2015 Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Upgrade Availability Discussion (consolidated)
#766
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: NYC
Programs: AA Plat 1.7MM miler
Posts: 13
I was on AA flight 18 from SFO to JFK on the 11pm redeye. I wanted to get upgraded using stickers, instead of miles, and I was flying coach. I was #2 on the upgrade standby behind an EXP. ExpertFlyer showed 2 available business class seats at boarding time. Neither the EXP nor I got upgraded. What is the most likely explanation for what happened to the seats? I highly doubt that a revenue flyer showed up during boarding time. Could the seats have been given to flight crew flying to NY to start their shift there?
#767
Suspended
Join Date: May 2013
Location: NYC
Programs: DL Diamond, AAdvantage EXP, Hyatt Explorist, HHonors Diamond, Avis First
Posts: 7,344
I was on AA flight 18 from SFO to JFK on the 11pm redeye. I wanted to get upgraded using stickers, instead of miles, and I was flying coach. I was #2 on the upgrade standby behind an EXP. ExpertFlyer showed 2 available business class seats at boarding time. Neither the EXP nor I got upgraded. What is the most likely explanation for what happened to the seats? I highly doubt that a revenue flyer showed up during boarding time. Could the seats have been given to flight crew flying to NY to start their shift there?
#768
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: DTW
Programs: AA Exec Plt , Marriott Ambassador
Posts: 592
I was on AA flight 18 from SFO to JFK on the 11pm redeye. I wanted to get upgraded using stickers, instead of miles, and I was flying coach. I was #2 on the upgrade standby behind an EXP. ExpertFlyer showed 2 available business class seats at boarding time. Neither the EXP nor I got upgraded. What is the most likely explanation for what happened to the seats? I highly doubt that a revenue flyer showed up during boarding time. Could the seats have been given to flight crew flying to NY to start their shift there?
The other explanation, assuming J2, was that there was a waitlist for miles+copay. Assuming they opened up C inventory before any sticker upgrades were processed, those on the miles+copay waitlist would have gotten the seats.
Last edited by umaa83; Aug 20, 2015 at 11:38 am
#769
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: NYC
Programs: AA Plat 1.7MM miler
Posts: 13
Do you know if there was C availability? Anyone who was willing to upgrade using miles + copay would have gotten the remaining seats over anyone waiting to use stickers to upgrade. I often do this for myself or co-workers. Many times on domestic flights I've been number three or four on a list and realized I won't get upgraded, but decide for whatever reason I want the space. I'll check for A or C availability, stop off at the AC or the counter and part with my miles+copay. Instant sticker/exec plt complimentary upgrade waitlist jumping. I also do this to treat co-workers for a job well done (last minute surprise thank you).
The other explanation, assuming J2, was that there was a waitlist for miles+copay. Assuming they opened up C inventory before any sticker upgrades were processed, those on the miles+copay waitlist would have gotten the seats.
The other explanation, assuming J2, was that there was a waitlist for miles+copay. Assuming they opened up C inventory before any sticker upgrades were processed, those on the miles+copay waitlist would have gotten the seats.
#770
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: JFK > LGA >> EWR
Programs: AA EXP 1.2mm, Kimpton IC, Starwood Gold, Marriott Gold
Posts: 2,180
Can anyone give me an idea of how tough an upgrade SFO-DFW is on a Saturday morning (6:45a)? Still well outside the EXP window, and EF is already showing only F4A1 (for a 738 with 16 F). To me, that seems like a lot of paid F for a Saturday morning, even out of SFO.
I'm tempted to use an instrument to upgrade now, primarily because my last few ex-SFO flights have all been significantly delayed, and 1) sitting on the tarmac is always better in F than Y and 2) having an 'A' rather than 'X' class fare is always better for flight changes in IRROPS (usually allows upgrade preservation).
I'm tempted to use an instrument to upgrade now, primarily because my last few ex-SFO flights have all been significantly delayed, and 1) sitting on the tarmac is always better in F than Y and 2) having an 'A' rather than 'X' class fare is always better for flight changes in IRROPS (usually allows upgrade preservation).
#771
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: May 2012
Location: MCO
Programs: AA, B6, DL, EK, EY, QR, SQ, UA, Amex Plat, Marriott Tit, HHonors Gold
Posts: 12,809
Personally, unless there is nothing else you are going to do with that instrument OP, I would just sit in the exit row. AA305, which is what I'm assuming your flight is, has been averaging just below 3 hours. I don't really feel like midcon domestic F on the 737 is really worth any kind of instrument other than a sticker, but of course, YMMV.
Are you looking at AA305 on 8/29? It's currently showing F5, A2 with all but three of the exit seats open (and I'm assuming you're one of them). Based on that information, and depending on when you booked, I would probably risk the comp upgrade for now and monitor the availability. In my experience, even if it drops to F2 they will usually open up one piece of A inventory very close to departure to see if they can steal someone's instrument rather than having to upgrade an EXP on a comp basis. Again, not a hard and fast rule by any means but something I've seen happen often before. My personal course of action would be to wait it out, and worst case, sit in 15C or D for the ~2:50 flight.
#772
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: AUS
Programs: AA Exec Platinum/MM, DL Gold/MM, Hilton Diamond, Accor Platinum, Hertz Presidents Circle
Posts: 6,975
Or there could have been two people holding paid F tickets on another flight standing by for your flight. They won't show on the displayed upgrade list and even an agent has to look carefully to see that. And they trump any Y pax standing by for upgrades.
#773
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: NYC
Programs: AA Plat 1.7MM miler
Posts: 13
Ok, understood. When does the airline staff traveling for their assignment get priority for business class over upgrade requests?
#774
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: California
Programs: AA EXP...couple hotels and cars too
Posts: 4,548
I dont think they are ever 'supposed to'...but I suspect a GA can close a flight, not do all upgrades and put employees in open seats. Perhaps "due to operational concerns and in the interest of getting the airccraft out for an on time departure"
#775
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: New York
Programs: AA EXP 1.0mm, not sure where I am with hotels these days
Posts: 2,795
I wouldn't pay the $800 but the fast train from Roma Termini to Centrale Milano is a fun ride. Countryside is beautiful.
#776
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Texas
Posts: 76
What are my chances to clear DFW-EZE and EZE-DFW as AA Platinum requested a month out? My AA EXP friend requested using two SWUs.
EF shows J7, R7, D5, I0 on DFW-EZE 9/25/15 and J7, R7, D7, I0 on EZE-DFW 10/8/15
No C class inventory is showing.
EF shows J7, R7, D5, I0 on DFW-EZE 9/25/15 and J7, R7, D7, I0 on EZE-DFW 10/8/15
No C class inventory is showing.
#777
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Baltimore, USA
Programs: DL Plat; CX MPC Gold
Posts: 11
I'm departing on AA 104 (DCA-JFK-LHR) this Friday, Aug. 28th. I am AA Platinum with a B fare ticket, and I've requested a miles upgrade.
I checked EF and it shows J7/C6 for award/upgrade availability on the JFK-LHR leg (and A2 for DCA-JFK); however, when I called AAdvantage, the agent insisted that there wasn't anything in the C bucket and that there were only two seats available for sale.
Is the agent confused, or has anyone had issues with EF being so different than what AA agents see in their system?
I checked EF and it shows J7/C6 for award/upgrade availability on the JFK-LHR leg (and A2 for DCA-JFK); however, when I called AAdvantage, the agent insisted that there wasn't anything in the C bucket and that there were only two seats available for sale.
Is the agent confused, or has anyone had issues with EF being so different than what AA agents see in their system?
#778
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: SFO
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 5,270
I'm departing on AA 104 (DCA-JFK-LHR) this Friday, Aug. 28th. I am AA Platinum with a B fare ticket, and I've requested a miles upgrade.
I checked EF and it shows J7/C6 for award/upgrade availability on the JFK-LHR leg (and A2 for DCA-JFK); however, when I called AAdvantage, the agent insisted that there wasn't anything in the C bucket and that there were only two seats available for sale.
I checked EF and it shows J7/C6 for award/upgrade availability on the JFK-LHR leg (and A2 for DCA-JFK); however, when I called AAdvantage, the agent insisted that there wasn't anything in the C bucket and that there were only two seats available for sale.
Since DCA-JFK-LHR is all under one flight number, C inventory has to be available for the entire journey for a miles+copay upgrade to go through in advance, not leg-by-leg. One reason I avoid these like the plague. Unfortunately DCA seems to have a lot of them.
#779
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Baltimore, USA
Programs: DL Plat; CX MPC Gold
Posts: 11
Ah, the joys of the "direct flight."
Since DCA-JFK-LHR is all under one flight number, C inventory has to be available for the entire journey for a miles+copay upgrade to go through in advance, not leg-by-leg. One reason I avoid these like the plague. Unfortunately DCA seems to have a lot of them.
Since DCA-JFK-LHR is all under one flight number, C inventory has to be available for the entire journey for a miles+copay upgrade to go through in advance, not leg-by-leg. One reason I avoid these like the plague. Unfortunately DCA seems to have a lot of them.
#780
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: May 2012
Location: MCO
Programs: AA, B6, DL, EK, EY, QR, SQ, UA, Amex Plat, Marriott Tit, HHonors Gold
Posts: 12,809
Is there no way to 'divorce' the segments on AA? I know DL can do this for direct flights which carry the same flight number, just takes a call to an agent. I've never tried it on AA though.