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-   -   Program choices: decision making tools (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/air-canada-aeroplan/21949-program-choices-decision-making-tools.html)

Ken hAAmer Dec 23, 2003 6:11 am

Program choices: decision making tools
 
I've started putting serious work into choosing a program for next year. It occurs to me that others might find this info useful, so I'll post it here. It's still a work in progress, and will continue to progress probably until the middle of January (as I don't have any travel scheduled until then.)

The first is a list of destinations that each airline under consideration flies to. This is important to me because generally you can only easily upgrade on flights operated by your carrier of choice, and not codeshares. (There are exceptions, but for my purposes they are not yet significant.)

The first, and so far only, airline is AA. They are weak in the "A's" -- Africa, Asia, and Australia, not bad in Europe, and have a lock on the Americas including the Caribbean. Here's their list in no particular order, with other airlines to follow shortly. [(S) = Seasonal]

AA
---------------
Europe
Glasgow (S)
Manchester
London
Madrid
Paris
Zurich
Frankfurt
Brussels
Rome (S)
South America
Maracaibo
Medeilin
Bogato
Cali
Quito
Guayaquil
Lima
Santiago
Buenos Aires
Montevideo
Asuncion
Sao Paulo
Rio de Janeiro
Santa Cruz
La Paz
Belo Horizonte
Caracas
Asia
Tokyo
Central America
Belize
Guatemala
San Salvidore
Managua
San Jose (CR)
Panama
San Pedro Sula
Tegucigalpa
Caribbean
Freeport
Marsh Harbour
Nassau
George Town
Providenciales
Bermuda
Grand Cayman
Montego Bay
Kingston
Port-au-Prince
Santiago
Puerto Plata
Santo Domingo
Caaa de Campo
Punta Cana
San Jaun (PR)
Mayaguez
St Thomas
St Croix
Tortola Beef Isl
Anguilla
St Maarten
St Kitts
Pointe-a-Pitre
Dominica
St Lucia
Canouan Isl
St Vincent & Gren
Barbados
Grenada
Port of Spain
Aruba
Curacao
Bonaire
Mexico
Monterry
Los Cabos
Aguascalientes
Leon-Guanajuato
Guadalajara
Puerto Vallarta
Acapulco
Mexico City
Cancun
Canada
Vancouver
Calgary
Toronto
Ottawa
Montreal

[This message has been edited by Ken hAAmer (edited Dec 23, 2003).]

BlondeBomber Dec 23, 2003 6:36 am

guess that's why they are "American" Airlines!

Thanks Ken, didn't know they flew to ALL those places in South America

Ken hAAmer Dec 23, 2003 6:39 am

Here's United. Good in Asia and Australia, weak in Africa, so-so in the Americas (particularly Mexico, after March 31) and Europe.

United
---------------
Europe
London
Amsterdam
Brussels
Paris
Frankfurt
Munich
Asia
Singapore
Bangkok
Hong Kong
Tokyo
Taipei
Shanghai
Beijing
Seoul
Osaka
Australia
Sydney
Melbourne
Central America
San Jose (CR)
San Salvador
Guatemala
Caribbean
Grand Cayman
San Juan (PR)
St Thomas
Aruba
Mexico
Mexico City
Canada
Vancouver
Calgary
Edmonton
Winnipeg
Toronto
Montreal


[This message has been edited by Ken hAAmer (edited Dec 23, 2003).]

Ken hAAmer Dec 23, 2003 7:07 am

Here's Delta. Excellent to Europe, weak to Asia, Africa and Australia, decent in the Americas.

Delta
---------------
Europe
Moscow
Istanbul
Athens
Shannon
Dublin
Manchester
London
Madrid
Barcelona
Nice
Paris
Brussels
Amsterdam
Frankfurt
Munich
Stuttgart
Zurich
Venice
Milan
Rome
South America
Caracas
Barranquilla
Cartegena
Medellin
Pereira
Cali
Bogota
Lima
Santiago
Sau Paulo
Asia
Tokyo
Mumbai
Central America
San Jose (CR)
San Salvador
Guatemala
Panama
Guanacaste Liberia
Caribbean
Aruba
Curacao
St Maarten
San Juan (PR)
St Thomas
Turks & Caicos
Grand Cayman
Montego Bay
Nassau
Freeport
Mexico
Cabo San Lucas
Guadalajara
Mexico City
Leon
Cancun
Canada
Vancouver
Calgary
Toronto
Montreal
Ottawa
Halifax

sydneyracquelle Dec 23, 2003 8:00 am

For United, I believe their U.S. hubs are IAD, ORD, SFO, DEN and LAX. For some reason, U.S. cities have been omitted from the listing.

Fermat Dec 23, 2003 8:06 am

I think it's because Ken's just assuming the US carriers will fly just about anywhere and everywhere in the US.

Fermat Dec 23, 2003 8:12 am

AA big hubs are in ORD, DFW, MIA, STL with major ops in LAX, SEA and BOS.

DL hubs out of ATL, SLC, CVG and DFW

US hubs out of PIT, PHL, DCA

NW hubs out of MSP, DTW, SEA and MEM

CO hubs out of CLE, EWR and IAH

i've probably missed a few...

BlondeBomber Dec 23, 2003 8:56 am

and what about Air Canada Ken? http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/wink.gif

Ken hAAmer Dec 23, 2003 9:17 am

Thanks for the hub info. It hadn't yet occurred to me that that info might be useful. (Maybe it never would have.)

US cities weren't included because there are just too many, and it would overwhelm the list, making it less useful. Most major US carriers cover most of the US, but there are gaps. Some carriers (US) are primarily in the east, while others (AS) are primarily in the west, for example.

One aspect that's important though, is what kind of equipment each carrier flies out of their Canadian cities, and perhaps more important, how many flight and to where from each Canadian city.

Much as I like AA they are weak in this regard (at least from YVR.) From YVR they only have two flights a day, to DFW. So if you want to fly to BOS on AA metal, you'll have to fly YVR-DFW-BOS. (Good for accumulating miles, however.)

Likewise, DL pretty much only offers CRJ service out of YVR for much of the year. You can get DL codeshares on NW metal, but then you're back to the "can I upgrade" question.

More stuff to come.

[This message has been edited by Ken hAAmer (edited Dec 23, 2003).]

Scott218 Dec 23, 2003 9:45 am

UA
Main Hubs
ORD, LGA, IAD, SFO, DEN

Mini Hubs
MIA, LAX


Shareholder Dec 23, 2003 10:34 am

Once NW becomes a member of the DL/AF alliance, it will be a formidable option given links to AS in the west and service ex-YYZ and YUL as well as YEG, YYC, YVR and even YWG and YQR. MSP is a major gateway and the link with KLM and CO offer an array of FF benefits on numerous carriers. Not to mention, AmexPlat members have access to NW World Clubs and CO Presidents Clubs.

As always, the program of choice depends on one's travel patterns. For domestic travellers, AC is really the only game in town. Unless one foregoes programs altogether, fly WEST JET, and use any money saved, along with a credit card like AVION, the new DINERS, to the Scotia and TD Visas, to accumulate an alternative approach to "free" trips. [Design your own FF program.

tracon Dec 23, 2003 11:33 am


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by Shareholder:
fly WEST JET, and use any money saved, [Design your own FF program.</font>
I find AC to be cheaper than WS 90% of the time. Not to mention the better schedule and lounge access.


Ken hAAmer Dec 23, 2003 11:48 am


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">I find AC to be cheaper than WS 90% of the time. Not to mention the better schedule and lounge access.</font>
That's telling in its own right.

WS can charge more than the "main line full service carrier" and yet their planes are still filling up and they are making money quarter after quarter.

Shareholder Dec 23, 2003 12:03 pm

Come on KH, you know AC's overheads are far higher than WJ's not to mentioning operating costs on newer jets, younger staff, and far less infrastructure [res, maintenance, Aeroplan]. And my experience shows AC's flights are just as full on those routes it flies tail to tail with WJ.

The real issue is Canadians once more have a choice between two carriers on major domestic routes, each with a very different corporate/staff culture. Which is better, as you yourself point out in the whole theme of this discussion, depends upon what services one expects.

Ken hAAmer Dec 23, 2003 12:41 pm

My point was that it seems that people are willing to pay more for a WS flight, at least as inferred by the previous poster.

parnel Dec 23, 2003 12:49 pm


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by Ken hAAmer:
My point was that it seems that people are willing to pay more for a WS flight, at least as inferred by the previous poster.</font>
That is true an well tested by yours truly many many times this past year.WS came in higher very often.

StuMcIlwain Dec 23, 2003 2:46 pm

I've found that WS always matches AC's prices, but they often sell out of their cheap seats much faster. (In which case, who cares whether they are matching if the seat is unavailable.) I don't know if this is because WS assigns fewer cheap seats, or people buy cheap WS seats faster.

StuMcIlwain Dec 23, 2003 2:51 pm

It's also worth considering which fares can be upgraded on different airlines. International upgrades using miles seem to be very restricted on NW/CO/DL (limited fares, hardly any availability) and much better on AA (better availability, upgrade from any fare if you pay a penalty in miles). If you don't have top-tier status, this is the only way to get an upgrade on an international flight.

parnel Dec 23, 2003 3:16 pm

KH,What about Air Creebec...they fly to lots of places.

Shareholder Dec 23, 2003 3:41 pm

I suspect WESTJET is now so ingrained on some people that they assume it offers the lowest fares, even if AC now matches and has more availability. Same way people thought for the final 6-months of its life that CP was no longer in business, so its flights went out mostly empty and check-in staff had little to do, while AC check-ins were swamped and flights were always full.


Altaflyer Dec 23, 2003 3:51 pm


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by Shareholder:
Same way people thought for the final 6-months of its life that CP was no longer in business, so its flights went out mostly empty and check-in staff had little to do, while AC check-ins were swamped and flights were always full.
</font>
I suspect the above had more to do with AC's incompetence during the merger than anything else.

exAC Dec 23, 2003 4:06 pm


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by Shareholder:
I suspect WESTJET is now so ingrained on some people that they assume it offers the lowest fares, even if AC now matches and has more availability. </font>
This is true. People believe that WS is cheaper, when they may not be. One of the reasons for WS pulling out of Destina was that they did npt compare favourably with AC over many of the paralell routes

<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by Shareholder:
Same way people thought for the final 6-months of its life that CP was no longer in business, so its flights went out mostly empty and check-in staff had little to do, while AC check-ins were swamped and flights were always full.</font>
Also true. AC originally thought that would run CP as its own entity side by side with AC. They very quickly had to merge the two together because every one quit buying CP.

Ken hAAmer Dec 24, 2003 10:02 am

Here's Northwest. Weak in Europe, non-existant in Africa, South America, and Australia, very strong in Asia, pretty good in the Caribbean and Mexico, and very good in Canada. Keep in mind that NW has very good reciprocal arrangements with KLM, so some of the gaps may not be as important as with other carriers.

NW
Europe
Paris
Amsterdam
London
Rome
Frankfurt
Asia
Singapore
Bangkok
Hong Kong
Manila
Taipei
Shanghai
Beijing
Seoul
Busan
Osaka
Nagoya
Tokyo
Saipan
Rota
Guam
Dehli
Mumbai
Caribbean
Liberia (CR) (S)
Nassau (S)
Grand Cayman (S)
Montego Bay
Puerto Plata (S)
Punta Cana (S)
San Juan (PR)
Mexico
Mexico City
Cancun
Puerto Vallarta (S)
Ixtapa (S)
Acapulco (S)
Cozumel (S)
Canada
Vancouver
Calgary
Toronto
Montreal
Ottawa
Quebec (S)
Edmonton
Saskatoon
Winnipeg
Regina
Thunder Bay
London

B767 Dec 25, 2003 5:19 pm


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by parnel:
That is true an well tested by yours truly many many times this past year.WS came in higher very often.</font>
And one airline is making money and the other is still losing buckets of money!


keithguy Dec 25, 2003 6:19 pm


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by exAC:
This is true. People believe that WS is cheaper, when they may not be.</font>
Also true of Southwest down in the States. Many think Southwest, as the original discount airline, is the cheapest even when they are not.

--
By the way, Rome is a seasonal destination for Northwest.

parnel Dec 25, 2003 8:50 pm


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by B767:
And one airline is making money and the other is still losing buckets of money!

</font>
Were we talking about making money or fares charged?

B767 Dec 25, 2003 9:17 pm


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by parnel:
Were we talking about making money or fares charged?</font>
Is there not a direct relationship between revenue/fares charged and profits????

Geez... I couple double our sales and increase our market share next year by dropping our selling price below our costs. Of course than we would find ourselves in bankruptcy court.

Do you not find it ironic that if your experience is correct, that a LCC can and does charge more "for less" than a full service airline? Why are people prepared to pay more for less????


FlyerAl Dec 25, 2003 9:46 pm

NW makes up for the lack of European and Mexico/Caribbean destinations by having codeshare/alliance agreements with KLM, Continental, Copa, and now Delta. Still weak in Australia, but strong pretty much everywhere else.

parnel Dec 26, 2003 2:35 am


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by B767:
Is there not a direct relationship between revenue/fares charged and profits????

Geez... I couple double our sales and increase our market share next year by dropping our selling price below our costs. Of course than we would find ourselves in bankruptcy court.

Do you not find it ironic that if your experience is correct, that a LCC can and does charge more "for less" than a full service airline? Why are people prepared to pay more for less????

</font>

My continued point being that the discussion was about fares not bottom line;of course I know the difference.

Ac's bankruptcy was not due to the fares charged but a huge debt from the purchase of Canadian

B767 Dec 26, 2003 7:39 am


<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by parnel:

My continued point being that the discussion was about fares not bottom line;of course I know the difference.

Ac's bankruptcy was not due to the fares charged but a huge debt from the purchase of Canadian
</font>
Well than let's see. AC is in bankruptcy protection, is not making any debt payments (on it's own debt or debt inherited from CP), is only making lease payments on approx 2/3's of its fleet (those that they have renegotiated leases with), has received wage and work rule concessions from it's unionized employees and yet to this day it is still losing money! I would suggest to you that AC has not only an expense problem but also very much a revenue problem. So when you make comments that in your experience AC has been cheaper than WJ I can't help but note that AC is losing money and WJ is profitable and that it is very east to price yourself out of business by selling below cost. Market share at the expense of profitability is a dangerous game. What I find interesting from a business point of view is that WJ, a "LCC" is able to charge more for less. One would have thought that AC, a so called "full service airline" would be able to a charge a premium, even a small one and would not have to discount its price or product to compete with WJ. Yet according to your experiences this is not the case!


Ken hAAmer Jan 7, 2004 9:39 pm

Here's CO. Sorry for the delay, but their "3 airlines in one" setup makes it more difficult to summarize their routes. (The 3 airlines are Continental, Continental Micronesia, and COPA.)

Even more than AA CO has a lock on Mexico, the Caribbean, and to a lesser degree South America. They have good but unusual connections to Asia though mostly Japan, And they are the only airline to fly to a lot of Pacific Ocean destinations. They also fly to Cairns, AU, again via Guam (and HNL.) Canada and Europe are strong, leaving Africa as the only hole in their otherwise overwhelming coverage (though the do fly to Tel Aviv.)

So here goes...

CO
Canada
Vancouver
Calgary
Edmonton
Toronto
Ottawa
Montreal
Quebec
Halifax
Europe
Glasgow
Shannon
Dublin
Manchester
Birmingham
London (LHR)
London (LGW)
Amsterdam
Brussels
Paris
Geneva
Lisbon
Madrid
Rome
Milan
Zurich
Frankfurt
Africa/Middle East
Tel Aviv
Asia
Tokyo
Hong Kong
The following are via Guam
Bali
Manilla
Taipei
Fukuoka
Okayama
Osaka
Nagoya
Niigata
Sendai
Sapporo
as well as also to
Tokyo
Hong Kong
Australia
Cairns (via Guam)
South Pacific
generally from HNL or Guam via HNL
Guam
Palau
Yap
Saipan
Chuuk
Pohnpei
Kosrae
Kwajelein
Majuro
South America
Rio de Janeiro
Sao Paulo
Lima
Guayaquil
Quito
Bogata
Caracas
Caribbean
Port of Spain
Bridgetown
Antigua
St Maarten
St Thomas
Aguadilla
Aruba
San Juan (PR)
Santa Domingo
Santiago
Puerto Plata
Kingston
Montego Bay
Grand Caymen
Nassau
Freeport
Central America
Belize
Sand Pedro Sula
Guatemala
San Salvador
Liberia
San Jose (CR)
Panama
Managua
Tegucigalpa
Mexico
Chihuahua
Los Cabos
Torreon
Mazatlan
Saltilo
Monterry
Puerto Vallarta
Gualajara
Manzanillo
Ixtapa
Acapulco
Villahermosa
Carmen
Cozumel
Cancun
Merida
Veracruz
Mexico City
Leon
San Luis Potosi
Tampico
Aguascalientes
Morelia


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