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My experience is also that when fog or dust storms get to DXB - which is pretty rare - ATC tends to give a fairly outrageous estimated time in the hold leading to diversions to AUH (in my case). The actual arrival queue wasn't anything like as bad, but the flight crew have to go with what they are told.
For the record the schedule for BA109 was
LHR 21:15
DXB 07:30
Actual was
LHR 21:36
AIN 07:46 arrive
AIN 09:53 depart
DXB 10:50
and a 2 hour stop is on the low side in my view. BA108 is going to be delayed and the current 12:20 estimated departure (schedule 09:20) seems optimistic to me, I would expect it nearer to 13:00 hrs.
EC261 will not be payable on either BA109 or BA108.