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How many elites are there in AAdvantage? (consolidated)

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How many elites are there in AAdvantage? (consolidated)

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Old Feb 19, 2015, 11:09 am
  #1  
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Join Date: Feb 2011
Programs: AA EXP
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How many EXPs are there? How many will there be after the merger?

Was checking in at SFO the other day and was chatting with the agent which got me curious. I did a search but the last time this came up was something like 2002, I imagine a lot has changed since then.

How many of AA's flyers are EXP? Plat? Gold? After the merger? Would love any insight.
Hengilas is offline  
Old Feb 19, 2015, 11:26 am
  #2  
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: UK/USA
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Originally Posted by mikekelley
Was checking in at SFO the other day and was chatting with the agent which got me curious. I did a search but the last time this came up was something like 2002, I imagine a lot has changed since then.

How many of AA's flyers are EXP? Plat? Gold? After the merger? Would love any insight.
We will never know as it would be extremely proprietary to the airline.

I do however seem to remember seeing somewhere several year ago that it was thought the EXP number was about 65,000 but that could have been complete balderdash.
IflyonAA is offline  
Old Feb 19, 2015, 11:31 am
  #3  
HNL
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20 EXP
12 CP

32 New EXP
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Old Feb 19, 2015, 11:38 am
  #4  
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Originally Posted by IflyonAA
We will never know as it would be extremely proprietary to the airline.

I do however seem to remember seeing somewhere several year ago that it was thought the EXP number was about 65,000 but that could have been complete balderdash.
Of course - but obviously we can speculate!

Originally Posted by HNL
20 EXP
12 CP

32 New EXP
This sounds accurate.

Last edited by JY1024; Feb 19, 2015 at 11:04 pm Reason: Merged consecutive posts
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Old Feb 19, 2015, 11:55 am
  #5  
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Originally Posted by HNL
20 EXP
12 CP

32 New EXP
Is that hundreds, thousands, or tens or hundreds of thousands? Sounds as accurate as anything else I've seen.
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Old Feb 19, 2015, 11:56 am
  #6  
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Dallas
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Posts: 1,523
Originally Posted by mikekelley
Was checking in at SFO the other day and was chatting with the agent which got me curious. I did a search but the last time this came up was something like 2002, I imagine a lot has changed since then.

How many of AA's flyers are EXP? Plat? Gold? After the merger? Would love any insight.
I postulate between 1 and 1 million... and there will be between 2 and 1 million when they merge the programs.

Its 55,271 EXP today and 32,145 CPs today, combined will make 86,819 at merge... because 597 hold EXP and CP.
imapilotaz is offline  
Old Feb 19, 2015, 5:45 pm
  #7  
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
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Posts: 2,723
Originally Posted by HNL
20 EXP
12 CP

32 New EXP
HNL is, of course, our resident FT statistician. We must all know by now that his predictive accuracy is excellent and his reputation is beyond reproach.

billgrates3 is offline  
Old Feb 19, 2015, 6:17 pm
  #8  
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I thought the formula was calculated similarly to the test to find how many licks it takes to get to the center of a Tootsie Pop.
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Old Feb 19, 2015, 6:21 pm
  #9  
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Originally Posted by imapilotaz
..Its 55,271 EXP today and 32,145 CPs today, combined will make 86,819 at merge... because 597 hold EXP and CP.
HEY! Whoa, that doesn't sound as made-up as these things usually are-- at all!

You're not keeping with the spirt!
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Old Feb 19, 2015, 6:39 pm
  #10  
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: San Antonio, Texas
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Posts: 556
The answer you are looking for is... "millions?"

Your stock is rising #2.
onesocalkid is offline  
Old Feb 19, 2015, 7:41 pm
  #11  
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My uninformed but educated guess is somewhere between 90K and 100K for the combined entity. I will bet HNL a dinner that I'm quite a bit closer than he is.
vasantn is offline  
Old Feb 19, 2015, 7:42 pm
  #12  
brp
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Originally Posted by vasantn
My uninformed but educated guess is somewhere between 90K and 100K for the combined entity. I will bet HNL a dinner that I'm quite a bit closer than he is.
Minetta Tavern?

Cheers.
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Old Feb 19, 2015, 7:51 pm
  #13  
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Originally Posted by brp
Minetta Tavern?

Cheers.
Nah ... too expensive. More likely Olive Garden.

Plus I'm unlikely to lose the bet.
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Old Feb 19, 2015, 8:07 pm
  #14  
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
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Posts: 2,389
Whatever the number is, add one to it, since AA just matched me to EXP from UA 1K
weirdlyndon is offline  
Old Feb 19, 2015, 8:28 pm
  #15  
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: SFO, SJC
Programs: AA - EXP 2MM+, Marriott PLT, UA, National Exec
Posts: 495
Originally Posted by weirdlyndon
Whatever the number is, add one to it, since AA just matched me to EXP from UA 1K
I knew it! It's somewhere between 1 and the actual number, plus 1.

Cheers.
msv777 is offline  


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