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2017 Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (consolidated)

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Old May 22, 2017, 6:21 am
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Last edit by: JDiver
Chances of Upgrade Request Clearing

NOTE: Be aware of recent (20 May 2017) upgrade priority changes.

"New Upgrade Priority as of 20 May 2017

(Upgrades were prioritized by elite status and then time of request until 20 May 2017)
  • Elite status
    1. Concierge Key
    2. Executive Platinum
    3. Platinum Pro
    4. Platinum
    5. Gold
  • Upgrade type
    1. Miles and copay award upgrades and systemwide upgrades (SWU)
    2. 500 mile upgrades on purchased tickets
    3. 500 mile upgrades on upgrade eligible awards)
  • Elite qualifying dollars in the past 12 months

  • Booking class

  • Time of request"


See Upgrade Priority Changes to Status, Rolling 365 Day EQD Spend May 20 2017

U]Link[/U] to Gary Leff, View From the Wing 16 May 2017

Updated 22 May 2017 by JDiver
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2017 Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (consolidated)

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Old Jan 13, 2017, 8:35 pm
  #61  
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: COU
Programs: AA EXP, Bonvoy Ambassador, Hertz PC
Posts: 499
Originally Posted by 50ways
Why they making me sweat?!
I guess just because they enjoy it

I'm on that same flight two days later, and it looks much the same.
AA125 1/26: F2 A0 P1 J7 R7 D7 I7 Y7 B0 H7 K7 M7 L7 G7 V7 S7 N7 Q7 O7 E7
AA126 2/1: F5 A2 P5 J7 R7 D7 I7 Y7 B0 H7 K7 M7 L7 G7 V7 S7 N7 Q7 O7 E7

Seat maps show ~10-15 occupied out of 54 in J. But of course no C has been available. I wouldn't sweat though...these look like good odds for both of us, we just probably won't know until T-48. I set an alarm for that time (in addition to the EF notification) to make sure I check and call AA if C opens up.

Good luck...
HLCinCOU is offline  
Old Jan 13, 2017, 8:44 pm
  #62  
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: NYC
Programs: AA EXP / LT PLT / 3MM, Marriott LT Gold
Posts: 35,366
Originally Posted by enviroian
My ord-phx today at 11.40 cleared this morning at 7 am. I'll give credit where credit is due and so far AA upgrades as an EXP are far more generous than UA's 1K--not even close.

It's all subjective to me and YMMV.

You want redeemable GPU's, plenty of award J space, but resigned to 5% CPU domestic upgrades? Fly United.

You want to be up front 95% of the time on domestic flights but lose the benies above? Fly American.

To each their own.
I've missed maybe 10 upgrades on AA in 12 years as EXP.
vasantn is offline  
Old Jan 13, 2017, 9:19 pm
  #63  
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: COU
Programs: AA EXP, Bonvoy Ambassador, Hertz PC
Posts: 499
Oh yeah, 50ways, meant to chime in on your upgrade ordering question too. My understanding is that SWU and miles+copay are theoretically equivalent. That is, and EXP should get an upgrade before a gold member, regardless of which instrument they are each using. I'm quite far from authoritative on the subject though; if more knowledgeable people around here disagree I defer to them...
HLCinCOU is offline  
Old Jan 14, 2017, 9:48 am
  #64  
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 21
AA 109 LHR>LAX 29 Jan with a SWU. Any hope? Thanks!
Astromiles is offline  
Old Jan 14, 2017, 9:58 am
  #65  
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Programs: AA EXP / LT PLT / 3MM, Marriott LT Gold
Posts: 35,366
Originally Posted by Astromiles
AA 109 LHR>LAX 29 Jan with a SWU. Any hope? Thanks!
Sundays are tough.
vasantn is offline  
Old Jan 14, 2017, 10:43 am
  #66  
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Sacramento - SMF
Programs: AA PLT/1MM
Posts: 68
Flying DFW-LHR on Friday, 1/27 on AA50, return on Sunday, 2/5 on AA51. Just booked the trip yesterday and am waitlisted for both legs. EF shows C0 in both directions. MCE on the outbound is almost full, open on the return.

Any thought based on previous experiences? Haven't ever flown this route before.
larreajoe is offline  
Old Jan 14, 2017, 11:52 am
  #67  
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: NYC
Programs: AA EXP / LT PLT / 3MM, Marriott LT Gold
Posts: 35,366
Originally Posted by larreajoe
Flying DFW-LHR on Friday, 1/27 on AA50, return on Sunday, 2/5 on AA51. Just booked the trip yesterday and am waitlisted for both legs. EF shows C0 in both directions. MCE on the outbound is almost full, open on the return.

Any thought based on previous experiences? Haven't ever flown this route before.
Conventional wisdom is that weekends are a lot tougher than weekdays.

If there are many D and I seats available for sale and the seatmap is wide open, you have a decent shot.
vasantn is offline  
Old Jan 14, 2017, 3:39 pm
  #68  
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: COU
Programs: AA EXP, Bonvoy Ambassador, Hertz PC
Posts: 499
Originally Posted by Astromiles
AA 109 LHR>LAX 29 Jan with a SWU. Any hope? Thanks!
Lots of hope...every bucket from J on down is at 7, J seatmap <1/3 full. Good luck...
HLCinCOU is offline  
Old Jan 15, 2017, 1:21 am
  #69  
 
Join Date: May 2015
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 46
Can't seem to find a definitive answer but does anyone know if an EXP requesting an upgrade on a transcon with SWU will have more priority over those using complimentary upgrades? I'm aware that they pull from different buckets prior to being handed over to the airport upgrade list, but what about on day of departure?
snorLAX is offline  
Old Jan 15, 2017, 8:05 am
  #70  
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: NYC
Programs: AA EXP / LT PLT / 3MM, Marriott LT Gold
Posts: 35,366
Originally Posted by snorLAX
Can't seem to find a definitive answer but does anyone know if an EXP requesting an upgrade on a transcon with SWU will have more priority over those using complimentary upgrades? I'm aware that they pull from different buckets prior to being handed over to the airport upgrade list, but what about on day of departure?
At the gate, no.
vasantn is offline  
Old Jan 15, 2017, 9:12 am
  #71  
 
Join Date: May 2011
Location: DFW
Programs: AA EXP, LT Gold
Posts: 3,146
Quick question, as I've never done either of these... looking to go DFW-BUD on 2/16 and need to catch the early BA 8am to BUD. Therefore, JFK and RDU TATL are my best options.

AA100 is currently 18/52 occupied in J on the 77W (34%) But MCE only has 3 seats left.

AA174 is currently 13/28 occupied in J on the 763. (46%) There are a few exit row seats I could select.

Obvious downside with the 763 is no IFE, wifi, etc.

Any thoughts on which would be a better bet with an SWU?

Thanks!
econometrics is offline  
Old Jan 15, 2017, 9:52 am
  #72  
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: NYC
Programs: AA EXP / LT PLT / 3MM, Marriott LT Gold
Posts: 35,366
Originally Posted by econometrics
Quick question, as I've never done either of these... looking to go DFW-BUD on 2/16 and need to catch the early BA 8am to BUD. Therefore, JFK and RDU TATL are my best options.

AA100 is currently 18/52 occupied in J on the 77W (34%) But MCE only has 3 seats left.

AA174 is currently 13/28 occupied in J on the 763. (46%) There are a few exit row seats I could select.

Obvious downside with the 763 is no IFE, wifi, etc.

Any thoughts on which would be a better bet with an SWU?

Thanks!
Tough to tell without more info. How do D and I look on EF?
vasantn is offline  
Old Jan 15, 2017, 9:56 am
  #73  
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: Chicago
Programs: United 1k, Hyatt Globalist, Marriott Plat
Posts: 231
Slightly confused. I have a flight tonight from ORD to LGA and it's currently J7 and C3. I am EXP so I phoned earlier this morning and was told that they have around 10 seats available that they are holding to be cleared through by the system. At this point why the hell are they not releasing them?
Lavezzi is offline  
Old Jan 15, 2017, 10:10 am
  #74  
 
Join Date: May 2011
Location: DFW
Programs: AA EXP, LT Gold
Posts: 3,146
Originally Posted by vasantn
tough to tell without more info. How do d and i look on ef?
AA100: F5 a3 p0 j7 r7 d7 i0
AA174: J7 r7 d4 i0
econometrics is offline  
Old Jan 15, 2017, 11:15 am
  #75  
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: NYC
Programs: AA EXP / LT PLT / 3MM, Marriott LT Gold
Posts: 35,366
Originally Posted by econometrics
AA100: F5 a3 p0 j7 r7 d7 i0
AA174: J7 r7 d4 i0
If it were me, I would go with AA100.
vasantn is offline  


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