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Old Jan 31, 07, 11:16 pm
  #22  
AlexS
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: NYC (Formerly Tokyo)
Posts: 231
Originally Posted by Pickles View Post
Look at the bright side of things: Take the difference in overall quality between JAL and AA in C, and multiply by the probability of getting your upgrade. This gives you the expected value of your decision to take a gamble, and a clear benchmark for choosing between a sure Y flight in AA or the chance of an upgrade in JAL. What do you give up? The AA miles, of course.
LOL. That brought back very bad flashbacks from my Econ 101 class Of course, you're overlooking that unfortunately a sure flight in AA Y isn't an option. JAL Y is the only thing that's sure right now...

It's still a ways out, but Expert Flyer says F7 C9 I9 D9 on the outbound, and C9 D9 I3 on the return, so cross your fingers for me
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