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Old Oct 15, 06, 1:22 pm
  #13  
MAH4546
 
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: los angeles, calif.
Programs: AAdvantage PLAT
Posts: 7,059
Originally Posted by perezoso

I'm not sure BAQ would be greatest cash cow on the planet; but I bet it would do better than has been suggested here. I suspect there are a sufficient number of folks going in and out of BAQ (and spillover from CTG and SMR) that would use a daily US connection not to MIA.
That is exactly the problem. Outside of Bogota, US-Colombia traffic is heavily concentrated to the South Florida and NYC/North Jersey areas. So, no, there really isn't a purpose for a flight that does not go to MIA/FLL or JFK/EWR.

MDE flights, including that triangle, have floundered for years, no? Same problem as CLO. Folks don't mind going through BOG (despite the Paisa stuff). Heck, half the Colombians flying out of CLO and MDE probably like the chance to stop over in BOG and see their apartment and friends in the capital
The only US airline that flies to MDE - AA - does very well. It is no triangle, simple MIA-MDE-MIA round-trip.

How about something plain old crazy like MAO (Manaus, might hurt COPA) or MVD (Montevideo, too far for 737)?
TAM flies MIA-MAO daily (launched just before Copa's route, and, not surprisingly, it has hurt the performance of PTY-MAO, which was quickly reduced to 5x a week), more than enough for the US-MAO market. AA and UA both fly to MVD already (MIA-MVD; MIA-EZE-MVD on AA; and IAD-EZE-MVD on UA). The market is excellent yielding, but small, and there really isn't room for a third carrier.

Brazil presents excellent oppurtunity for growth for CO, especially to secondary large cities like Belo Horizonte, but the US-Brazil air treaty is very strict, and CO can't add more flights.


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