To Say There Will Be Fewer EXP In 2018 ?

Old Dec 27, 17, 6:11 pm
  #91  
 
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Add in the fact that they are letting EXP's 'pay' to retain their status for the first time ever, that will mitigate the losses.
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Old Dec 27, 17, 9:16 pm
  #92  
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Combining threads of similar speculation/discussion into one handy place.

/Moderator
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Old Dec 27, 17, 9:25 pm
  #93  
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
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Originally Posted by cova View Post
I actually think the number of EXP's will increase. With domestic J fares giving 2X EQM (at about a 2X more expensive fare), it only takes 50K EQM to qualify. Subtract 10K EQM from Barclay and 10K EQM from Citi (if you meet the max from each) then you only need 40K EQM to qualify for EXP (80K/2) when you buy J fares.
Wasn't all of this true for 2017 status? Seems unlikely that the same EQM-earning framework plus an EQD requirement would result in more EXPs.

Originally Posted by deac83 View Post
Add in the fact that they are letting EXP's 'pay' to retain their status for the first time ever, that will mitigate the losses.
Not the first time ever - this has existed for the last couple years.
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Old Dec 30, 17, 11:58 pm
  #94  
 
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First time as EXP, and while I may not have flown alot more in 2017, I paid alot more. Certainly a conscience decision... I primarily bought J and F. Be interesting to see how this shakes out in 2018
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Old Dec 31, 17, 12:31 am
  #95  
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
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I honestly can't wait until an airline finally gets it right about how they handle status. I'm 60 segments and 50k miles (almost exactly) with 20k EQD and will be a lowly platinum - same as the last 6+ years. AA should love me and do everything they can to keep me since I'm high spend low miles per dollar spent. I've never comprehended how this industry cares more about how long you're on the plane or how many miles you go... I'd think it makes more sense to chase the revenue.
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Old Jan 29, 18, 2:20 pm
  #96  
 
Join Date: May 2007
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Feb 1 - Shift in status?

Should we anticipate a shift in status come Feb 1st? In my opinion and guess, there should be be a shorter list of EXP and GLD status and relatively the same amount of Platinum's???

I think people who qualified for PPRO and EXP last year should see a better chance for upgrades. Thoughts?
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Old Jan 29, 18, 2:28 pm
  #97  
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
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I'm dropping from Plat to Gold - had the miles but not the EQD (stupid cheap ... gov fares)
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Old Jan 29, 18, 3:14 pm
  #98  
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
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As a PlatPro, I really hope you're right!
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Old Jan 29, 18, 3:49 pm
  #99  
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Originally Posted by tonytifao View Post
Should we anticipate a shift in status come Feb 1st? In my opinion and guess, there should be be a shorter list of EXP and GLD status and relatively the same amount of Platinum's???

I think people who qualified for PPRO and EXP last year should see a better chance for upgrades. Thoughts?
Why would the number of PLT not also drop if the number of GLD and EXP drop?
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Old Jan 29, 18, 6:59 pm
  #100  
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
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Originally Posted by mvoight View Post
Why would the number of PLT not also drop if the number of GLD and EXP drop?
I believe the logic is that a ton of EXP and PPRO will be dropping to PLT. Although, presumably a number of PLT will be dropping to GLD as well. Idk.
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Old Jan 29, 18, 7:32 pm
  #101  
 
Join Date: May 2007
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Originally Posted by mvoight View Post
Why would the number of PLT not also drop if the number of GLD and EXP drop?
I think a lot of people try to retain PLT as there is so many more advantage over gold. Some EXPs will probably drop to PLT. There are also lots of Lifetime Platinums that have seen the no purpose of reaching EXP due to declined benefits. Just guessing though.
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tonytifao is offline  
Old Jan 29, 18, 8:01 pm
  #102  
 
Join Date: Jun 2016
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I hope you're right! I would imagine a number of EXPs are going to drop because starting Feb 1 this year should be the first time that the dollars earned is a requirement for status right? In other words those that qualified in 2016 (before dollars were a threshold) would still hold status until the end of this month, right?
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Old Jan 29, 18, 9:31 pm
  #103  
 
Join Date: Dec 2017
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Correct.
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Old Jan 30, 18, 9:56 am
  #104  
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
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I feel like every year we've been "expecting the number of elites to drop" but upgrade lists only seem to get longer and longer. I doubt you'll see much of a change. For every EXP who might be dropping, there is a likely a newly minted EXP to take their place. A recent college grad with their first road warrior job. Living the dream!
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Old Jan 30, 18, 10:29 am
  #105  
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
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Then there is the new CK gifting of EXP status. I would assume that the majority of CKs have gifted or are planning to gift the status, likely to their significant other. Although she doesn't travel much any longer, I gave it to my wife simply so I do not need upgrade instruments to upgrade her with me on personal domestic flights since we don't get the 500 mile stickers for free.
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