ARCHIVE: Chances of upgrade clearing / upgrade availability - 2012 and prior)
Aug 29, 2010, 9:04 am
#1276
Join Date: Nov 2005
Programs: AA Platinum, OneWorld Sapphire
Posts: 103
Upgrade Chances
I currently have Gold status with AA. I will be flying on AA 1775 (JFK - MIA) on Sunday, 03 October. The scheduled equipment for the flight is a 757. Right now I see row 9 fully occupied, row 10 with one seat available, and rows 17 and 18 completely empty (except for my seat, 18C). I know it may be too early to determine, but what are my chances of scoring an upgrade on this segment?
Aug 29, 2010, 9:18 am
#1277
Join Date: Nov 2008
Programs: AA EXP 3MM
Posts: 1,773
I currently have Gold status with AA. I will be flying on AA 1775 (JFK - MIA) on Sunday, 03 October. The scheduled equipment for the flight is a 757. Right now I see row 9 fully occupied, row 10 with one seat available, and rows 17 and 18 completely empty (except for my seat, 18C). I know it may be too early to determine, but what are my chances of scoring an upgrade on this segment?
...I just reread your post and realized it's Oct 3, not Sep 3. Yes, way to early to determine assuming your upgrade instrument is stickers. If you are intending to use mileage and copay to upgrade, you should call AA to see if there is A inventory now.
Aug 29, 2010, 9:49 am
#1278
Join Date: Nov 2005
Programs: AA Platinum, OneWorld Sapphire
Posts: 103
Upgrade Chances
You forgot to mention how full F is!
...I just reread your post and realized it's Oct 3, not Sep 3. Yes, way to early to determine assuming your upgrade instrument is stickers. If you are intending to use mileage and copay to upgrade, you should call AA to see if there is A inventory now.
...I just reread your post and realized it's Oct 3, not Sep 3. Yes, way to early to determine assuming your upgrade instrument is stickers. If you are intending to use mileage and copay to upgrade, you should call AA to see if there is A inventory now.
Aug 29, 2010, 9:59 am
#1279
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: LAX
Posts: 6,769
It's hard to tell, because the ones who buy F will probably be buying near the last minute, since money is clearly not a big issue for them.
And with a whole month left, you don't know if any PLTs/EXPs will start buying into rows 17/18 and land ahead of you in the queue.
Aug 29, 2010, 12:17 pm
#1280
Moderator: New York City and FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Sep 2007
Programs: AA PLT, Natl EC
Posts: 10,855
It's hard to tell, because the ones who buy F will probably be buying near the last minute, since money is clearly not a big issue for them. And with a whole month left, you don't know if any PLTs/EXPs will start buying into rows 17/18 and land ahead of you in the queue.
And with a whole month left, you don't know if any PLTs/EXPs will start buying into rows 17/18 and land ahead of you in the queue.
Aug 29, 2010, 12:49 pm
#1281
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: TPE, MNL
Programs: AA lifetime GOLD, but still an AA Baby compare to people here. CX nobody. BR Silver.
Posts: 984
Based on seatmap, which I know should be for reference only, only 1 F left. I am number 3 on the upgrade list. I am going to miss the upgrade. Looks that checked in 24 hrs mark does not help. So 50% upgrade successful rate this year so far. Does there any one get any lower than me?
Aug 29, 2010, 1:10 pm
#1282
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Las Vegas
Programs: DL Platinum, AA Lifetime Gold, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Platinum, Radisson Premium
Posts: 6,638
45 min before departure.
Based on seatmap, which I know should be for reference only, only 1 F left. I am number 3 on the upgrade list. I am going to miss the upgrade. Looks that checked in 24 hrs mark does not help. So 50% upgrade successful rate this year so far. Does there any one get any lower than me?
Based on seatmap, which I know should be for reference only, only 1 F left. I am number 3 on the upgrade list. I am going to miss the upgrade. Looks that checked in 24 hrs mark does not help. So 50% upgrade successful rate this year so far. Does there any one get any lower than me?
-Thru passengers have priority over originating passengers.
ORD-SFO is very hard because its a fairly popular route that just endured a capacity cut. Originating instead of connecting will put you behind all connecting pax within your status who request upgrades.
Example:
I'm EXP and I book LGA-ORD-SFO a week before departure. You're EXP and you book ORD-SFO 4 months ago. I'm above you on the priority list because I'm connecting in Chicago. Hope that makes sense.
#1613 seems to be quite difficult as of late. I'm resigned to sitting in Y the day after labor day on this flight.
Last edited by demkr; Aug 29, 2010 at 1:22 pm
Aug 29, 2010, 1:41 pm
#1283
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: LAX
Posts: 6,769
Agreed - conventional wisdom here is that NYC-MIA/MIA-NYC upgrade chances depend heavily on when cruise ships are departing/returning. Definitely keep an eye on the Preferred Seats (so you know what your competition for sticker upgrades is) as well as the F cabin or, better yet, F inventory (usual caveats about seatmap ≠ F availability apply).
There were 7 wheelchairs and tons of hard-case wheeled bags in bright colors.
Aug 29, 2010, 2:12 pm
#1284
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Silver SPG Lifetime Gold
Posts: 530
LAX-MIA Upgrade Changes?
Do most Exec Plats generally get upgraded on the LAX-MIA trip? I'm going there in November, and just wondering what days and times are generally easy to upgrade. I don't have any VIPs left, so I'm relying on the complimentary upgrade.
Aug 29, 2010, 2:34 pm
#1285
Original Member
Join Date: May 1998
Location: Orange County, CA, USA
Programs: AA (Life Plat), Marriott (Life Titanium) and every other US program
Posts: 6,411
I am Platinum. I got about 1/2 of my trips upgraded (using stickers) on 6 trips (i.e. 3 LAX-MIA round trips) in July.
Aug 29, 2010, 3:56 pm
#1286
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Silver SPG Lifetime Gold
Posts: 530
Thanks...so you're telling me there's a chance.
Aug 29, 2010, 7:48 pm
#1287
Join Date: May 2004
Location: DFW-In Plano & CDG-In the 11th
Programs: DL Diamond, AA revenue negative, Bonvoy Titanium +, Avis likes me
Posts: 3,209
Last edited by Dallas49er; Aug 29, 2010 at 8:29 pm
Aug 29, 2010, 11:19 pm
#1288
Moderator: New York City and FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Sep 2007
Programs: AA PLT, Natl EC
Posts: 10,855
Aug 30, 2010, 1:58 am
#1289
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: LAX
Posts: 6,769
hehe... wow. I guess that's one way of reading it (probably the right way). What a difference a properly placed word makes in clarifying things, doesn't it?
Aug 30, 2010, 11:22 am
#1290
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: TPE, MNL
Programs: AA lifetime GOLD, but still an AA Baby compare to people here. CX nobody. BR Silver.
Posts: 984
-Check in does not matter at all for sticker upgrades--it's based on original time of request.
-Thru passengers have priority over originating passengers.
ORD-SFO is very hard because its a fairly popular route that just endured a capacity cut. Originating instead of connecting will put you behind all connecting pax within your status who request upgrades.
Example:
I'm EXP and I book LGA-ORD-SFO a week before departure. You're EXP and you book ORD-SFO 4 months ago. I'm above you on the priority list because I'm connecting in Chicago. Hope that makes sense.
#1613 seems to be quite difficult as of late. I'm resigned to sitting in Y the day after labor day on this flight.
-Thru passengers have priority over originating passengers.
ORD-SFO is very hard because its a fairly popular route that just endured a capacity cut. Originating instead of connecting will put you behind all connecting pax within your status who request upgrades.
Example:
I'm EXP and I book LGA-ORD-SFO a week before departure. You're EXP and you book ORD-SFO 4 months ago. I'm above you on the priority list because I'm connecting in Chicago. Hope that makes sense.
#1613 seems to be quite difficult as of late. I'm resigned to sitting in Y the day after labor day on this flight.
Thanks
yuchung5