Speculation: Safe To Say There Will Be Fewer EXP In 2018 ?
#152
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Austin
Programs: AA EXP +2MM- LT PLT! HH Diamond
Posts: 6,086
And I still believe there are fewer EXP post new requirements, at least as a % of frequent flyers
#153
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: Sun Prairie, WI
Programs: AA Executive Platinum, HH Diamond, National Executive
Posts: 1,786
My upgrades seem to be in line with last year or even slightly better. I'm 9/11 so far this year with a flight on Thursday still pending. I did use 2 SWUs as part of that 9 but I'm 90% sure I would have cleared those anyways. The two I missed were a DFW-PHX Thursday afternoon where I was 4th on the list and a TPA-PHX Thursday evening where I was 2nd. As always routes and timing will impact upgrade percentage. Nothing to me shows any glitch or change in EXP #s but this is just one guy's experience!
#154
Suspended
Join Date: May 2013
Location: NYC
Programs: DL Diamond, AAdvantage EXP, Hyatt Explorist, HHonors Diamond, Avis First
Posts: 7,344
UPGs for me since 2/1 seem to be better. I can only speak to LGA-ORD-LGA but both have cleared days in advance. Normally ORD-LGA would be a gate upgrade only in 2017. I counted around 5-6 CK's boarding with that group on LGA-ORD on Monday morning too this week. It may just be the slower Q1 travel season though.
#155
Join Date: May 2011
Location: DFW
Programs: AA EXP, LT Gold
Posts: 3,146
Nothing to me shows any glitch or change in EXP #s but this is just one guy's experience!
E.g. right now a DFW-PHX roundtrip M-Th in late February is $390 in Y and $578 in F. That's only a $188 fare difference.
I've noticed that most F cabins are more full on these routes at least 7 days out, so the available upgradable seats are much lower than what we've seen in years past. Add in CKs over EXPs on these biz routes, and you're definitely going to be sitting in Y more often.
Anecdotally, I don't think domestic upgrades tell us much about the EXP ranks.
#156
Join Date: Nov 2015
Location: OMA/LNK
Programs: AA EXP, HHonors Diamond
Posts: 210
I am convinced there is an IT glitch that has caused issues for me (I am EXP, $18k EQD). A couple of weeks ago, DFW to OKC (<500 mile flight) went from J7 to like J1 four days before the flight. At the airport, I was #3 on the list. Did not clear. It was the first time I didn't clear on a flight that wasn't DFW to/from LAX or ORD in probably two years.
Flights out of Omaha that I have cleared at t-100 for last 8 months I have cleared at either t-24 or t-48 this year, even though it was J7 with only two or three occupied seats at t-100.
Had a similar experience on DEN to DFW where there were plenty of open J seats at t-100, many became occupied three days before flight, but I didn't clear until t-24.
I know I am just speculating about potential issues but it does seem extremely odd. I hope this isn't their idea of going for great.
Flights out of Omaha that I have cleared at t-100 for last 8 months I have cleared at either t-24 or t-48 this year, even though it was J7 with only two or three occupied seats at t-100.
Had a similar experience on DEN to DFW where there were plenty of open J seats at t-100, many became occupied three days before flight, but I didn't clear until t-24.
I know I am just speculating about potential issues but it does seem extremely odd. I hope this isn't their idea of going for great.
#157
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Wesley Chapel, FL
Programs: American Airlines
Posts: 30,004
#158
Join Date: May 2001
Location: (AA EXP)
Posts: 609
With a 16 seat F cabin on most AA domestic flights, there are many flights that are full in F a week (or more) in advance. MIA-LAS (and return) are often sold out long before the upgrade window opens. I just buy F on that route now. Feb 18/19 (two weeks from today) there is not a single F seat available from LAS to MIA on the three nonstops on Sunday, and only on the red eye Monday night has J space. Looks like AA has found the correct pricing point for their F product on some city pairs.
#159
Join Date: Nov 2015
Location: OMA/LNK
Programs: AA EXP, HHonors Diamond
Posts: 210
Possible, yes. Just unusual based on my history of flying these routes. On the DFW-OMA in particular since it is over 500 miles and no comp upgrades for plats on down, I have been more likely to see three or four non-revs in first than it being full. Also, this was a Sunday afternoon and not a business traveler heavy route like LAX-DFW.
#160
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Wesley Chapel, FL
Programs: American Airlines
Posts: 30,004
Possible, yes. Just unusual based on my history of flying these routes. On the DFW-OMA in particular since it is over 500 miles and no comp upgrades for plats on down, I have been more likely to see three or four non-revs in first than it being full. Also, this was a Sunday afternoon and not a business traveler heavy route like LAX-DFW.
#162
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: KHOU/KIAH
Programs: AA EXP | Marriott Bonvoy Titanium| Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 11,236
Just booked a flight ord-dfw on 2/23 #2349 . Man I can't wait to see that upgrade list! I'll probably 55 on the list lol It's a 789 though so that's really cool!
The worst I saw was DFW-LHR (AA50) last year. I was #6 on the list. There were 58 EXPs in the aircraft (I asked) and the UG list was 75 deep.
#163
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Wesley Chapel, FL
Programs: American Airlines
Posts: 30,004
Please do post back.
The worst I saw was DFW-LHR (AA50) last year. I was #6 on the list. There were 58 EXPs in the aircraft (I asked) and the UG list was 75 deep.
The worst I saw was DFW-LHR (AA50) last year. I was #6 on the list. There were 58 EXPs in the aircraft (I asked) and the UG list was 75 deep.
FWIW seat guru is showing rows 9, 10 & 11 as PE. AA app shows MCE for these row. Who should I trust? There is one seat left in row 9 but it’s a middle.
#164
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: KHOU/KIAH
Programs: AA EXP | Marriott Bonvoy Titanium| Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 11,236
#165
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Wesley Chapel, FL
Programs: American Airlines
Posts: 30,004