FlyerTalk Forums

FlyerTalk Forums (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/index.php)
-   American Airlines | AAdvantage (Pre-Consolidation with USAir) (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage-pre-consolidation-usair-445/)
-   -   ARCHIVE: US LCC & AMR / AA Takeover / merger Rumors and Discussion (consolidated) (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage-pre-consolidation-usair/1310448-archive-us-lcc-amr-aa-takeover-merger-rumors-discussion-consolidated.html)

TheAAdmiral Feb 13, 2013 1:35 pm


Originally Posted by 787fan (Post 20240917)
Whatever AA's strategy is in Asia, "aggressive" is definitely not one of them. :confused: Not counting NRT, I can count exactly 4 TPAC routes on AA metal (you know, the ones I could actually use a systemwide upgrade on).

2 from ORD, 1 from LAX, 1 from DFW, and none from JFK or MIA.

So far AA's strategy with many of their JV partners has simply been more hub-to-hub. New long-haul hub-to-spoke growth has been somewhat unimpressive.

How did you come to those numbers?
ORD-NRT, ORD-PVG, ORD-PEK=3
LAX-NRT, LAX-PVG=2
DFW-NRT, DFW-ICN=2
JFK-HND=1

My math gives me 8 TPAC routes on AA metal to use EVIP's on.

grahampros Feb 13, 2013 1:39 pm


Originally Posted by TheAAdmiral (Post 20240965)
How did you come to these numbers?
ORD-NRT, ORD-PVG, ORD-PEK=3
LAX-NRT, LAX-PVG=2
DFW-NRT, DFW-ICN=2
JFK-HND=1

My math gives me 8 TPAC routes on AA metal to use EVIP's on.

The poster said NOT counting NRT. Only missed JFK-HND of flights currently operating.

sts603 Feb 13, 2013 1:42 pm


Originally Posted by 787fan (Post 20240917)
Whatever AA's strategy is in Asia, "aggressive" is definitely not one of them. :confused: Not counting NRT, I can count exactly 4 TPAC routes on AA metal (you know, the ones I could actually use a systemwide upgrade on).

2 from ORD, 1 from LAX, 1 from DFW, and none from JFK or MIA.

So far AA's strategy with many of their JV partners has simply been more hub-to-hub. New long-haul hub-to-spoke growth has been somewhat unimpressive.

I never said it was. But a post-merger AA may be a different animal.

787fan Feb 13, 2013 1:58 pm


Originally Posted by uxb (Post 20235446)
Star has been taking a beating over the past couple of years. With a BK exit and the soon-to-be announced departures of US/JJ(/and likely TP) for OW. Despite having more airlines in their alliance, I cannot think of a single reason why Star would still be better than OW. I guess, maybe if you are going to China or Mongolia. That aside, there are some major holes in the Star route map. IMHO, OW acquisitions now represent quality over quantity. This seems to be lacking at the other two alliances, which will take just about anyone.

Star is only weak in South America (specifically, deep South America). But at least they have some presence via Avianca-Taca. Oneworld ? Zero carriers in the whole continent of Africa (marginally if you count Comair).

US wasn't any crown jewel within Star to begin with, so losing it wasn't a really big deal. And bringing in Sri Lankan isn't going to help much either (that's assuming the hub airport is safe from the separatist militants).

sts603 Feb 13, 2013 2:02 pm


Originally Posted by 787fan (Post 20241103)
Star is only weak in South America (specifically, deep South America). But at least they have some presence via Avianca-Taca. Oneworld ? Zero carriers in the whole continent of Africa.

But between BA, QR and IB you have substantial service to Africa which is what people need far more than intra-Africa service. Frankly, other than SAA, there aren't too many African carriers I want to fly.

eponymous_coward Feb 13, 2013 2:05 pm


Originally Posted by newyorkgeorge (Post 20241123)
While anything can happen I say 99.5% this deal is done. An announcement should likely be made after the market closes. Also, remember that a Plan of Reorganization still needs to be filed with the Court, sent to creditors for a vote and then approved by the Judge. There certainly is the risk of certain creditors trying to hold it up although if there is general consensus among most creditors the Judge would likely just overrule any objection.

It probably won't be until late spring or summer until the deal is actually done. It will take another several months before changes to take effect that would impact FFs.

I sure hope so- I'm going to stock up on US miles for cheap and hope that that + my AA balance yields some juicy oneworld Explorer awards. :D

787fan Feb 13, 2013 2:09 pm


Originally Posted by TheAAdmiral (Post 20240965)
How did you come to those numbers?
ORD-NRT, ORD-PVG, ORD-PEK=3
LAX-NRT, LAX-PVG=2
DFW-NRT, DFW-ICN=2
JFK-HND=1

My math gives me 8 TPAC routes on AA metal to use EVIP's on.

Isn't it ironic that one could use EVIP to ICN but not to HKG (major OW hub) :confused::confused:

grahampros Feb 13, 2013 2:11 pm


Originally Posted by newyorkgeorge (Post 20241123)
While anything can happen I say 99.5% this deal is done. An announcement should likely be made after the market closes. Also, remember that a Plan of Reorganization still needs to be filed with the Court, sent to creditors for a vote and then approved by the Judge. There certainly is the risk of certain creditors trying to hold it up although if there is general consensus among most creditors the Judge would likely just overrule any objection.

It probably won't be until late spring or summer until the deal is actually done. It will take another several months before changes to take effect that would impact FFs.

Probably at least a year before we start seeing changes to the FF program. 6 months probably before the deal is approved by all parties including regulators then changes will take some time to implement so realistically probably about a year. Dont expect to use US miles on AA this summer.

That said if turns out to be true the boards approved ( which i expect is), i dont foresee any major roadblocks to being finalized. Parker did a great job of getting the creditors on board ( much to Horton's dislike) so shouldn't be any major issues there. Judge will just sign off on it. Say what you will about Parker, well played well played.

787fan Feb 13, 2013 2:12 pm


Originally Posted by sts603 (Post 20241112)
But between BA, QR and IB you have substantial service to Africa which is what people need far more than intra-Africa service. Frankly, other than SAA, there aren't too many African carriers I want to fly.

If not for their political unrest, Egyptian is acceptable.

If we're counting partners, I don't think BA+QR+IB can beat the access that SN+LH+TK gives.

MiamiAirport Formerly NY George Feb 13, 2013 2:16 pm


Originally Posted by grahampros (Post 20241160)
Probably at least a year before we start seeing changes to the FF program. 6 months probably before the deal is approved by all parties including regulators then changes will take some time to implement so realistically probably about a year. Dont expect to use US miles on AA this summer.

That said if turns out to be true the boards approved ( which i expect is), i dont foresee any major roadblocks to being finalized. Parker did a great job of getting the creditors on board ( much to Horton's dislike) so shouldn't be any major issues there. Judge will just sign off on it. Say what you will about Parker, well played well played.

You have to hand it to Parker, he took the lesson of his failed DL attempt. Go for the employees and creditors, find a few key allies that are comfortable in approaching management, have a lot of patience (the NDA was signed all the way back at the end of August) and you will likely get your deal.

sts603 Feb 13, 2013 2:21 pm


Originally Posted by 787fan (Post 20241167)
If not for their political unrest, Egyptian is acceptable.

If we're counting partners, I don't think BA+QR+IB can beat the access that SN+LH+TK gives.

Isn't Egyptian dry?

JDiver Feb 14, 2013 9:37 am

Moderator action
 
Please continue the discussion in the AA - US Merger Agreement / Announcement Discussion thread, as the merger is no longer a subject of speculation - it has been formally announced by AA and US Boards of Directors, and the factual information about that merger is contained in the new "Just the facts" AA-US merger sticky thread.

Just a matter of housekeeping and keeping threads on specific topics separate - as stated, the merger is a fait accompli (subject to the bankruptcy court and USDOJ), so no speculation about that bit is needed.

Topical posts after announcement of the merger have been / will be moved to that thread.

Thank you,

American AAdvantage Forum Moderation Team


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 4:38 pm.


This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.