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-   -   ARCHIVE: US LCC & AMR / AA Takeover / merger Rumors and Discussion (consolidated) (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage-pre-consolidation-usair/1310448-archive-us-lcc-amr-aa-takeover-merger-rumors-discussion-consolidated.html)

fly747first Feb 10, 2012 10:21 am


Originally Posted by elitetraveler (Post 17986969)
AA hasn't had a lot of CEOs over the past 40 years. Al Casey was CEO for about a dozen years before Crandall took over. He was not from the airline industry but he and Crandall who served as CFO and SVP Marketing set AA up for success post-deregulation. Crandall then had a very successful run, followed by Don Carty who was a longtime airline executive. After Carty was pushed out circa - 2002 Arpey came in and was also a lifelong airline guy.

Crandall was pretty decent, as he was the one responsible for inventing revenue management and helping AA defeat low-cost carriers such as PeoplExpress after deregulation. However, after him, AA hasn't had a good CEO.

Exhibit A
Wasn't Carty the one who told the flight attendants union that if they didn't accept wage concessions AA would file for bankruptcy only to then try to give all the senior execs a huge bonus?

Exhibit B
As for Arpy, under his leadership (or lack of), AA took forever to introduce lie flat beds in J and when it did, the seats were already subpar compared to what other airlines were already offering. Arpy also made really stupid mistakes such as not allowing AA to file for CH 11 and thereby preventing the carrier from reducing its horrible labor costs. Oh and let's not forget the interview where he stated that he wouldn't open up saver mileage inventory for his friends... I was 19 at the time and I kept thinking, wow, this 19-year old has always managed to find award availability at the lowest mileage levels and here you are essentially telling the world that you are willing to screw your friends every time... imagine the things you would do to your customers and employees.

p.s. Let me clarify what I said earlier: just because you work a long time for an airline does not mean that you actually have a strong understand of it.

fly747first Feb 10, 2012 10:24 am


Originally Posted by Pueo1 (Post 17987109)
Not quite - we need to address the full space-time continuum. How about "US Airways is the worst airline in all dimensions of spacetime."

Untrue. Before 911, US Airways won many awards for having the best transatlantic business class and was a very innovative carrier. Though of course things quickly changed after Doggie Poop took over. :D

gegarrenton Feb 10, 2012 11:09 am


Originally Posted by fly747first (Post 17989350)
Untrue. Before 911, US Airways won many awards for having the best transatlantic business class and was a very innovative carrier. Though of course things quickly changed after Doggie Poop took over. :D

That's ridiculous. I was stuck on USScare in the 90's, and it was an abomination then.

Tolarian Wind Feb 10, 2012 3:17 pm


Originally Posted by gegarrenton (Post 17989628)
I was stuck on USScare in the 90's, and it was an abomination then.

Mohawk - Slowhawk
Allegheny - Agony
USAir - USScare
USAirways - USELessAirways



Instead of changing their name from Allegheny to escape the reputation for poor service, they should have just spent the money on..... better service

TW

pdquick Feb 10, 2012 3:46 pm

I've been singing "Off to Alaska" in my head as I read this thread. Dreaming? Yes, I know.

KtownTraveler Feb 10, 2012 4:58 pm


Originally Posted by pdquick (Post 17991330)
I've been singing "Off to Alaska" in my head as I read this thread. Dreaming? Yes, I know.

"Off to Alaska?" Perhaps you mean "NORTH to Alaska."

fly747first Feb 10, 2012 10:36 pm


Originally Posted by gegarrenton (Post 17989628)
That's ridiculous. I was stuck on USScare in the 90's, and it was an abomination then.

That's just your opinion, doesn't change the fact that US won many awards for its long-haul J in the late 90s and early 00s.

NorthCentralDC3 Feb 14, 2012 6:37 pm

Alaska / American?
 

Originally Posted by pdquick (Post 17991330)
I've been singing "Off to Alaska" in my head as I read this thread. Dreaming? Yes, I know.

That's an interesting scenario - Alaska acquiring AA. That has not been in any of the scenarios that I've seen in the financial news. As I've read it analysts seem to rank the likely end games as:

1). AA emerging as an independent carrier
2). TPG or some other venture capital firm buying AA
3). USAirways buying AA
4). DL with a ton of divestitures buying AA
5). An Eastern Airlines style sell off of the pieces to DL and US

None of the analysts have mentioned Alaska acquirers AA as a scenario, so it is quite possible that Alaska has no interest in this. Alaska, unlike US and DL has not sought out advisors on acquiring AA. That said, what a great opportunity for Alaska. If they can get past the labor issues (big IF) this is an opportunity for a well run carrier to move into the big leagues.

I am necessarily objective from an AAdvantage flyer standpoint (I'm Diamond on DL and Platinum on AA), but since the bancruptcy filing I have been flying more AA than DL for the first time in many years because I would be sad to see AA dissapear from my home airport - STL. DL has a very tight relationship with Alaska and I have made good use of and am very impressed with the Alaska Boardrooms - I think they are, on average, better than most Admirals and SkyClubs. There is zero doubt that the combined carrier would have bare aluminum planes with red, white, and blue stripes and the FF program would be AAvantage. It is probably fantasy, but I believe this combination unlike DL/AA, US/AA or worse yet TPG/AA would be staged for success for the company and for the passengers. I think a combination in the opposite direction (AA acquires Alaska after exiting chapter 11) is unlikely since both Alaska and DL employees have told me that if AA attempted to acquire Alaska, a gentleman's agreement that DL would then launch a takeover attempt endorsed by Alaska management would kick in.

MiamiAirport Formerly NY George Feb 15, 2012 5:42 pm

It seems to me that AS is very happy being a very profitable niche airline. If anything, I would think AS would look at a small carrier, someone like Frontier (although there has been no indication AS has an interest in that carrier.)

Dr. HFH Apr 17, 2012 12:11 pm

Since I know that rumors are a staple at FT.... Some of my friends are AA FAs. I heard from them this morning that some unspecified type of deal (Takeover? Buyout? Merger?) with US is rapidly approaching signing.

FlyerTalker688786 Apr 17, 2012 12:16 pm

Dreamers everywhere but in this thread majority are...

JDiver Apr 17, 2012 12:19 pm

The interesting thing, maybe, is some US FAs are gossiping about the same thing: Doug Parker's plans for AA-US. But gossip and rumors run at high volume at these times.


Originally Posted by Dr. HFH (Post 18410584)
Since I know that rumors are a staple at FT.... Some of my friends are AA FAs. I heard from them this morning that some unspecified type of deal (Takeover? Buyout? Merger?) with US is rapidly approaching signing.


FWAAA Apr 17, 2012 12:23 pm

As friendly as flight attendants can be, they won't be the first ones alerted if a transaction is to occur. But galley gossip continues unabated.

A recent example of galley gossip that the FA union had to debunk:


RUMOR CONTROL – EXECUTIVE BONUSES
[email protected]

Recently there has been a rumor that the bankruptcy judge authorized the company to pay the annual Executive Bonuses. While we never know what the judge may do in the future as of the writing of this hotline that rumor is false.
http://www.apfa.org/content/category/9/17/46/

Dr. HFH Apr 17, 2012 12:36 pm

From the April 5, 2012 Weekly Hotline of the APFA:


USAir Flight Attendants Reject T/A

Last week USAir Flight Attendants overwhelmingly rejected a proposed Tentative Agreement. The rejection of the proposed agreement was a result of a TA that did not fully recognize the sacrifices by Flight Attendants that directly contributed to the success of USAir.

"Flight attendants have subsidized the cost of the merger and rising fuel costs for the 'New US Airways,' " said union officials Deborah Volpe and Mark Gentile in a joint statement. "Management must recognize that our sacrifices have directly contributed to the success of US Airways."

This is a story we know all to well here at American Airlines and as such we stand in unity with our brethren at USAir in their fight for a fair and equitable contract.

ksweeney Apr 17, 2012 12:59 pm


Originally Posted by Dr. HFH (Post 18410754)
From the April 5, 2012 Weekly Hotline of the APFA:

Actually the US FA contract rejection probably is not an impediment to Doug Parker. He currently is operating 2 carriers under a single brand and marketing and then coordinating scheduling and partners across the two carriers. Why would he find operating 3 carriers (HP, US, & AA) under the AA brand problematic? To a rational person that might seem like a circus act, but that doesn't mean he isn't crazy enough do it or creditors spooked enough to approve it. Even if AA isn't able to lower its costs, he would get what he wants - the AA network along with the newer aircraft. He would transfer flying to HP and US, while reducing flying by legacy AA crews. He will discard the MD-80s as part of the acquisition, dump current AA management, and gradually downsize the number of AA rank and file. I suspect that the rhetoric between AA management and the rank and file is such that unsecured creditors may assume that labor contracts that both parties can agree to won't happen and without US, the only other option is an Eastern / Braniff style dismantling breakup. Never confuse logic and business ;)

MiamiAirport Formerly NY George Apr 17, 2012 1:19 pm


Originally Posted by ksweeney (Post 18410934)
Actually the US FA contract rejection probably is not an impediment to Doug Parker. He currently is operating 2 carriers under a single brand and marketing and then coordinating scheduling and partners across the two carriers. Why would he find operating 3 carriers (HP, US, & AA) under the AA brand problematic? To a rational person that might seem like a circus act, but that doesn't mean he isn't crazy enough do it or creditors spooked enough to approve it. Even if AA isn't able to lower its costs, he would get what he wants - the AA network along with the newer aircraft. He would transfer flying to HP and US, while reducing flying by legacy AA crews. He will discard the MD-80s as part of the acquisition, dump current AA management, and gradually downsize the number of AA rank and file. I suspect that the rhetoric between AA management and the rank and file is such that unsecured creditors may assume that labor contracts that both parties can agree to won't happen and without US, the only other option is an Eastern / Braniff style dismantling breakup. Never confuse logic and business ;)

I would second this. No matter which side of the fence you stand on the unions at AA are going to be neutered either by the Court or under pressure to go along with management under threat of much harsher measurers put into place by the Court. Look at all of the huffing and puffing that went on by unions with the other carriers in Chapter 11, all of which mounted to less than a hill of beans.

Most creditors are looking at the situation as to will a much larger airline with a more robust route structure benefit me more than a smaller airline still hobbled by two larger competitors. Its not to say that they will not discuss and consider implications of labor unrest but having a bunch of happy pappy FAs is probably not very high on their list.

USAir needs AA more than AA needs USAir and Parker appears to be dying to do a merger (he has tried to dance with just about everyone else.) If he can make a compelling argument to creditors he has a very good shot at doing something. There will likely be no shortage of parties willing to line his pockets with funding.

The counteraction could be DL to make a run for AA, assuming DL has a somewhat credible strategy of getting around antitrust concerns without gutting itself.

ksweeney Apr 17, 2012 1:33 pm


Originally Posted by newyorkgeorge (Post 18411086)
I would second this. No matter which side of the fence you stand on the unions at AA are going to be neutered either by the Court or under pressure to go along with management under threat of much harsher measurers put into place by the Court. Look at all of the huffing and puffing that went on by unions with the other carriers in Chapter 11, all of which mounted to less than a hill of beans.

Most creditors are looking at the situation as to will a much larger airline with a more robust route structure benefit me more than a smaller airline still hobbled by two larger competitors. Its not to say that they will not discuss and consider implications of labor unrest but having a bunch of happy pappy FAs is probably not very high on their list.

USAir needs AA more than AA needs USAir and Parker appears to be dying to do a merger (he has tried to dance with just about everyone else.) If he can make a compelling argument to creditors he has a very good shot at doing something. There will likely be no shortage of parties willing to line his pockets with funding.

The counteraction could be DL to make a run for AA, assuming DL has a somewhat credible strategy of getting around antitrust concerns without gutting itself.

With the anti-trust issues, DL would only succeed by buying parts and spinning the rest off to someone else. For example DL might want to do a joint deal with US. DL would pickup the ORD hub along with some 737s and US would take the rest. DL would move ahead of UA in the "mine is bigger than yours" game they are playing. US would still benefit massively with the MIA, DFW, and LAX hubs. Other than some scenario like this where DL buys components of AA, the anti-trust issues would stop DL dead in its tracks.

MiamiAirport Formerly NY George Apr 17, 2012 1:54 pm


Originally Posted by ksweeney (Post 18411189)
With the anti-trust issues, DL would only succeed by buying parts and spinning the rest off to someone else. For example DL might want to do a joint deal with US. DL would pickup the ORD hub along with some 737s and US would take the rest. DL would move ahead of UA in the "mine is bigger than yours" game they are playing. US would still benefit massively with the MIA, DFW, and LAX hubs. Other than some scenario like this where DL buys components of AA, the anti-trust issues would stop DL dead in its tracks.

The additional problem would be that any sizable break up of assets/operations makes it much harder for creditors to determine if they are better off than leaving AA emerge as a standalone operation. Creditors are going to want a very concise plan without having dozens and dozens of offshoots. Any prospective acquisition needs to past muster with creditors even before the government gets involved.

Torgen Apr 17, 2012 2:04 pm


Originally Posted by newyorkgeorge (Post 18411086)
USAir needs AA more than AA needs USAir...

If AA has little use for USAir, why would AA's creditors?

MiamiAirport Formerly NY George Apr 17, 2012 2:13 pm


Originally Posted by Torgen (Post 18411384)
If AA has little use for USAir, why would AA's creditors?

Because it would be a larger airline but yet able to scale down to the point a potentially making it a more profitable airline. It would give AA a larger European presence along with more command of the East Coast.

Now an AA with lower costs would probably be able to eventually build a greater route structure to Europe but that could take several years at least. It would also enhance AA's operations at DCA which has recently granted removing some of its perimeter restrictions.

Zeffer Apr 18, 2012 3:24 pm

Us hostile takeover bid
 
This is a newsroom leak: US Airways is about to move on a hostile takeover of American Airlines.

Can't say any more.

tom911 Apr 18, 2012 3:34 pm

Isn't there some stipulation within the bankruptcy that AA can't entertain offers until after September?

elechrisity Apr 18, 2012 3:44 pm

I remember reading that Sen. Hutchinson came out specifically against the possibility of merging AA with another carrier. I don't think the political powers that be would let that occur, regardless of US Air's purported working with Union reps/creditors.

Ritz Apr 18, 2012 3:45 pm


Originally Posted by Zeffer (Post 18418534)
This is a newsroom leak: US Airways is about to move on a hostile takeover of American Airlines.

Can't say any more.

This would seem to be contrary to your "newsroom leak":

http://aviationblog.dallasnews.com/a...ors-commi.html

Ritz Apr 18, 2012 3:47 pm


Originally Posted by elechrisity (Post 18418658)
I remember reading that Sen. Hutchinson came out specifically against the possibility of merging AA with another carrier. I don't think the political powers that be would let that occur, regardless of US Air's purported working with Union reps/creditors.

http://aviationblog.dallasnews.com/a...ons-say-h.html

Gamecock Apr 18, 2012 3:50 pm


Originally Posted by tom911 (Post 18418602)
Isn't there some stipulation within the bankruptcy that AA can't entertain offers until after September?

I am not in the corporate world, but doesn't a hostile takeover mean that the target doesn't want to be taken over? :confused:

elechrisity Apr 18, 2012 3:52 pm


Originally Posted by Gamecock (Post 18418710)
I am not in the corporate world, but doesn't a hostile takeover mean that the target doesn't want to be taken over? :confused:

My assumption is that this statement from Hutchinson is what is being referenced above, but please keep in mind her representative body :P.

"I've seen the public reports about hostile takeovers involving American Airlines, including another airline that is communicating directly with American's creditors and unions.
"I'm concerned about the potential disruptive effects of such efforts during the ongoing bankruptcy proceedings, and ask that all airlines give American and the committee of creditors an opportunity to complete the bankruptcy reorganization process.
"Completing this essential step is in the best interests of American's employees, creditors, and the communities served by American Airlines. Any merger discussions can occur when the bankruptcy court has cleared the process by which American can emerge from court supervision.""

Taken from:
http://aviationblog.dallasnews.com/a...-american.html

Microwave Apr 18, 2012 4:09 pm


Originally Posted by Gamecock (Post 18418710)
I am not in the corporate world, but doesn't a hostile takeover mean that the target doesn't want to be taken over? :confused:

Generally, a hostile takeover is when the buyer attempts to pitch an offer directly to shareholders as opposed to a willing board and/or management. In most such situations, the board rejects an offer, or makes public that it is not entertaining any offers, so the hostile buyer may be going in with less foreknowledge than in a more cooperative process, and may in fact end up in a proxy battle to try to oust the existing management or board.

In any case, a target company (AMR?) that has publicly pooh-poohed acquisition by a particular buyer (US Airways?) may easily find itself in a hostile situation where that acquirer attempts to circumvent the uncooperative target's leadership. I have zero idea what the effect of bankruptcy is on the process, however--though any such change by a firm currently in chapter 11 reorganisation would require approval of the bankruptcy court.

TWA884 Apr 18, 2012 4:14 pm


Originally Posted by elechrisity (Post 18418658)
I remember reading that Sen. Hutchinson came out specifically against the possibility of merging AA with another carrier. I don't think the political powers that be would let that occur, regardless of US Air's purported working with Union reps/creditors.

She has no regulatory authority, nor does the Senate as a whole; besides, she is a lame duck.

austin_modern Apr 18, 2012 4:15 pm


Originally Posted by TWA884 (Post 18418857)
She has no regulatory authority, nor does the Senate as a whole; besides, she is a lame duck.

She's just stumping for Rick's job with her AMR comments.

elechrisity Apr 18, 2012 4:17 pm


Originally Posted by TWA884 (Post 18418857)
She has no regulatory authority, nor does the Senate as a whole; besides, she is a lame duck.

Agreed, completely. Just saying, her husband (bond attorney) was and is heavily involved in DFW airport, so I'm betting she has more than a constituent based-interest (read: personal) in keeping American independent.

tom911 Apr 18, 2012 4:40 pm

Here's what I was looking for, from an article just three weeks ago:


Separately at Thursday's hearing, the airline received the court's go-ahead to extend until September its exclusivity rights for proposing a restructuring plan. The extension means creditors and potential acquirers cannot pursue their own proposals for how to restructure the airline until the exclusive period has passed.
http://news.airwise.com/story/view/1332379473.html

If this information is true, how can another carrier take over AA until after September?

FWAAA Apr 18, 2012 5:10 pm


Originally Posted by tom911 (Post 18418994)
If this information is true, how can another carrier take over AA until after September?

The court order contains some language that permits the unsecured creditors committee to petition the court to shorten the (now extended) period of exclusivity. If the UCC petitions to shorten the exclusivity period, the burden is on AA management if it resists shortening the exclusivity period. On another site, a flight attendant argued strenuously (but incorrectly) that the language permits the UCC to negotiate and accept competing bids now.

AAExPlat Apr 19, 2012 7:30 am

Rumor: US hostile in bk bid for AA done deal
 
Posted this morning by a less than credible poster on a.net:



From a source with American Airlines:

RECEIVED THIS MORNING FROM A JFK PILOT
(he also gave me permission to post it) It may not have been announced Tuesday but I think this is going to happen. No information on how this would effect flight attendants.

USAirways has signed agreements with all three AA unions and the support of the PBGC in a bid to execute a "hostile in BK" merger with American. It is possible, even likely, that US has the support of enough of the other members of the committee to get a majority vote.

US's plan includes a loss of control by AA's management team. On the pilot side the agreement? Onhe pilot side the agreement includes a 5.5% pay raise upon date of signing, with 4 annual 3% raises over a 5 year term. In 2018 the pay rates will adjust to the average of DAL and UAL rates or our own rates , whichever is higher. The EMB-190 CA rate will top out at 136 per in 2017 and these airplanes will be flown at mainline. I have no further confirmed details other than AA management and Horton plan to fight this in court and that the union agreements in principle do include concessions such as elimination of the A-fund, preferential bidding, and more hours flown per month.

Link here: http://www.airliners.net/aviation-fo....main/5434044/

Huge news if true.

envgeo Apr 19, 2012 7:33 am

I heard it on KRLD in dallas this morning, i have no idea what this means for AA fliers/elite passangers.

AAExPlat Apr 19, 2012 7:45 am


Originally Posted by envgeo (Post 18422090)
I heard it on KRLD in dallas this morning, i have no idea what this means for AA fliers/elite passangers.

Initially nothing. Longer term it all depends on the choices the combined entity makes...OW or Star, AA service levels or US service levels, massive devaluations or not?

Clipper110A Apr 19, 2012 7:50 am


Originally Posted by envgeo (Post 18422090)
I heard it on KRLD in dallas this morning, i have no idea what this means for AA fliers/elite passangers.

Well it BETTER not mean drinks in F in plastic cups... LOL

Seriously, interesting development if true, but even if true difficult to predict how it will play out.

brp Apr 19, 2012 7:52 am


Originally Posted by Clipper110A (Post 18422183)

Seriously, interesting development if true, but even if true difficult to predict how it will play out.

More importantly,what happens to the AA forum :D

Cheers.

AAExPlat Apr 19, 2012 7:54 am


Originally Posted by Clipper110A (Post 18422183)
Well it BETTER not mean drinks in F in plastic cups... LOL

Seriously, interesting development if true, but even if true difficult to predict how it will play out.

I have said for a long time now that the merger is inevitable, but a "in bk hostile takeover" makes us AA elites very vulnerable since in theory the entire program could be dumped....

ByrdluvsAWACO Apr 19, 2012 7:56 am


Originally Posted by Clipper110A (Post 18422183)
Well it BETTER not mean drinks in F in plastic cups... LOL

Don't laugh!

While I think Dixie Cup Doug has gotten over his passion for plastic, I wouldn't put it past that hole to start jerking around with AAdvantage.:mad:


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